The Memphis Grizzlies (29-31) stop by the State Farm Arena on Monday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off against the Atlanta Hawks (19-43). We analyze the Grizzlies-Hawks odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Grizzlies at Hawks: Key injuries
GRIZZLIES
- PF Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) out
- PF Brandon Clarke (hip) out
- SG Grayson Allen (hip) out
- SF Justise Winslow (back) out
HAWKS
- SF Cam Reddish (back) out
- PF Skal Labissiere (knee) out
- C Dewayne Dedmon (elbow) out
- SG DeAndre’ Bembry (abdominal) out
- C Clint Capela (heel) out
Grizzlies at Hawks: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 12:45 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Grizzlies 133, Hawks 123
Moneyline (ML)
The Grizzlies (+110) snapped a five-game losing streak (overall and against the spread) when they upset the Los Angeles Lakers, 105-88, at home on Saturday. The Hawks (-134) have won back-to-back games, and four out of six (overall and against the spread), including 129-117 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers on Saturday.
These are no longer the Grit & Grind Grizzlies that were making consecutive postseason appearances, but this team does play with grit that Atlanta doesn’t generally match. Memphis ranks 10th in second-chance points, fourth in fast break points and first at points in the paint. They are going against a Hawks team that ranks second to last in opponent’s second-chance points and opponents ‘points in the paint, plus 22nd in opponents’ fast-break points. The Grizzlies excel at what the Hawks struggle with, and they are in a dogfight for the eighth and final seed in the Western Conference playoffs – so they NEED this game.
HAMMER GRIZZLIES +110 on the moneyline.
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Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
PASS ON THE SPREAD (+1.5, -106) and make the moneyline the main play. However, since this game is trending to being a coin flip, we can use this section (and against the spread trends) to strengthen our moneyline handicap.
Memphis has performed better than Atlanta in non-conference games: the Grizzlies have a 10-10 record against Eastern Conference teams, while the Hawks are 9-13 versus teams from the West. Memphis is a tad better ATS team on the road against losing teams (8-7 ATS) than Atlanta is at home versus losing teams (5-5-1 ATS).
Over/Under (O/U)
The Hawks have an Over/Under record of 38-24, which is extraordinary because theoretically, bookmakers price Atlanta totals higher given their defense is terrible and offense chucks the eighth-most three-pointers in the NBA. In non-conference games, the combined O/U record of these teams is 27-15 and Atlanta home games have a 19-12 O/U record. The Hawks defense will have little resistance against the Grizzlies whose defense allows the 23rd most points per game.
BET OVER 239.5 (-115).
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