In a lightweight bout on the main card, Clay Guida faces Mark Madsen Saturday at UFC on ESPN 29 – also known as UFC Vegas 34 – at the UFC’s APEX Facility. Below, we analyze the UFC on ESPN 29 Guida vs. Madsen odds and lines, with MMA picks and predictions.
The prelims will be televised on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, with the main card will be televised on ESPN/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET.
Guida steps into the octagon with a slight 2.44-to-2.28 significant strikes landed per minute advantage while also leading 48.97 to 45.83 in significant strikes accuracy percentage.
Guida stopped a two-bout losing skid his last time out with a unanimous-decision win Feb. 6 over Michael Johnson. He is just 2-3 across his past five fights, with three of his last four going the distance.
Madsen is a perfect 10-0 as a professional, including 2-0 since making his UFC debut. He posted a unanimous-decision win over Austin Hubbard on March 7 at UFC 248 and had a first-round KO/TKO in his promotion debut against Danilo Belluardo Sept. 28, 2019.
UFC on ESPN 29 Guida vs. Madsen: Odds and lines
Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Guida +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Madsen -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
- Total Rounds: 2.5 Rounds (Over -250 | Under +190)
- Will the fight go the distance: (Yes -230 | No +160)
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UFC on ESPN 29 Guida vs. Madsen: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Records: Guida 36-17-0 | Madsen 10-0-0
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
MADSEN (-170) will get his biggest test to date but the Danish lightweight will pass with flying colors. He is a well-rounded fighter, winning four fights via decision, three fights by way of KO/TKO and three contests via submission.
Guida will put up a fight but MADSEN ON POINTS (+115) is a solid value.
Over/Under (O/U)
It’s a little on the expensive side but YES (-230): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is worth the risk. Guida is a veteran who will make Madsen work for his victory and there will be no stoppage here.
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