Team USA (0 wins, 0 losses, 2 draws) needs to win its final group-stage match against Iran (1-1-0) Tuesday to advance to the Round of 16. Otherwise it’s go home for the USMNT. Kickoff for this Group B contest is 1 p.m. ET at Al Thumama Stadium (FOX). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Iran vs. USA odds, and make our best World Cup bets, picks and predictions.
USA tied England 0-0 Friday, arguably playing better than the Group B favorite. USA had more shots (10-8) and more than double the amount of corners (7 to 3).
In its World Cup opener, USA drew Wales 1-1 after American D Walker Zimmerman made a game-changing tackle that led to a game-tying, penalty-kick goal by F Gareth Bale for Wales.
For Iran, losing 6-2 to England in its opener didn’t matter after Friday’s 2-0 win over Wales in which Iran scored in the 98th and 101st minute. Iran controls its own destiny it will advance to the knock out stage with a win or tie vs. USA.
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Iran vs. USA odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 9:34 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Iran +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | USA +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Draw +245
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +145 | U: -170)
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Prediction
USA 1, Iran 0
Moneyline (ML)
BET USA (+102).
The USA should go all gas and no breaks, and it has the talent to do so. Players like M Gio Reyna have yet to play more than 45 minutes in a game and should be set to have a high level of involvement.
If the USA can create chances like it did vs. England, it will win Tuesday and move on to the Round of 16.
Iran only scored on Wales because Iran had a man advantage after Wales GK Wayne Hennessey received a red card in the 86th minute and had to be replaced.
USA looked good against the high-level competition of England, while Iran struggled to defend the quick-paced English side. Iran was even out-possessed 62% to 38% against Wales.
USA has the talent to dominate this match, and it should come out on top with everything at stake.
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN UNDER 2.5 (-170).
I don’t love the value, but it is the better side.
Iran didn’t score in 86 minutes vs. Wales until it had the man advantage thanks to the red card to the Welsh goalkeeper. Against England, Iran didn’t score until the game was far out of contention.
USA scored once on Wales and failed to find the back of the net against England despite getting 10 shots. USA’s finishing hasn’t been there, and it doesn’t appear to have a strong 9 in this tournament.
BACK UNDER 2.5 (-170) but only for a partial unit due to the value.
Also see: Iran vs. USA best prop bets
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