The Memphis Grizzlies (20-24) visit the Motor City to play the Detroit Pistons (17-28) at the Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 p.m. ET. We analyze Grizzlies-Pistons odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Grizzlies at Pistons: Key injuries
GRIZZLIES
- SF Bruno Caboclo (knee) out
- SF Andre Iguodala (personal) out
PISTONS
- C Andre Drummond (mouth) probable
- PG Bruce Brown (illness) probable
- PG Tim Frazier (flu) probable
- PF Blake Griffin (knee) out
- SG Luke Kennard (knee) out
Grizzlies at Pistons: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Grizzlies 123, Pistons 116
Moneyline (ML)
The Grizzlies have recently cooled off, losing two straight games, after a recent seven-game winning streak. Conversely Detroit has won three out of their past four games including a 127-106 blistering of the Sacramento Kings on Jan. 22. Where Memphis has a major advantage in this matchup is in the interior: the Grizzlies score the most points in the paint per game and the Pistons give up the sixth-most points in the paint per game. Furthermore, the Grizzlies are only ranked 16th in rebounds per game but rank 12th in opponent’s rebounds per game and the Pistons rank dead last in rebounds per game.
HAMMER GRIZZLIES -106.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
Despite a litany of injuries and the much-needed revival of Derrick Rose, Detroit is surprisingly in the mix for the final spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs. But, the Pistons might be a little starved tonight from a lack of home cooking; home teams are 36-49-1 ATS this season when this officiating crew is reffing the game. Though the Grizzlies-Pistons only play twice a year, Memphis has played well in Detroit recently—Grizzlies are 13-3 against the spread in the last 16 meetings in Detroit. Plus the Grizzlies are slightly better ATS on the road against below .500 teams (5-5) compared to the Pistons at home against below .500 teams (6-8 ATS record). Also, and most importantly, the Pistons are 17-27-1 ATS on the season.
However, since we are on the Grizzlies to win outright and there’s a minuscule line in Grizzlies-Pistons, PASS ON AN ATS WAGER.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 229.5 (-115) because the matchup edge discussed above, the Grizzlies terrible defense and the Pistons 27-18 over/under record on the year. Throw-in the facts that Memphis is seventh in field goal percentage and 25th in opponents’ three-point percentage, while Detroit is 27th in opponents’ field goal percentage and fourth in three-point percentage, the Over in Grizzlies-Pistons is the only play here.
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