Grizzlies Clippers odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (38-24) visit a struggling Los Angeles Clippers (33-33) Sunday. Tip-off from Crypto.com Arena is set for 9 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Grizzlies vs. Clippers odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

This marks the 1st of 3 games of this season series.

Memphis, who will be without star G Ja Morant in this game due to a suspension, lost 113-97 Friday in Denver. The Grizzlies failed to cover as 5.5-point underdogs in that matchup. Memphis is now 6-4 and 5-5 ATS over its last 10.

Los Angeles lost 128-127 Friday in Sacramento, covering as 7-point underdogs. The Clippers have now lost 5 straight games.

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Grizzlies at Clippers odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Grizzlies +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Clippers -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +6.5 (+100) | Clippers -6.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grizzlies at Clippers key injuries

Grizzlies

Not Yet Submitted

Clippers

G Norman Powell (shoulder) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Grizzlies at Clippers picks and predictions

Prediction

Clippers 108, Grizzlies 102

Moneyline

AVOID.

The Clippers (-270) should win this game with ease as the Grizzlies are without Morant, but this is a bad bet. I am not a fan of betting such a heavy favorite, and I would avoid placing a moneyline bet here.

Against the spread

LEAN GRIZZLIES +6.5 (+100).

Both teams have been poor ATS as of late and on the season, but Memphis is the safer bet to cover. Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 road games, and LA is 1-6 in its last 7 playing on 1 day of rest. Memphis is also 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings between these teams, which is why it is the safer lean.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 227.5 (-110).

The Under is 10-1 in Memphis last 11 games following an ATS loss and 8-1 in their last 9 playing on 1 day of rest. The Under is also 12-3 in the Clippers’ last 15 home games vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (26-14) meet the Los Angeles Clippers (19-20) Saturday in a mid-day matinee at the Crypto.com Arena. The tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Clippers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Memphis is surging as winners of seven in a row (6-1 ATS) with the latest being a 30-point beatdown of the Detroit Pistons Thursday.

Over the past two weeks, the Grizzlies has the third-best adjusted net rating at plus-12.6 points per 100 possessions and the best spread differential at a plus-12.4 ATS margin, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

L.A. has lost three of its past four games including its most recent, 106-86, Thursday at the Phoenix Suns, failing to cover as 10.5-point road underdogs.

In the last 14 days, the Clippers are 2-5 straight-up (SU), 3-4 ATS and 4-3 O/U with the 24th-ranked adjusted net rating at minus-6.6 points per 100 possessions, per CTG.

Memphis is 2-0 SU and ATS versus L.A., and the total is 2-0 O/U in both Grizzlies-Clippers meetings this season.

Grizzlies at Clippers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies -130 (bet $130 to win $100) | Clippers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies -1.5 (-120) | Clippers +1.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Grizzlies at Clippers key injuries

Grizzlies

SG Desmond Bane (quadriceps) questionable
F Kyle Anderson (back) questionable

Clippers

SG Luke Kennard (health and safety protocols) out
C Ivica Zubac (health and safety protocols) out
SF Paul George (elbow) out

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Grizzlies at Clippers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 117, Clippers 104

Money line

“LEAN” to the GRIZZLIES (-130) or PASS altogether, because I’d rather lay the points with Memphis than pay the extra vig with the money line.

But, Memphis is 2-1 SU as a road favorite with a plus-11.0 scoring margin and L.A. is 1-3 SU as a home underdog.

Against the spread

BET 1.5 units on the GRIZZLIES -1.5 (-120). I’m not trying to be a hero and fade this red-hot Memphis team.

The Grizzlies have already beaten the Clippers twice this season, and that was a much healthier L.A. team than this version. The Clippers are missing several key contributors including All-Star wing Paul George.

Since PG13 was sidelined with an elbow injury Dec. 26, L.A. has the sixth-worst adjusted net rating at minus-7.4 points per 100 possessions (CTG) and ranks 25th in effective field goal shooting.

Also, the Clippers are 0-2 SU and ATS versus the Grizzlies despite PG putting up 32.0 points per game (PPG) on 70.1% true shooting (.558/.476/1.000).

Memphis breakout superstar Ja Morant has balled out versus L.A. as well. Morant is averaging 28.0 PPG on 64.3% true shooting (.575/.333/.750) and 6.5 assists per game against the Clippers this season.

Furthermore, this is a better spot for the Grizzlies, who are 13-5 ATS in away games whereas the Clippers are 9-14 ATS at home and 1-3 ATS in day games.

Finally, Memphis has a couple of strength-on-weakness edges in the ball security and rebounding departments.

BET the GRIZZLIES -3.5 (-120).

Over/Under

PASS because I’m expecting the Grizzlies to maul the Clippers, and this game could die out in the second half if it’s one-sided. For what’s worth, Memphis is 19-21 O/U and L.A. is 17-22 O/U.

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Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Memphis Grizzlies at Los Angeles Clippers odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Memphis Grizzlies (1-0) stop by the Staples Center Saturday for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off against the Los Angeles Clippers (0-1). Below, we look at the Grizzlies vs. Clippers odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Memphis opened its season Thursday with a 132-121 blowout of the Cleveland Cavaliers as a 7-point road favorite. Grizzlies guard Ja Morant scored 37 points on 58.6% field goal shooting with 6 boards and 6 assists.

L.A. lost a 115-113 nail-biter at the Golden State Warriors Thursday but covered as a 4-point road underdog. Clippers wing Paul George put up team-highs in points (29) and rebounds (11) and added 6 assists.

All three Grizzlies-Clippers meetings last season ended in double-digit margins with L.A. winning the season series 2-1 and the Under cashing in each game.

Grizzlies at Clippers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Grizzlies +145 (bet $100 to win $145) | Clippers -180 (bet $180 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Grizzlies +4.5 (-115) | Clippers -4.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 226.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Grizzlies at Clippers key injuries

Grizzlies

SG Dillon Brooks (hand) out

Clippers

C Serge Ibaka (back) out
SF Kawhi Leonard (knee) out

Grizzlies at Clippers odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 120, Clippers 113

Money line

“SPRINKLE” a tiny wager on the GRIZZLIES (+145) because I “like” Memphis plus the points and see a little value in the underdog’s money line.

The Grizzlies have the personnel to match up against any lineup Clippers head coach Ty Lue can throw out there. Memphis has much better ball security and should dominate L.A. on the glass.

The Grizzlies were sixth in offensive turnover rate and seventh in defensive turnover rate last season while the Clippers ranked 14th in offensive turnover rate and 19th in defensive turnover rate.

Memphis picked up big Steven Adams during the offseason whose interior presence and toughness has improved his team’s rebounding each year of his career.

The Grizzlies have done a good job defending PG since he joined the Clippers. Two years ago, PG averaged 14.5 points per game (PPG) on 53.9% true shooting (.423/.313/1.000) and a minus-10 net rating in two games against Memphis. Last season, PG averaged 13 PPG on 50.7% true shooting (.391/.222/1.000) with a minus-3 net rating in two games against the Grizzlies.

Against the spread

Definitely BET the GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-115) heavier than or instead of Memphis’s money line based on the previous analysis. Furthermore, the Grizzlies have covered 54.9% of their road games since the start of 2019 (39-32-1 ATS) and 52.1% of their games as an underdog (49-45-1 ATS).

There’s a notable “line freeze” in the betting market. More than 80% of the cash is on the Clippers according to pregame.com at the time of writing, but the line hasn’t budged from the opener,

Every other game on the NBA slate has line movement. It’s suspicious whenever the House doesn’t move the line in response to such a lopsided betting market. It feels as though oddsmakers are comfortable with taking more pro-Clippers money.

GRIZZLIES +4.5 (-115) is my favorite bet in this game.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Over 226.5 (-110). What’s holding me back is we are also seeing a “line freeze” for the total of the Grizzlies-Clippers.

However, I think L.A. plays a lot of small ball to run Adams off the court and Memphis will keep pace with the Clippers. A faster pace equals more possession, which should mean more points.

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