Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (49-47) and Boston Red Sox (49-49) play the 3rd game of a 4-game series at Fenway Park Wednesday. First pitch is set for 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Boston leads 4-1.

Cleveland is 6-3 with an .840 OPS over its last 9 games. The Guardians appear to have righted the ship after going 4-10 from July 2-13.

The Red Sox have been struggling. They are just 7-18 since June 27. Boston pitching coughed up a pair of home runs in an 8-3 loss to Cleveland Tuesday. The Crimson Hose are 1-6 with a 10.77 ERA (and 13 HR allowed) over their last 7 games.

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Guardians at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Cal Quantrill vs. RHP Nathan Eovaldi

Quantrill (7-5, 3.75 ERA) is tabbed for his 19th start. He has registered a 1.30 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 5.7 K/9 through 105 2/3 IP.

  • Owns a 4.53 ERA on the road and a 3.19 mark at home.
  • Faced the Red Sox June 24 and allowed 2 runs on 5 hits across 5 IP.

Eovaldi (4-3, 4.30 ERA) has registered a 1.24 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 9.4 K/9 through 75 1/3 IP across 14 starts.

  • Totes back-to-back clunkers into this turn against Cleveland. Was the lead edge of the Red Sox coughing up 28 runs to the Toronto Blue Jays Friday as he allowed 9 ER in 2 2/3 IP; allowed 3 ER in 4 1/3 IP against the New York Yankees July 15 in his return from the IL.
  • Has been tagged for 9 runs twice in his last 7 starts.
  • Allowed 9 R (6 ER) to the Houston Astros May 17 and rebounded to clock a 1.35 ERA and 0.90 WHIP over his next 4 starts.

Guardians at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:24 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Red Sox -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-180) | Red Sox -1.5 (+145)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 4, Guardians 3

Money line

Both starter’s ERAs could well be flipped if you look at the underlying analytics.

In going 1-6 over 7 games bracketing the All-Star break, the Sox batted just .105 (4-of-38) with runners in scoring position. Boston has its warts, but this price has room for value.

BACK THE RED SOX (-135).

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Run line/Against the spread

PASS on getting the Sox by with a multi-run cushion with the game having a likable Under.

Over/Under

The analytics peg both offenses as being too far over their skis. Both bullpens are in good enough shape on the back end.

TAKE THE UNDER 8.5 (-105).

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (48-47) and Boston Red Sox (49-48) continue a 4-game series at Fenway Park. Tuesday’s first pitch is set for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Boston leads 4-0 and has outscored Cleveland 21-9.

Cleveland had a nifty 2.63 ERA in 9 games from July 11-23, but the Guardians have logged a 5.25 ERA in losing 3 straight games since. Over the last 2 years, Cleveland is just 2-8 against the BoSox.

The Red Sox had been struggling before Monday’s 3-1 win. Boston had lost 5 straight and was just 6-17 since June 27.

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Guardians at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Bryan Shaw vs. RHP Josh Winckowski

Shaw (4-2, 5.29 ERA) is tabbed for his 1st career start. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 through 34 IP in 39 games.

  • The 12-year veteran has logged 732 career games, all out of the bullpen.
  • Last pitched on Saturday, throwing 32 pitches.
  • Will likely serve in an opener role. Figures to be backed up by LHP Kirk McCarty, a former Cleveland farmhand recently waived by the Baltimore Orioles.

Winckowski (3-4, 4.38 ERA) owns a 1.43 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 6.3 K/9 through 37 IP in 7 starts.

  • Added to the COVID-19 list July 23 but is expected to make Tuesday’s start against Cleveland.
  • The rookie right-hander has struggled against lefty bats (.820 OPS allowed), and that makes for a potential problem against a Guardians team that owns an .854 OPS vs. righties (2nd in MLB).

Guardians at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:51 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians +122 (bet $100 to win $122) | Red Sox -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-150) | Red Sox -1.5 (+122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 10.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Guardians at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Guardians 3

Money line

The Sox are a lean, but consider the Run Line to have better leverage. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Boston has had Cleveland’s number the last 2 seasons. The Guardians have had a couple of road-trip slumps this year, and their pitching Tuesday figures to be suspect.

The Red Sox have been just fine when not facing foes from the AL East.

BACK BOSTON -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

The analytics peg both offenses as being too far over their skis. The Under figures to be a near-automatic lean for this whole series. The Under hit Monday, and the UNDER 10.5 (-122) is a workable play in Game 2.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (48-46) and Boston Red Sox (48-48) swing into a 4-game series at Fenway Park. Monday’s opener is set for a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Red Sox odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Boston leads 3-0. Red Sox pitching held Cleveland to 8 runs over a 3-game series last month.

The Guardians are coming off a 4-game split at the Chicago White Sox. Cleveland had a nifty 2.63 ERA in 9 games from July 11-23, but allowed a combined 11 runs in losing Saturday and Sunday to the White Sox.

The Red Sox have been struggling. They are just 6-17 since June 27. Boston has lost 5 games in a row and all have been by at least 3 runs.

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Guardians at Red Sox projected starters

RHP Zach Plesac vs. RHP Nick Pivetta

Plesac (2-7, 4.02 ERA) has a 1.27 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 6.5 K/9 through 94 IP in 17 starts.

  • First start since July 15. In his career he has a fine 3.57 ERA when pitching on 6-plus days’ rest.
  • Has been a troubled road hurler in his career. Owns a 4.51 ERA away from home (4.93 ERA in 2022).

Pivetta (8-7, 4.50 ERA) is making his 20th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 8.7 K/9 in 108 IP.

  • Carried a 3.23 ERA into July, but has allowed 20 R in 13 1/3 IP across 3 prebreak July starts.
  • Went 7 IP, allowing 2 R on 9 H in a June 24 start at Cleveland.

Guardians at Red Sox odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 8:23 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Guardians -108 (bet $100 to win $108) | Red Sox -112 (bet $112 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL): Guardians -1.5 (+145) | Red Sox +1.5 (-180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Guardians at Red Sox picks and predictions

Prediction

Red Sox 5, Guardians 4

Money line

Pivetta was a decent fade candidate late in the first half. The break came at a good reset time for him.

Plesac figures to be somewhat overrated based on recent outings. Mix in Boston’s tougher slate of late, and peg the home team as a value in this one.

BACK THE RED SOX (-112).

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Run line/Against the spread

The juice here makes for too steep a price on the Red Sox lean. PASS.

Over/Under

The analytics peg both offenses as being too far over their skis. There is some leverage in an UNDER 9.5 (-120) play here.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).

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