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The Georgia State Panthers (6-1, 3-1 Sun Belt) and Georgia Southern Eagles (5-2, 2-1) tangle in a Thursday Sun Belt contest. Kickoff at Allen E. Paulson Stadium is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET (ESPN2). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Georgia State vs. Georgia Southern odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Georgia State lost its lone game Sept. 30, a disappointing 28-7 setback at home against Troy. The Panthers then had a bye week, and they have since bounced back with back-to-back impressive victories. Most recently, Georgia State clocked a 20-17 road win at Louisiana as a 3-point underdog on Saturday.
The Eagles pass more than any team in FBS; they have averaged 48.9 aerial attempts per game so far this season. On Saturday, Georgia Southern beat Louisiana-Monroe 38-28 (as a -16.5 favorite). The Eagles were up big early and went more to the run against ULM. They finished with 242 passing yards, a couple clicks south of their 318.7-yard average (12th FBS).
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Georgia State at Georgia Southern odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:48 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Georgia State +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Georgia Southern -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Georgia State +1.5 (-110) | Georgia Southern -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 62.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Georgia State at Georgia Southern picks and predictions
Prediction
Georgia Southern 31, Georgia State 27
Moneyline
State beat Southern 41-33 a year ago, but this Eagles team is efficient and versatile and perhaps a bit unlucky to be averaging 32.3 points per game when more than a few indicators trend higher.
Georgia Southern is a lean, but PASS unless a better price pops up here.
Against the spread
Georgia Southern is quite good against the rush, and that could be problematic for the Panthers. Two of Georgia State’s last 3 losses (vs. Troy this season and Appalachian State last fall) have come against teams that figure as top-quartile against the run.
In many camps, State gets a green check next to its 41-27 Oct. 14 win over a now 4-2 Marshall team. But that game was dead even statistically, and the Panthers went into the 4th quarter leading 27-24.
In last year’s meeting, Georgia State was a plus-4 in turnover margin and managed a couple key, short-field scores.
Look for revenge-minded Georgia Southern to really work an advantage in the passing game on a good-weather evening in eastern Georgia.
BET THE EAGLES -1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
Several signals going both ways here, crisscrossing and making for a PASS.
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