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The Golden State Warriors (36-34) take on the Miami Heat (39-32) Tuesday. Tip-off from Kaseya Center is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Warriors vs. Heat odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
Season series: Heat lead 1-0
The Warriors opened their current 5-game road trip with a 114-100 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves Sunday as 2-point underdogs. It was their 2nd straight loss and 3rd in 4 games. They’re clinging on to the No. 10 seed in the Western Conference for the final play-in spot, leading the Houston Rockets by a half-game.
The Heat have won 4 of their last 6 games and are coming off a 121-84 home win over the Cleveland Cavaliers as 3.5-point favorites Sunday. They are 7th in the East, holding the top play-in spot. They trail the No. 6 Indiana Pacers by 1 game.
Warriors at Heat odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Warriors -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Heat +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
- Against the spread (ATS): Warriors -1.5 (-115) | Heat +1.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 218.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Warriors at Heat key injuries
Warriors
- C Trayce Jackson-Davis (knee) questionable
Heat
- G Tyler Herro (knee) out
- G Jaime Jaquez Jr. (ankle) questionable
- F Kevin Love (heel) questionable
- F Caleb Martin (ankle) questionable
- F Duncan Robinson (back) out
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Warriors at Heat picks and predictions
Prediction
Warriors 108, Heat 104
Moneyline
In their 1st meeting this season (Dec. 28), the Heat won 114-102 in San Francisco as 6.5-point underdogs behind 26 points from Herro. In that game, G Stephen Curry shot only 3 for 15 and had 13 points, and F Draymond Green did not play.
This time around, Golden State (-135) is healthy, and Miami will be without Herro and Robinson.
The Warriors are 5-3 in their last 8 road games. The Heat have lost 3 of their last 4 home games.
I like the Warriors as the road favorites, and the odds at -135 are fine, but the spread odds are slightly better.
PASS.
Against the spread
The Heat are 1-7 ATS as home underdogs this season.
The Warriors are 11-4 ATS when favored on the road.
With only a 1.5-point spread, this is pretty easy.
BET WARRIORS -1.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The total in the Dec. 28 meeting was 216 points.
The Heat have gone 9 straight games without a total reaching 219.
The Warriors’ last 5 games, and 8 of their last 10, all have had totals of at least 219.
Miami’s opponents have scored more than 110 points only twice in its last 10 games.
BET UNDER 218.5 (-115).
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