Houston Roughnecks at Memphis Showboats odds predictions pick betting line spread

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The final game of the UFL regular season has the Houston Roughnecks (1-8) on the road to take on the Memphis Showboats (1-8) on Sunday. Kickoff is at 7 p.m. ET at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Roughnecks vs. Showboats odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The Roughnecks have lost their last 5 games. They lost last week 26-22 at home against the Michigan Panthers, failing to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs. The Over (40) cashed in.

The Showboats have lost 8 straight games after a season-opening 18-12 road win over Houston. Last week they lost 36-21 to the D.C. Defenders, failing to cover the 5.5-point spread as underdogs. The Over (45.5) cashed in.

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Roughnecks at Showboats odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:01 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Roughnecks -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Showboats +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Roughnkecks -1.5 (-115) | Showboats +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Roughnecks at Showboats key injuries

Roughnecks

OL Isaiah Battle (knee) out
OL Cam Carter (abdomen) probable
RB Kirk Merritt (wrist) probable
CB Jai Nunn-Liddell (chest, concussion, elbow, wrist) out
RB T.J. Pledger IV (ankle) out
CB Kiondre Thomas (ankle, foot) questionable

Showboats

WR Jonathan Adams (ankle) probable
LV Vontae Diggs (hamstring) probable
S Jarey Elder (hamstring) probable
CB T.J. Green (chest) probable
WR Lee Morris (shoulder) probable
QB Troy Williams (finger) probable

Roughnecks at Showboats picks and predictions

Prediction

Roughnecks 27, Showboats 20

Moneyline

The last game of the regular season is between the 2 worst teams. Memphis’ only win game against Houston on the road in Week 1. But the Showboats have the league’s worst defense, allowing 30.9 points per game (PPG), more than 6 points more than the next-worst team. They have given up 32 or more in 6 of their last 7 games. That is combined with the 2nd-worst scoring offense, averaging 18.8 PPG.

The Roughnecks have the worst scoring offense at 16.2 PPG. They went through a 4-game stretch in which they did not score more than 12 points in a game, but have since improved. They have scored 28 and 22 in their last 2 games.

With that offensive bounce-back and Memphis’ porous defense, expect Houston to win.

Betting the the Roughnecks at -135 isn’t a bad play at all, but because there is only a 1.5-point spread, you get a little better value on that bet.

PASS.

Against the spread

The only time the Roughnecks have covered the spread this season is in their lone victory. This is only the 2nd time they are favored (the 1st time being in Week 1 against Memphis in their 18-12 season-opening loss).

The Showboats have covered the spread once in their last 7 losses. They had a 1-point loss, but their last 7 losses have been by at least 6 points.

BET ROUGHNECKS -1.5 (-115).

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Over/Under

The Over has hit in 6 of the Showboats’ last 7 games. It has hit in the Roughnecks last 2.

The Showboats have allowed 24 or more in their last 7 and 32 or more in 6 of their last 7 games. Houston has allowed 22 or more points in 4 of their last 5

BET OVER 45.5 (-110).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Tag: Houston Roughnecks at Memphis Showboats odds predictions pick betting line spread

Houston Roughnecks at Memphis Showboats odds, picks and predictions