Creighton at Gonzaga NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 Odds, Picks and Prediction

The top-seeded Gonzaga Bulldogs (26-0) and the No. 5 Creighton Bluejays (20-8) will meet on Sunday to compete for a spot in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament.

The top-seeded Gonzaga Bulldogs (26-0) and the No. 5 Creighton Bluejays (20-8) will meet on Sunday to compete for a spot in the Elite 8 of the NCAA Tournament. Gonzaga is favored by 13.5 points in the Sweet 16 matchup, which starts at a time to be announced.

The Bulldogs were led by Drew Timme’s 30 points last time out in an 87-71 victory against Oklahoma on Monday. They covered the spread as 15.5-point favorites, while the teams scored a combined 158 points to hit the over on the 155.5 over/under.

Last time out, Marcus Zegarowski scored 20 points as the Bluejays earned a 72-58 victory against Ohio on Monday. The teams combined to score 130 points to hit the under on the 150.5 point total by bookmakers, while the Bluejays were 5.5-point favorites and covered the spread.

Creighton at Gonzaga: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 12:51 PM ET on March 28, 2021.

  • Money line: Creighton +725 (bet $100 to win $725) | Gonzaga -1200 (bet $1,200 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Creighton +13.5 (-110) | Gonzaga -13.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 158.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Gonzaga: Three things to know

  • Corey Kispert leads the Bulldogs in scoring, averaging 19.2 points per game. Kispert paces the squad with a team-high 2.9 made three-pointers per game.
  • The Bulldogs average 24.4 more points per game (92.1) than the Bluejays allow (67.7).
  • When Gonzaga puts up more than 67.7 points, it is 14-0-2 against the spread and 28-0 overall.

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Creighton: Three things to know

  • Zegarowski leads the Bluejays in scoring (15.7 points per game) and assisting (4.3 assists per game). Zegarowski is the top three-point shooter for the team, knocking down 2.7 per game.
  • The Bluejays average 7.6 more points per game (76.3) than the Bulldogs allow their opponents to score (68.7).
  • When it scores more than 68.7 points, Creighton is 13-0 against the spread and 17-5 overall.

Creighton at Gonzaga: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Gonzaga 82, Creighton 71

Money line

The Gonzaga Bulldogs are favored to win this game according to both the model and BetMGM’s money line.

Against the spread (ATS)

The spread for this matchup suggested by the model (10.8 points) is slightly less than the 13.5-point edge MGM gives to the Bulldogs, though the data still has them as the favorite.

Over/Under (O/U)

The model predicts a total 5.5 points lower than the one set by MGM for this matchup.

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March Madness: Gonzaga vs. Creighton odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Creighton Bluejays vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs odds and lines, with March Madness Sweet 16 picks and predictions.

The 5-seed Creighton Bluejays (22-8) take on 1-seed Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-0) in a West Regional Sweet 16 game Sunday afternoon at Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. Tip-off is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and the game will broadcast on CBS. Below, we analyze the Creighton-Gonzaga odds and lines, with March Madness NCAA Tournament picks and predictions.

Gonzaga trampled its first two NCAA Tournament opponents — 16-seed Norfolk State and 8-seed Oklahoma — by an average score of 92.5-63 but is 1-1 ATS in those games and only covered by a half-point against the Sooners.

This is the third straight Big Dance the Bulldogs have at least advanced to the Sweet 16 and fifth in the past six NCAA Tournaments.

Creighton bounced back from a 25-point blowout by Georgetown in the Big East Tournament championship and eking past 12-seed UC Santa Barbara 63-62 to demolish 13-seed Ohio 72-58 as 5.5-point favorites.

The Bluejays are making their first Sweet 16 appearance in head coach Greg McDermott’s 11 seasons on the job.

Gonzaga vs. Creighton: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Gonzaga -1100 (bet $1,100 to win $100) | Creighton +650 (bet $100 to win $650)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Gonzaga -13 (-110) | Creighton +13 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 158 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Gonzaga vs. Creighton: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Gonzaga 88, Creighton 81

Money line (ML)

PASS with a slight LEAN toward Creighton (+650) because as unlikely as it is that the Bluejays upset the Bulldogs, I do like Creighton plus the points and +650 is juicy.

But, instead of sprinkling on the underdog’s money line, I’ll use it on the total.

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Against the spread (ATS)

It’s hard to poke holes in an undefeated team’s resume but Gonzaga -13.5 (-110) is just too many points to lay in the Sweet 16 and the Bulldogs are just 3-3 ATS in their previous six games.

In Gonzaga’s win over Oklahoma last round, the Bulldogs actually shot worse from the field but attempted 14 more free throws and Creighton is 48th in defensive FTA/FG rate.

And while Creighton will struggle to find an answer for Gonzaga’s big Drew Timme and he’ll most likely be the difference-maker in this game, the Bluejays matchup really well against Bulldogs’ other superstars.

Creighton leading scorer and PG Marcus Zegarowski has a higher offensive rating, assist rate and effective field goal percentage than Gonzaga PG Jalen Suggs.

Also, Gonzaga senior SF Corey Kispert will have his hands full against Creighton’s defensive wing Christian Bishop. 

Finally, who isn’t laying the points with Gonzaga here?

According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the action is on the Bulldogs to cover but the line has dropped from Gonzaga -13.5 on the opener. Simply put, 80% of sports bettors don’t turn a profit.

Fade the market and BET CREIGHTON +13 (-110) for 1 unit.

Over/Under (O/U)

Gonzaga is hands down the best offensive team in the nation but Creighton will keep up with ‘Zaga Sunday.

The Bulldogs scheduled four ranked out of conference opponents at the beginning of their season and the Over cashed in all four of those contests.

Both teams play at a very fast pace and are top-30 in effective field goal shooting.

TAKE OVER 158 (-110) for a quarter-unit.

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Gonzaga vs. Creighton odds: Bulldogs heavily favored in Sweet 16

Previewing Sunday’s Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejays odds and lines during their March Madness Sweet 16 matchup.

The No. 5 seed Creighton Bluejays (22-8) take on the top-seeded Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-0) Sunday at 2:10 p.m. ET in the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament.

Below, we’re taking an early look at the March Madness Sweet 16 Creighton-Gonzaga odds and lines. Don’t forget to check out all of the remaining teams’ March Madness odds, and check back later in the week for our full Sweet 16 breakdowns, picks and predictions.

Creighton fell to Georgetown in the Big East championship game but won back-to-back games against UC Santa Barbara and Ohio to begin this tournament. The Bluejays have won five of their last six games, but they haven’t faced a test like the one Gonzaga will present Sunday. Although they won convincingly against Ohio in Round 2, they only snuck by 12th-seeded UC Santa Barbara by one point in the first round.

Gonzaga is unquestionably the best team in the tournament and has been the best team all year. The Bulldogs beat Norfolk State by 43 points and Oklahoma by 16 in the first two rounds. Their average margin of victory this season is 23.6 points, leading the nation with an average of 92.1 points scored per game. They’re also first in field-goal percentage, third in assists per game and eighth in free throws made per game.

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Gonzaga vs. Creighton: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Gonzaga -1250 (bet $1,250 to win $100) | Creighton +725 (bet $100 to win $725)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Gonzaga -13.5 (-110) | Creighton +13.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 158 (O: -110 | U: -110)

March Madness betting promotions 

Current March Madness offers from BetMGM Sportsbook:

Bet $1 on any team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if ANY team hits a 3-pointer that day. Bet now!

RISK-FREE FIRST BET, up to $600! Bet now!

Offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

Follow Cameron DaSilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

More college sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama / Auburn / Florida / Georgia / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Tennessee / Texas / USC / Wisconsin

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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