Early odds that USA gets necessary win over Iran to avoid World Cup elimination

The U.S. needs to beat Iran on Tuesday to advance.

The mission is simple for the U.S. in its next and final match of the 2022 World Cup group stage on Tuesday, beat Iran and you move on to the knockout round.

Thanks to Iran’s stunning win over Wales on Friday morning, the USMNT’s match against England later in the day was mostly meaningless in terms of how it impacted group standings — especially after it ended in a tie.

So, as they still trail Iran by a point in the group standings, the U.S. needs a win to avoid elimination. Early odds at BetMGM favor the Americans to get it done at +110.

Odds that Iran wins are +270 and odds on a draw or +245. Either result would send the USMNT home earlier than expected.

Even as they trail in the standings, their -135 odds to qualify for the knockout round are still slightly better than Iran’s -110.

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World Cup 2022: United States open as massive underdog to England after draw against Wales

Oddsmakers have little faith in USA after an opening draw against Wales

Good news for any USMNT fans who think the States’ best game is ahead of them: there’s some fantastic value available for the Stars and Stripes next match against England.

The bad news, however, is that England are coming off an absolute demolishing of Iran with a 6-2 victory in their World Cup opener. While Iran may be No. 20 in FIFA’s latest rankings, consider the United States (ranked No. 16) just fought to a 1-1 draw against a 19th-ranked Wales team.

England is ranked fifth overall.

So, yeah, the United States are massive underdogs against England and that feels about right after the Americans were unable to protect a 1-0 lead in the second half on Monday.

A draw at +300 doesn’t even feel too realistic here, but neither does England winning by just one goal. Based on Monday’s results, the play is to take England as favorites on the spread or put a little faith in the U.S. to pull off an upset at strong plus-money.

But there’s still a ways to go before these teams take the pitch and injuries (and various updates) are likely to impact the lines. It’s worth waiting until game day to place your bet for that very reason.

The United States still have decent odds to qualify for the knockout stage.

Check back here as the odds continue to update live in the days before USA-England. Kick off is slated for Nov. 25 at 1 p.m. ET as Group B play rolls on.

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