Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets odds predictions pick betting line spread

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (41-37) battle the Denver Nuggets (51-26) Sunday. Tip from Ball Arena is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Warriors beat the San Antonio Spurs 130-115 Friday, failing to cover as an 18-point home favorite. Golden State is 5-1 straight up in its last 6 games and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). It is 36-40-2 ATS on the season.

The Nuggets are 4-2 straight up over their last 6, coming off a 100-93 road loss to Phoenix Friday in which they covered as a 13-point underdog. Denver is 4-2 ATS in the ant 6 and 42-35 ATS on the season.

Denver is 2-0 straight up and 2-0 ATS against the Warriors this season, winning 128-123 at Golden State on Oct. 21 and 134-117 at home on Feb. 2.

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Warriors at Nuggets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:54 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Nuggets -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +2.5 (-110) | Nuggets -2.5 (-110)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Warriors at Nuggets key injuries

Warriors

F Andrew Wiggins (personal) out

Nuggets

C Nikola Jokic (calf) questionable
G Jamal Murray (knee) probable
F Michael Porter Jr. (heel) probable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 118, Nuggets 114

Moneyline

PASS.

This game should be highly competitive, and with the Warriors winning 5 of their last 6, playing them to win outright at (+115) has value, but I would rather take them on the spread.

Against the spread

LEAN WARRIORS +2.5 (-115).

The Warriors have alternated between covering and not covering over their last 7 games, and they are primed to cover. Golden State has won 5 of its last 6 games, 3 of which were by double figures.

The Nuggets are just 1-2 ATS in their last 3, and the potential MVP, Jokic, is questionable as well and may not be 100%. The Nuggets are also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Given the injuries with the Nuggets and the Golden State in more of a desperation position as the season winds down, back the WARRIORS +2.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 234.5 (-110).

The Warriors are 1-3 O/U in their last 4 and 2-4 O/U in their last 6. While the Warriors play at a breakneck pace, they have scored 120 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 games. The Warriors also rank 9th in defensive rating since the All-Star break, so they are starting to put in the effort at the right time.

The Nuggets have gone Under in 8 straight games and have failed to top even 93 in 2 straight games. They are 35-41-1 O/U on the season and 17-21-1 O/U at home this season.

Considering it all, take the UNDER 234.5 (-110).

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Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (26-25) meet the Denver Nuggets (35-16) Thursday. Tip-off from Ball Arena is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Nuggets odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Warriors failed to cover a 5.5 spread and lost 119-114 in overtime on Wednesday to the Minnesota Timberwolves, and now face the quick turnaround with a trip to the Mile High City. The OT loss snapped a 3-game win streak, although the Warriors are a respectable 5-3 against the spread (ATS) in the last 8 outings.

The Nuggets posted a 122-113 win against the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday, covering as a 6.5-point home favorite and halting a 2-game losing streak. The Nuggs are 3-1 ATS in the last 4 games and the Over has cashed in 3 in a row.

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Warriors at Nuggets odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:59 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Warriors +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Nuggets -700 (bet $700 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Warriors +12.5 (-115) | Nuggets -12.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 233.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Warriors at Nuggets key injuries

Warriors

G Andre Iguodala (hip) out

Nuggets

F Aaron Gordon (ankle) questionable
F Jack White (hip) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Warriors at Nuggets picks and predictions

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Warriors 115

Moneyline

The Nuggets (-700) will cost you 7 times your potential return, and that’s way too much. Denver won the 1st meeting in Oakland, but it won by just 5 points. You can expect the Warriors (+500) to give the Nuggets another solid effort in the Mile High City.

PASS.

Against the spread

The WARRIORS +12.5 (-115) catching double digits is quite disrespectful. The last time Golden State was a double-digit underdog, Jan. 20 in Cleveland, the Dubs won outright by a 120-114 score as a 10.5-point underdog. In fact, as a ‘dog of 4.5 or more points, Golden State has covered in 4 in a row, winning 3 of the games outright.

Over/Under

OVER 233.5 (-105) is the best play in this game.

The Over is 7-3-1 in the last 11 games overall for the Warriors, while cashing at a 4-1 clip in the last 5 against winning teams. The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 when working on no rest, too.

The Over is 4-1 in the last 5 games against winning teams for Golden State, while also going 4-1 in the past 5 games for Denver against teams with a winning overall record.

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Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 6 seed Denver Nuggets visit the Chase Center Saturday to take on the 3rd-seeded Golden State Warriors. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nuggets vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Warriors ended their season on a 5-game win streak, but they still struggled down the stretch as two-time MVP PG Stephen Curry hasn’t played since spraining his foot in a home loss to Boston March 16.

Golden State has been terrific as a home favorite this season, posting a 20-16-2 against the spread (ATS) record. It is 29-9 straight up as a home favorite but just 1-3 against Denver this season.

The Warriors played all 4 of those games without 4-time All-Star PF Draymond Green. As for the Nuggets, they were down star PG Jamal Murray the entire season and SF Michael Porter Jr. the bulk of the season.

Denver is led by reigning MVP C Nikola Jokic. The Nuggets are 12-9 ATS as road underdogs this season. They have the league’s No. 1 effective field-goal percentage.

Nuggets at Warriors odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:33 a.m. ET.

Money line: Nuggets +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Warriors -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
Against the spread: Nuggets +6.5 (-115) | Warriors -6.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Nuggets at Warriors key injuries

Nuggets

PG Jamal Murray (knee) out
SF Michael Porter Jr. (back) out

Warriors

G Stephen Curry (foot) probable

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Nuggets at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 114, Nuggets 111

Money line

PASS.

With Curry on a minutes restriction and potentially not 100%, I would not consider more than two and a half times a potential return for the Warriors (-270) to win. Denver has value at +210, but I’d rather play the spread, taking the points.

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Against the spread

BET NUGGETS +6.5 (-115).

This is entirely too many points for the Nuggets. I pegged them as about 4-point underdogs, especially considering Curry may not be 100%.

Jokic has once again been the best player in the NBA, and he’s difficult to deal with. His incredible vision is why the Nuggets sit atop the league in true-shooting percentage.

Similarly, while the Warriors may be able to get back to their league-best defense, since the All-Star break, they rank 8th in defensive rating. It won’t be easy to get to that level in one game, especially with a rotation that will still be searching for its identity.

Also, the Nuggets rank 6th in points in the paint behind Jokic and C DeMarcus Cousins, who stands 6-foot-10 and weighs 270 pounds. The Warriors do not start a player over 6-foot-9.

I fully expect the Warriors to win the series, but getting everything back to their championship level may be difficult in this first game. Even if they win, 6.5 points are too many.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 222.5 (-115).

The O/U is 2-2 the 4 times these teams met this season.

With the Nuggets ranking 12th in pace since the All-Star break and the Warriors defense having fallen off a cliff in the second half of the season, I expect a high-scoring affair.

The Nuggets have gone Over in 4 of their last 6. The Warriors are 2-1 O/U in their last 3. On the season, the teams are respectively 44-36-2 O/U and 35-45-2 O/U.

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Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Thursday’s Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Golden State Warriors (6-5) and the Denver Nuggets (5-6) hook up Thursday for a 10 p.m. ET tip at Ball Arena. Below, we analyze the Warriors-Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Warriors at Nuggets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Warriors +5.5 (-120) | Nuggets -5.5 (+100)
Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Warriors at Nuggets: Key Injuries

Warriors

F Marquese Chriss (leg) out
F Eric Paschall (illness) probable
F Alen Smailagic (knee) out
G Klay Thompson (Achilles’) out

Nuggets

G Gary Harris (personal) questionable
F Michael Porter Jr. (personal) out
G Greg Whittington (knee) out

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Warriors at Nuggets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Warriors 112

Money line (ML)

The Nuggets (-200) will cost you twice as much as your potential return, which is a little much since the Warriors (+165) have been playing much better than last season, and they’re above .500.

AVOID, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread (ATS)

The NUGGETS -5.5 (+100) are a strong choice, especially at even money. While the Warriors +5.5 (-120) have failed to cover in consecutive games just once this season, the first three outings. All of those games were on the road, and they’re just 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS in four outings away from the Bay Area this season. While the Warriors are 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings, and the Nuggets are just 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven at home, play Denver due to Golden State’s struggles on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 227.5 (-115) is the way to go, especially after dropping a couple of points. The over has hit in eight of the past 11 meetings in the Mile High City. The Over is also 4-1 in Golden State’s past five after a straight up loss, while hitting in 12 of the past 16 for Denver against teams with a winning overall record. The Over is also an impressive 9-0 in Denver’s past nine while playing on one day of rest.

Hoops Hype:

MVP Race: Nikola Jokic takes over top spot
Rumors: Warriors | Nuggets

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