Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings odds predictions pick betting line spread

NBA Play-In Tournament: Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Golden State Warriors (46-36) and Sacramento Kings (46-36) meet in the NBA Play-In Tournament at Golden 1 Center Tuesday. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Kings odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Warriors won 10 of 12 straight up (SU) to finish the regular season but covered just once in their final 6 games, while the Kings lost 5 of 7 SU down the stretch but ended the regular season on a 4-2 against-the-spread (ATS) run.

Golden State was 2-1-1 ATS vs. the Kings in the regular season, and the Over/Under (O/U) went 2-2.

In their most recent meeting on Jan. 25, the Kings, as 1-point favorites, won 134-133 in Sacramento as the Over (244) hit. Kings C Domantas Sabonis scored the eventual game-winning dunk with 22 seconds remaining, and Warriors G Stephen Curry turned the ball over in the final seconds, wasting Golden State’s final possession.

The Warriors beat the Kings 4-3 in the 1st round of last season’s playoffs. The Kings went 4-3 ATS in the series, and the Under also went 4-3. The home team won the 1st 4 games SU, and the away side was victorious in the final 3.

Tuesday’s winner will be play the loser of the game between the Los Angeles Lakers and New Orleans Pelicans for the 8th seed in the West while the loser is eliminated.

Warriors at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:31 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Kings +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -2.5 (-105) | Kings +2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 223.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Warriors at Kings key injuries

Warriors

G Gary Payton II (calf) out

Kings

G Kevin Huerter (shoulder) out
G Malik Monk (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Warriors at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 111, Warriors 110

Moneyline

The Kings (+115) being home underdogs to the Warriors (-140) seems like an overreaction to both teams’ recent play.

Golden State has been winning games SU, but it has failed to cover in recent weeks against bottom-of-the-barrel teams such as the Portland Trail Blazers, San Antonio Spurs and Utah Jazz (twice).

These poor outings could be due to lack of motivation to win by margin, but the more likely cause is that this is a Curry-dependent team that is not capable of putting together 4 quarters of good basketball.

The Kings haven’t looked great recently, but 10 of their last 13 games were against teams that made the postseason. They easily covered against the Jazz and Trail Blazers — unlike Golden State.

BET KINGS (+115).

Against the spread

The Kings should cover, but I prefer the plus odds on the ML.

PASS.

Over/Under

The Under has hit in 16 of Sacramento’s last 20 games and 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams.

Given the recent playoff history between Golden State and Sacramento, Tuesday should be a low-scoring, grind-it-out game — unlike their 134-133 shootout Jan. 25. However, the total was 227.5 Sunday evening, so we’d be getting the worst of the number at this point.

LEAN UNDER 223.5 (-110).

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Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings play Game 5 of their Western Conference 1st-round series Wednesday at Golden 1 Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The series is tied 2-2 and the Kings have covered the spread in 3 of the 4 games.

The Warriors failed to cover as 7-point home favorites Sunday in Game 4 in a 126-125 win vs. the Kings as the Over (234.5) hit. G Stephen Curry had 32 points for the Warriors, who won both home games after falling behind 2-0 in the series.

F Harrison Barnes missed a potential game-winning 3-pointer in the final seconds for the Kings, who had come back from a 10-point 4th-quarter deficit.

Kings G De’Aaron Fox plans to play Game 5 despite a fractured finger on his shooting hand.

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Warriors at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:36 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Kings +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -1.5 (-110) | Kings +1.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Warriors at Kings key injuries

Warriors

F Andre Iguodala (wrist) out

Kings

G De’Aaron Fox (finger) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 120, Kings 111

Moneyline

PASS.

The Warriors (-125) should be able to finally pull out a road win in this series, but there is no need to pay the higher price on the moneyline when Golden State would likely cover its short spread with a win. Lay the points and/or bet the total instead.

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS -1.5 (-110).

Golden State will need to win 1 road game in this series in order to advance and it will have the advantage in Game 5 after Fox’s injury. The Warriors appear to be extra confident and back in playoff form after consecutive victories vs. the Kings and should be able to finally win a game on the road.

Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games after failing to cover in its previous contest and Sacramento should struggle to stay competitive after Fox’s injury.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 234.5 (-110).

Golden State bounces back defensively after underwhelming performances and the Under is 6-1 in the Warriors’ last 7 games after failing to cover. The Under is 6-2 in Sacramento’s last 8 games and 4-0 in its last 4 after covering in its previous contest.

The Under has gone 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams in Sacramento and should hit again in Game 5 as the Warriors tighten up defensively after allowing 33 points in the 4th quarter last time out.

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Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings Game 1 odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The 6th-seeded Golden State Warriors and 3rd-seeded Sacramento Kings meet Saturday for Game 1 of their 1st-round NBA playoff action. Tip-off from Golden 1 Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ABC). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Kings odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Golden State won the regular season series 3-1.

G Stephen Curry dominated the Kings in the regular season, averaging 33.0 ppg and 5.0 apg on 58.4% from the field and 50.0% from beyond the arc in 4 games. The Warriors finished with an 11-30 road record in the regular season and the 2nd-best scoring offense, averaging 118.9 ppg.

Sacramento secured the 3-seed in the Western Conference despite dropping their last 3 games of the regular season. The Kings enter the playoffs after having one of the best offenses of all-time during the regular season, averaging a league-high 120.7 ppg and 49.4% shooting from the floor as a team, which was good for 2nd in the league.

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Warriors at Kings odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:45 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Kings -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +1.5 (-120) | Kings -1.5 (+100)
Over/Under (O/U): 236.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Warriors at Kings key injuries

Warriors

F Andre Iguodala (wrist) out
G Ryan Rollins (foot) out

Kings

G Matthew Dellavedova (finger) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Kings picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 120, Kings 116

Moneyline

LEAN WARRIORS (-105).

Golden State has dominated Sacramento as of late, and while this is the best Kings team in decades, the Warriors still seem to have their number. Golden State is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings, but only 3-3 in the last 6 meetings in Sacramento. This is a toss-up game, but I expect Curry and the experience of the Warriors to prevail here.

Against the spread

BET WARRIORS +1.5 (-120).

The Warriors have been bad ATS against the Kings, being only 5-13 in the last 18 meetings, but have been great ATS when rested. The Warriors are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 coming off 3+ days of rest, and they have had 5 full rest days leading up to this game.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 236.5 (-105).

The Under has dominated in recent matchups here, but with the 2 best offenses in the NBA it is hard to feel confident in the Under here, especially given how the playoffs tend to bring the best out of players. The Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Sacramento and 6-2-1 in the last 9 overall, making it the safer lean here.

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NBA playoffs: Bank on these 4 first-round series picks and predictions

Analyzing NBA playoff betting odds for first-round series, with predictions and picks for the best NBA futures bets to make.

The 2023 NBA playoffs begin Saturday as 16 teams aim to win 4 best-of-7 series — 16 games — on their way to a 2023 NBA Championship.

After analyzing BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA futures odds, here are 4 first-round bets worthy of backing as we make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Eastern Conference’s Milwaukee Bucks (58-24) are the overall top seed, while the Denver Nuggets (53-29) are the top dog in the West.

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NBA playoff series futures and predictions

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:36 p.m. ET.

Bank on 76ERS TO SWEEP Nets (+240)

Philadelphia will sweep Brooklyn without a sweat. The main reason is C Joel Embiid, who will likely win the regular-season’s MVP whether he deserves it or not – he does not. His 33.1 points per game (PPG) this season ranks 4th all time among centers – behind Wilt Chamberlain, Bob McAdoo and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. Embiid also averaged 10.2 rebounds, 4.2 assists and 1.7 blocks per game. He is the 1st center to win a scoring title since McAdoo in 1975-76.

Embiid and G James Harden (league-best 10.7 assists per game to go along with 21.0 PPG) became the 1st pair of teammates since 1981-82 to lead the NBA in scoring and assists — San Antonio’s George Gervin scored 32.3 PPG and Johnny Moore finished with 9.6 APG that season. Plus, this Philly squad has G Tyrese Maxey (20.3 PPG) who has become an elite role player and has evolved into a potential superstar.

Brooklyn doesn’t have the firepower to hang with the 76ers. The Nets looked like a real threat to win it all before the trade deadline, but sending F Kevin Durant to the Phoenix Suns and G Kyrie Irving to the Dallas Mavericks decimated the Nets’ chances for a Finals run.

G/ F Mikal Bridges (17.2 PPG with Nets since February trade) is a bright spot, but there are limits to a team which only has multiple above-average role players and whatever G Ben Simmons is nowadays.

Brooklyn definitely won’t win a game in Philly, and the 76ers are good enough to win this best-of-7 series in 4.

Bank on CAVALIERS TO BEAT Knicks IN 6 (+475)

Defense is why the Cavaliers win this series. F Evan Mobley (16.2 PPG, 9.0 RPG, 1.5 blocks per game) and C Jarrett Allen (14.3 PPG, 9.8 RPG, 1.2 BPG) are top defenders and Defensive Player of the Year candidates. They are a force to be reckoned with.

You might ask, “What about perimeter defense?” G Caris Levert (12.1 PPG, 3.9 APG, 1.0 steals per game) and F Isaac Okoro (6.4 PPG, 0.7 SPG) are great perimeter defenders who can shut down opposing guards and small forwards. On offense, G Donovan Mitchell (28.3 PPG) can score at will. Did you see his 71-point outing against the Chicago Bulls this season? If he wants to score, he will. It also doesn’t hurt to have one of the best passers in the league in G Darius Garland (21.6 PPG, 7.8 APG), who is also one of the most underrated players in the league.

Sure, the Knicks had had an incredible season, much better than most predicted. They just don’t have the starpower to beat the Cavs. F Julius Randle (25.1 PPG, 10.0 RPG) deserved his 2nd All-Star appearance and G Jalen Brunson (24.0 PPG, 6.2 APG) should have been an All-Star, but the team is just above average after that. G RJ Barrett (19.6 PPG) and G Immanuel Quickley (14.9 PPG) are OK but won’t make a difference vs. the Cavs. Expect Brunson to pick apart the Cavs defense, but Randle will be overwhelmed and shut down by Mobley.

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Bank on WARRIORS TO BEAT Kings IN 7 (+550)

This will be a close series. Golden State’s main core – G Stephen Curry (29.4 PPG), G Klay Thompson (21.9 PPG) and F Draymond Green (8.5 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 6.8 APG) – will not allow the Warriors to be eliminated in the 1st round. They are one of the most successful trios of all time. Plus, they have F Jonathan Kuminga (9.9 PPG) and G Jordan Poole (20.4 PPG).

With Curry and Thompson, the Warriors have 2 of the best shooters, while the Kings are one of the worst perimeter defensive teams. Sacramento all-Star C Domantas Sabonis (19.1 PPG, 12.3 RPG) will go off against Golden State’s frontcourt, but the Kings are not good enough to stop the splash brothers.

Give credit where it’s due. The Kings had their best season since 2004-05. Sabonis and G De’Aaron Fox (25.0 PPG) were both All-Stars. F Keegan Murray (12.2 PPG) broke the rookie 3-point record (206 made 3s). G Kevin Huerter (15.2 PPG) was good enough to be in the 3-point contest, and the rest of the lineup has played great. But the Kings just don’t have the tools and the experience to keep up with the Warriors, who win Game 7 on the road in this series.

Bank on SUNS TO BEAT Clippers IN 7 (+400)

Phoenix just has a better lineup. Los Angeles has more depth, but it’s hard to match a Suns team with G Chris Paul (13.9 PPG, 8.9 APG), G Devin Booker (27.8 PPG), C Deandre Ayton (18.0 PPG, 10.0 RPG), and F Kevin Durant (29.1 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 5.0 APG).

The Suns are 8-0 when Durant is in the lineup. K.D. is incredible and might have won MVP if he played more games. Paul might have the highest basketball IQ among all current players. Booker just doesn’t miss — and won’t be double-teamed as much with Durant in the lineup. And Ayton can give you 17 points and 17 rebounds on any given night.

Don’t get me wrong. L.A. is really good. F Kawhi Leonard (23.8 PPG) is one of the best in the game. He is an veteran with lots of experience in deep playoff runs — including titles and Finals MVP awards with the Spurs in 2014 and the Raptors in 2019. G Paul George (23.8 PPG) might be just as good, but he’s a step below elite.

Because many, including the media, dislike G Russell Westbrook (15.9 PPG, 5.8 RPG, 7.5 APG), he might be the most underrated player in the league. Westbrook and Paul have never won a Finals and I believe whichever team wins this series will have a good chance to do just that.

I see Los Angeles winning 1 of the 2 in Phoenix, but the Suns will answer back and take 1 of the 2 in L.A. Phoenix will win Game 5 on its home floor and LA will respond by taking Game 6 on its home floor.

Game 7 will be rockin’ with the Suns winning a tight game in Phoenix to advance to the next round.

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Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Golden State Warriors at Sacramento King odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (49-29) visit the Golden 1 Center Sunday to take on the Sacramento Kings (29-49). Tip-off is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Kings odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Warriors, who are trying to keep their place in the Western Conference, are coming off Saturday’s thrilling victory over the Jazz, covering as 2-point home underdogs. They won 111-107 despite being down 16 in the fourth quarter.

Golden State has been led by G Jordan Poole, who has recorded 2 straight 30-point games and averaged 25.4 points per game in March. The Warriors are just 3-6 against the spread (ATS) in the last 9 games and are 38-36-4 ATS on the season.

The Kings, clearly out of play-in tournament contention, are 38-39-1 ATS on the season and will be without their two leading scorers.

They sit 12th in the West and are 3.5 games behind the Spurs for the 10th spot. Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games though. It allows the second-most points per game in the league (115.8), its main Achilles heel.

Warriors at Kings odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:46 p.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors -230 (bet $230 to win $100) | Kings +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -5.5 (-110) | Kings +5.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Warriors at Kings key injuries

Warriors (not yet submitted)

G Stephen Curry (foot) out

Kings

G De’Aaron Fox (hand) out
C Domantas Sabonis (knee) out

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Warriors at Kings odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 114, Kings 111

Money line

PASS.

While I like the Warriors to win, their -230 money line is far too steep. The Kings, having won 4 of their last 5, have some value at +180, but I’d pass and look toward the points for value.

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Against the spread

BET the KINGS +5.5 (-110).

The Kings are 5-1 ATS over their last 6. While they’ve lost all 3 this season to Golden State by double figures, the Warriors are a different beast with two-time MVP G Stephen Curry in the lineup.

The Warriiors are just 2-6 straight up and 3-5 ATS following Curry’s injury. While Poole has stepped up, he’ll get defensive-minded rookie G Davion Mitchell.

Also, F Harrison Barnes has stepped up for the Kings, and he’s absolutely shredded Golden State this season. He’s scored 25, 24 and 19 in the 3 matchups, shooting over 50% from the field in each.

The Warriors beat the Jazz and lost to the Phoenix Suns by 4, both at home. They’re just 8-11-2 ATS as road favorites, so covering in this situation isn’t something they do often.

Lastly, we’re seeing some reverse-line movement for the Kings as the Warriors are getting 61% of the cash and 78% of the tickets per pregame.com yet the spread has dropped from the open -6.5.

Combine it all, and I’ll take the Kings to keep things at least close.

Over/Under

PASS with a slight lean to the OVER 221.5 (-108).

The Warriors are 3-3 O/U over their last 6, but the Kings, who like to push the pace, are 7-1 O/U in their last 8.

The Dubs defense, which they prided themselves on throughout much of the season, hasn’t been quite as dominant as of late. Their defensive rating is the 17th-best in March.

I like the Over, but the Kings spread is my best bet in this game.

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Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (2-0) head over to the state’s capital to play the Sacramento Kings (1-1) for a 9 p.m. ET at Golden 1 Center. Below, we look at the Warriors vs. Kings odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Golden State has beaten both L.A. basketball teams to open its season. First, the Warriors upset the Los Angeles Lakers 121-114 as 3.5-point home underdogs Tuesday then held off the Los Angeles Clippers at home Thursday 115-113 but failed to cover as 4-point favorites.

Sactown lost at home vs. the Utah Jazz 110-101 as a 6-point underdog Friday after beating the Portland Trail Blazers 124-121 as 6.5-point road underdogs Wednesday.

The Warriors won last season’s series vs. the Kings 2-1 but only covered once and, in fact, Sactown is 9-1 against the spread vs. Golden State in the last 10 meetings.

Warriors at Kings odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:18 a.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Kings +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -3.5 (-108) | Kings +3.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Warriors at Kings key injuries

Warriors

SF Andre Iguodala (hip) questionable
SG Klay Thompson (Achilles) out
C James Wiseman (knee) out
SF Jonathan Kuminga (knee) out

Kings

None

Warriors at Kings odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Kings 121, Warriors 116

Money line

PASS with a slight “lean” to the Kings (+125) because I think Sactown covers the spread, but the money line payout isn’t fat enough.

Another reason why I cannot get behind the Kings winning this game outright is how well Steph Curry plays against Sactown and De’Aaron Fox.

In their five all-time head-to-head meetings, Curry is 5-0 while averaging 33.2 points per game (PPG), 6.0 rebounds per game (RPG) and 5.8 assists per game (APG). Fox is averaging just 17.0 PPG on 39.2% shooting.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the KINGS +3.5 (-112) for a half unit because Sactown usually keeps it close with its Northern California neighbors.

Also, Kings head coach Luke Walton previously worked on Warriors head coach Steve Kerr’s staff, which probably factors into Sactown covering two of three meetings with Golden State last season.

More importantly, this is a “Pros vs. Joe’s” game in the betting market. According to Pregame.com, more than three-fourths of the cash wagered is on the Kings, but nearly 85% of the bets placed are on the Warriors.

Typically, in sports betting, it’s wise to follow the money especially when it’s flowing in the opposite direction as the public.

However, this is more of a “LEAN” on the KINGS +3.5 (-112) because the Warriors have looked like an elite thus far.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 234.5 (-108) because it’s been hit by “sharp line movement” that has caused oddsmakers to move to the Warriors-Kings total up from the 231-point opener.

Furthermore, the Kings have played the third-highest rate of Overs at home since the start of 2019 at 38-29-1 O/U.

It’s only a “lean” because the Warriors have played the highest rate of Under on the road since 2019 at 28-41 O/U and we are getting the worst of the number.

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