The Miami Heat (2-3) visit Chase Center Thursday to take on the Golden State Warriors (2-2). Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Heat vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Heat come into this game after taking down the Portland Trail Blazers 119-98 on the road Wednesday, covering as 2.5-point favorites.
The Heat’s only wins have been over undefeated teams, taking down the Boston Celtics in their 2nd game of the season. Miami is 1-0 on the road and is led by G Jimmy Butler, who is averaging 21.8 points per game.
The Warriors lost a primetime battle with the Phoenix Suns 134-105 last time out Tuesday, failing to cover as 1.5-point underdogs as G Klay Thompson was tossed in the second half.
They are 2-0 against plus-.500 teams and 0-2 against sub-.500 teams. The Warriors are led by two-time MVP G Stephen Curry, who is averaging 30.2 points per game this season and shooting 44.4% from deep.
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Heat at Warriors odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Heat +245 (bet $100 to win $245) | Warriors -320 (bet $320 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Heat +6.5 (+100) | Warriors -6.5 (-120)
- Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Heat at Warriors key injuries
Heat
- Not yet submitted
Warriors
- G Donte DiVincenzo (hip) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
Heat at Warriors picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 115, Heat 106
Moneyline
PASS.
New rotations have caused some chaos in South Beach, and I wouldn’t bet they get it right on the road against the reigning NBA Champions. Similarly, the Warriors (-320) are a strong pass as well.
Against the spread
BET WARRIORS -6.5 (-120).
The Warriors are better than both their recent performances and record suggests. With an eerily similar roster, Golden State was 29-19-2 ATS as a home favorite last season.
The Heat haven’t put things together yet and don’t have the high-octane offense the Warriors have. They also rank 23rd in turnover rate which could fuel the Golden State fire.
Back the WARRIORS -6.5 (-120).
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 226.5 (-115).
The Heat, since adding Butler and drafting C Bam Adebayo, have been among the best defensive teams in the NBA. Miami has the 11th-best defense rating and finished last season 4th.
With both teams sitting in the bottom 12 teams in turnover rate, sloppy basketball could be the outcoming of this primetime battle. While the Dubs are No. 1 in pace, the Heat will slow things up, ranking No. 26.
That should aid the UNDER 226.5 (-110).
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