Houston at Memphis odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston at Memphis odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 1 Houston Cougars (28-2, 16-1 AAC) battle the Memphis Tigers (23-7, 13-4) Sunday. Tip from FedEx Forum is set for noon ET (CBS). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Houston vs. Memphis odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Houston beat Memphis 72-64 at home on Feb. 19, failing to cover as a 14.5-point favorite. The Under 141 hit.

The Cougars have won 10 in a row but have covered just 4 of them. They are coming off an 83-66 win over Witchita State, failing to cover as a 17.5-point home favorite. Houston is 1-4 against the spread (ATS) over its last 5 games and is 17-13 ATS on the season.

The Tigers are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 and coming off an 81-62 win at Southern Methodist, covering as a 6.5-point favorite. They have won 3 in a row and 6 of their last 7. Memphis is 13-15-2 ATS on the season and 17-13 O/U.

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Houston at Memphis odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:09 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Houston -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Memphis +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Houston -5.5 (-110) | Memphis +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 145.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Houston at Memphis picks and predictions

Prediction

Houston 73, Memphis 70

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline odds for Memphis might be enticing, but I would take the points and play it on the spread.

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Against the spread

LEAN MEMPHIS +5.5 (-110).

The Cougars are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 road games despite winning all 4 of them. They are one of the best teams in the nation, but it is tough to cover road games with wide spreads. Memphis is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games as well. It also played Houston well on the road, losing by just 8.

The Tigers held the Cougars to just 3-for-17 shooting. In a more friendly environment, expect Memphis to come ready to play. Back MEMPHIS +5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 145.5 (-115).

In the last game between these 2 teams, there were 28 combined turnovers. The Tigers also shot 40% from deep and still only scored 64 points. Both teams have defenses that rank in the top 50 in opponents’ field goal percentage and opponents’ 3-point field goal percentage.

The Tigers have gone Under in 4 of their last 5 games as well. With Houston having alternated between the Over and Under in their last 7 and the Under being primed to hit, back the UNDER 145.5 (-115).

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Houston at Memphis odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Houston at Memphis odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Tigers (4-1, 2-0 AAC) welcome the Houston Cougars (2-3, 0-1) to Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Houston vs. Memphis odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Tigers are coming off a 24-3 win over the Temple Owls last week. After opening the season with a 49-23 loss at Mississippi State, Memphis has won its last 4 games, all by double figures.

The Tigers are led by QB Seth Henigan, who has 1,276 passing yards through 5 games. He’s been the main star and is a dual-threat QB, also running for 147 yards on the ground. He’s 1 of 4 Tigers with 100-plus rushing yards this season.

As for Houston, the loss of DE Logan Hall, a 2nd-round 2022 NFL Draft pick of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, has been brutal for this defense. The Cougars have yet to hold an opponent under 27 points, most recently losing at home to Tulane 27-24 in overtime. Houston’s 2 wins came against Rice and UTSA by 3 and 2 points, respectively.

The Cougars may have the best player on the field in WR Nathaniel Dell though. He had 1,329 yards last season and has 453 receiving yards this season to go along with 5 touchdowns.

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Houston at Memphis odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 8:35 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Houston +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Memphis -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Houston +2.5 (-110) | Memphis -2.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 57.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Houston at Memphis picks and predictions

Prediction

Memphis 34, Houston 30

Moneyline

PASS.

I’m not laying the -135 juice with the home favorite here. I’d rather look to the spread for some value.

Against the spread

BET MEMPHIS -2.5 (-110).

The only suspect part of this line is it partially feels like a trap because of how well Memphis has been playing.

The Tigers are on a 4-game win streak, coming off a 21-point victory following wins of 10, 12 and 24 points, respectively. Behind Henigan, they have a QB that is far more proven as well.

Cougars QB Clayton Tune has 3 interceptions on the season and isn’t aided much by an offense that is averaging 90.8 penalty yards per game. They give up 1.4 turnovers per game as well.

Both of those game-changing numbers are more than cut in half by the Tigers, and that could be a huge factor here. Considering that and how Houston played against Tulane last week, I’d back the Tigers.

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 57.5 (-108).

Simply put, Houston’s defense is terrible. It’s allowing 409.2 yards per game with 24 total 1st downs.

Offensively, The Cougars’ Dell is a big-time player. With 2 TDs last week, he has proven to make big-time players over and over again. He should be able to be an impactful factor.

Both teams are 4-1 O/U as well, so this has been a good trend to follow throughout the season.

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Want action on this game or any other NCAA football matchup? Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, SportsbookWire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow @nathanbeighle_ on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / College Football News

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