Grizzlies Heat odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

NBA Summer League championship: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Grizzlies vs. Heat NBA Summer League title game odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Memphis Grizzlies (5-0) battle the Miami Heat (5-0) in the NBA Summer League final on Monday night. Tip from Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies have moved through the Summer League relatively seamlessly with their biggest test being Sunday’s 99-98 victory over the Los Angele Clippers while covering as 4.5-point underdogs. F Jaylen Wells scored a game-high 28 points on 6-of-7 from 3 while the team shot 45.2% from the field.

The Heat won 102-99 over the Golden State Warriors on Sunday while failing to cover as 5.5-point favorites in their biggest test of the summer. G Josh Christopher scored a team-high 23 points as 5 Miami players scored in double figures and the team shot 45.5% from the field.

Grizzlies vs. Heat odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:39 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Heat +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -2.5 (-110) | Heat +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 186.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grizzlies vs. Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 99, Heat 97

Moneyline

BET GRIZZLIES (-140).

Memphis has performed well this summer on defense which will be the key to Monday’s victory. It has held opponents to 88 or fewer points in 3 of the 5 games and 98 or fewer in all 5. Miami has scored 102 or more in 4 of its 5 games while allowing 99 or more in 2 of its 5 games. Ultimately, the Grizzlies have shown more of an ability to spread the ball and get more players involved which gives them the advantage.

Against the spread

PASS.

The moneyline is the better play for Monday’s matchup.

Over/Under

BET OVER 186.5 (-110).

While the Grizzlies play strong defense, both teams have shown a tendency to push the ball and increase the pace of the game. The Grizzlies have scored 99 or more points in 4 of their 5 games while the Heat have scored 102 or more in 4 of their 5 games. Expect a fast-paced game on Monday.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (41-26) visit the Miami Heat (37-33) Wednesday with tip from Miami-Dade Arena set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Memphis beat Dallas 104-88 on Monday to cover as a 4.5-point road favorite. It has won 3 games in a row and 6 of its last 10. In that span, the Grizzlies are 6-4 against the spread (ATS) and are 32-34-1 ATS.

Miami beat Utah 119-115 on Monday, but failed to cover as an 8.5-point home favorite. It is 5-5 straight up and 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games. This season, the Heat are 25-43-2 ATS.

Memphis beat Miami 101-93 on Dec. 5 to cover as a 5.5-point home underdog while the 218.5 Under cashed.

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Grizzlies at Heat odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:38 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Heat -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +3.5 (-105) | Heat -3.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 219.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Grizzlies at Heat key injuries

Grizzlies

C Steven Adams (knee) out
PG Ja Morant (not with team) out

Heat

PG Kyle Lowry (knee) questionable
PF Cody Zeller (nose) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Heat picks and predictions

Prediction

Heat 107, Grizzlies 105

Moneyline

PASS.

Playing against an undermanned Grizzlies team, the Heat are rightfully favorites, but -170 odds is not a profitable moneyline play.

Against the spread

LEAN GRIZZLIES +3.5 (-105).

Memphis is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games and 3-2 ATS in its last 5 road games.

The Heat have struggled this season with a 25-43-2 ATS record on the season and an 11-24-1 ATS record at home. They are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 day’s rest, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 219.5 (-105).

The Heat rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent points per game and the Grizzlies rank 5th in the same category. With a slow pace created by both teams, points will be at a premium.

The Under is 5-1 in the Grizzlies’ last 6 road games and 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. It is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games following an outright victory of 10 or more points and 5-0-1 in their last 6 games following an outright victory. The Under is also 4-0-1 in Memphis’ last 5 games following a ATS win.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (24-23) travel to South Beach Tuesday to play the Miami Heat (26-24) at American Airlines Arena. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Heat odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Memphis has won back-to-back and three of its past four games (4-0 against the spread) including a 116-100 shellacking Sunday of the Philadelphia 76ers as a 3.5-point road underdog.

The Grizzlies are 6-3 overall and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games with the three losses coming against the first-place Utah Jazz.

Miami is beginning to heat up, winning four straight (4-0 ATS) and covering all four following a six-game losing drought.

The Heat are tied for fourth place in the Eastern Conference with the Atlanta Hawks but are only one game ahead of the seventh-place Boston Celtics.

The Grizzlies beat the Heat in an 89-85 “rock fight” as 1-point home favorites in their first regular-season meeting on St. Patrick’s Day.

Grizzlies at Heat: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:04 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Heat -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies +5 (-110) | Heat -5 (-110)
Over/Under: 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at Heat: Key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (calf) questionable
PG De’Anthony Melton (leg) out
SF Justise Winslow (thigh) out
PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

Heat

None

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Grizzlies at Heat: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Heat 106, Grizzlies 104

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight “lean” towards the Grizzlies (+165) since I’m on Memphis to cover the spread.

My hesitation is the Grizzlies will be a little shorthanded and Miami is the healthiest it has been all season and is stacking wins.

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Against the spread (ATS)

This is just too many points to give Memphis given its obvious matchup edge in the backcourt. Heat taking a flyer on guard Victor Oladipo is good for all involved.

But, there are reasons why Oladipo is playing for his third team this season, one of which is his career-worst 112 defensive rating this season.

Maybe Miami assigns elite defensive wing Jimmy Butler to Memphis PG Ja Morant at the end of halves, but Morant should have a field day against Oladipo, backup PG Goran Dragic and SG Duncan Robinson.

Furthermore, the Heat are a below-average rebounding team and have been reckless with the ball (23rd in offensive turnover rate), which are Memphis’s strengths.

The Grizzlies force the second-highest rate of turnovers and are sixth in offensive-rebounding percentage.

Lastly, Memphis is 8-6 ATS as a road dog and Miami is 8-11-1 ATS as a home favorite.

BET GRIZZLIES +5 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 215.5 (-110) for a half unit. Both teams are top-10 in defensive rating and below-average in effective field-goal shooting.

Also, more action and money are on the Over in this spot and I think that’s solely based on the “number is too low” logic. Stylistically, these teams a set up for a slugfest.

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