Illinois at Nebraska odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Illinois at Nebraska odds and lines, with college football expert picks and predictions.

The No. 18 Illinois Fighting Illini (6-3, 3-1 Big Ten) and Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-4, 2-2) meet Saturday at Memorial Stadium in Lincoln. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Illinois vs. Nebraska odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

Illinois leads the Big Ten West with its 3-1 mark. The Illini lead the conference in scoring defense with 8.9 points allowed per game. They enter on a 5-game win streak and haven’t allowed more than 14 points in any single game along that span.

Nebraska was railroaded 43-37 as a 14-point underdog by the Purdue Boilermakers Oct. 15. The Cornhuskers coughed up 608 total yards. Nebraska ranks 14th in the Big Ten in all 3 defensive yardage categories (rushing, passing and total yards allowed per game). Among power-5 programs, only Colorado and North Carolina have yielded more total yards on average than UN’s 471.7.

Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Illinois at Nebraska odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:30 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Illinois -320 (bet $320 to win $100) | Nebraska +250 (bet $100 to win $250)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Illinois -7.5 (-105) | Nebraska +7.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Illinois at Nebraska picks and predictions

Prediction

Illinois 27, Nebraska 17

Moneyline

The visiting Illini (-320) are the lean in this game, but there is no need to tangle with all this juice for a short payout. PASS.

Against the spread

Illinois has won its last 2 games in this series straight up and covered its last 3 against Nebraska. The upstart Illini are 8-2 ATS since last Nov. 6.

Look for UI’s slightly better-than-average offense to find success against a porous Nebraska defense. The early-downs defense for these two Big Ten foes presents a major line of demarcation, and Illinois is on the right side of that line.

The UI defense excels near the line of scrimmage, in creating havoc, and in keeping opposing offenses behind the chains and scrambling.

The Illini offense may be a tad overrated, but it should still find success in coming up with solid drives more often than not. The UI ground game should be able to clock a lead late. Peg that lead as a double-digit one.

TAKE ILLINOIS -7.5 (-105).

Over/Under

The Under has gone 1-4-1 across Illinois’ last 6 games.

The expected game flow in this one, UI’s 56-44 run-pass mix, and perhaps a couple or 3 field goals put this total in a low-to-mid-40s range.

BACK THE UNDER 49.5 (-107).

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Illinois at Nebraska odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Illinois Fighting Illini at Nebraska Cornhuskers sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Illinois Fighting Illini (1-3 overall, 1-3 Big Ten) visit the Nebraska Cornhuskers (1-2, 1-2) Saturday for a noon ET kickoff. Below, we analyze the Illinois-Nebraska college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Illinois at Nebraska: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 9:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Illinois +450 (bet $100 to win $450) | Nebraska -625 (bet $625 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Illinois +14.5 (-110) | Nebraska -14.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 59.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

Illinois at Nebraska: Three things to know

  1. After losing its first three games by a combined 72 points, Illinois (+5.5) claimed its first win of the season with a 23-20 victory at Rutgers last week. PK James McCourt‘s 47-yard field with 3 seconds left won it as the Illini rallied from a 20-10 deficit in the third quarter. Backup QB Isaiah Williams – starting in place of Brandon Peters, who has been out because of COVID-19 – threw for only 104 yards with no touchdowns or interceptions, but he ran for 192 yards with a TD on 31 attempts. RB Chase Brown added 131 yards on the ground.
  2. Nebraska (+2.5) also won its first game of the season last week, beating Penn State 30-23 at home. Making his starting debut, redshirt freshman QB Luke McCaffrey – whose brother is NFL star Christian McCaffrey – threw for 152 yards with a TD and a pick, while running for a team-high 67 yards with a score. The Cornhuskers led 27-6 at the half but had to hold on late as the defense came through, stopping two Nittany Lions drives inside Nebraska’s 15-yard line in the final 4 minutes.
  3. Nebraska has won the last 4 in the series, including last season when it overcame a 14-point, third-quarter deficit in a 42-38 win at Illinois. The ‘Huskers lead the all-time series 13-3-1, including 4-0 at home since joining the Big Ten.

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Illinois at Nebraska: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nebraska 30, Illinois 17

Money line (ML)

PASS. One has to wager more than six times their return on Nebraska (-625). It’s not worth the risk.

Against the spread (ATS)

Back ILLINOIS +14.5 (-110). McCaffrey gives life to a Nebraska offense that needed a boost; however, this is just his second start, so there’s still some “figuring it out” going on. Nebraska is 1-2 ATS; Illinois is 2-2.

Over/Under (O/U)

The UNDER 59.5 (-115) is the STRONGEST PLAY – 1.5 times your usual wager. Illinois, 1-3 O/U, averages just 17.0 points per game and allows 34.3 PPG. Nebraska is 0-3 O/U, averaging 20.0 PPG and yielding 32.0 PPG.

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Johnny’s 2020 CFB record / Strongest plays 13-11 / 7-3
2020 overall record (all sports) 145-107-3
Strongest plays (all sports) 72-40-1

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