Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Florida Panthers (21-11-2) meet the Tampa Bay Lightning (18-10-2) Sunday at Amalie Arena in the front end of a home-and-home series. Puck drop is scheduled for 5 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Panthers vs. Lightning odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.

Season series: First meeting; Panthers won regular-season series 2-1 last season and won first-round playoff series 4-1

The Panthers won 2-1 in overtime against the St. Louis Blues on Friday, their third straight victory. The Over has cashed in 2 of the previous 3 outings, but the Under is still 5-2 across the past 7 games. Florida goaltending has allowed 3 or fewer goals in 5 of those games, too.

The Lightning also topped the Blues in their most recent game, winning 3-1 at Amalie on Thursday night as a heavy favorite (-210) as the Under (6) cashed. Tampa has won 4 in a row, outscoring the opposition 21-8, while the Over is 2-1-1 in the span.

The Lightning have won 6 of 7 games in December, including a 6-0 mark as a favorite. And the Lightning are 7-0 on the puck line in the past 7 outings, too, including wins by 2 or more goals in the past 6 games as a favorite.

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Panthers at Lightning odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NHL odds. Lines last updated at 6:37 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Panthers -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Lightning -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
  • Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Panthers -1.5 (+200) | Lightning +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Panthers at Lightning projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (16-6-1, 2.79 GAA, .896% SV, 1 SO) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (15-9-1, 2.38 GAA, .913 SV%, 2 SO)

Bobrovsky allowed a single goal on 27 shots in the 2-1 OTW against the Blues Friday. He has won 3 straight starts, and 7 of the past 8 outings. He is 5-1-0 with a 2.11 GAA and .913 SV% in 6 starts in December. Bob was 2-1-0 with a 2.71 GAA, .892 SV% in 3 regular-season starts in 2023-24 against the Lightning.

Vasilevskiy has won 3 straight starts, allowing just 3 or fewer goals in each of his 6 December outings. He is 5-1-0 with a 2.22 GAA and .930 SV% in those 6 starts. Vasilevskiy was 1-2-0 with a 4.51 GAA and .883 SV% in 3 regular-season starts against the Panthers last season.

Panthers at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 3, Panthers 2

Moneyline

The LIGHTNING (-105) are worth a look as short ‘dogs at home in this Sunshine State battle against the Panthers (-115).

Tampa Bay has won 4 in a row, while cashing in 3 straight outings at Amalie Arena. The Lightning have outscored the opposition 16-5 in the 3-game win streak at home.

The Panthers enter with 3 straight wins, too, but we’ll side with the home team in a battle between rivals with red-hot goaltenders.

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Puck line/Against the spread

The Lightning +1.5 (-250) will cost you 2 1/2 times your potential return, if you require a little bit of insurance. It’s not a recommended play. If you like Tampa Bay, just play it straight up.

AVOID.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-120) is a strong play in this front end of a back-to-back set.

Again, Bobrovsky has managed a 2.11 GAA in December, while Vasilevskiy has posted a 2.22 GAA in the month.

The Under is on a 5-2 run for the Panthers, while the Lightning have a slight 3-2-1 edge to the Under in the previous 6 outings.

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Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Florida Panthers at Tampa Bay Lightning Game 4 odds and lines, with NHL expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning meet for Game 4 of Eastern Conference Semifinals Monday at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla. Tampa Bay holds a 3-0 series lead. Puck drop is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (TNT). Below, we look at the Panthers vs. Lightning Game 4 odds and lines, and make our expert NHL picks, predictions and bets.

The Panthers might have secured the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference and won the Presidents’ Trophy with a franchise-best 122 points, but the Lightning don’t care. Florida has been held to just 3 total goals across 3 losses, and now faces the possibility of being swept.

The Lightning are the 2-time defending champs and have looked the part in the Semifinals. Tampa Bay has outscored Florida 11-3 in this series, and it is 1 win away from a return trip to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Panthers at Lightning odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:57 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Panthers +102 (bet $100 to win $102) | Lightning -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Panthers +1.5 (-250) | Lightning -1.5 (+180)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -105 | U: -120)

Panthers at Lightning projected goalies

Sergei Bobrovsky (4-5-0, 2.88 GAA, .906 SV% – postseason) vs. Andrei Vasilevskiy (7-3-0, 2.44 GAA, .922 SV% – postseason)

Bobrovsky has not been terrible in this series, but he has received next to no offensive help. Three goals of support in 3 games wouldn’t be enough for Patrick Roy or Martin Brodeur.

Vasilevskiy started the postseason with 3 losses in his first 5 starts but he has rattled off 5 straight wins since Game 6 of the Toronto Maple Leafs series. He is 3-0-0 with a 1.00 GAA and .971 SV% in three starts vs. Florida.

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Panthers at Lightning picks and predictions

Prediction

Lightning 4, Panthers 2

Money line

The LIGHTNING (-125) are slight favorites in this potential series-clinching victory. The last win is usually the hardest one to get, and the Panthers are a prideful bunch. It’s not how Florida wanted its season to end and you can expect the Cats to play their best game of the series — it still won’t be enough.

Against the spread

The LIGHTNING -1.5 (+180) are going to take a punch from the Panthers, and this one will go down to the very end. However, expect Tampa to salt the game and the series away with a late empty-net goal, covering the puck line.

Over/Under

UNDER 6.5 (-120) is the lean here, mainly due to the shortcomings of the Florida offense so far in this series. The Panthers are averaging 1.0 GPG, and that has helped the Under go a perfect 3-for-3 so far.

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