Florida at Florida State odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Florida at Florida State odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Florida State Seminoles (3-0) welcome the No. 19 Florida Gators (3-0) to Tucker Center in Tallahassee. Tip-off Friday is set for 6 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college basketball odds around the Florida vs. Florida State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.

Florida is No. 19 in the USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll. The Gators beat the Grambling State Tigers 86-62 on Monday, but failed to cover as a 26-point favorite. C Rueben Chinyelu led the way with 14 points on 7-of-8 shooting. Florida is 1-2 against the spread (ATS).

Florida State kicked off its season with a 74-62 home win over the Northern Kentucky Norse, covering as an 8-point favorite. That was its tightest spread as it is coming off a 72-52 beatdown of the Tarleton State Texans Tuesday as a 17.5-point favorite. G Jamir Watkins is the only player averaging double figures for Florida State at 18.3 points per game.

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Florida at Florida State odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college basketball odds  Lines last updated at 9:01 a.m. ET,

  • Moneyline (ML): Florida -225 (bet $225 to win $100) | Florida State +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Florida -5.5 (-110) | Florida State +5.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 156.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Florida at Florida State picks and predictions

Prediction

Florida 80, Florida State 72

Moneyline

PASS.

Florida’s offense has been and should stay on fire. Expect it to come out on top, but avoid an expensive moneyline play.

Against the spread

BET FLORIDA -5.5 (-110).

The Seminoles’ offensive efficiency is concerning. They have yet to score 75 points on weak opponents and have just 1 player scoring more than 9 points per game. Only 1 of their top 6 scorers is shooting north of 45% from the field as well.

Florida is the opposite. It has scored 81 points or more in all 3 games. Its top 3 weapons all shoot at least 47% from the field, and it has covered in its lone game as a favorite of 15 points or fewer. That said, expect the Gators to stay hot and back FLORIDA -5.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER 156.5 (-105).

Both teams have been more prone to the Under so far this season. The Gators are 1-2 O/U, and the Seminoles are 0-3 O/U.

Florida State has yet to allow more than 65 points in a game, so it should be able to slow the pace and give Florida some issues, at least more issues than the Gators opponents have sparked. Florida has allowed 62 points or fewer in 2 of its 3 games.

Considering those defensive trends, back UNDER 156.5 (-105).

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