The Florida State Seminoles (1-4, 1-2 ACC) take on the North Carolina Tar Heels (3-2, 2-2) Saturday at Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill, N.C. Kickoff is at 3:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Florida State vs. North Carolina odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
Florida State is coming off its long-awaited first win of the season, a 33-30 squeaker against Syracuse. QB Jordan Travis had his best game of the year (22-for-32, 131 yards, 2 TDs; 113 yards rushing), however, the defense gave up 389 total yards to a mediocre Syracuse attack. Both Florida State’s offense and defense rank outside the top 65 in terms of yards per play this season.
North Carolina is starting to put up points again after a tough opener at Virginia Tech. The Tar Heels are averaging 44.5 points per game since that Week 1 loss, as QB Sam Howell is stuffing the stat sheet (1,494 yards passing, 288 yards rushing, 17 total TDs). North Carolina’s offense is averaging 497.0 yards per game (14th in the nation), though its defense ranks 68th in that same statistic.
Florida State at North Carolina odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 105 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Florida State +570 (bet $100 to win $570) | North Carolina -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Florida State +17.5 (-110) | North Carolina -17.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 64.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)
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Florida State at North Carolina odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
North Carolina 38, Florida State 24
Money line
With a spread this wide it’s typically unwise to bet the money line. Florida State’s a long shot to pull off the upset, while there’s not enough return on investment with UNC at these odds. PASS.
Against the spread
Despite its recent win, Florida State doesn’t look like a good football team right now as it failed to cover in each of its last four games. UNC should win but this is a big number for a team with some issues on defense.
Take FLORIDA STATE +17.5 (-110) to cover, perhaps of the backdoor variety.
Over/Under
The Under hit in three of the last four games for FSU, and while Howell is starting to turn the Tar Heels attack around, this is an aggressive line given Florida State’s lack of production on offense.
Take the UNDER 64.5 (-108).
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