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The Miami Heat (17-14) welcome the Indiana Pacers (16-18) to Kaseya Center Thursday. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Pacers vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
The Pacers have lost 3 of their last 4 games after falling 120-112 against the Milwaukee Bucks Tuesday as 2-point home underdogs. G Bennedict Mathurin scored a team-high 25 points.
The Heat have won 4 of their last 5 games after taking down the visiting New Orleans Pelicans 119-108 Wednesday as 9-point favorites. G Tyler Herro scored a team-high 32 points while C Bam Adebayo was a rebound shy of a triple-double with 23 points, 10 assists and 9 boards.
Pacers at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Pacers +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Heat -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Pacers +1.5 (-115) | Heat -1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Pacers at Heat key injuries
Pacers
- F Aaron Nesmith (ankle) out
Heat
(Not yet submitted — below was for Wednesday’s game)
- G Terry Rozier (suspension) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Pacers at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 117, Pacers 112
Moneyline
PASS.
There is better value on the Heat (-120) spread in this matchup.
Against the spread
BET HEAT -1.5 (-105).
The Heat have won back-to-back games and covered 4 of their last 5, including 2 of their last 3 as favorites. They are 10-5 at home and face a Pacers squad that is just 8-12 on the road this season.
Indiana has failed to cover the spread in 3 of its last 4 games, all as an underdog.
Over/Under
BET OVER 223.5 (-110).
The Pacers have scored 111 or more points in 8 of their last 9 games. They have allowed 114 or more points in 4 straight outings, going 4-0 O/U, including 2 road games.
Miami has scored 110 or more points in 4 of its last 6 games. It has allowed 108 or more points in 2 of its last 3, going 2-1 O/U.
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