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March Madness: Illinois vs. Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Illinois vs. Iowa State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa State Cyclones (29-7) battle the Illinois Fighting Illini (28-8) in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament Thursday at TD Garden in Boston. Tip is set for 10:09 p.m. ET (TBS/truTV). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Illinois vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Illinois, the No. 3 seed in the East Region, throttled the 13th-seeded Morehead State Eagles 85-69 in the 1st round despite taking a 1-point lead into the half. Illinois covered as an 11-point favorite in its first game since winning the Big Ten Tournament. The Fighting Illini then took down the 11th-seeded Duquesne Dukes 89-63, again covering as double-digit (10-point) favorites. Illinois was 17-12-2 against the spread (ATS) in the regular season and is 4-1 ATS in the postseason.

No. 2 seed Iowa State is one of the hottest teams in the country. The Cyclones beat the 15th-seeded South Dakota State Jackrabbits 82-65 in the 1st round and took down the 7th-seeded Washington State Cougars 67-56 in the 2nd round. ISU covered the spreads in both games — as a 15.5-point and a 6.5-point favorite, respectively. The Cyclones won the Big 12 Tournament prior to the NCAA Tourney, beating a No. 1 seed (Houston) in the Big 12 Championship Game. They went 19-10-2 ATS in the regular season and 5-0 ATS in the postseason.

Iowa State is No. 4 and Illinois is No. 10 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Illinois vs. Iowa State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 4:39 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Illinois +104 (bet $100 to win $104) | Iowa State -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread: Illinois +1.5 (-110) | Iowa State -1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Illinois vs. Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 76, Illinois 73

Moneyline

BET IOWA STATE (-125).

While the spread offers good value as well, this has all the makings of a close game, so taking the moneyline reduces some of that risk.

That said, in the last calendar month, the Cyclones have beaten BYU at home and have neutral-court wins over then-No. 1 Houston and No. 13 Baylor (a No. 3 seed). That’s an impressive resume. They have turned it on as of late due to their extremely strong defense.

Iowa State ranks 34th in the country in opponents’ effective field-goal percentage and has held 5 straight opponents to 65 or fewer. Only 3 teams (Maryland, Nebraska and Rutgers) in the Big Ten (Illinois’ conference) rank higher, and in those 5 regular-season games, the Fighting Illini are 4-1, yet have just 1 win by more than 5 points, a 76-58 Dec. 2 road victory over Rutgers, which didn’t make the NCAA Tournament.

Iowa State is significantly better than each, and the Fighting Illini struggled against those teams. Expect Illinois’ red-hot offense to take a step back. The Illini did lose 2 of their last 5 on the road prior to postseason play.

Considering the trends and the strong Cyclones’ defense, BACK IOWA STATE (-125).

Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline for the favorite is preferred here.

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 145.5 (-110).

Iowa State is 2-3 O/U in the postseason but have scored 76 or more in 3 of its last 5 games, so it has the ability to play at a fast pace and score efficiently.

Illinois scores efficiently as well and plays at one of the quickest paces in the country, scoring at least 85 in 4 straight games and hitting the Over in all 4. It sits 34th (62.0) of 362 programs in field-goal attempts per game. It was 21-10 O/U in the regular season.

While the Iowa State defense is strong, the pace of this game should be quick given Illinois’ style of play. BACK OVER 145.5 (-110).

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March Madness: Washington State vs. Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Washington State vs. Iowa State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa State Cyclones (28-7) battle the Washington State Cougars (25-9) Saturday in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament from CHI Health Center Omaha. Tip is set for 6:10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Washington State vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Washington State earned the No. 7 seed in the East Region after a 23-8 regular season. It was 16-15 against the spread (ATS) during its 31 regular-season games. In the postseason, the Cougars beat the 10th-seeded Drake Bulldogs 66-61 Thursday, covering as 1-point underdogs. They have covered in 2 of 3 postseason games, but failed to advance to the final in the Pac-12 Tournament after a 58-52 loss to the Colorado Buffaloes March 15.

Iowa State is No. 4 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. The 2nd-seeded Cyclones throttled the South Dakota State Jackrabbits 82-65 Thursday, covering as 15.5-point favorites. Iowa State has covered in 4 straight games and won the Big 12 Tournament last Saturday with a 69-41 victory over the Houston Cougars, who were ranked No. 1 in the nation at the time. Iowa State has covered 6 of its last 8 and is 19-10-2 ATS during the regular season.

Washington State vs. Iowa State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:40 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Washington State +245 (bet $100 to win $245) | Iowa State -310 (bet $310 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Washington State +6.5 (-102) | Iowa State -6.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 128.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Washington State vs. Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 70, Washington State 60

Moneyline

PASS.

Iowa State (-310) is the superior side and should come out on top; however, it isn’t worth backing at this price.

Against the spread

BET IOWA STATE -6.5 (-120).

The Cyclones have been on a tear, and their defense has consistently been 1 of the best in the country. Over the last 4 games, they have allowed 65 or fewer in all 4, including 41 to a No. 1 seed (Houston) and 62 to a No. 3 seed (Baylor).

Iowa State is 11-3-1 ATS in its last 15 games. It has been surging at the right time, while Washington State has failed to cover in 4 of its last 7 games. It has scored sub-70 points in 4 of its last 7 as well.

It won’t be able to keep pace, and considering recent trends, back IOWA STATE -6.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 128.5 (-115).

This total is just too low. The Cougars are 2-2-1 O/U in their last 5 but have scored at least 75 points in 3 games during that span and allowed at least 72 twice. The Cyclones are 2-2 O/U in their postseason run, scoring at least 76 in 3 of the 4 games.

The Cougars are facing a stout defense, but their top 3 scorers all shot over 43% during the regular season, and their top option F Isaac Jones shot 55.9%. Their efficiency should help produce some scoring on a tough Iowa State defense.

That said, back OVER 128.5 (-115).

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March Madness: South Dakota State vs. Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s South Dakota State vs. Iowa State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa State Cyclones (27-7) battle the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (22-12) in the 1st round of the East Region Thursday from CHI Health Center Omaha. Tip is set for 7:35 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the South Dakota State vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Iowa State is No. 4 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. It earned the No. 2 seed in the region after throttling No. 2 Houston 69-41 in the Big 12 Championship despite closing as 5.5-point underdogs. The Cyclones won and covered in all 3 conference tournament games and ended the season 19-10-2 against the spread (ATS). They are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games.

South Dakota State was awarded the 15th seed after beating the Denver Pioneers 76-68 in the Summit Conference final. The Jackrabbits are the only representatives from the Summit and covered in 2 of their 3 tournament wins. They finished the regular season 15-13 ATS. The Jackrabbits are led by G Zeke Mayo, who finished the regular season averaging 19.3 points per game.

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South Dakota State vs. Iowa State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:12 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): South Dakota State +1000 (bet $100 to win $1,000) | Iowa State -2100 (bet $2,100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): South Dakota State +15.5 (-110) | Iowa State -15.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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South Dakota State vs. Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 74, South Dakota State 56

Moneyline

PASS.

While the South Dakota State moneyline is juicy, there’s nothing to see here as the Cyclones are red hot and one of the best teams in the country. Do not expect an upset here.

Against the spread

BET IOWA STATE -15.5 (-110).

The Jackrabbits have played 2 Power 5 opponents this season. They lost to UCF 83-80 and Kansas State 91-68. If the Wildcats can win by 23, the Cyclones, who Kenpom says have the best defense in the nation, should be able to significantly limit South Dakota State.

Iowa State also had a top-60 offensive rating while South Dakota sits outside the top 130 in both offensive and defensive rating. The Cylcones have been a covering machine as of late and are 8-3-1 ATS this season as a double-digit favorite.

Considering those trends, take IOWA STATE -15.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 134.5 (-105).

Neither of these teams is going to want to push the pace. Both sit outside the top 145 in adjusted tempo per Kenpom, so shots will be limited. With Iowa State having the best defense in the NCAA (61.4 points allowed per game), there’s a good chance it will heavily limit the Jackrabbits efficiency.

Iowa State has gone Under in 2 of its last 3 and in 7 of its last 8 games. The Jackrabbits have gone Under in 5 straight. Considering those trends, back UNDER 134.5 (-105).

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Big 12 Tournament: Iowa State vs. Houston odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Iowa State vs. Houston odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The No. 8 Iowa State Cyclones (26-7) battle No. 1 Houston Cougars (30-3) Saturday in the Big 12 Tournament championship game. Tip from T-Mobile Center in Kansas City is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa State vs. Houston odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

No. 2 seed Iowa State took down No. 3 Baylor 76-62 Friday in the semifinals, covering as a 1.5-point favorite while the Over (134.5) cashed. Junior G Keshon Gilbert did a little bit of everything for the Cyclones, scoring 20 points, 8 rebounds, 7 assists, and 2 steals in the victory.

Iowa State is looking to win the Big 12 Tournament for the 1st time since 2019.

The top-seeded Cougars poured it on in the 2nd half against the No. 4 Red Raiders, winning 82-59 in the semifinals. They covered as 10-point favorites, and the Over (133) cashed. Second-team All-Big 12 G L.J. Cryer went 6-for-11 (54.5%) from deep, finishing with 20 points in the victory.

Houston has a chance to win the Big 12 Tournament in its 1st season in the conference.

These teams split the regular-season series, with each side defending its home court. Iowa State won outright as a 1.5-point underdog 57-53 Jan. 9, while the Cougars pushed as 8-point favorites 73-65 Feb. 19.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Iowa State vs. Houston odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Iowa State +176 (bet $100 to win $176) | Houston -215 (bet $215 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +4.5 (-102) | Houston -4.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 122.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa State vs. Houston picks and predictions

Prediction

Houston 65, Iowa State 62

Moneyline

PASS.

I’d love to take Iowa State getting those juicy plus-odds, but Houston (-215) is a matchup I don’t love for the Cyclones. I’m also never going to recommend you to bet 2 or more units to win 1. Houston will likely win this game, but I’m going to look to the spread for my wager.

Against the spread

BET HOUSTON -4.5 (-120).

This Houston team is just amazing to watch. It is 1 of the most balanced teams I’ve ever seen in the college game. There are so many ways it can beat you, and it has shown that throughout the season. After a rough start to its Big 12 schedule, it righted the ship quickly and has won 11 straight heading into this title game. The Cougars have also covered both double-digit spreads in this tournament thus far.

If Iowa State got to face practically any other team in the country, I would have taken it to win this game, but sadly, that’s not the case.

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Over/Under

PASS.

I learned along time to never bet totals when it comes to Houston, and adding Iowa State to the mix makes it an even easier decision. Both of these teams play suffocating defense, and that line is so low that it’s trying to tempt you into taking the Over. Don’t take the bait, and just stay away.

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Iowa State at Kansas State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Iowa State at Kansas State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa State Cyclones (24-6, 13-4 Big 12) and Kansas State Wildcats (17-13, 7-10) clash Saturday as they close out their regular seasons. Tip-off at Bramlage Coliseum will be at 2 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa State vs. Kansas State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Iowa State, tabbed No. 6 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll, logged 2 league setbacks over an 11-day span in January but is a robust 11-2 since. The latter stretch includes a cover as an 8.5-point favorite in a 78-67 win over KSU Jan. 24. In its last game, ISU failed to cover as a 7½-point favorite while collecting a 68-63 win over No. 23 BYU Wednesday.

The Jan. 24 loss to the Cyclones kicked off what has been a 3-9 run for Kansas State. The Wildcats have allowed 75.6 points per game over that stretch. KSU lost 90-68 at No. 15 Kansas Tuesday as a +12.5.

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Iowa State at Kansas State odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Moneyline: Iowa State -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Kansas State +164 (bet $100 to win $164)
Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State -4.5 (-112) | Kansas State +4.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 132.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa State at Kansas State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 70, Kansas State 64

Moneyline

ISU is the lean side here, but better relative value can be found playing the Cyclones minus the points. PASS.

Against the spread

Iowa State is a robust 20-9-1 ATS and 6-2-1 ATS away from home.

Expect the Wildcats to have the Cyclones’ attention in this one. In the Jan. 24 meeting, ISU took a 13-point lead (43-29) into halftime only to have it dissipate over the 2nd half. Iowa State rode a 17-6 run to the finish line for the cover.

With the way they wall off near-proximity looks and the way they’ve played on the road, look for the Cyclones to have a measure of game control — in a 2- or 3-possession game — in this contest at Kansas State.

BET IOWA STATE -4.5 (-112).

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Over/Under

Expect a mid-pace game with more efficiency on the defensive side. The 1st meeting, though, cleared the 136-point threshold to cash on the Over, and that’s the very slight lean here.

Look for the ball-hawking Cyclones, 1 of the top takeaway 5s in college hoops, to leverage from fast breaks off miscue-prone Kansas State. Both teams are also adept at getting lots of trips to the foul line.

Peg a small edge on the OVER 132.5 (-110).

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BYU at Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s BYU at Iowa State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The BYU Cougars (21-8, 9-7 Big 12) visit the Iowa State Cyclones (23-6, 12-4) on Wednesday. Tip from James H. Hilton Coliseum is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the BYU vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

BYU has won back-to-back games after knocking off TCU 87-75 on Saturday to cover as a 6.5-point home favorite. F Fousseyni Traore scored a game-high 21 points off the bench while G Trevin Knell added 20 as 5 players scored in double figures and the Cougars shot 52.5% from the field.

Iowa State has won 3 games in a row after knocking off UCF 60-52 on Saturday to cover as a 3.5-point favorite. F Tre King scored a game-high 16 points and 3 other players scored in double figures. The Cyclones shot 45.7% from the field in the win.

Iowa State is No. 6 and BYU is No. 23 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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BYU at Iowa State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET,

Moneyline (ML): BYU +250 (bet $100 to win $250) | Iowa State -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): BYU +7.5 (-110) | Iowa State -7.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 146.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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BYU at Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 76, BYU 67

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on Iowa State (-300), who is 17-0 at home, to beat BYU, who is 3-6 on the road.

Against the spread

BET IOWA STATE -7.5 (-110).

The Cyclones are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games and 19-8-2 ATS on the season. They have covered in back-to-back games and are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games. They are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as 8-point or fewer favorites.

BYU is 3-5 ATS in its last 8 overall including 1-3 ATS in its last 4 road games and 1-2 ATS in its last 3 games as an underdog.

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 146.5 (-110).

As it stands, 146.5 is the highest total in the last 10 games for Iowa State. During that span, ISU has a 3-7 Over record and has hit the Under in 3 consecutive games. It has held opponents to 64 points or fewer in 6 of its last 8 games. BYU has hit the Under in 2 of its last 4 both overall and on the road.

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Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma Sooners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Iowa State at Oklahoma odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa State Cyclones (2-2, 1-0 Big 12) are on the road to face the No. 14 Oklahoma Sooners (4-0, 1-0) Saturday night. Kickoff from Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman is 7 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa State vs. Oklahoma odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Iowa State snapped a 2-game skid with a 34-27 home win over Oklahoma State last week to kick off Big 12 Conference play, covering the 3.5-point spread as favorites. The Over (36.5) hit in the win.

Oklahoma is No. 14 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. They kicked off conference play last week with a 20-6 road win over Cincinnati, covering the 13.5-point spread as favorites as the Under (57) cashed. They have won all 4 of their games this season by at least 14 points.

Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports

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Iowa State at Oklahoma odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:18 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Iowa State +775 (bet $100 to win $775) | Oklahoma -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +20 (-110) | Oklahoma -20 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa State at Oklahoma picks and predictions

Prediction

Oklahoma 34, Iowa State 13

Moneyline

Oklahoma has rolled to 4 straight wins by at least 14 points. The Sooners have beaten the Cyclones in 3 straight and in 8 of the last 10 matchups. But with a -1400 line, it isn’t worth any action.

PASS and look to the spread.

Against the spread

Oklahoma has covered the spread in all 4 games this season while Iowa State has failed to cover the spread in either of its losses.

Oklahoma’s 20 points were a season-low last week, but the Sooners have averaged 46.8 points per game. No opponent has scored more than 17 points.

Iowa State has a combined 20 points in their 2 losses.

BET OKLAHOMA -20 (-110).

Over/Under

After 3 straight games without reaching a 40-point total, Iowa State’s win over Oklahoma State had 61 points, blowing past the 36.5-point projected total.

Two of Oklahoma’s games have not reached 40 points. It will be close, but Oklahoma will not reach 40 this week and Iowa State will struggle to score against the Sooners.

BET UNDER 48.5 (-110).

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Iowa at Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Iowa at Iowa State odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Iowa Hawkeyes (1-0) and the Iowa State Cyclones (1-0) lock horns in their annual battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy on Saturday. Kickoff from Jack Trice Stadium in Ames is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Hawkeyes scratched out a 24-14 victory over Utah State in the opener, although Iowa never came close to covering the 24-point number as the Under (43.5) cashed. Iowa was actually outgained by USU in total yards 329-284, but the Hawkeyes were plus-1 in the turnover department.

The Cyclones got it done in their opener against FCS Northern Iowa, winning 30-9 as a 7-point favorite as the Under (40) narrowly came through. Like Iowa, the Cyclones were outgained by their opponent, and UNI posted 279 total yards of offense to just 250 for ISU. However, Iowa State was a plus-2 in turnover margin.

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Iowa at Iowa State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 7:51 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Iowa -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Iowa State +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
Against the spread (ATS): Iowa -3.5 (-115) | Iowa State +3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 36.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Iowa at Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa 23, Iowa State 16

Moneyline

Iowa (-185) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s a little too steep for a road team, especially in a rivalry game.

The Hawkeyes offense looked slightly better last weekend, as QB Cade McNamara tossed 2 TDs in his team debut. Iowa’s offense should continue to jell under the former Michigan signal caller, and the defense for the Hawkeyes is always nasty. Still, this will be a defensive battle which goes to the team which makes fewer mistakes.

PASS.

Against the spread

IOWA -3.5 (-115) is the better play laying the points, although, again, it should be a 1-score game. Iowa was won 6 of the past 7 meetings straight-up, and the edge goes to the Hawkeyes here because they have a slightly more powerful offense this season. The Cyclones were outgained by an FCS foe last week, and their game would have been closer if not for the forced turnovers.

Over/Under

OVER 36.5 (-110) is risky business in an Iowa-Iowa State rivalry game, and we had a total of just 17 points last season in Ames. The Under has cashed in each of the previous 4 meetings, too. Still, I feel we’ll get a little more offense from Iowa than some might think.

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March Madness: Pitt vs. Iowa State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Pitt vs. Iowa State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Pitt Panthers (23-11) battle the Iowa State Cyclones (19-13) Friday in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Tip from Greensboro Coliseum in the Midwest Region game is set for 3:10 p.m. ET (truTV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Pitt vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Panthers beat Mississippi State 60-59 in the battle of the First Four, and have won of their 8 games, posting a 4-4 against the spread (ATS) record. F Blake Hinson leads the Panthers, averaging 15.5 points per game. The Panthers are an ACC-best 23-10-1 ATS on the season.

Iowa State, 16-16 ATS on the season, comes in as the region’s No. 6 seed, having lost to Kansas 71-58 in the Big 12 Tournament, a day after beating No. 3-seeded Baylor 78-72. Iowa State lost 5 of its last 7 games, failing to cover in all 5 losses. It is led by G Jaren Holmes, who is averaging 13.4 PPG.

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Pitt vs. Iowa State odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Pitt +160 (bet $100 to win $160) | Iowa State -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Pitt +4.5 (-112) | Iowa State -3.5 (-108)
Over/Under (O/U): 130.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Pitt vs. Iowa State picks and predictions

Prediction

Iowa State 64, Pitt 61

Moneyline

AVOID.

Iowa State has 13 losses on the season and doesn’t have a strong enough offense to pull away. Backing it on the moneyline at -190 isn’t good value, and given Pitt has already played, the chance for it to have tired legs should make the (+160) not overly enticing. Pass all around here.

Against the spread

LEAN PITT +4.5 (-112).

Pitt was the best-covering team in the ACC. Iowa State was in the middle of the pack in the Big 12 and was the worst-covering team in the conference on the road, posting just a 4-7 ATS record.

Iowa State’s offense is also concerning as it ranks 177th in effective field goal rate (50.7%). Pitt sits 51st (53.1%). While Iowa State has the far better defense, it may struggle to pull away, as it has for much of the season.

Given that, back PITT +4.5 (-112).

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Over/Under

BET UNDER 130.5 (-105).

While Pitt may score efficiently, it doesn’t play at a fast pace, ranking 135th in shots per game (57.9). Iowa State plays at an even slower tempo, sitting 201st in field goal attempts (56.9).

Pitt has gone Under in 2 of its last 4 and has failed to score 70 in its last 2 games. Iowa State has gone Under in 7 of its last 9. It has failed to top 60 in 4 of its last 7 games.

Considering the pace this game should be played at and the strength of the Cyclones’ defense, back the UNDER 130.5 (-105).

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Big 12 Tournament: Iowa State vs. Kansas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Iowa State vs. Kansas odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Iowa State Cyclones (19-12) take on the No. 4 Kansas Jayhawks (26-6) Friday in the semifinal round of the Big 12 Tournament. Tip from T-Mobile Center is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Iowa State vs. Kansas odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Iowa State took down Baylor 78-72 in the quarterfinals Thursday, covering as a 4.5-point underdog. It has now won back-to-back games but is just 4-6 straight up and against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games. The Cyclones are 16-15 ATS on the season.

Kansas rolled over West Virginia 78-61 in the quarterfinals Thursday, covering as a 3-point favorite. It has won 8 of the last 10 games and is 6-4 ATS in that span. The Jayhawks are 15-17 ATS this season.

Kansas and Iowa State split the season series this year with Kansas beating Iowa State 62-60 at home but failing to cover as a 7.5-point favorite on Jan. and 14 Iowa State beating Kansas 68-53 to cover as a 1-point home favorite on Feb. 4.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Iowa State vs. Kansas odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:48 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Iowa State +170 (bet $100 to win $170) | Kansas -210 (bet $210 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Iowa State +4.5 (-105) | Kansas -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 129.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Iowa State vs. Kansas picks and predictions

Prediction

Kansas 65, Iowa State 58

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value in a moneyline play on Kansas (-210) in this matchup, although it should pull out the victory.

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Against the spread

LEAN KANSAS -4.5 (-115).

Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games following an ATS win and is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. It is also 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games.

Iowa State is just 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games following an outright win and just 3-6 ATS in its last 9.

The favorite is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these programs.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 129.5 (-105).

The Under is 6-0 in the Cyclones’ last 6 Friday games, 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning outright record and 7-2 in their last 9 neutral site games.

For Kansas, the Under is 5-0 in its last 5 games, 4-0 in its last 4 following an outright win and 5-0 in its last 5 games against a team with a winning outright record.

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