The Cleveland Guardians (32-38) and Arizona Diamondbacks (43-28) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0
The Guardians lost 6-3 as -111 favorites at the Diamondbacks Saturday. Cleveland has lost 4 of its last 5 games and is 3 1/2 games behind the Minnesota Twins for the lead in the AL Central.
The Diamondbacks closed as +103 underdogs in Saturday’s win. Arizona has won back-to-back contests and has a 4-game lead in the NL West.
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Guardians at Diamondbacks projected starters
RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Zach Davies
Bibee (2-2, 3.91 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 48 1/3 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 6-3 loss at San Diego Padres Tuesday
- First career start vs. Diamondbacks
Davies (1-2, 5.46 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 28 innings.
- Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 15-3 loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
- Career vs. Guardians: 0-0, 6.14 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 9 H, 2 HR, 4 BB, 5 K in 2 starts
Guardians at Diamondbacks odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Guardians at Diamondbacks picks and predictions
Prediction
Guardians 4, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
The Guardians should avoid the sweep as Cleveland is 7-1 in its last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Arizona is just 1-4 in its last 5 home games vs. right-handed starters and Bibee should bounce back for Cleveland after having his worst performance of the season last time out.
BET GUARDIANS (-115).
Run line/Against the spread
Arizona’s last 2 losses have both been by just 1 run. Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Cleveland ML is the better play. Bet Guardians ML and/or the total instead.
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Over/Under
The Under is 2-0-2 in Arizona’s last 4 games and 5-2-1 in its last 8 at home vs. teams with a losing record.
The Under has gone 34-15-2 in Cleveland’s last 51 games after a loss and should hit again Sunday as Bibee bounces back from a poor showing last time out.
BET UNDER 9 (-105).
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