Tag: Football Power Index

All 32 NFL teams (including the Broncos) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 10, the Broncos have a -3.4 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 27th in the NFL. 

Nine games into the season, the Denver Broncos (5-4) have a -3.4 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 27th in the NFL.

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-0), who will host Denver in Week 10, are ranked third with a 6.0 FPI rating.

FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 10 of the 2024 NFL season.

  1. Detroit Lions (7-1): 7.8
  2. Baltimore Ravens (6-3): 7.2
  3. Kansas City Chiefs (8-0): 6.0
  4. Buffalo Bills (7-2): 6.0
  5. Green Bay Packers (6-3): 4.3
  6. San Francisco 49ers (4-4): 3.9
  7. Philadelphia Eagles (6-2): 3.7
  8. Minnesota Vikings (6-2): 2.5
  9. Washington Commanders (7-2): 2.3
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2): 1.8
  11. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-5): 1.7
  12. Houston Texans (6-3): 1.2
  13. New York Jets (3-6): 1.1
  14. Atlanta Falcons (6-3): 0.7
  15. Cincinnati Bengals (4-5): 0.4
  16. Los Angeles Chargers (5-3): 0.2
  17. Arizona Cardinals (5-4): 0.1
  18. Los Angeles Rams (4-4): -0.0
  19. Chicago Bears (4-4): -0.1
  20. Cleveland Browns (2-7): -0.3
  21. Indianapolis Colts (4-5): -1.0
  22. Miami Dolphins (2-6): -1.0
  23. Dallas Cowboys (3-5): -1.0
  24. New Orleans Saints (2-7): -1.1
  25. Seattle Seahawks (4-5): -1.6
  26. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-7): -2.0
  27. Denver Broncos (5-4): -3.4
  28. New York Giants (2-7): -4.3
  29. Las Vegas Raiders (2-7): -4.9
  30. Tennesee Titans (2-6): -5.2
  31. Carolina Panthers (2-7): -7.8
  32. New England Patriots (2-7): -8.1

The Broncos will aim to improve their rating when they take on the Chiefs in Week 10. Denver’s ranking is unchanged from last week.

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All 32 NFL teams (including the Cowboys) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 9, the Cowboys have a -1.0 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks in the bottom 10 of the NFL.

The 2024 NFL season has reached what used to be the halfway point, as Week 9 has arrived. Eight games into the year, the Dallas Cowboys (3-4) have a -1.0 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 23rd in the league.

The Atlanta Falcons (5-3), who will host Dallas on Sunday, are ranked 15th with a 0.6 FPI rating.

FPI is “a prediction system for the NFL. Each team’s FPI rating is composed of a predicted offensive, defensive and special teams efficiency, as measured by expected points added per play, and that rating is the basis for FPI’s game-level and season-level projections,” according to ESPN.com. FPI “represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

Here’s a look at the ratings heading into the weekend action.

  1. Detroit Lions (6-1): 7.6
  2. Baltimore Ravens (3-2): 6.2
  3. Buffalo Bills (6-2): 6.2
  4. Kansas City Chiefs (7-0): 6.1
  5. Philadelphia Eagles (5-2): 4.0
  6. San Francisco 49ers (4-4): 3.8
  7. Green Bay Packers (6-2): 2.4
  8. Washington Commanders (6-2): 2.2
  9. Indianapolis Colts (4-4): 2.0
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2): 1.8
  11. Minnesota Vikings (5-2): 1.8
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4): 1.8
  13. Houston Texans (6-2): 1.8
  14. Chicago Bears (4-3): 1.0
  15. Atlanta Falcons (5-3): 0.6
  16. New York Jets (2-6): 0.5
  17. Cleveland Browns (2-6): 0.3
  18. Los Angeles Rams (3-4): -0.0
  19. Cincinnati Bengals (3-5): -0.0
  20. Los Angeles Chargers (4-3): -0.1
  21. Arizona Cardinals (4-4): -0.3
  22. New Orleans Saints (2-6): -0.7
  23. Dallas Cowboys (3-4): -1.0
  24. Seattle Seahawks (4-4): -1.4
  25. Miami Dolphins (2-5): -1.8
  26. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6): -1.9
  27. Denver Broncos (5-3): -2.5
  28. Las Vegas Raiders (2-6): -4.5
  29. New York Giants (2-6): -4.8
  30. Tennesee Titans (1-6): -5.0
  31. New England Patriots (2-6): -7.4
  32. Carolina Panthers (1-7): -10.3

The records say there’s a reasonable gap between the Cowboys and Falcons. FPI says otherwise.

All 32 NFL teams (including the Broncos) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 9, the Broncos have a -2.5 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 27th in the NFL. 

Eight games into the season, the Denver Broncos (5-3) have a -2.5 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 27th in the NFL.

The Baltimore Ravens (5-3), who will host Denver in Week 9, are ranked second with a 6.2 FPI rating.

FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season.

  1. Detroit Lions (6-1): 7.6
  2. Baltimore Ravens (3-2): 6.2
  3. Buffalo Bills (6-2): 6.2
  4. Kansas City Chiefs (7-0): 6.1
  5. Philadelphia Eagles (5-2): 4.0
  6. San Francisco 49ers (4-4): 3.8
  7. Green Bay Packers (6-2): 2.4
  8. Washington Commanders (6-2): 2.2
  9. Indianapolis Colts (4-4): 2.0
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2): 1.8
  11. Minnesota Vikings (5-2): 1.8
  12. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4): 1.8
  13. Houston Texans (6-2): 1.8
  14. Chicago Bears (4-3): 1.0
  15. Atlanta Falcons (5-3): 0.6
  16. New York Jets (2-6): 0.5
  17. Cleveland Browns (2-6): 0.3
  18. Los Angeles Rams (3-4): -0.0
  19. Cincinnati Bengals (3-5): -0.0
  20. Los Angeles Chargers (4-3): -0.1
  21. Arizona Cardinals (4-4): -0.3
  22. New Orleans Saints (2-6): -0.7
  23. Dallas Cowboys (3-4): -1.0
  24. Seattle Seahawks (4-4): -1.4
  25. Miami Dolphins (2-5): -1.8
  26. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-6): -1.9
  27. Denver Broncos (5-3): -2.5
  28. Las Vegas Raiders (2-6): -4.5
  29. New York Giants (2-6): -4.8
  30. Tennesee Titans (1-6): -5.0
  31. New England Patriots (2-6): -7.4
  32. Carolina Panthers (1-7): -10.3

The Broncos will aim to improve their rating when they take on the Ravens in Week 9. Denver’s ranking is down two spots from last week.

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All 32 NFL teams (including the Broncos) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 8, the Broncos have a -2.7 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL. 

Seven games into the season, the Denver Broncos (4-3) have a -2.7 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL.

The Carolina Panthers (1-6), who will visit Denver in Week 8, are ranked 31st with a -8.2 FPI rating.

FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 8 of the 2024 NFL season.

  1. Detroit Lions (5-1): 7.1
  2. Baltimore Ravens (5-2): 6.5
  3. Kansas City Chiefs (6-0): 6.2
  4. Buffalo Bills (5-2): 5.6
  5. Green Bay Packers (5-2): 5.0
  6. San Francisco 49ers (3-4): 4.1
  7. Philadelphia Eagles (4-2): 3.3
  8. Minnesota Vikings (5-1): 2.1
  9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2): 2.1
  10. Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2): 1.8
  11. Houston Texans (5-2): 1.5
  12. Chicago Bears (4-2): 1.2
  13. New York Jets (2-5): 0.8
  14. Washington Commanders (5-2): 0.5
  15. Cincinnati Bengals (3-4): 0.4
  16. Atlanta Falcons (4-3): 0.3
  17. Cleveland Browns (1-6): -0.1
  18. Los Angeles Chargers (3-3): -0.6
  19. Seattle Seahawks (4-3): -0.6
  20. Los Angeles Rams (2-4): -0.6
  21. Arizona Cardinals (3-4): -0.7
  22. Dallas Cowboys (3-3): -1.0
  23. Indianapolis Colts (4-3): -1.2
  24. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5): -2.3
  25. Denver Broncos (4-3): -2.7
  26. New Orleans Saints (2-5): -3.0
  27. Tennesee Titans (1-5): -4.1
  28. Miami Dolphins (2-4): -4.6
  29. Las Vegas Raiders (2-5): -4.9
  30. New York Giants (2-5): -5.0
  31. Carolina Panthers (1-6): -8.2
  32. New England Patriots (1-6): -8.3

The Broncos will aim to improve their rating when they host the Panthers in Week 8. Denver’s ranking is unchanged from last week.

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LSU pushing toward top 10 in ESPN’s Football Power Index

The Tigers rank No. 12 in the FPI rankings this week after winning against Arkansas on Saturday night.

The LSU Tigers extended their winning streak to six games on Saturday night, dismantling Arkansas 34-10 in a game many viewed as a potential trap on the road.

While it wasn’t a win over a ranked opponent, the Razorbacks are a solid SEC team, and the victory helped the Tigers in the metrics this week. It didn’t have a major impact on the polls, leading to no change in the AP Top 25 and just a one-spot rise in the US LBM Coaches Poll, but it did give them a boost in the ESPN Football Power Index.

The Tigers now rank No. 12, moving up two spots and pushing toward the top 10. FPI predicts that LSU will win nine games and gives it a 39.7% chance to reach the College Football Playoff.

LSU will hit the road again in Week 9 to face Texas A&M with sole possession of first place in the SEC on the line. FPI gives the Aggies a slight 52.7% edge in that game.

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All 32 NFL teams (including the Broncos) ranked by FPI ratings

Going into Week 7, the Broncos have a -3.8 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL. 

Six games into the season, the Denver Broncos (3-3) have a -3.8 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 25th in the NFL.

The New Orleans Saints (2-4), who will host the Broncos on Thursday Night Football this week, are ranked 29th with a -5.2 FPI rating.

FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”

So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 7 of the 2024 NFL season.

  1. Detroit Lions (4-1): 6.8
  2. Baltimore Ravens (4-2): 6.0
  3. Kansas City Chiefs (5-0): 5.8
  4. San Francisco 49ers (3-3): 4.8
  5. Buffalo Bills (4-2): 4.6
  6. Green Bay Packers (4-2): 4.4
  7. Philadelphia Eagles (3-2): 2.5
  8. Minnesota Vikings (5-0): 2.4
  9. Houston Texans (5-1): 2.1
  10. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-2): 1.8
  11. New York Jets (2-4): 1.6
  12. Washington Commanders (4-2): 1.3
  13. Chicago Bears (4-2): 1.3
  14. Cincinnati Bengals (2-4): 1.2
  15. Atlanta Falcons (4-2): 0.9
  16. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2): 0.6
  17. Indianapolis Colts (3-3): 0.2
  18. Los Angeles Rams (1-4): -0.1
  19. Arizona Cardinals (2-4): -0.6
  20. Los Angeles Chargers (3-2): -0.6
  21. Dallas Cowboys (3-3): -1.1
  22. Seattle Seahawks (3-3): -1.4
  23. Tennessee Titans (1-4): -3.0
  24. Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5): -3.0
  25. Denver Broncos (3-3): -3.8
  26. New York Giants (2-4): -3.8
  27. Cleveland Browns (1-5): -4.2
  28. Las Vegas Raiders (2-4): -4.3
  29. New Orleans Saints (2-4): -5.2
  30. Carolina Panthers (1-5): -6.9
  31. Miami Dolphins (2-3): -8.0
  32. New England Patriots (1-5): -9.8

The Broncos will aim to improve their rating when they take on the Saints in Week 7. Denver is currently three spots up from its ranking last week.

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Where Georgia ranks in ESPN’s latest FPI rankings

After a week full of heavyweight matchups, ESPN released their Football Power Index rankings. Where are the Georgia Bulldogs ranked?

ESPN’s FPI (Football Power Index) rankings are officially out after Week 7’s spectacle. There were several matchups between teams on this list, but in the end, a familiar team remains on top.

According to ESPN, FPI is defined as “a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward.” In the FPI top 25 rankings, there are 10 teams in the SEC, including four in the top 10, showing how much competition Georgia has to deal with in the top conference in college football.

Speaking of Georgia, they stay put on the fourth spot, despite playing in a close 41-31 game against Mississippi State, a team Georgia was favored by 33.5 to beat. Several fans voiced displeasure after the win, but Georgia stays put. Let’s see if they can hold serve against Texas next week.

The biggest matchup was between two top 10 teams in this chart: Ohio State vs. Oregon. In a battle of Big Ten supremacy that “College GameDay” attended, it was close all the way through. Oregon got a late score and the Buckeyes were not able to mount a late drive to win, resulting in a 32-31 Oregon win. Despite it, this matchup had no bearings on the FPI rankings, as both teams stayed put.

The Penn State-USC game was close too, but Penn State was able to keep their undefeated season alive with a game-winning field goal in overtime. Ole Miss-LSU came down to overtime too, but on LSU’s first possession, Garrett Nussmeier fired a rocket to Kyren Lacy to clinch the 29-26 win for the LSU Tigers.

One game that wasn’t close was the Texas-Oklahoma matchup. Oklahoma may be a good team, but Texas was on another level, demolishing the Sooners 34-3 in Quinn Ewers’ return. As a result, Oklahoma dropped three spots, which is the biggest drop of the group.

Texas remains the top team in the FPI rankings ahead of the Texas-Georgia game.

ESPN’s Top 25 FPI Rankings after Week 7

.Aaron E. Martinez/Austin American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images
  1. Texas (29.7 FPI)
  2. Ohio State (26.9 FPI)
  3. Alabama (23.7 FPI)
  4. Georgia (22.5 FPI)
  5. Ole Miss (21.6 FPI)
  6. Notre Dame (20.9 FPI)
  7. Tennessee (20.2 FPI)
  8. Oregon (19.2 FPI)
  9. Penn State (18.3 FPI)
  10. Miami (17.7 FPI)
  11. Clemson (16.8 FPI)
  12. Texas A&M (15.6 FPI)
  13. USC (14.8 FPI)
  14. LSU (14.5 FPI)
  15. Indiana (14.1 FPI)
  16. Louisville (14.0 FPI)
  17. Iowa State (13.2 FPI)
  18. SMU (12.8 FPI)
  19. Missouri (12.7 FPI)
  20. Oklahoma (11.9 FPI)
  21. Kansas State (11.8 FPI)
  22. Boise State (11.6 FPI)
  23. Iowa (11..0 FPI)
  24. Tulane (10.1 FPI)
  25. Arkansas (9.6 FPI)

LSU rises 1 spot in ESPN’s Football Power Index after Ole Miss upset win

The Tigers are moving up in the FPI rankings, but they’re not yet a top-10 team despite Saturday’s win.

LSU’s thrilling overtime win against Ole Miss put it right back in the thick of the College Football Playoff Race and will likely earn the Tigers a top-10 ranking when the polls release on Sunday.

However, it wasn’t quite enough to see a major rise in ESPN’s Football Power Index rankings. In those power rankings, LSU did see a one-spot bump from No. 14 to No. 15, but it will take some more work to reach the top 10.

Now that the Tigers are in the meat of SEC play, the next few weeks will prove decisive with games against Arkansas, Texas A&M and Alabama upcoming.

There’s a lot of work that still needs to be done, but a trip to the CFP for the first time in coach Brian Kelly’s LSU tenure is still on the table at the midpoint of the season.

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LSU stays put in ESPN’s FPI amid a chaotic bye week

The Tigers’ ranking wasn’t affected by all the chaos around them during the bye week.

The LSU Tigers picked a good week to be idle.

Week 6 Saturday was pure chaos around college football, with four top-10 teams going down and a fifth nearly suffering the same fate in Miami. In the SEC, two top-five teams lost to unranked opponents for the first time in league history as Alabama was stunned at Vanderbilt while Arkansas rallied to upset Tennessee.

All that chaos resulted in quite a bit of predictable movement within ESPN’s Football Power Index rankings, but that movement all happened around the Tigers. With LSU on bye, it’s staying put in this week’s update, remaining at No. 15.

The Tigers have the chance to gain some ground in these rankings when they return to the field on Saturday night in Week 7 with an Ole Miss team that ranks fifth in FPI coming to town.

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LSU rises into ESPN Football Power Index top 15 after win over South Alabama

LSU’s win over South Alabama has it continuing to rise in the ESPN FPI rankings.

LSU has responded nicely to a fifth-straight season-opening loss, reeling off four wins in a row to move to 4-1 as it heads into the bye week before a critical home game against Ole Miss.

As the Tigers continue to win, the analytics become higher on coach Brian Kelly’s team. After rising to No. 19 following a win over UCLA in Week 4, LSU is moving up even higher this week after its 42-10 win over South Alabama.

Now, the Tigers rank 15th, seventh among SEC teams. They come in one spot behind Missouri and two spots ahead of Oklahoma. Four SEC teams — Texas, Alabama, Georgia and Tennessee — rank inside the top five.

LSU will look to get things right this week before a game against the Rebels, which lost at home to Kentucky on Saturday and now have another tough game coming up on the road against South Carolina this weekend.

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