Tag: FPI

All 32 NFL teams (including the Broncos) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 7, the Broncos have a -3.8 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL. 

Six games into the season, the Denver Broncos (3-3) have a -3.8 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL.

The New Orleans Saints (2-4), who will host the Broncos on Thursday Night Football this week, are ranked 29th with a -5.2 FPI rating.

FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season.

  1. Detroit Lions (4-1): 6.8
  2. Baltimore Ravens (4-2): 6.0
  3. Kansas City Chiefs (5-0): 5.8
  4. San Francisco 49ers (3-3): 4.8
  5. Buffalo Bills (4-2): 4.6
  6. Green Bay Packers (4-2): 4.4
  7. Philadelphia Eagles (3-2): 2.5
  8. Minnesota Vikings (5-0): 2.4
  9. Houston Texans (5-1): 2.1
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2): 1.8
  11. New York Jets (2-4): 1.6
  12. Washington Commanders (4-2): 1.3
  13. Chicago Bears (4-2): 1.3
  14. Cincinnati Bengals (2-4): 1.2
  15. Atlanta Falcons (4-2): 0.9
  16. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2): 0.6
  17. Indianapolis Colts (3-3): 0.2
  18. Los Angeles Rams (1-4): -0.1
  19. Arizona Cardinals (2-4): -0.6
  20. Los Angeles Chargers (3-2): -0.6
  21. Dallas Cowboys (3-3): -1.1
  22. Seattle Seahawks (3-3): -1.4
  23. Tennessee Titans (1-4): -3.0
  24. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5): -3.0
  25. Denver Broncos (3-3): -3.8
  26. New York Giants (2-4): -3.8
  27. Cleveland Browns (1-5): -4.2
  28. Las Vegas Raiders (2-4): -4.3
  29. New Orleans Saints (2-4): -5.2
  30. Carolina Panthers (1-5): -6.9
  31. Miami Dolphins (2-3): -8.0
  32. New England Patriots (1-5): -9.8

The Broncos will aim to improve their rating when they take on the Saints in Week 7. Denver is currently three spots up from its ranking last week.

[vertical-gallery id=620142]

Gators leap in Football Power Index rankings despite OT loss at Vols

Even with a 3-3 record, the Gators are perched just outside the FPI top 25 after Week 7.

Some poor playcalling stood between the Florida Gators and a victory over the Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday in a Southeastern Conference rivalry battle that took an extra period of play to resolve. Unfortunately, the Gators fell in Knoxville, 23-17.

The loss sends Billy Napier and Co. to 3-3 overall this fall and 1-2 against SEC opponents.

However, there is some good news — a silver lining, if you will — from defeat inside Neyland Stadium. Florida’s defense looked unusually robust and the Gators were able to hang with a top-10 team for over 60 minutes, so something must have gone right.

Some of the rankings sure think so, at least.

Florida football’s FPI ranking, rating

According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, Florida moved up nine spots from No. 36 to No. 27 while its overall FPI rating improved by 1.5 points from 7.2 to 8.7 following the loss. That puts the Gators between the No. 26 South Carolina Gamecocks and No. 28 Wisconsin Badgers.

Florida is now given a 33.8% chance of winning six games this fall — up from 31.6% last week — along with a 0% chance of winning the conference, a microscopic 0.2% chance of making the College Football Playoffs, a 0% chance of making the championship game and a 0% chance of winning the national title. The FPI’s final record predicts currently sits at 5.1-6.9.

SEC teams in FPI

The top five programs in the index this week remain unchanged, featuring four SEC schools headlined by the top-ranked Texas Longhorns (29.8), followed by the Alabama Crimson Tide (3rd, 23.7), Georgia Bulldogs (4th, 22.5) and Ole Miss Rebels (5th, 21.6).

The remainder of the top 25 consists of the Tennessee Volunteers (7th, 20.3), Texas A&M Aggies (12th, 15.6), LSU Tigers (14th, 14.6), Missouri Tigers (19th, 12.7), Oklahoma Sooners (20th, 12.0) and Arkansas Razorbacks (25th, 9.6).

Next up are the South Carolina Gamecocks (26th, 9.2) ahead of Florida, followed by the Kentucky Wildcats (32nd, 7.8), Auburn Tigers (34th, 7.6), Vanderbilt Commodores (35th, 7.6) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (59th, 2.0) to round out the SEC schools. 

About ESPN’s FPI

“The Football Power Index is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.

“FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Coming up for the Gators

The Gators host the Kentucky Wildcats inside Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 19. Kickoff is set for 7:45 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on the SEC Network.

Follow us @GatorsWire on X, formerly known as Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Florida Gators news, notes and opinions.

Florida jumps up Football Power Index rankings after home win over UCF

ESPN’s FPI had a very positive response to Florida’s Week 6 win over UCF in the Swamp.

The Swamp hosted a battle between two Sunshine State college football programs on Saturday night, with the Florida Gators prevailing over the UCF Knights, 24-13. The win pulled [autotag]Billy Napier[/autotag]’s squad over the .500 mark for the first time this fall.

Not only did the crucial home victory improve the Orange and Blue’s standing in the win column, it also gave the program a boost in some of the rating systems, including ESPN’s Football Power Index. After Week 6’s gridiron action, Florida rose 10 spots to No. 36 out of 134 Football Bowl Subdivision schools with a 7.2 overall rating.

That puts the Gators between the No. 35 South Carolina Gamecocks and No. 37 Nebraska Cornhuskers.

Florida is now given a 31.6% chance of winning six games this fall — up from 14.4% last week — along with a 0% chance of winning the conference, a microscopic 0.5% chance of making the College Football Playoffs, a 0% chance of making the championship game and a 0% chance of winning the national title. The FPI’s final record predicts currently sits at 5.0-7.0.

SEC teams in FPI

The SEC is represented among the top five by the top-ranked Texas Longhorns (28.1), followed by the Alabama Crimson Tide (3rd, 25.2), Georgia Bulldogs (4th, 24.4) and Ole Miss Rebels (5th, 23.1).

The remainder of the top 25 consists of the Tennessee Volunteers (6th, 21.5), Texas A&M Aggies (12th, 15.1), LSU Tigers (15th, 14.0), Oklahoma Sooners (17th, 13.2), Missouri Tigers (22nd, 10.5), Arkansas Razorbacks (24th, 9.9) and Kentucky Wildcats (25th, 9.5).

Next up are the Auburn Tigers (34th, 7.5) and South Carolina (35th, 7.4) before Florida appears in the rankings. The Vanderbilt Commodores (41st, 5.9) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (68th, 0.1) round out the SEC schools, respectively.

About ESPN’s FPI

“The Football Power Index is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.

“FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Next up for Florida

The Gators head to Knoxville next week to resume Southeastern Conference play against Tennessee. Kickoff is slated for 7 p.m. ET and the game will be broadcast on ESPN.

Follow us @GatorsWire on X, formerly known as Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Florida Gators news, notes and opinions.

Florida falls in ESPN’s Football Power Index after bye week

A week away from the field resulted in a modest drop in ESPN’s FPI ranking for Florida football.

The Florida Gators got a chance to catch their breath in Week 5 of the 2024 college football campaign thanks to a bye, though a hurricane still made things a bit uncomfortable in Gainesville.

While the Orange and Blue were away from the field, most of the nation still competed on the collegiate gridiron, with some rather exciting outcomes.

Following the results of last weekend’s action, Florida’s position in ESPN’s updated Football Power Index dropped seven spots from No. 39 to No. 46 while its overall rating fell 0.2 points from last week to 5.4. That puts the Gators between the No. 45 Rutgers Scarlet Knights and No. 47 Boston College Eagles.

Billy Napier and Co. are now given a 14.4% chance of winning six games this fall — down from 15.2% last week — along with a 0% chance of winning the conference, a microscopic 0.1% chance of making the College Football Playoffs, a 0% chance of making the championship game and a 0% chance of winning the national title. The FPI’s final record predicts currently sits at 4.2-7.8.

SEC teams in FPI

The SEC is represented among the top five by the top-ranked Texas Longhorns (27.9), followed by the Alabama Crimson Tide (2nd, 27.9), Georgia Bulldogs (4th, 25.2) and Tennessee Volunteers (5th, 23.6), respectively.

The remainder of the top 25 consists of the Ole Miss Rebels (6th, 21.8), Missouri Tigers (14th, 14.1), LSU Tigers (15th, 13.9),  Oklahoma Sooners (17th, 12.2), Texas A&M Aggies (18th, 11.9), Kentucky Wildcats (23rd, 9.5) and South Carolina Gamecocks (25th, 9.1).

Next up are the Arkansas Razorbacks (27th, 8.5) and Auburn Tigers (38th, 6.7), with the Vanderbilt Commodores (57th, 3.3) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (70th, -0.3) following Florida, respectively.

About ESPN’s FPI

“The Football Power Index is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Up next for the Gators

Florida hosts the UCF Knights on Saturday, Oct. 5 for a Week 6 tangle between two Sunshine State rivals, with kickoff slated for 7:45 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on the SEC Network.

Follow us @GatorsWire on X, formerly known as Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Florida Gators news, notes and opinions.

Kentucky football jumps up 15 spots in ESPN’s FPI after Ole Miss win

ESPN’s Football Power Index moved Kentucky football up into the top 25 after they beat Ole Miss.

After upsetting Ole Miss on Saturday, Kentucky football got back over .500 for the season, and got votes in both the US LBM Coaches Poll and in the AP Top 25 Poll, though they didn’t crack the top 25 in either.

Kentucky did, however, break into a different top 25 ranking. ESPN’s Football Power Index (FPI) jumped the Wildcats up 15 spots to number 23 overall after their win over the Rebels.

Related: SEC football power rankings after week five

The FPI uses simulations, results so far, and remaining schedule to rank the teams based on strength. Kentucky’s score is a 9.5, and is the highest of any team with two losses.

Along with their ranking, Kentucky is now given an 82.5% chance to win six games, and a 2.8% chance of making the College Football Playoff.

Eleven SEC teams were ranked in the FPI top 25 this week. Kentucky is number ten of those teams. They have a bye week in week six, then host Vanderbilt before taking on the Florida Gators.

Gators get big boost in Football Power Index after Week 4 road win

The FPI sees Florida football in a brighter light after the Week 4 win over Mississippi State.

Florida football scored an important win during Week 4 over the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Starkville. The Gators had lost seven straight games to FBS opponents and were on the brink of completely losing control of the season.

Alas, the road win helped even the Orange and Blue’s fall record to 2-2 overall and 1-1 against Southeastern Conference opponents while lessening the hot seat under [autotag]Billy Napier[/autotag] just a touch. It also improved the program’s overall standings in various ratings and rankings, including ESPN’s Football Power Index.

Following Florida’s Week 4 win the Gators saw their stock rise dramatically in the FPI, jumping from No. 52 with a rating of 3.4 last week to No. 39 and a 2.2-point jump to a rating of 5.6. That puts Napier and Co. between the No. 38 Kentucky Wildcats and No. 40 Illinois Fighting Illini.

USA TODAY 10Best: Is Florida the best college for sports fans? Vote now!

The Gators are now given a 15.2% chance of winning six games this fall — up from 6.9% from last week — along with a 0% chance of winning the conference, a microscopic 0.2% chance of making the College Football Playoffs, a 0% chance of making the championship game and a 0% chance of winning the national title.

SEC teams in FPI

The SEC is represented among the top five by the top-ranked Texas Longhorns (29.1), followed by the Alabama Crimson Tide (2nd, 28.0), Georgia Bulldogs (4th, 24.0) and Tennessee Volunteers (5th, 23.8), respectively.

The remainder of the top 25 consists of the Ole Miss Rebels (6th, 23.8), Missouri Tigers (13th, 15.1), Oklahoma Sooners (17th, 12.1), Texas A&M Aggies (18th, 11.9), LSU Tigers (19th, 11.5) and Arkansas Razorbacks (23rd, 9.7). Next up are the South Carolina Gamecocks (29th, 8.2), Auburn Tigers (34th, 6.9) and Kentucky (38th, 6.7).

The Vanderbilt Commodores (54th, 3.3) and Mississippi State (72nd, -1.5) both lag behind Florida in the rankings.

About ESPN’s FPI

“The Football Power Index is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Up next for the Gators

The Gators will be out of action for Week 5 due to their bye week. Florida’s next opponent will be the UCF Knights on Oct. 5 at 7:15 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on the SEC Network.

Follow us @GatorsWire on X, formerly known as Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Florida Gators news, notes and opinions.

Florida falls further in ESPN’s Football Power Index after Week 3

The Gators are no longer a top-50 team in ESPN’s FPI rankings.

Week 3’s Southeastern Conference schedule-opening matchup between the Florida Gators and Texas A&M Aggies did not go how the Gator Nation had hoped, falling to the visitors, 33-20, in the Swamp. With the loss went [autotag]Billy Napier[/autotag]’s chances of making it through the season as well as a .500 or better finish.

After the home defeat, ESPN’s Football Power Index dropped Florida eight spots to No. 52 after sitting at No. 44 the last two weeks; its FPI rating also tumbled from 4.4 to 3.4, putting the Gators between the No. 51 West Virginia Mountaineers and No. 53 Texas Tech Red Raiders.

The Orange and Blue are now given a 6.9% chance of winning six games this fall — down 9.2% from last week — along with a 0% chance of winning the conference, a microscopic 0.1% chance of making the College Football Playoffs, a 0% chance of making the championship game and a 0% chance of winning the national title.

SEC teams in FPI

The SEC is represented among the top 25 by the top-ranked Texas Longhorns (28.5), followed by the Alabama Crimson Tide (2nd, 28.2), Tennessee Volunteers (4th, 24.4) and Georgia Bulldogs (5th, 23.7), respectively.

The top 25 consists of the Ole Miss Rebels (6th, 22.7), Missouri Tigers (10th, 17.4), Oklahoma Sooners (15th, 13.5), Texas A&M (16th, 13.4) and LSU Tigers (22nd, 10.5). Next up are the Auburn Tigers (26th, 9.0), Arkansas Razorbacks (29th, 8.2), South Carolina Gamecocks (33rd, 6.2) and Kentucky Wildcats (29th, 5.2).

The Vanderbilt Commodores (60th, 1.8) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (64th, 0.4) both lag behind Florida in the rankings.

About ESPN’s FPI

“The Football Power Index is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Up next for the Gators

Florida will play their first road game of the season as they travel up to Starkville to play against the Mississippi State Bulldogs on Saturday, Sept. 21. Kickoff is set for noon ET and will be broadcast on ESPN.

Follow us @GatorsWire on X, formerly known as Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Florida Gators news, notes and opinions.

Gators stand pat in ESPN’s Football Power Index after Week 2

The home win for Florida over an FCS school on Saturday did little to move the needle in ESPN’s FPI update.

Florida football earned its first win of the 2024 campaign in Week 2 against the Samford Bulldogs, but apart from freshman quarterback DJ Lagway‘s standout play, it was not an overly impressive effort. A win is a win, of course, but this one did very little to move the needle in ESPN’s Football Power Index.

The Gators remain ranked 44th in the updated FPI with a 4.4 rating — the same as last week. The Orange and Blue also stayed at No. 14 in the Southeastern Conference, ahead of only the Vanderbilt Commodores (54th, 3.1) and Kentucky Wildcats (55th, 2.8).

Napier and Co. are given a 16.1% chance of winning six games this fall — up 0.2% from last week — along with a 0% chance of winning the conference, a 0.4% chance of making the College Football Playoffs, a 0% chance of making the championship game and a 0% chance of winning the national title.

SEC teams in FPI

The SEC is represented among the top 25 by the top-ranked Texas Longhorns (27.4), followed by the Georgia Bulldogs (26.8) and Alabama Crimson Tide (2nd, 26.2), who took the top three spots, respectively.

The Tennessee Volunteers (5th, 21.8), Ole Miss Rebels (6th, 20.1), Missouri Tigers (9th, 16.4), Oklahoma Sooners (15th, 12.6), Texas A&M Aggies (19th, 10.8), LSU Tigers (20th, 10.2), Arkansas Razorbacks (23rd, 9.3) and Auburn Tigers (25th, 8.9).

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (38th, 5.7) sit outside of the top 25 along with Florida and the other two.

About ESPN’s FPI

“The Football Power Index is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Next up for the Gators

Florida will host Texas A&M inside Ben Hill Griffin Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 14. Kickoff is slated for 3:30 p.m. ET and the game will be broadcast on ABC.

Follow us @GatorsWire on X, formerly known as Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Florida Gators news, notes and opinions.

LSU falls in ESPN FPI despite Week 2 win over Nicholls

The Tigers won their first game of the season on Saturday, but it certainly raised some concerns.

LSU got its first win of the season on Saturday night at home in Week 2 against Nicholls, but it wasn’t without its concerns.

While the passing game impressed as quarterback [autotag]Garrett Nussmeier[/autotag] threw for over 300 yards and six touchdowns, it still wasn’t the best game defensively as the Tigers allowed 150 yards on the ground. Their own ground game also struggled, going for just 64 yards on 21 carries.

LSU got some momentum entering its Week 3 SEC opener against South Carolina, but it wasn’t the most inspiring performance. As a result, the Tigers dropped three spots in Sunday’s update to the ESPN FPI from No. 17 to No. 20.

Coach Brian Kelly’s team clearly has some limitations early in the season. Only time will tell if it can overcome those and an early loss to compete for a College Football Playoff spot.

Contact/Follow us @LSUTigersWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Louisiana State news, notes, and opinions.

Follow Tyler to continue the conversation on Twitter: @TylerNettuno

What ESPN’s FPI says about LSU’s playoff chances after USC loss

What chance does ESPN’s FPI give LSU of making the playoff after Week 1?

With the playoff expanding to 12, there’s more room for error. But LSU’s chances still took a hit after the week one loss to USC.

According to ESPN’s FPI, LSU’s playoff hopes are just 5.9% now. That’s still better than most, but LSU has an uphill battle to fight if it envisions playing postseason football.

FPI puts LSU’s projected win total at 6.6 with a slew of tough opponents remaining. Finishing with just six or seven wins would come as a disappointment to fans, especially after the double-digit win campaigns of 2022 and 2023.

When it comes to winning out, the chance is close to zero. FPI gives LSU less than a 1% chance of sweeping the remaining schedule.

The good news is LSU’s toughest opponents from here on out will travel to Tiger Stadium. Brian Kelly’s squad will get home-field advantage for the Ole Miss, Alabama and Oklahoma games.

LSU’s overall FPI ranks No. 17 nationally and the Tigers have a .09% chance of winning the conference.

According to TeamRankings, LSU’s most likely record is 8-4 with a 2.5% chance of winning the SEC.

Contact/Follow us @LSUTigersWire on Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Louisiana State news, notes, and opinions.