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Big South Tournament: Longwood at High Point odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Longwood at High Point Big South Tournament odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Longwood Lancers (19-13) and High Point Panthers (25-7) tangle in the semifinals of the Big South Tournament Saturday. The matinee contest at Nido and Mariana Qubein Arena in High Point, N.C., will tip off at noon ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Longwood vs. High Point odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Longwood easily covered a -1.5 spread in a 69-56 triumph over Winthrop Friday. The 5th-seeded Lancers were a plus-5 on the boards and a plus-7 in turnovers in Friday’s quarterfinal.

High Point — the No. 1 seed in this tournament and the team getting home hardwood — advanced to Saturday’s semifinal by overcoming some 1st-half trouble and eventually defeating No. 9 Radford 77-63 Friday, covering a -10.5.

In their final regular-season game last Saturday, the Panthers lost to Longwood 74-72 as 2½-point favorites. The Big South foes split for the regular season, though; HPU downed the Lancers 93-76 Feb. 1.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

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Longwood at High Point odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Longwood +235 (bet $100 to win $235) | High Point -295 (bet $295 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Longwood +6.5 (-102) | High Point -6.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 153.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Longwood at High Point picks and predictions

Prediction

High Point 81, Longwood 71

Moneyline

This home-floor advantage was hard-earned by a High Point 5 that has suffered at the hands of Longwood over the years. From 2018-23, the Lancers won 11 in a row against the Panthers. The Feb. 1 home win over LU was significant from a confidence standpoint.

HPU is the solid lean as an outright probability Saturday, but going past -250 chips away at value. PASS.

Against the spread

Longwood went 1-7 ATS across 8 conference road games this season. Issues at the defensive end led to an 8-game LU losing streak ATS from Jan. 11-Feb. 7.

The Lancers of late have been getting more from their offense, but up until the last couple games their defense had been on a late-season decline. Look for HPU’s more efficient and consistent offense to come through in a relatively high-scoring game.

Longwood has played back-to-back games away from home 6 times this season: the Lancers are 1-5 ATS in the 2nd game.

BACK THE PANTHERS -6.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

The O/U is 1-1 in this year’s meetings, 2-2 across the last 4 LU-HPU games, and 3-3 across the last 6.

Ticket this one for a moderate pace but a lot of looks from the foul line. A total around 150 looks to be likely.

But both teams do excel in pushing opponents into lesser mid-range looks on many possessions. The lean here is very slight, but the total here may be overcooked by just a bit. The UNDER 153.5 (-105) may not be a true value play as listed, but there’s a hint of an edge at least.

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Big South Tournament: Radford at High Point odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Radford at High Point Big South Tournament odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Radford Highlanders (16-16) and High Point Panthers (24-7) battle in a Big South Conference Tournament game Friday. Tip-off at Qubein Arena will be at noon ET (ESPN+). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Radford vs. High Point odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Radford defeated South Carolina Upstate 67-60 (covering a -5) in a Wednesday play-in game. For the Highlanders, a 5-11 squad in conference play and the No. 9 seed in this tournament, the win marked just their 3rd since Jan. 31. They prevailed against USC Upstate despite shooting 32.8% from the floor.

High Point won the Big South regular season — and the No. 1 seed in this tournament on home hardwood — by going 13-3 across 16 Big South games. In their last game on Saturday, the Panthers lost to Longwood 74-72 as a 2 1/2-point favorite.

HPU swept 2 regular-season games from Radford. The Panthers won both games against the spread, and both contests (Jan. 3, Feb. 17) hit the Over.

The winner of this game moves on to a Saturday Big South semifinal.

– Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.

Stream select live college basketball games and full replays: Get ESPN+

Radford at High Point odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:21 a.m. ET.

Moneyline: Radford +420 (bet $100 to win $420) | High Point -580 (bet $580 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Radford +10.5 (-110) | High Point -10.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 150.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Radford at High Point picks and predictions

Prediction

High Point 82, Radford 70

Moneyline

Any lean to either side ends up floating right-side up in the juice on this one. PASS.

Against the spread

Radford is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games against foes averaging 77-plus points per game. High Point has won 3 in a row ATS and 5 of the last 6 ATS against the Highlanders.

The Panthers’ offense against the Radford defense takes this cushion to the brink of a double-digit number. High Point’s significant rebounding edge and high free-throw rate (4th in the nation per BartTorvik) push the needle closer to the 12-to-14-point range.

The leverage here is not great, but it is on HIGH POINT -10.5 (-110).

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Over/Under

Thirteen Radford road games have produced 9 Overs (9-4 record). Overall, Highlanders’ contests lined in the 140s have seen the Over go 11-4. HPU games in Big South play clocked an 11-5 edge for the Over.

This is a tortoise and hare match-up, with Radford being the bottom-third slow team and High Point being a top-third fast team. In a mostly moderate-pace Big South, 3 teams stand out as playing fast: High Point, Gardner Webb and UNC Asheville. In Radford’s regular-season games against those 3 schools, the Over went 5-1.

Pace, free throws and 3s make for a moderate-to-strong lean for the OVER 150.5 (-110).

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