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The Golden State Warriors (4-0) and Miami Heat (4-0) meet Sunday at the Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas. Tip-off for the Summer League semifinal game is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Heat odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Golden State posted a 90-83 win over Oklahoma City on Friday, although the Thunder picked up the cover as 9-point underdogs. Pat Spencer led the way for the Dubs with 17 points.
The Warriors have won all 4 games in Las Vegas, averaging 92.0 points per game (PPG) while allowing a mere 80.8 PPG to lead the Summer League. Golden State is 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in 4 games in Las Vegas, and 7-0 straight up (SU) across all summer play.
The Heat have rolled up a league-best 105.5 PPG, while allowing 84.8 PPG. The point differential of 20.7 in the Vegas Summer League is also the best mark among all teams. Miami is 4-0 ATS in summer play.
Warriors at Heat odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:01 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors +142 (bet $100 to win $142) | Heat -176 (bet $176 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Warriors +4 (-110) | Heat -4 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 177.5 (O: -113 | U: -113)
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Warriors at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Heat 93, Warriors 87
Moneyline
MIAMI (-176) is the play if you’re a little more on the conservative side, and you would prefer not to fiddle around with the points.
The Heat have rolled up some huge offensive numbers, thanks in large part to the play of Kel’el Ware, who has averaged 17.3 PPG, 8.8 RPG, 2.0 BPG and 1.5 SPG. Josh Christopher is good for 17.3 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.5 APG and 2.3 SPG, while Cole Swider has a solid 12.0 PPG. The Heat are very deep, especially when Jaime Jaquez Jr. is on the floor, too.
Look for the Heat to push past the Dubs and advance to the Summer League title game.
Against the spread
Backing MIAMI -4 (-110) is the way to go if you’re a little more adventurous.
The Heat have taken on all comers, posting a Summer League best in point differential. Miami is a good bet to get the job done by at least 2 buckets and clinch a spot in the summer final on Monday night.
Just don’t bet more than 1½ UNITS between the Heat ML (-176) and the Heat -4 spread (-110).
Over/Under
OVER 177.5 (-113) is the way to go.
Miami has rolled up a crazy 105.5 PPG, easily the best in summer ball. However, it will have its hands full against a Golden State defense which has allowed just 80.8 PPG. Still, while the Heat might not hit their average, they also won’t be 20 or more points under.
Golden State has enough offense to hang, especially with Brandin Podziemski leading the way with 18.5 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 6.5 APG and 1.5 SPG with 3.5 3-pointers per outing.
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