Tag: Guardians Mariners odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (3-2) and Seattle Mariners (3-2) play the middle contest of a 3-game series Tuesday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mariners lead 1-0; Seattle scored 4 runs in the bottom of the 2nd Monday, and held on for a 5-4 win in the series opener

The Guardians have lost a pair of 1-run games after opening the season 3-0, while outscoring the opposition 26-7 in those outings. The 1st was an 8-0 win behind RHP Shane Bieber, Tuesday’s probable pitcher. The Over (8) cashed Monday, thanks to a Cleveland run in the top of the 8th inning, and the total has now gone high in 4 of 5 games this season.

The Mariners won for the 1st time this season as an underdog (+100) in Monday’s series opener. It was favored in the 1st 3 games, winning twice, but it failed as a ‘dog in the series finale Sunday against Boston (-105). The Over on Monday ended a 3-0 run to the Under.

Cleveland won 3 of 4 games in Seattle last season, with the Over and Under splitting 2-2. The underdog has cashed in 7 straight meetings in this series.

Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Bieber (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his 2nd start in 2024. He has a 0.83 WHIP, 1.5 BB/9, 16.5 K/9 in 6 IP.

  • 2023 road splits: 1-3, 4.14 ERA (63 IP, 29 ER – 10 HR), 12 BB, 47 K in 10 starts
  • 2023 vs. Mariners: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 0 BB, 3 K (87 pitches) in 3-0 loss March 30 in Seattle

Castillo (0-1, 7.20 ERA) has made 1 start in 2024. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9, 9.9 K/9 in 5 IP.

  • 2023 home splits: 8-5, 3.09 ERA (105 IP, 36 ER – 15 HR), 30 BB, 130 K in 18 starts
  • 2023 vs. Guardians: No-decision, 6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 6 K (76 pitches) in 3-0 win March 30 in Seattle

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Guardians at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:26 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mariners -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+165) | Mariners +1.5 (-200)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 2

Moneyline

The MARINERS (-115) are a solid play in what should be a well-pitched, low-scoring game. We saw it early last season when Bieber and Castillo met each other at T-Mobile Park. Both players came away with no-decisions after spinning 6 scoreless innings piece, as the M’s picked up a 3-0 win with late damage against the Cleveland bullpen. We could see a replay here.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s never a recommended betting strategy.

AVOID, and play Seattle straight up if you like it.

Over/Under

UNDER 7 (+100) is a rather low number, but it’s worth playing lightly, as both teams have their respective aces making their 2nd starts of the new season.

The Under has cashed in 3 of the past 4 games for the Mariners. Oddly enough, the total did go high in Castillo’s 1st start, but the game ended up going high after his exit from the contest.

The Over cashed (barely) in Bieber’s first start, too, although the Cleveland pitching staff posted a goose egg in that opener. The Guardians offense took advantage of a poor A’s pitching staff to get the job done, barely, by a half-run.

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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Cleveland Guardians (3-1) and Seattle Mariners (2-2) open a 3-game series Monday at T-Mobile Park in Seattle. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Guardians won 4-3 last season

The Guardians opened the season by taking 3 straight in Oakland against the Athletics, including an 8-0 shutout on Opening Day. While the A’s walked it off in the bottom of the 9th on Sunday 4-3 to salvage 1 of the 4 games, Cleveland outscored Oakland 29-11 in the series, cashing the Over 3 times.

The Mariners split a 4-game set with the visiting Boston Red Sox. After falling 6-4 in the opener Thursday, Seattle scored a pair of low-scoring, 1-run wins Friday (1-0) and Saturday (4-3). The Red Sox won 5-1 in the series final on Sunday. The Under has cashed in 3 straight for Seattle.

Cleveland won 3 of 4 games in Seattle last season, with the Over and Under splitting 2-2. The underdog has cashed in 6 straight meetings in this series.

Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Triston McKenzie vs. RHP Emerson Hancock

McKenzie (0-3, 5.06 ERA) made 4 starts in 2023. He posted a 1.56 WHIP, 7.3 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 16 IP.

  • 2023 road splits: 0-1, 0.96 ERA (9 1/3 IP, 1 ER), 4 H, 4 BB, 11 K in 2 starts
  • Last start vs. Mariners: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 3 H (1 HR), 2 BB, 4 K in a 3-1 loss in Seattle on Aug. 25, 2022

Hancock (0-0, 4.50 ERA) made his 1st 3 major league starts in 2023. He posted a 1.33 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 4.5 K/9 in 12 innings.

  • 2023 home splits: ND, 5 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 6-1 home win vs. San Diego Padres in only career home start Aug. 9, 2023
  • First career appearance vs. Guardians

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Guardians at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:19 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mariners -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+150) | Mariners +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Mariners 3

Moneyline

The GUARDIANS (-115) is worth playing lightly in this series opener in Seattle. McKenzie was banged up last season, missing all but 4 starts due to an elbow injury and a shoulder ailment. All indications are he is back to 100 percent health, and he had a strong Cactus League finale with 7 strikeouts.

The Mariners (-105) counter with Hancock, who had no decisions in his first 3 major league starts.

Run line/Against the spread

The Mariners +1.5 (-185) will cost you nearly 2 times your potential return, and that’s too much risk for not enough reward if you need a little insurance.

AVOID, and play Seattle straight up if you like it.

Over/Under

UNDER 8 (-115) is worth a look in this series opener.

While Cleveland hit the Over in 3 of the first 4 games, it was facing an awful Oakland side. We should see much better pitching from both sides, and lower scores.

Seattle cashed the Under in each of the final 3 games of the Boston series, and the offense is averaging just 2.5 runs per game through 4 outings, while allowing just 2.7 RPG in the past 3 contests.

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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (2-1) visit the Seattle Mariners (1-2) for the finale of a season-opening 4-game series Sunday at T-Mobile Park, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Cleveland leads 2-1

Cleveland has allowed just 7 ER over 3 games, with the staff pitching around 8 extra-base hits. The Guardians prevailed by yielding a mere .231 on-base percentage leading off innings and a .182 batting average with runners in scoring position.

Seattle is looking to avoid 3 straight losses at home for the first time since July 22-24 last season. The 2022 Mariners took 6 of 7 games from Cleveland, outscoring the Guardians 29-11.

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Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Cal Quantrill vs. LHP Marco Gonzales

Quantrill went 15-5 with a 3.38 ERA a year ago. He posted a 1.21 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 6.2 K/9 in 186 1/3 IP across 32 starts.

  • Did well to avoid hard contact but also benefited from a lower-than-average 9.6% HR/FB rate.
  • Has a history of fast starts, allowing a .628 OPS over 12 previous April games.

Gonzales threw 183 innings in 32 starts last season. He went 10-15 with a 3.13 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 2.5 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9.

  • Has held current Cleveland batters to an aggregate .669 OPS.
  • Logged a 3.58 ERA and 1.15 WHIP at home last year.

Guardians at Mariners odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Guardians -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Mariners -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+150) | Mariners +1.5 (-185)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

This one is a pick ’em, but the only lean here is toward more offense.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

More juice here than on the ML play. Look to the Over for the best leverage in Sunday’s series finale.

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Over/Under

This one has a fairly strong fade lean against both starters and what is likely a careful day for the Cleveland bullpen. Both starters had surface numbers propped up by some favorable numbers around the edges last season and neither had a strong exhibition season.

This series has had a couple of pitchers’ duels and one slugfest (sort of) so far. Look for the batting to prevail and balance things out with a higher-scoring game Sunday.

TAKE THE OVER 8 (-110).

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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (0-1) visit the Seattle Mariners (1-0) for the 2nd game of a season-opening 4-game series Friday. First pitch at T-Mobile Park will be at 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Seattle leads 1-0. The Mariners won 6 of 7 from the Guardians in 2022.

Cleveland collected just 4 hits in losing the openerThursday 3-0. The Guardians have now scored 2 runs or less in 6 of their last 8 games against the Mariners.

Seattle 1B Ty France hit an 8th-inning 3-run home run to vault the Mariners to the win Thursday. Seattle has prevailed in 7 straight home openers.

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Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Hunter Gaddis vs. LHP Robbie Ray

Gaddis made his MLB debut last season, going 0-2 with an 18.41 ERA. In 7 1/3 IP, he clocked a 2.45 WHIP; he walked 3 and fanned 5 while allowing 7 HRs.

  • Long reliever is in the rotation as a replacement for RHP Triston McKenzie (shoulder)
  • Went 8-6 with 4.01 ERA in a combined 121 1/3 innings at Double- and Triple-A.

Ray went 12-12 with a 3.71 ERA a year ago. He logged a 1.19 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 10.1 K/9 in 189 IP.

  • Filed a 1.06 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, with 26K against 6 BB in spring training
  • Registered a 3.02 ERA, 1.02 WHIP in home games last season

Guardians at Mariners odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:29 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Guardians +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Mariners -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-150) | Mariners -1.5 (+130)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

Figure Cleveland as turned to its lesser side against a lefty hurler. And that hurler is coming off an impressive Cactus League campaign and has thrived in home games in multiple parks over his career.

Both bullpens were impacted about the same by Thursday’s pitchers’ duel.

TAKE SEATTLE (-160).

Run line/Against the spread

AVOID.

These 2 clubs have played some low-scoring games in recent meetings. Getting the Mariners by with a 2-run margin becomes a tad too risky.

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Over/Under

The pitching here, including the gray area on Gaddis, makes for a lack of information. There is some slight Over tilt, but it’d take a better price to generate a swing at that pitch.

PASS.

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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians visit the Seattle Mariners as the American League foes open the 2023 season at T-Mobile Park Thursday. First pitch will be at 10:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting of 2023 after the Mariners won 6 of 7 from the Guardians in 2022.

Cleveland went 92-70 last season. The Guardians won the AL Central and eventually advanced to an AL Division Series where they were ousted by the New York Yankees in 5 games.

Seattle went 90-72, placing 2nd in the AL West a year ago, losing 3-0 to the Houston Astros in the ALDS. Six of the Mariners’ 90 wins came against Cleveland and Seattle outscored Cleveland 29-11 in the 7 games they played.

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Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. RHP Luis Castillo

Last season, Bieber went 13-8 with a 2.88 ERA. He logged a 1.04 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 200 IP.

  • Owns a 2.76 road ERA over his career
  • Has been a fast starter, allowing a mere .585 OPS over his career games played in March/April
  • Has held current Seattle bats to an aggregate .576 OPS

Castillo went 8-6 a year ago, splitting time with the Cincinnati Reds and Mariners. He notched a 2.99 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 150 1/3 IP.

  • 2022 BB/9 figure was his best since his age-25 season in 2018
  • Current Cleveland batters own an .838 OPS against him

Guardians at Mariners odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:07 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Guardians +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Mariners -118 (bet $118 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+175) | Mariners +1.5 (-220)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 3

Moneyline

Just a slight lean toward Seattle here since the Mariners are at home and it’s Opening Day, although the plus-money action on the Guardians is enticing. Best to just PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

That price on the Mariners is steep due to a lot of juice. Look to the total for the best leverage in this game. PASS.

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Over/Under

With some slight fade of both starters, the Over is something to consider here. Castillo has subpar numbers against Cleveland batters and has filed a couple major Opening Day clunkers in his career. Bieber’s stuff and velocity have been on the decline, though his numbers last season were buoyed by the Guardians’ excellent defense.

Mix in a couple bullpens that last year got big lifts from their batting-average-on-balls-in-play figures.

BACK THE OVER 6.5 (-110).

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Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Cleveland Guardians (67-58) rumble with the Seattle Mariners (69-58) Sunday in the finale of a 4-game set at T-Mobile Park. First pitch is set for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Guardians vs. Mariners odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Mariners lead 2-1

The Guardians scored 3 in the 8th inning to steal a 4-3 victory Saturday. All-Star 3B Jose Ramirez had a homer, a double and 2 RBIs to lead the charge. Cleveland remains 3 games up on the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central and is 19-11 over the last 30 games.

Seattle has been inconsistent. The Mariners took 2 games from the first-place Guardians in this series but lost 1 of 2 and 2 of 3 against the last-placed Washington Nationals and Oakland Athletics, respectively, in the two previous series. They’ll need to tighten things up to hold on to that final AL Wild Card spot, which they lead the Baltimore Orioles by 1 1/2 games for.

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Guardians at Mariners projected starters

RHP Aaron Civale vs. LHP Robbie Ray

Civale (2-5, 5.37 ERA) makes his 16th start. He has a 1.34 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 68 2/3 IP.

  • Last 3 starts: 2.45 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 18 K’s in 14 2/3 IP.
  • Struck out 11 Mariners over 8 scoreless innings in a June 11 start last year.

Ray (10-8, 3.75 ERA) makes his 26th start. He has a 1.17 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 in 148 2/3 IP.

  • Last 4 starts: 2.08 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 34 K’s in 26 IP.
  • Much tougher at home with a 2.69 ERA, 0.95 WHIP vs. 5.25 ERA and 1.48 WHIP on the road.

Guardians at Mariners odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Guardians +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mariners -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians +1.5 (-175) | Mariners -1.5 (+140)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: +100 | U: -125)

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Guardians at Mariners picks and predictions

Prediction

Mariners 4, Guardians 3

Money line

The Mariners are a little expensive on the ML for such evenly matched teams. Ray certainly gives the M’s an edge, but Civale’s numbers have been sneaky good, and he was great in a start against them last year.

I’m rocking with the Mariners, but let’s take a little less juice and go with MARINERS FIRST 9 INNINGS (-130) and hope we don’t need extras.

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Run line/Against the spread

I like Cleveland’s side a lot, and so do the books. I think it will take 4 runs to win this game, and if you’re down with Seattle winning, let’s go with MARINERS OVER 3.5 TOTAL RUNS (-130).

Over/Under

It’s a somewhat-chilly 68 degrees in Seattle with a 7-mph wind blowing out to right-center field. However, I don’t see the ball flying too well today because of that temperature.

All 3 games in the series have had 7 runs or fewer, and I look for a well-pitched game from both sides. The Under is 21-10-1 in the last 32 meetings between these two sides in Seattle. Let’s go UNDER 7.5 (-125).

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