Tag: FPI

ESPN FPI matchup predictions for Penn State’s remaining schedule starting with this week’s game vs. Washington

How much will Penn State’s season be impacted by this weekend’s loss at home to Ohio State? According to the latest numbers, it may not have changed all that much for the Nittany Lions. This week’s updated look at the win percentages for Penn State …

How much will Penn State’s season be impacted by this weekend’s loss at home to Ohio State? According to the latest numbers, it may not have changed all that much for the Nittany Lions.

This week’s updated look at the win percentages for Penn State still shows the Nittany Lions in a favorable spot in each of its remaining games. Each win probability did drop slightly this week, but not enough to raise much concern. The exception to that is the upcoming road trip to Minnesota. That matchup continues to trend in an ominous direction by the week and has now dropped Penn State’s win probability below 70% after the results of Week 10. Minnesota is a team trending up and is looking more like a problem for Penn State coming up.

Here is a look at the updated win probabilities for Penn State for each remaining game according to ESPN’s analytics.

Beaver Stadium (University Park, Pennsylvania)

Predicted Winner | Penn State
Nittany Lions Win Probability | 87.2% (was 89.2%)
All-Time Series | PSU leads 3-0

Projected Running Record | 8-1

Ross-Ade Stadium (West Lafayette, Indiana)

Predicted Winner | Penn State
Nittany Lions Win Probability | 96.5% (was 96.7%)
All-Time Series | PSU leads 16-3-1

Projected Running Record | 9-1

Huntington Bank Stadium (Minneapolis, Minnesota)

Predicted Winner | Penn State
Nittany Lions Win Probability | 68.7% (was 72.1%)
All-Time Series | PSU leads 10-6

Projected Running Record | 10-1

Beaver Stadium (University Park, Pennsylvania)

Predicted Winner | Penn State
Nittany Lions Win Probability | 89.5% (was 89.9%)
All-Time Series | PSU leads 43-1-3

Projected Running Record | 11-1

Penn State’s shot at a Big Ten title did get a lot tougher this weekend as a result of the loss to the Buckeyes. Penn State now has the fourth-best odds of winning the Big Ten mostly because it is much more challenging just to get into the conference championship game. ESPN’s FPI numbers agree, giving Penn State a 5.1% chance to win the Big Ten.

The good news is Penn State still has a favorable outlook to reach the College Football Playoff. ESPN’s FPI numbers give Penn State a 73.7% chance of being one of the 12 teams in this year’s playoff field, the eighth-best odds in the nation. Once they get there, however, Penn State is a long shot to win it all. ESPN’s FPI gives Penn State a 9.2% chance of reaching the College Football Playoff and a 4.0% chance of winning the national title.

But at least there’s a chance!

Florida drops in Football Power index rankings, still among top 25

Despite a demoralizing loss — both on the scoreboard and on the injury report — Florida is still one of the FPI’s top 25 teams in the nation.

It looked like Florida football would get the monkey off its back against the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday… until the injuries and mistakes began. Ultimately, the Gators fell, 34-20, in Jacksonville to their biggest rivals dropping them to 4-4 this fall with a three-pack of top opponents coming up.

With a little over five minutes to play in the second quarter, Florida’s Week 10 starter and former backup quarterback — and true freshman to boot – [autotag]DJ Lagway[/autotag] went down with what might be a season-ending injury that could also effectively end [autotag]Billy Napier[/autotag]’s third (and final?) season in Gainesville.

However, the computer models do not see injuries the way the human eye does, as exemplified by ESPN’s latest Football Power Index rankings update, in which the Orange and Blue lost some ground but are still among the top 25 schools in the nation.

Florida football’s FPI ranking, rating

Following the loss, the FPI dropped Florida two spots from No. 23 to No. 25, with the team’s overall rating dropping from 10.9 points in last week’s results to 10.3 this week. That puts UF between the No. 24 Tulane Green Wave and No. 26 Missouri Tigers.

Florida is now given a 48.8% chance of winning six games this fall — down from 55.6% — along with a 0.9% chance of winning out, as well as a 0% chance of winning the conference, a microscopic 0.1% chance of making the College Football Playoffs, a 0% chance of making the championship game and a 0% chance of winning the national title. The FPI’s final record prediction dropped 0.2 wins to 5.5-6.5.

SEC teams in FPI

The Texas Longhorns (26.0 rating) remained in the top spot in the rankings this week, while the Alabama Crimson Tide (25.3) also stood pat at No. 3 overall. Georgia (23.1) stayed at No. 4 followed by the Ole Miss Rebels (6th, 22.0) and  Tennessee Volunteers (8th, 20.5) to round out the top 10.

The LSU Tigers (16.0) moved up to No. 12, with the Texas A&M Aggies (16.7) trailing behind at No. 15 (14.5), South Carolina Gamecocks at No. 18 (13.3) and Florida (25th, 10.3) wrapping up the top 25.

The remainder of the conference schools in the FPI are Missouri (26th, 10.3), the Oklahoma Sooners (27th, 10.3), Arkansas Razorbacks (29th, 8.5), Auburn Tigers (32nd, 7.9), Vanderbilt Commodores (34th, 7.8), Kentucky Wildcats (44th, 5.5) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (69th, -0.7).

What’s next for the Gators?

Florida will go on the road and face the Texas Longhorns in Austin, Texas, on Saturday, Nov. 9. Kickoff is set for noon ET and will be broadcast on ABC.

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How does ESPN’s FPI rank LSU’s strength of schedule in 2024?

How does LSU’s strength of schedule compare to its peers?

In the age of the 12-team playoff, the strength of schedule conversations aren’t going away.  The margins between teams six and 16 will be slim. Nitpicking schedules will be the difference between making the field or missing out.

LSU’s schedule is always tough and this year’s been no different. In the last month, LSU hosted a top 10-ranked Ole Miss team and had to play on the road at College Station.

So, how does LSU’s strength of schedule compare to its peers?

According to ESPN’s FPI, LSU owns the eighth-toughest schedule in the country. Five of the seven teams with tougher schedules are also in the SEC. The top three toughest schedules in the country belong to Oklahoma, Georgia, and Mississippi State,

LSU’s SOS gives the Tigers a good shot of getting into the playoff if it finishes 10-2. Or even 10-3 with a loss in the SEC title.

TeamRankings also ranks LSU’s schedule among the toughest in the nation, with only Georgia, Alabama, and South Carolina facing tougher slates.

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All 32 NFL teams (including the Cowboys) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 9, the Cowboys have a -1.0 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks in the bottom 10 of the NFL.

The 2024 NFL season has reached what used to be the halfway point, as Week 9 has arrived. Eight games into the year, the Dallas Cowboys (3-4) have a -1.0 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 23rd in the league.

The Atlanta Falcons (5-3), who will host Dallas on Sunday, are ranked 15th with a 0.6 FPI rating.

FPI is “a prediction system for the NFL. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of a predicted offensive, defensive and special teams efficiency, as measured by expected points added per play, and that rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections,” according to ESPN.com. FPI “represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Here’s a look at the ratings heading into the weekend action.

  1. Detroit Lions (6-1): 7.6
  2. Baltimore Ravens (3-2): 6.2
  3. Buffalo Bills (6-2): 6.2
  4. Kansas City Chiefs (7-0): 6.1
  5. Philadelphia Eagles (5-2): 4.0
  6. San Francisco 49ers (4-4): 3.8
  7. Green Bay Packers (6-2): 2.4
  8. Washington Commanders (6-2): 2.2
  9. Indianapolis Colts (4-4): 2.0
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2): 1.8
  11. Minnesota Vikings (5-2): 1.8
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4): 1.8
  13. Houston Texans (6-2): 1.8
  14. Chicago Bears (4-3): 1.0
  15. Atlanta Falcons (5-3): 0.6
  16. New York Jets (2-6): 0.5
  17. Cleveland Browns (2-6): 0.3
  18. Los Angeles Rams (3-4): -0.0
  19. Cincinnati Bengals (3-5): -0.0
  20. Los Angeles Chargers (4-3): -0.1
  21. Arizona Cardinals (4-4): -0.3
  22. New Orleans Saints (2-6): -0.7
  23. Dallas Cowboys (3-4): -1.0
  24. Seattle Seahawks (4-4): -1.4
  25. Miami Dolphins (2-5): -1.8
  26. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6): -1.9
  27. Denver Broncos (5-3): -2.5
  28. Las Vegas Raiders (2-6): -4.5
  29. New York Giants (2-6): -4.8
  30. Tennesee Titans (1-6): -5.0
  31. New England Patriots (2-6): -7.4
  32. Carolina Panthers (1-7): -10.3

The records say there’s a reasonable gap between the Cowboys and Falcons. FPI says otherwise.

All 32 NFL teams (including the Broncos) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 9, the Broncos have a -2.5 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 27th in the NFL. 

Eight games into the season, the Denver Broncos (5-3) have a -2.5 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 27th in the NFL.

The Baltimore Ravens (5-3), who will host Denver in Week 9, are ranked second with a 6.2 FPI rating.

FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season.

  1. Detroit Lions (6-1): 7.6
  2. Baltimore Ravens (3-2): 6.2
  3. Buffalo Bills (6-2): 6.2
  4. Kansas City Chiefs (7-0): 6.1
  5. Philadelphia Eagles (5-2): 4.0
  6. San Francisco 49ers (4-4): 3.8
  7. Green Bay Packers (6-2): 2.4
  8. Washington Commanders (6-2): 2.2
  9. Indianapolis Colts (4-4): 2.0
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2): 1.8
  11. Minnesota Vikings (5-2): 1.8
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4): 1.8
  13. Houston Texans (6-2): 1.8
  14. Chicago Bears (4-3): 1.0
  15. Atlanta Falcons (5-3): 0.6
  16. New York Jets (2-6): 0.5
  17. Cleveland Browns (2-6): 0.3
  18. Los Angeles Rams (3-4): -0.0
  19. Cincinnati Bengals (3-5): -0.0
  20. Los Angeles Chargers (4-3): -0.1
  21. Arizona Cardinals (4-4): -0.3
  22. New Orleans Saints (2-6): -0.7
  23. Dallas Cowboys (3-4): -1.0
  24. Seattle Seahawks (4-4): -1.4
  25. Miami Dolphins (2-5): -1.8
  26. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6): -1.9
  27. Denver Broncos (5-3): -2.5
  28. Las Vegas Raiders (2-6): -4.5
  29. New York Giants (2-6): -4.8
  30. Tennesee Titans (1-6): -5.0
  31. New England Patriots (2-6): -7.4
  32. Carolina Panthers (1-7): -10.3

The Broncos will aim to improve their rating when they take on the Ravens in Week 9. Denver’s ranking is down two spots from last week.

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Florida drops a spot in Football Power Index after Week 9 bye

The Gators saw a small regression in ESPN’s FPI but are still a top-25 team after their bye week.

Florida football got its second breather of the 2024 campaign last weekend with a bye, giving the Gators to prepare for the biggest game on its schedule against the Georgia Bulldogs next weekend.

So far, the Orange and Blue have amassed a 4-3 overall record, splitting the four games it has played against fellow Southeastern Conference schools. A near miss against the Tennessee Volunteers two weeks ago in Knoxville that saw Florida fall in overtime would have put the program on the path to six wins this season.

Now, the Gators face a veritable gauntlet over the next few weeks.

While Billy Napier and Co. were on their off week, most of the other teams were busy on the collegiate gridiron. Those results shifted Florida’s position on some of the rankings, including ESPN’s Football Power Index.

Florida football’s FPI ranking, rating

Despite being idle during Week 9, the Gators fell one spot from No. 22 to No. 23 while their overall rating also fell from 11.3 to 10.9. That puts them between the No. 22 Colorado Buffaloes and No. 24 Missouri Tigers.

Florida is now given a 55.6% chance of winning six games this fall — down from 55.8% last week — along with a 0.2% chance of winning out, as well as a 0% chance of winning the conference, a microscopic 0.3% chance of making the College Football Playoffs, a 0% chance of making the championship game and a 0% chance of winning the national title. The FPI’s final record predicts currently remains at 5.7-6.3.

SEC teams in FPI

The Texas Longhorns (25.7 rating) took back the top spot in the rankings this week, while the Alabama Crimson Tide (25.0) remained at No. 3 overall. Georgia (22.9) logs in at No. 4, followed by the Tennessee Volunteers (6th, 21.5) and Ole Miss Rebels (7th, 21.4) to round out the top 10.

The Texas A&M Aggies (16.7) moved up to No. 12, with the LSU Tigers (14th, 16.3), South Carolina Gamecocks (21st, 11.5), Florida (23rd, 10.9), Missouri Tigers (24th, 10.6) and Arkansas Razorbacks (25th, 10.4) wrapping up the top 25.

The remainder of the conference schools in the FPI are the Oklahoma Sooners (29th, 9.3), Auburn Tigers (30th, 9.3), Vanderbilt Commodores (37th, 6.7), Kentucky Wildcats (50th, 4.7) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (72nd, -0.9).

About ESPN’s FPI

“The Football Power Index is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.

“FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Coming up for Florida

Florida and Georgia face off for a Week 10 rivalry battle in Jacksonville on Saturday, Nov. 2 with kickoff slated for 3:30 p.m. ET. The pregame festivities will be featured on SEC Nation and the game will be broadcast on ABC.

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All 32 NFL teams (including the Broncos) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 8, the Broncos have a -2.7 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL. 

Seven games into the season, the Denver Broncos (4-3) have a -2.7 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL.

The Carolina Panthers (1-6), who will visit Denver in Week 8, are ranked 31st with a -8.2 FPI rating.

FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 8 of the 2024 NFL season.

  1. Detroit Lions (5-1): 7.1
  2. Baltimore Ravens (5-2): 6.5
  3. Kansas City Chiefs (6-0): 6.2
  4. Buffalo Bills (5-2): 5.6
  5. Green Bay Packers (5-2): 5.0
  6. San Francisco 49ers (3-4): 4.1
  7. Philadelphia Eagles (4-2): 3.3
  8. Minnesota Vikings (5-1): 2.1
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2): 2.1
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2): 1.8
  11. Houston Texans (5-2): 1.5
  12. Chicago Bears (4-2): 1.2
  13. New York Jets (2-5): 0.8
  14. Washington Commanders (5-2): 0.5
  15. Cincinnati Bengals (3-4): 0.4
  16. Atlanta Falcons (4-3): 0.3
  17. Cleveland Browns (1-6): -0.1
  18. Los Angeles Chargers (3-3): -0.6
  19. Seattle Seahawks (4-3): -0.6
  20. Los Angeles Rams (2-4): -0.6
  21. Arizona Cardinals (3-4): -0.7
  22. Dallas Cowboys (3-3): -1.0
  23. Indianapolis Colts (4-3): -1.2
  24. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5): -2.3
  25. Denver Broncos (4-3): -2.7
  26. New Orleans Saints (2-5): -3.0
  27. Tennesee Titans (1-5): -4.1
  28. Miami Dolphins (2-4): -4.6
  29. Las Vegas Raiders (2-5): -4.9
  30. New York Giants (2-5): -5.0
  31. Carolina Panthers (1-6): -8.2
  32. New England Patriots (1-6): -8.3

The Broncos will aim to improve their rating when they host the Panthers in Week 8. Denver’s ranking is unchanged from last week.

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Florida climbs back into Football Power Index top 25 after Week 8 win

According to ESPN’s FPI rankings, the Florida Gators are a top-25 college football team after whipping the Wildcats at home.

Florida football scored a crucial win on its homecoming weekend this Saturday, opening up the offense while displaying some tenacious defense to uncork a 48-20 rout of the visiting Kentucky Wildcats.

The victory puts the Gators back over the .500 mark with a 4-3 overall record and an even 2-2 mark in Southeastern Conference play. Things will get much harder after next week’s bye, but for now, there is plenty to rejoice.

While the ‘Cats have not been particularly sharp this fall, [autotag]Billy Napier[/autotag]’s squad showed continued improvements on the field and did not skip a beat after losing QB1 [autotag]Graham Mertz[/autotag] for the season. Freshman [autotag]DJ Lagway[/autotag] led the charge, not just on the scoreboard but also up the postgame rankings as well.

Florida football’s FPI ranking, rating

According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, Florida moved up five spots from No. 27 to No. 22, putting the Orange and Blue back in the top 25 while its overall FPI rating improved by 2.6 points from 8.7 to 11.3 following the victory. That puts the Gators between the No. 21 Boise State Broncos and No. 23 South Carolina Gamecocks.

Florida is now given a 55.8% chance of winning six games this fall — up from 33.8% last week — along with a 0.2% chance of winning out, as well as a 0% chance of winning the conference, a microscopic 0.4% chance of making the College Football Playoffs, a 0.1% chance of making the championship game and a 0% chance of winning the national title. The FPI’s final record predicts currently sits at 5.7-6.3.

SEC teams in FPI

The top five programs in the rankings got a bit of a shakeup, with the Texas Longhorns (27.2 rating) falling to No. 2 overall after getting beat by the still-No. 4 Georgia Bulldogs (22.9) on Saturday. The Alabama Crimson Tide (23.2) are wedged between the two despite taking their second loss of the season, remaining at No. 3 while the Ole Miss Rebels (22.1) also stood pat at No. 5.

The Tennessee Volunteers (21.0), who beat ‘Bama in Knoxville, moved up a spot to No. 6 to wrap up the SEC teams in the top 10. The rest of the top 25 is represented by LSU Tigers (12th, 16.9), Texas A&M Aggies (14th, 15.7), Missouri Tigers (20th, 12.2), Florida and South Carolina (11.1).

The remainder of the conference schools in the FPI are the Oklahoma Sooners (29th, 8.7), Arkansas Razorbacks (31st, 7.7), Auburn Tigers (32nd, 7.4), Kentucky Wildcats (41st, 5.7), Vanderbilt Commodores (42nd, 5.4) and Mississippi State Bulldogs (60th, 2.0).

About ESPN’s FPI

“The Football Power Index is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.

“FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Coming up for Florida

The Gators are off next week due to their bye week. The next matchup for Florida will be against the Georgia Bulldogs on Nov. 2 in Jacksonville. That game will kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET and can be seen on ABC.

Follow us @GatorsWire on X, formerly known as Twitter, and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Florida Gators news, notes and opinions.

All 32 NFL teams (including the Texans) ranked by FPI ratings

Here’s where all 32 teams stand entering Week 7, including the Houston Texans, per the ESPN FPI ranking system.

Heading into what could be the matchup of Week 7, the Houston Texans (5-1) currently have a -2.8 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN.com, which currently ranks ninth in the NFL.

That number could expand if Houston secures a victory over the Green Bay Packers (4-2) on Sunday afternoon at Lambeau Field. Currently, Green Bay ranks 6th on the FPI rating with a -4.6.

According to ESPN’s ranking system, FPI represents “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season. The FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Here’s a look at how all 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season.

  1. Detroit Lions (4-1): 6.8
  2. Baltimore Ravens (4-2): 6.0
  3. Kansas City Chiefs (5-0): 5.8
  4. San Francisco 49ers (3-3): 4.8
  5. Buffalo Bills (4-2): 4.6
  6. Green Bay Packers (4-2): 4.4
  7. Philadelphia Eagles (3-2): 2.5
  8. Minnesota Vikings (5-0): 2.4
  9. Houston Texans (5-1): 2.1
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2): 1.8
  11. New York Jets (2-4): 1.6
  12. Washington Commanders (4-2): 1.3
  13. Chicago Bears (4-2): 1.3
  14. Cincinnati Bengals (2-4): 1.2
  15. Atlanta Falcons (4-2): 0.9
  16. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2): 0.6
  17. Indianapolis Colts (3-3): 0.2
  18. Los Angeles Rams (1-4): -0.1
  19. Arizona Cardinals (2-4): -0.6
  20. Los Angeles Chargers (3-2): -0.6
  21. Dallas Cowboys (3-3): -1.1
  22. Seattle Seahawks (3-3): -1.4
  23. Tennessee Titans (1-4): -3.0
  24. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5): -3.0
  25. Denver Broncos (3-3): -3.8
  26. New York Giants (2-4): -3.8
  27. Cleveland Browns (1-5): -4.2
  28. Las Vegas Raiders (2-4): -4.3
  29. New Orleans Saints (2-4): -5.2
  30. Carolina Panthers (1-5): -6.9
  31. Miami Dolphins (2-3): -8.0
  32. New England Patriots (1-5): -9.8

The Texans are up one spot from last week after securing a 41-21 victory over the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium. While it could be challenging to surpass multiple teams inside the top five, switching spots with Green Bay isn’t that far-fetched, depending on the point totals.

Green Bay enters Sunday as a 2.5-point home favorite. The game will be televised on CBS.

All 32 NFL teams (including the Broncos) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 7, the Broncos have a -3.8 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL. 

Six games into the season, the Denver Broncos (3-3) have a -3.8 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL.

The New Orleans Saints (2-4), who will host the Broncos on Thursday Night Football this week, are ranked 29th with a -5.2 FPI rating.

FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season.

  1. Detroit Lions (4-1): 6.8
  2. Baltimore Ravens (4-2): 6.0
  3. Kansas City Chiefs (5-0): 5.8
  4. San Francisco 49ers (3-3): 4.8
  5. Buffalo Bills (4-2): 4.6
  6. Green Bay Packers (4-2): 4.4
  7. Philadelphia Eagles (3-2): 2.5
  8. Minnesota Vikings (5-0): 2.4
  9. Houston Texans (5-1): 2.1
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2): 1.8
  11. New York Jets (2-4): 1.6
  12. Washington Commanders (4-2): 1.3
  13. Chicago Bears (4-2): 1.3
  14. Cincinnati Bengals (2-4): 1.2
  15. Atlanta Falcons (4-2): 0.9
  16. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2): 0.6
  17. Indianapolis Colts (3-3): 0.2
  18. Los Angeles Rams (1-4): -0.1
  19. Arizona Cardinals (2-4): -0.6
  20. Los Angeles Chargers (3-2): -0.6
  21. Dallas Cowboys (3-3): -1.1
  22. Seattle Seahawks (3-3): -1.4
  23. Tennessee Titans (1-4): -3.0
  24. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5): -3.0
  25. Denver Broncos (3-3): -3.8
  26. New York Giants (2-4): -3.8
  27. Cleveland Browns (1-5): -4.2
  28. Las Vegas Raiders (2-4): -4.3
  29. New Orleans Saints (2-4): -5.2
  30. Carolina Panthers (1-5): -6.9
  31. Miami Dolphins (2-3): -8.0
  32. New England Patriots (1-5): -9.8

The Broncos will aim to improve their rating when they take on the Saints in Week 7. Denver is currently three spots up from its ranking last week.

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