Cleveland Guardians at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Cleveland Guardians at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (32-38) and Arizona Diamondbacks (43-28) wrap up a 3-game set Sunday at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 2-0

The Guardians lost 6-3 as -111 favorites at the Diamondbacks Saturday. Cleveland has lost 4 of its last 5 games and is 3 1/2 games behind the Minnesota Twins for the lead in the AL Central.

The Diamondbacks closed as +103 underdogs in Saturday’s win. Arizona has won back-to-back contests and has a 4-game lead in the NL West.

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Guardians at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Tanner Bibee vs. RHP Zach Davies

Bibee (2-2, 3.91 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 48 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 4 IP, 6 ER, 8 H, 2 BB, 3 K in a 6-3 loss at San Diego Padres Tuesday
  • First career start vs. Diamondbacks

Davies (1-2, 5.46 ERA) makes his 7th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 4.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 28 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 4 K in a 15-3 loss vs. Philadelphia Phillies Tuesday
  • Career vs. Guardians: 0-0, 6.14 ERA (7 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 9 H, 2 HR, 4 BB, 5 K in 2 starts

Guardians at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+140) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Guardians at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Guardians 4, Diamondbacks 3

Moneyline

The Guardians should avoid the sweep as Cleveland is 7-1 in its last 8 games after losing the first 2 games of a series. Arizona is just 1-4 in its last 5 home games vs. right-handed starters and Bibee should bounce back for Cleveland after having his worst performance of the season last time out.

BET GUARDIANS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Arizona’s last 2 losses have both been by just 1 run. Diamondbacks +1.5 (-165) should hit, but there’s no need to pay the higher price on the run line when Cleveland ML is the better play. Bet Guardians ML and/or the total instead.

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Over/Under

The Under is 2-0-2 in Arizona’s last 4 games and 5-2-1 in its last 8 at home vs. teams with a losing record.

The Under has gone 34-15-2 in Cleveland’s last 51 games after a loss and should hit again Sunday as Bibee bounces back from a poor showing last time out.

BET UNDER 9 (-105).

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Cleveland Guardians at Arizona Diamondbacks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Cleveland Guardians at Arizona Diamondbacks odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Cleveland Guardians (32-37) continue their 6-game road trip against the NL West with the 2nd game of a 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks (42-28).  First pitch is slated for Saturday at 10:10 p.m. ET (FS1) at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Guardians vs. Diamondbacks odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Diamondbacks lead 1-0.

The Guardians fell to 1-3 on their road trip and lost for the 4th time in 6 games, allowing 11 hits in Arizona’s 5-1 series-opening win Friday.

RHP Zac Gallen pitched 7 innings of 1-run ball to lead the Diamondbacks to snap their 3-game losing streak. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games.

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Guardians at Diamondbacks projected starters

RHP Shane Bieber vs. LHP Tommy Henry

Bieber (5-2, 3.29 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.22 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 through 87 2/3 IP.

  • Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 3 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 5-0 road win over Houston Astros on Sunday
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 8 starts this season

Henry (3-1, 4.86 ERA) makes his 10th start and 11th appearance. He has a 1.38 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 5.9 K/9 through 50 IP.

  • Last start: No decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 9 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 9-8 home win over Philadelphia Phillies on Monday
  • ERA of 10.00 in 2 June starts after 2.87 ERA in 6 May appearances (5 starts)

Guardians at Diamondbacks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Guardians -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Diamondbacks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Guardians -1.5 (+145) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-175)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Guardians at Diamondbacks picks and predictions

Prediction

Diamondbacks 6, Guardians 4

Moneyline

The Diamondbacks are 22-17 at home and 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Guardians are 16-20 on the road.

The Diamondbacks are 7-2 when Henry pitches and 3-0 in his last 3.

The Guardians are 6-8 in Bieber’s starts but 3-1 in his last 4.

Arizona averages 7.2 runs per game in Henry’s starts.

BET DIAMONDBACKS (-105).

Run line/Against the spread

Arizona is 42-28 ATS overall this season and 21-13 ATS as the underdogs.

Cleveland is 33-36 ATS overall but an abysmal 11-26 ATS when favored.

Betting Arizona to cover is the best bet here but it isn’t going to win you much money at -175, so taking slightly more risk on the outright win is worth it.

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Over/Under

The Diamondbacks average 7.2 runs per game in Henry’s starts. Seven of his 9 starts have had at least 9 total runs.

Seven of Arizona’s last 11 games have had 9 or more total runs.

Five of Cleveland’s last 8 games have had 9 or more runs.

BET OVER 8.5 (-120).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Additional MLB coverage:
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