[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]
The Florida State Seminoles (7-0, 5-0 ACC) and Wake Forest Demon Deacons (4-3, 1-3) clash in a Saturday noon ET (ABC) game at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium in Winston-Salem. Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Florida State vs. Wake Forest odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Florida State is No. 4 in the US LBM Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The Seminoles remained unbeaten with a 38-20 win over the then-No. 17 Duke Blue Devils last Saturday. The 5th-highest scoring team in FBS (41.6 points per game) now hits the road for the 1st time in over a month.
The Demon Deacons have had no such lofty scoring numbers of late, but last Saturday they snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 21-17 home win over the Pittsburgh Panthers. Wake Forest has averaged just 15.5 PPG over its last 4 games.
Stream select live college football games and full replays: Get ESPN+
Florida State at Wake Forest odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:08 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Florida State -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100) | Wake Forest +800 (bet $100 to win $800)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida State -20.5 (-110) | Wake Forest +20.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]
Florida State at Wake Forest picks and predictions
Prediction
Florida State 27, Wake Forest 13
Moneyline
Wake is the slight lean against the number, but its real win probability is not fairly rewarded here. PASS.
Against the spread
The Deacons have won 4 in a row ATS as a double-digit underdog, including being a +21 at Clemson earlier this month and losing that game 17-12. Wake has had a couple of recent ATS losses very much colored by turnover/short-field leakage.
FSU has converted 75% of its red-zone trips into TDs to lead the ACC. On defense, Wake Forest leads the ACC in that category, allowing foes in the red zone to score TDs just 36.8% of the time. How that strength-on-strength matchup plays out is a big factor here.
With a likable Under, this is a big number for Florida State to cover, even as it looks to avenge 3 straight losses to the Deacons.
The lean is on the home side, but its a small-to-moderate one. Consider a half-unit on WAKE FOREST +20.5 (-110).
Over/Under
The total has gone Under in 5 consecutive FSU-WFU games. The total has also gone Under in 4 of Florida State’s last 5 games on the road. And the Under has cashed in 5 straight Wake Forest games.
Look for Florida State to take an early lead and for a very strong Seminoles pass defense to stifle a Wake comeback effort through the air. FSU trends toward a slower pace, and it should control the pigskin and clock time in this one.
BACK THE UNDER 51.5 (-110).
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.
College sports coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:
Alabama / Arkansas / Auburn / Clemson / Colorado / Florida / Georgia / Iowa / LSU / Michigan / Michigan State / Nebraska / North Carolina / Notre Dame / Ohio State / Oklahoma / Oregon / Penn State / Rutgers / Tennessee / Texas / Texas A&M / USC / Wisconsin / Recruiting / Transfer portal / College Football Playoffs / College Sports Wire
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]
