Tag: Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers odds predictions pick betting line spread

Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with expert MLB picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (45-37) and the Texas Rangers (49-33) play the 2nd contest of a 4-game wraparound series Saturday at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Astros vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Series tied 2-2 after Houston’s 5-3 win in the series opener Friday

The Astros have rattled off 3 straight victories, all on the road, while averaging 9.7 runs per game. Houston has outscored the opposition 29-10 during the impressive run, cashing the Over at a 2-0-1 clip in the 3 games.

Houston has won 4 in a row against right-handed starting pitchers and is 4-1 in the past 5 games on the road.

The Rangers dropped the series opener but still have a 4-game lead in the AL West over the 2nd-place Astros. Texas is also 2nd in the majors with a plus-155 run differential, behind only the Tampa Bay Rays (plus-163).

The Rangers have racked up 10 wins in the past 13 tries in Game 2 of a series, but Texas is just 1-4 in the past 5 games inside the division.

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Astros at Rangers projected starters

RHP Hunter Brown vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Brown (6-4, 3.62 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 over 87 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 7 K in a 6-5 road win vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Sunday
  • 2023 road splits: 4-1, 3.21 ERA (47 2/3 IP, 17 ER – 7 HR) with a .214 opponent batting average (OBA) in 8 starts
  • 2023 vs. Texas: Win, 7 IP, 2 R (0 ER), 5 H, 1 BB, 5 K in an 8-2 home win April 15

Eovaldi (9-3, 2.82 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.00 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 across 105 1/3 IP.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 5-3 road loss vs. the New York Yankees Sunday
  • 2023 home splits: 3-2, 3.46 ERA (39 IP, 15 ER – 5 HR) with a .213 OBA in 6 starts with 1 complete game shutout

Astros at Rangers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:31 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Astros +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Rangers -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-175) | Rangers -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Astros at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 4, Astros 3

Moneyline

The RANGERS (-140) are a solid bet as they look for the bounce-back game with one of their better pitchers on the bump.

Eovaldi hasn’t faced the Astros this season, while the rookie Brown handled Texas down in Houston back in April. However, Eovaldi has been money at home, holding the opposition to just a .213 batting average. He’ll help Texas level this series in Game 2.

Run line/Against the spread

The ASTROS +1.5 (-175) are just under my personal limit of -180 for a standalone wager. If you want a little insurance, and don’t want to take Houston straight up, it isn’t priced out of line.

Houston has won 3 of the past 4 as an underdog straight up and has cashed the run line as a ‘dog at a 5-1 clip in the past 6 instances.

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Over/Under

The UNDER 7.5 (-105) is the lean, but it’s a bit of a leap of faith.

The Over has dominated for both sides lately, going 3-0-3 in the past 6 games for Texas and 4-1-1 in the past 6 for Houston.

However, Brown and Eovaldi are sure to hang plenty of donuts on the scoreboard as both have particularly strong splits. The rookie Brown has been more effective on the road, and Eovaldi doesn’t get dinged at home.

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Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Houston Astros (44-37) and Texas Rangers (49-32) begin a 4-game series in Arlington on Friday. First pitch at Globe Life Park is slated for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Rangers and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Rangers lead 2-1

The Astros are 3-3 on their current 10-game road trip and with a 14-0 win over the St. Louis Cardinals on Thursday have outscored their opponents 41-27 in the 6 games. Houston trails the 1st-place Rangers by 5 games in the AL West.

The Rangers split the 1st 4 games of their an 8-game homestand against the Detroit Tigers, losing 8-5 on Thursday. The Rangers are 26-14 at Globe Life Park and score the most runs per game at home in MLB (6.43).

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Astros at Rangers projected starters

RHP Ronel Blanco vs. RHP Jon Gray

Blanco (1-0, 4.63 ERA) will make his 5th start and 13th appearance. He has a 1.51 WHIP, 4.6 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9 in 35 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 6 K in a 8-7 road loss vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers Saturday
  • 2023 away splits: 0-0, 5.63 ERA (16 IP, 10 ER), .220 OBA in 6 appearances
  • First start against the Rangers

Gray (6-3, 2.89 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 81 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 3 H, 1 ER, 2 BB, 4 K in a 1-0 road loss vs. the New York Yankees Saturday
  • Last start vs Astros: No-decision, 2 IP, 1 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2 K in a 8-2 road loss on April 15
  • Has allowed 1 ER or less in 6 of his last 7 starts

Astros at Rangers odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:01 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Astros +136 (bet $100 to win $136) | Rangers -162 (bet $162 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros +1.5 (-146) | Rangers -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -104 | U: -128)

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Astros at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 5, Astros 3

Moneyline

AVOID

The Rangers are one of MLB’s most prolific teams at home, although Gray has struggled a little at home. The Astros are actually hitting better on the road than at Minute Maid Park this season. I believe the Rangers win this game, but don’t feel strong enough to put up over 1 1/2 units.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS

The plu-money odds are tempting enough to put down 1/2 a unit on the Rangers to win by multiple runs, but I’m going to stay away and look at the run total.

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Over/Under

I’m all in on UNDER 9.5 (-120). The primary reason for that is Gray, who has been lights out over the last 2 months. He has allowed just 11 total runs over his last 8 starts and 6 of those runs came in 1 bad start against the Toronto Blue Jays. The Astros trio of Jose Altuve, Jose Abreu, and Alex Bregman is a combined 2 for 16 with 1 extra base hit and 1 RBI against Gray.

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Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (37-23) open a 3-game road series against their AL West rival Texas Rangers (28-31) on Monday. First pitch is at 8:05 p.m. ET at Globe Life Field. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Astros lead the season series 6-2.

Houston is coming off a 9-4 win Sunday over the Miami Marlins, but went 2-4 in their homestand. They have, though, won 6 of their last 7 road games.

The Rangers closed out a 3-3 road trip with 2 straight wins over the Chicago White Sox, including an 8-6 victory Sunday.

Astros at Rangers projected starters

RHP Cristian Javier vs. LHP Taylor Hearn

Javier (3-3, 3.22 ERA) makes his 8th start and 12th appearance overall. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 44 2/3 IP.

  • Was roughed up in his last outing, a 7-4 loss to the Seattle Mariners June 6, allowing 5 ER on 6 H, 1 BB with 4 K in 3 2/3 IP.
  • Prior to that start, he allowed only 2 ER in his previous 3 outings, spanning 15 2/3 IP.

Hearn (4-4, 5.40 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.66 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 50 IP.

  • Won last outing June 7 at the Cleveland Guardians allowing 3 ER, 4 H, 2 BB with 6 K in 5 2/3 innings in a 6-3 win.
  • In 2 starts vs. the Astros this season he’s 0-2 with a 7.45 ERA in 9 2/3 IP. He’s allowed 4 ER in each start.

Astros at Rangers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:16 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Astros -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Rangers +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+102) | Rangers +1.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Astros at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 6, Rangers 2

Money line

The Astros have won 3 of 4 games in both series against the Rangers this season, although they did lose the opener in Arlington the first time they faced one another. Their 21 road wins tie them for the most in the majors.

The Rangers are 13-16 at home this season and 12-17 against teams with winning records.

Take the ASTROS (-160).

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Run line/Against the spread

Of their 6 wins over the Rangers this season, 3 are by more than 1 run. Six of their last 8 wins overall have been by at least 2 runs.

The Rangers are 35-24 ATS this season overall, the second-best margin in the majors, but they lost both games to the Astros with Hearn on the mound by at least 2 runs.

This is the most valuable bet of the night. Take the ASTROS -1.5 (+102).

Over/Under

None of the 8 games between these teams this season have had more than 8 runs.

Hearn’s last 9 starts have alternated between 9 runs or more and 8 or fewer. His last start had a total of 9 runs.

The total has stayed under 9 runs in 6 of Javier’s 8 starts this season.

Take UNDER 8.5 (+110).

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Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (7-8) are on the road to open a 4-game set with the Texas Rangers (5-10) Monday. First pitch from Globe Life Field is set for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Rangers nickname odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting. Houston took 14 of 19 meetings with Texas in 2021.

The Astros salvaged an 8-7 extra-inning win Sunday, but still dropped their 3-game home set against the Toronto Blue Jays. Houston has lost its last 3 series against the Blue Jays, Los Angeles Angels and at the Seattle Mariners.

The Rangers had a 3-game win streak snapped when they were held scoreless Sunday in a 2-0 loss at the Oakland Athletics. Texas, which picked up its first series win of the season in Oakland, was 1-5 in its first homestand this year.

Astros vs. Rangers projected starters

LHP Framber Valdez vs. RHP Dane Dunning

Framber Valdez (1-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has allowed 7 ER on 12 H and 10 BB with 12 K in 14 IP.

  • Got rocked for 6 ER on 8 H with 4 BB with just 3 K in 4 1/3 IP against the Los Angeles Angels in his last start Tuesday.
  • Is 1-0 with 1 ER allowed in 9 2/3 IP in 2 road starts this season.

Dane Dunning (0-1, 5.68 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has allowed 8 ER on 17 H and 7 BB with 14 K in 12 2/3 IP.

  • Allowed 3 ER on 6 H and 3 BB with 3 K through 4 IP in his last start at the Seattle Mariners Wednesday.
  • Was 0-1 with 5 ER on 11 H and 3 BB with 7 K in 6 IP in 1 start and 1 relief appearance versus the Astros in 2021.

Astros vs. Rangers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:46 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Astros -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Rangers +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Astros -1.5 (+120) | Rangers +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Astros vs. Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Astros 5, Rangers 3

Money line

Monday should propose a get-right spot for the Astros who have started the season rather sluggishly. The Astros have been held back by a well below-average .240 BABIP in the early going, but have the power and prowess at the plate to straighten things out.

Houston also sends the better starting pitcher to the mound and has the superior bullpen.

Catch HOUSTON (-145) before it gets bet up much further.

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Run line/Against the spread

I don’t think you want to get too carried away here — Valdez was absolutely batted around last time out and Dunning has been pretty consistent in not letting things get out of hand through his first 3 starts.

Still, with plus-money value on the table and Houston pegged as the clearly better of the teams you may want to consider a partial unit play on HOUSTON -1.5 (+120).

Over/Under

If this came in at 7.5 I’d be much more tempted to pursue an Over wager, but 8.5 feels like a sharp number.

Valdez has the ability to toss a gem, although he ended last season on shaky ground, and the Astros’ bats have had some hard luck that may not necessarily get them over the hump. Dunning may limit things enough to require Houston to tag the bullpen for a few runs to push this over the number.

The wind will be blowing in Monday at Globe Life Field, and that’s enough for me to PASS on the total.

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Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (84-59) and Texas Rangers (53-90) play the second game of a four-game set Tuesday at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Astros RHP Zack Greinke (11-5, 3.66 ERA) makes his 28th start of the season. He has a 1.15 WHIP, 6.2 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 through 159 2/3 IP.

  • Making his first start since Aug. 29 after testing positive for COVID-19.
  • Roughed up for 6 runs, 9 hits and 2 walks with just 1 strikeout over 4 innings in a loss at Texas last time out (Aug. 29) as he dropped consecutive starts for the first time this season.

Rangers RHP Jordan Lyles (8-11, 5.43 ERA) makes his 27th start and 29th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 7.2 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 155 2/3 IP.

  • Yielded just 1 run, 3 hits and 2 walks with 3 strikeouts across 7 innings in a win at the Arizona Diamondbacks Sept. 7, and he has won each of his past two outings.
  • Has posted an 0-1 record, 7.84 ERA and .326 opponent batting average across 10 1/3 IP in two starts vs. Houston this season.

Astros at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:15 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -240 (bet $240 to win $100) | Rangers +190 (bet $100 to win $190)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -2.5 (+102) | Rangers +2.5 (-125)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Prediction

Rangers 6, Astros 5

Money line (ML)

I like the RANGERS (+190) for the upset for a multitude of reasons. A chance to nearly double up is very attractive.

First, Greinke is coming back from a bout with COVID-19 after being sidelined for a couple of weeks. He might not be terribly sharp. It’s uncertain what his stamina will be like. As it stands, he has lost his past two outings, his first two-game losing streak of the season.

Second, the Rangers have actually been getting surprise production from Lyles lately, as he has won two straight starts.

Third, with Category 1 Hurricane Nicholas making landfall just south of Houston Tuesday morning, the Astros might be a little distracted.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

RANGERS +2.5 (-125) are a good value on the run line if you’re not quite feeling them straight up and would like a little insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 8.5 (-135) is the best play on the board. Greinke and Lyles have been very giving lately, and the Over connected in Monday’s series opener. In fact, the Over was in the can by the end of the third inning with 10 total runs on the board, mostly thanks to the ‘Stros.

The Over is 10-4-1 in the previous 15 meetings, and 9-3-2 in the past 14 battles in Arlington.

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Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (77-52) face the Texas Rangers (44-85) in the third and final game of their series as they seek the sweep Sunday. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35 p.m. ET at Globe Life Field. Let’s analyze the lines around the Astros vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Astros RHP Zack Greinke (11-4, 3.41 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 over an AL-leading 155 2/3 IP.

  • Is 3-0 with a 3.38 ERA through three starts against the Rangers.
  • Has a 1.42 ERA across his last three starts.

Rangers LHP Taylor Hearn (3-4, 4.08 ERA) makes his sixth start and his 37th appearance. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 4.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 through 70 2/3 IP.

  • Pitched 3 scoreless innings in one start against the Astros.
  • The Rangers are 2-3 through his five starts.

Astros at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Rangers +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -2.5 (+105) | Rangers +2.5 (-130)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Prediction

Astros 6, Rangers 2

Money line (ML)

The previous four series this season between the two teams were sweeps. The Rangers swept a three-game home series May 21-23 while the Astros have swept the other three series and are 11-3 against Texas.

The Rangers have lost nine of their last 11 games; the Astros have won seven of their last nine games.

Take the ASTROS (-230).

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The Rangers have the third-worst ATS record in the majors at 56-73 ATS. They are 29-35 ATS at home, 6-8 ATS against the Astros and 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games.

The Astros are 5-8 ATS in their last 13 games, 66-63 ATS overall and 32-31 ATS on the road. 10 of their last 12 wins have been by 3 or more runs.

Take the ASTROS -2.5 (+105).

Over/Under (O/U)

Eight of the 14 games this season so far between both teams have had totals of 9 or more runs.

Only two of Greinke’s last nine starts have had totals of 9 or more runs.

However, six of the Rangers’ last seven have had totals of 9 or more runs and six of the last nine for the Astros have reached that mark, too.

Greinke will keep the Rangers’ bats at bay. The question is how many runs the Astros will score. They have scored more than 5 runs only once in their last six games.

Take UNDER 8.5 (-107).

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Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Houston Astros at Texas Rangers odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Houston Astros (26-19) face AL West rival Texas Rangers (20-27) Saturday in Game 2 of their three-game set at Globe Life Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Astros vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Texas took Game 1 of the series 7-5 in extra innings thanks to a 3-run walk-off home run by CF Adolis Garcia in the bottom of the 10th.

The win snapped a three-game losing skid for the Rangers, who’ve lost eight of their last 10. which includes a sweep by the Astros in their four-game series last weekend. Conversely, Houston is 8-2 in its previous 10 games.

Season series: Astros 4-1.

RHP Lance McCullers Jr. is on the mound for the Astros. McCullers is 3-1 with a 2.70 ERA (46 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.17 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 across eight starts.

  • Last outing: No-decision in 6 IP with 0 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 5 K in Houston’s 6-2 win vs. the Rangers Sunday.
  • Career vs. the Rangers: 1-4 with a 3.73 ERA (50 2/3 IP, 21 ER), 1.26 WHIP and 13.1 K/9 over 10 starts.
    • Vs. Rangers on the current roster: 97 at-bats with a .186/.231/.289 slash line, 35/6 K/BB, 2 HR and 7 RBIs.

RHP Jordan Lyles gets the start for the Rangers. Lyles is 2-3 with a 5.93 ERA (44 IP, 29 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 across nine starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-2, in 6 IP with 1 ER, 6 H, 1 BB and 6 K Monday vs. the New York Yankees.
  • Career vs. the Astros: 1-1 with a 3.47 ERA (23 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 0.94 WHIP and 5.4 K/9 over three starts and two bullpen outings.
    • Vs. Astros on the current roster: 75 at-bats with a .240/.260/.427 slash line, 10/2 K/BB, 3 HR and 6 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Astros at Rangers odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:40 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Astros -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Rangers +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Astros -1.5 (-130) | Rangers +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Rangers 6, Astros 4

Money line (ML)

Slight “LEAN” to the RANGERS (+170) for a one-fifth unit if at all because their run line is a wiser play, but Lyles has handled this daunting Astros lineup well when facing them and McCullers is far less effective on the road.

For instance, McCullers’ ERA is more than two runs higher on the road compared to home starts, McCullers has a 1.43 road WHIP vs. a 1.08 home WHIP, a 14-18 record in away starts and 21-8 at home.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

BET the RANGERS +1.5 (+105) for 1 unit because Lyles should enter this game with some pep in his step after defeating the Yankees in his last start and Texas has a 3-2 run line record vs. Houston so far this year.

Furthermore, we cashed a run line ticket on the Rangers last Saturday vs. the Astros when they scored four runs in the top of the 8th to “sneak into the backdoor”.

Also, advanced pitching numbers indicate Texas’ bullpen is average to above-average while Houston’s is slightly below. In fact, the Rangers relievers have a better WAR, xFIP and SIERA than the Astros.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over because of McCullers’ aforementioned road struggles, and despite my earlier blurb on Lyles, he’s still leading the majors in earned runs allowed and facing a top-5 lineup in baseball.

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