The Florida State Seminoles (6-5) will take on the Florida Gators (9-2) this weekend in an ACC-SEC clash at The Swamp in Gainesville. Kickoff from Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday night.
We analyze the Florida State-Florida odds and betting lines, while providing college football betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Florida State at Florida: Three things you need to know
1. Florida State’s leading rusher, Cam Akers, is expected to return on Saturday after missing last week’s game against Alabama State with an unspecified injury. He has 1,042 yards and 13 touchdowns this season.
2. Florida has won back-to-back games in dominant fashion after losing two of its previous three games. The Gators beat Missouri 23-6 two weeks ago after blowing out Vanderbilt 56-0 the week before.
3. Florida has won six games at home this season while Florida State’s win at Boston College ended a six-game road losing streak dating back to last season.
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Florida State at Florida: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Florida 30, Florida State 17
Moneyline (ML)
Florida is the heavy favorite in this matchup with the game on home turf. As a result, the -1000 moneyline on the Gators is steep and not worth betting — even though Florida should come away victorious.
The Gators are just 3-7 against the Seminoles in their last 10 meetings and 1-5 in the last six.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on Florida to win would return a profit of $1.
Against the Spread (ATS)
The Gators enter as 17.5-point favorites, which isn’t surprising given how much better they’ve been this season. Florida State has limped through a disappointing campaign, but the Seminoles have scored 87 points in their last two games, so if they can score enough, it’ll be tough for Florida to cover the spread.
Not to mention, Florida State is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games against the Gators. Bet the SEMINOLES (+17.5, -106) to cover the spread.
Over/Under (O/U)
The O/U is 53.5 in this matchup and both teams come in hot offensively. The Gators defense has been dominant this season, and in the last 19 games between these two teams, the total has gone under 14 times.
Bet the UNDER 53.5 (-106) on Saturday because it’ll be tough for Florida State to get much going offensively.
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