The Charlotte Hornets (15-26) head to the Grand Canyon State to play the Phoenix Suns (15-23) at Talking Stick Resort Arena for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze Hornets-Suns odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Hornets at Suns: Key injuries
Suns
- PF Frank Kaminsky (knee) out
Hornets at Suns: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Hornets 114, Suns 107
Moneyline (ML)
Doesn’t it feel like the Hornets are an East Coast version of the Suns or vice versa? Comparable records and every player is going against someone of a similar NBA-ilk: Devonte’ Graham–Devin Booker, Miles Bridges–Kelly Oubre Jr., and P.J. Washington–Deandre Ayton are legitimately compelling matchups. Because of the similarity in the talent of the rosters, both mostly healthy and on equal rest, let’s place a smaller wager on the HORNETS (+300) for the outright win as well as the spread.
New to sports betting? A $35 wager on Hornets +300 returns a profit of $115.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The Hornets are 8-3 ATS in road games against teams below .500. Also, Charlotte is 5-7 ATS when laying eight or more points but 2-0 ATS, and straight up, when spotted at least 8 points against a below .500 team. The Suns laying 8.5 points in this matchup is downright disrespectful as they are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as favorites. Don’t expect them to get some home cooking with the refs tonight, either. The combined home team ATS record of the assigned referees is 31-51 on the season. Also, I am taking a glass half full approach with BetMGM’s line pricing; their Suns’ (-8.5, -106) line compared to HORNETS +8.5 (-115) number is them trying to persuade bettors toward the worse side.
HAMMER HORNETS (+8.5, -115). New to sports betting? A $115 wager on the Hornets to stay within 8 points in a loss or win outright returns a profit of $100.
Over/Under (O/U)
I LEAN OVER 217.5 (-129) but don’t love, or even like, the total because of the juice, it being a curiously low total for two below-average defensive teams and us backing the slow-paced Hornets team (ranked last in Pace). What leans me to the Over is their combined Over/Under record of 43-36, and the Over is 9-1 in the last 10 Hornets-Suns games.
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