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The Houston Texans (6-2) meet the New York Jets (2-6) for Thursday Night Football in Week 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Texans vs. Jets odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Texans hit the road for the Meadowlands on a short week, and it might raise some eyebrows to see the 6-2 Texans are underdogs to the 2-6 Jets. However, there is concern with the Houston offense, which lost WR Stefon Diggs (knee) to a season-ending injury, joining WR Nico Collins on the shelf.
The top pass catchers are expected to be WR Tank Dell, who has a history of injuries himself, while TE Dalton Schultz is likely to be second in the pecking order. WRs Xavier Hutchinson, John Metchie III and veteran Robert Woods represent the next men up.
For the Jets, they’re coming off a disappointing 25-22 loss against the New England Patriots on the road in Week 8. New York fired coach Robert Saleh prior to the Week 6 matchup with Buffalo, but the new regime is not only 0-3 straight up (SU) since the coaching change, but 0-3 against the spread (ATS), too, while going 0-5 SU/ATS since Week 4.
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Texans at Jets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated at 5:58 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texans +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Jets -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Texans +1.5 (-105) | Jets -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 42 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Texans at Jets key injuries
Texans
- OL Jarrett Patterson (concussion) out
- RB Dameon Pierce (groin)
- LB Azeez Al-Shaair (knee) out
- S Jimmie Ward (groin) out
Jets
- S Tony Adams (hamstring) out
- S Ashtyn Davis (concussion) out
- DL Leki Fotu (knee) out
- WR Allen Lazard (chest) out
- OL Morgan Moses (knee) questionable
- LB C.J. Mosley (neck) out
- LB Chazz Surratt (heel) questionable
- OL Alijah Vera-Tucker (ankle) out
- TE Kenny Yeboah (abdomen) questionable
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Texans at Jets picks and predictions
Prediction
Jets 22, Texans 18
Moneyline
The Jets (-125) should be able to get the job done, using a combination of defense and timely offense.
If the Texans (+105) had a full cadre of receivers, this would be a slam-dunk play. But, Houston will be down a handful of playmakers on a short week.
PASS.
Against the spread
The JETS -1.5 (-115) are a much better play laying the little bit of points, rather than the slightly more expensive moneyline play.
Unless you’re dead-set on New York winning, but only by a single point, playing the moneyline makes no sense.
The Jets have won the past 2 meetings in this series, too, outscoring the Texans by average 15 PPG in the span. They’re also 3-1-1 ATS in the previous 5 meetings, while going 5-2-1 ATS in 8 battles since 2006.
Over/Under
UNDER 42 (-110) is the lean, but go with a half-unit play at best.
The Texans should have some difficulty putting up points, at least through the air, especially against a sturdy Jets defense. The Under is on a 6-1 run for Houston, and that was with Diggs until last Sunday, and Collins for a majority of the season.
For the Jets, the Over has cashed in the past 3 games, but that’s because the defense has let up a little bit. New York still ranks fourth in the NFL with just 286.9 total yards allowed, and only 161.1 passing yards per game, and both marks rank in the Top 5.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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