Grizzlies Hawks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Atlanta Hawks (14-14) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (19-9) to State Farm Arena Saturday. Tip is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Grizzlies vs. Hawks odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting, last season’s series ended tied 1-1.

The Grizzlies beat the Golden State Warriors 144-93 Thursday, ending with a 22-point lead after the first quarter. They closed as a 2-point home favorite and were led by F Jaren Jackson Jr., who scored 17 points. Memphis is 19-9 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 12-4 ATS at home, the second-best home-covering record in the NBA.

The Hawks lost in a shootout 133-126 to the San Antonio Spurs in overtime Thursday, closing as a 1.5-point road underdog. They were led by F De’Andre Hunter, who tallied 27 points on 9-for-15 shooting. Atlanta has lost 2 straight games and 3 of its last 4, but this stretch is on the back of a 6-game winning streak. It is 11-17 ATS on the season.

Grizzlies at Hawks odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Hawks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -1.5 (-110) | Hawks +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 242.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at Hawks key injuries

Grizzlies

G Ja Morant (back) doubtful
G Marcus Smart (shoulder) questionable
F Vince Williams Jr. (ankle) out

Hawks

C Onyeka Okongwu (knee) out
G Trae Young (heel) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Grizzlies at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 124, Hawks 121

Moneyline

PASS.

While there is some credence to this being a good play and reducing some risk on the spread, the Hawks have disappointed at home, and that should continue Saturday.

Memphis is better played on the spread than the slightly more expensive moneyline odds.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-110).

The Hawks’ success has usually came on the road than at home. They are just 4-9 ATS in Atlanta and have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 games. Atlanta has allowed at least 132 points in 3 of its last 5 games.

The Grizzlies have been on fire for bettors and have covered in 5 of their last 6 games, scoring at least 135 points in 3 of their last 4. Memphis is 7-5 ATS on the road. Back GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET OVER 242.5 (-105).

Both teams can score with ease and also play at a fast tempo, a good recipe for points. Memphis is 17-11 O/U on the season and 3-2 O/U in its last 5 games. It has scored at least 127 in 4 of its last 5.

The Hawks, who are 18-10 O/U on the season, have allowed at least 132 in 3 of their last 5 and have scored at least 119 in 4 of their last 7. Considering those trends, play OVER 242.5 (-105).

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Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (46-27) battle the Atlanta Hawks (37-37) Sunday with tip from State Farm Arena set for 6 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Hawks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Grizzlies beat the Hawks 128-103 on Dec. 12 in the only previous meeting this season as Memphis covered as a 9.5-point favorite and the Over 221.5 hit.

Memphis has won 5 in a row yet has covered just 2 of them, posting a 2-2-1 against-the-spread (ATS) record over that span. The Grizzlies are 8-1 straight up in their last 9. They are 34-37-2 ATS on the season. They are coming off a 151-114 win over Memphis on Friday, covering as a 12.5-point favorite.

Atlanta has won 5 of their last 9 and are 5-4 ATS over that span and 34-40 ATS on the season. The Hawks, who rank 3rd in the NBA at 118 points per game, are coming off a 143-130 win over the Pacers Saturday, covering as a 10-point home favorite.

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Grizzlies at Hawks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:47 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Hawks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -2.5 (-105) | Hawks +2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 224.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at Hawks key injuries

Grizzlies

C Steven Adams (knee) out
G Ja Morant (nasal fracture) available

Hawks

Not yet submitted

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Hawks picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 119, Hawks 114

Moneyline

PASS.

The Grizzlies are the superior side here, and they should win with ease. The spread over the moneyline odds is preferred here.

Against the spread

LEAN GRIZZLIES -2.5 (-105).

Memphis is 2-1-1 ATS in its last 4 games. It beat Houston by 37 and 5, taking down Dallas by 4 and Golden State by 14 in its last 4 games. The Grizzlies have brought back Morant and are competing at a high level. F Dillon Brooks will be active for this game as well.

The Hawks are 4-3 ATS over their last 7 and 3-2 ATS over their last 5 home games. Atlanta is just 17-19 ATS at home this season as well, so it hasn’t had much strength in front of its fans.

Ultimately, take GRIZZLIES -2.5 (-105) for a small unit.

Over/Under

BET OVER 224.5 (-105).

Atlanta has gone Over in 2 straight games, scoring 143 and 124. It has allowed 130 and 125 in those 2 as well, so its defense has been awful. The Hawks rank 23rd in the NBA in opponents’ points per game (117.8).

The Grizzlies have gone Over in 2 straight and in 5 of their last 6 games, scoring 130 or more in 3 of their last 4. Memphis ranks 8th in points per game (116.7).

These teams rank 7th (Atlanta) and 10th (Memphis) in pace as well, so it should be a high-tempo battle. Take the OVER 224.5 (-105) for a full unit.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (48-22) head down to the Big Peach Friday for a cross-conference showdown with the Atlanta Hawks (34-35). Tip-off at State Farm Arena is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis is 5-1 straight up (SU) but 3-3 against the spread (ATS) over the past two weeks with the latest being a 135-102 beatdown of the Pacers Tuesday in Indiana, easily covering as a 6.5-point road favorite.

Atlanta had its three-game winning streak snapped with a 116-106 loss to the Hornets Wednesday in Charlotte as a 1-point road favorite. The Hawks have lost seven straight ATS.

The Hawks crushed the Grizzlies 132-100 in Memphis Nov. 26 but Grizzlies All-Star G Ja Morant exited in the first quarter with an ankle injury. Atlanta All-Star G Trae Young scored a game-high 31 points on 75.0% shooting (3-for-4 from behind the arc).

Grizzlies at Hawks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Grizzlies -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Hawks +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
Against the spread: Grizzlies -5.5 (-107) | Hawks +5.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Grizzlies at Hawks key injuries

Grizzlies

PG Ja Morant (back) questionable

Hawks

PF John Collins (finger) out
SF Danilo Gallinari (biceps) questionable
PG Trae Young (quad) questionable

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Grizzlies at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Hawks 121, Grizzlies 113

Money line

Slight LEAN to the HAWKS (+175) because of how well they perform at home against quality competition. The Grizzlies are getting a bunch of love in the betting market and have a top-5 net rating.

Atlanta is 9-2 SU versus teams in the top-10 of net efficiency with a plus-6.4 adjusted net rating (ranked fourth) and a plus-5.4 ATS margin (ranked third) according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

We are also seeing some reverse line movement in Atlanta’s direction. Roughly 80% of the cash is on the Grizzlies but Memphis has been lowered from a -250 ML favorite on the opener according to Pregame.com. It’s a red flag when sportsbooks make the more popular side cheaper.

The Hawks are an above-average rebounding team and have the best offensive turnover rate in the NBA. Two of Memphis’s paths to victory this season have been getting easy buckets off turnovers and by crashing the glass.

If Atlanta takes care of the rock and finishes defensive possessions with rebounds then the HAWKS (+175) should cash. It’s only a lean and not a sprinkle on Atlanta’s ML since Trae’s official game status is pending.

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Against the spread

BET HAWKS +5.5 (-115) heavier than or instead of their ML based on the aforementioned logic and because Atlanta struggles in tight games.

The Hawks are just 15-17 SU in the “clutch” with a minus-13.1 net rating. “Clutch” is defined by games within a 5-point margin inside of five minutes to play. Just taking Atlanta’s ML could be costly if the Hawks choke this game away.

The HAWKS PLUS THE POINTS is my favorite wager in this game.

Over/Under

PASS because I am much more confident in the Atlanta sides than the total in this contest. Also, these teams play at the opposite pace and Atlanta is a completely different team with Trae off the floor.

For what it’s worth, a vast majority of the cash is on the Over (per Pregame.com) so I’d prefer to fade the market and take the Under 236.5 (-115).

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Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Wednesday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Atlanta Hawks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Memphis Grizzlies (25-23) drop by State Farm Arena Wednesday for an 8 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (27-24). Below, we analyze the Grizzlies-Hawks odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

Memphis has won three straight and four of its past five games and is 9-1 against the spread in the last 10. The Grizzlies’ past two wins were road upsets at the Philadelphia 76ers Sunday and the Miami Heat Tuesday.

Atlanta has it rolling, too. The Hawks have won four in a row and five of their past seven (5-2 against the spread). However, four of the Hawks’ last five wins have come against two banged-up teams—the New Orleans Pelicans and Golden State Warriors.

The Hawks beat the Grizzlies earlier this season 122-112 as 2.5-point road underdogs, but Memphis won and covered both meetings last season.

Grizzlies at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:22 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Hawks -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Grizzlies +2 (-110) | Hawks -2 (-110)
Over/Under: 225.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Grizzlies at Hawks: Key injuries

Grizzlies

PF Brandon Clarke (calf) out
PG De’Anthony Melton (leg) out
SF Justise Winslow (thigh) out
PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out

Hawks

PF John Collins (ankle) out
PF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) questionable
SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out

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Grizzlies at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Grizzlies 118, Hawks 112

Money line (ML)

Both teams crash the glass, get easy putbacks and second-chance points. Memphis is first in second-chance points per game and Atlanta is fourth. The Grizzlies are third in second-chance points allowed per game whereas the Hawks are 18th.

Memphis C Jonas Valančiūnas’ teams are 6-3 when playing Atlanta C Clint Capela’s teams with Valančiūnas outscoring and outrebounding Capela in those games.

“LEAN” to the GRIZZLIES (+110) for a quarter unit.

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Against the spread (ATS)

Definitely BET GRIZZLIES +2 (-110) heavier than or instead of Memphis’s money line.

The Grizzlies are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. Also, Memphis has the highest cover rate vs. non-conference opponents (14-5 ATS).

Over/Under (O/U)

There are a whole bunch of Under-friendly trends keeping this total low in my opinion, providing a little value for the OVER 225.5 (-110).

The previous three Grizzlies-Hawks games played to the Under, but the totals were 240.5, 235 and 238.5 earlier this season.

Bookmakers shaving 14 points off the total, even with Atlanta’s injury concerns, is too much.

The Hawks have scored 123 or more points in three of their last four games and the Grizzlies have scored 116 or more in four of five.

Bet OVER 225.5 (-110) for a half unit.

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