Tag: Featherweight Bout

UFC on ESPN 13: Jimmie Rivera vs. Cody Stamann odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s UFC on ESPN 13 Fight Island bout between Jimmie Rivera and Cody Stamann, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

Jimmie Rivera and Cody Stamann square off in a featherweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 13 Wednesday at the UFC’s Fight Island facility on Yas Island, United Arab Emirates. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 10 p.m. ET.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN 13? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Rivera (22-4) is two inches shorter than his counterpart, but has a 4.5-inch reach advantage over Stamann (19-2-1). The last time we saw Rivera in action, he was suffering his second consecutive loss against Petr Yan – the current champion of the division – back at UFC 238 on June 8, 2019. It was Rivera’s second straight unanimous decision setback. He lost to Aljamain Sterling Feb. 17, 2019. The last time Rivera tasted victory was back on Sept. 8, 2018 at UFC 228 against John Dodson. So, it’s been a while, and Rivera is thirsty for a victory. One thing to note about Rivera, while he has a fairly strong upright game, seven of his past eight fights have ended up going the distance.

Stamann won an emotional unanimous decision against Brian Kelleher last time out on the UFC 250 card June 6, just days after learning his 18-year-old brother Jacob had passed away. Stamann’s teary interview after the victory made him an instant fan favorite. Since arriving at the UFC level he is an impressive 5-1-1. He is 12-1-1 across his past 14 pro bouts, too, so he isn’t accustomed to losing. He was submitted by Sterling at UFC 228 on Sept. 8, 2018, so the two fighters share a common opponent. That was also the last day Rivera won a fight.

Jimmie Rivera vs. Cody Stamann betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:55 a.m. ET.

RIVERA (-134) might be on a three-bout skid, but losses to the likes of Sterling and Yan – the cream of the crop in the weight class. It’s nothing to be ashamed about. Stamann (+110) is a good story, but he’ll have some trouble against a grinder like Rivera. The books overwhelmingly expect this one to go the distance at -323, so AVOID a WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE prop. You cannot risk more than three times your potential return. However, betting RIVERA BY DECISION (+125) is another good way to play this fight, and that returns plus-money rather than just betting the 2-way line straight up. Of course, if Rivera wins by KO/TKO or Submission, etc. …, you’re out of luck.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN 13: Calvin Kattar vs. Dan Ige odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Wednesday’s UFC on ESPN 13 Fight Island bout between Calvin Kattar and Dan Ige, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

Calvin Kattar and Dan Ige will battle in a featherweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 13 Wednesday at the UFC’s Fight Island facility on Yas Island, United Arab Emirates. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 10 p.m. ET.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN 13? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

It hasn’t been long since we last saw Kattar (21-4) inside the octagon. The “Boston Finisher” made quick work of Jeremy Stephens at UFC 249 on May 9, winning by KO/TKO at 2:49 of Round 2, Kattar’s fourth win in the past six bouts, each by KO/TKO. Since arriving at the UFC level, he has posted a 5-2 record with one unanimous decision win, two unanimous decision losses and four wins by knockout. Three of his past four outings have finished inside the distance, and he holds a 5.29 to 4.12 advantage in significant strikes landed per minute over his opponent.

Ige (14-2) also fought fairly recently, winning in a split-decision vs. Edson Barboza May 16 in Jacksonville, Fla., on the Overeem-Harris card. Ige has two straight split-decision wins, three decision victories in a row and has won six straight overall since losing to Julio Arce Jan. 20, 2018 at UFC 220 in his debut at the top level. Four of Ige’s past five bouts have gone the distance, a stark contrast to the quick finishing Kattar.

Calvin Kattar vs. Dan Ige betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:10 a.m. ET.

Kattar (-313) is an overwhelming favorite on the 2-way line, and there is no way to justify risking more than three times your possible return. You’ll need to get a bit creative. Look to the 5-way line instead, as KATTAR BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (-118) for the method of victory. While Ige (+245) will be trying to get Kattar to the mat early and often, as grappling is his specialty, Kattar is so polished and a much more superior upright fighter. If he can avoid going to the mat, this one might be over quickly for Ige.

As such, look to UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (-162) as a near certainty, but also toss in a small-unit wager on UNDER 3.5 ROUNDS (-130) just for fun.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN 11: Josh Emmett vs. Shane Burgos odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 11 fight between Josh Emmett and Shane Burgos, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

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Josh Emmett and Shane Burgos lock horns in a featherweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 11 – also known as UFC Fight Night 173 – Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 5 p.m. ET, followed by the main card set for 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Emmett (15-2) heads into the octagon with a sparkling record, looking to add to his win column. However, he has a five-inch disadvantage both in height and reach against Burgos (13-1).

Emmett enters fifth in the featherweight division with the shortest average fight time at 8:57, and ranks second among active featherweights with eight knockdowns landed. Each of his past four bouts have ended via KO/TKO, winning three of those battles. Like Emmett, Burgos has seen each of his past four fights finish inside the distance, winning three of four, including a pair of submission wins and a KO/TKO of Makwan Amirkhani at UFC 244 last time out on Nov. 2, 2019.

Burgos is tied for fourth among all active featherweights with six knockdowns landed, and is fourth in the class with a 1.07 knockdown average per 15 minutes. He is also an effective puncher, posting 597 significant strikes landed, ninth among featherweights, and is fifth in the class with a 50.3 significant strike-accuracy percentage. That equates to an amazing 7.09 significant strikes landed per minute, tops among active featherweights, ahead of the likes of Max Holloway (6.49) and Conor McGregor (5.53) to name a few, while posting a 1.75 striking differential. While that’s all well and good, Burgos is tremendous defensively, sitting at the top of the division with a 72.0 significant strike-defense percentage, while absorbing just 2.63 strikes per minute.

Neither fighter is particularly strong in the takedown game, but Burgos is second in the class with a 90.9 takedown-defense percentage.

Want to place a bet on UFC Fight Night 173? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Josh Emmett vs. Shane Burgos betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, June 19 at 4:30 a.m. ET.

Burgos (-143) is a slight favorite over Emmett (+120) on the 2-way line, but frankly, this one could go either way. The best bet, based upon each fighter’s recent history, is playing NO (-200): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? Both fighters have finished inside the distance in each of their past four outings. If I had to pick a winner, I’d take BURGOS BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+160) on the 5-way method of victory line, but only on a very small-unit play.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Burgos (-143) to win outright on the 2-way line returns $6.99 in profit. A $10 play on Burgos (+160) to win by KO/TKO, DQ or Submission on the 5-way line fetches a profit of $16. A $10 wager on No (-200): Will the fight go the distance? nets a profit of $5.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC Fight Night 172: Andre Fili vs. Charles Jourdain odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 172 fight between Andre Fili and Charles Jourdain, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

Andre Fili and Charles Jourdain square off in a featherweight fight on the main card at UFC Fight Night 172 Saturday at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET, followed by the main card set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Entering this bout as a moderate favorite, Fili (20-7) has a two-inch height advantage and five-inch reach advantage. He is also an absolute beast on the canvas, posting a 2.49 takedown average and 45.61 takedown-accuracy percentage, although his submission average is just 0.19. Fili, nicknamed “Touchy,” had to be a little miffed about losing a unanimous decision bout to Sodiq Yusuff Jan. 18, 2020 on the UFC 246 card last time out, snapping a modest two-fight win streak. It was par for the course as far as results, however, as seven of Fili’s past eight have gone the distance, including five unanimous decisions (3-2).

Jourdain (10-2) holds a slim advantage over Fili in terms of significant strikes landed per minute at 4.85-4.00, and in significant strikes-accuracy percentage at 43.27 to 37.47. But the sample size is rather small, as Jourdain has fought just twice at the UFC level, winning last time out against Dooho Choi Dec. 21, 2019, and losing his UFC debut by unanimous decision to Desmond Green May 18, 2019. Jourdain likes to get the fights to the mat, especially trying to finish with the rear-naked choke or guillotine, but Fili is easily the most experienced fighter he’ll have faced to date, and the veteran won’t be tricked to the canvas easily.

Want to place a bet on UFC Fight Night 172? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Andre Fili vs. Charles Jourdain betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, June 11 at 5:25 a.m. ET.

FILI (-228) is a little pricey on the 2-way line, but the American will easily take care of “Air” Jourdain (+185) in this bout. The only question is how long will it take and by what method? We don’t have a lot of data on Jourdain, especially at the UFC level, but Fili tends to stand and punch it out. And Fili’s fights are usually not quickly finished, so rolling with YES (-154): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? should be a safe play.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Fili (-228) returns a profit of just $4.39, while a bet on Jourdain (+185) at $10 fetches a profit of $18.50. A $10 play on Yes (-154) for “Will the fight go the distance?” returns a profit of $6.49.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC 250: Cody Stamann vs. Brian Kelleher odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC 250 fight between Cody Stamann and Brian Kelleher, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

Cody Stamann and Brian Kelleher will square off in a featherweight bout in the prelims at UFC 250 at the UFC’s Apex Facility in Las Vegas. The card kicks off Saturday at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+ and pay-per-view.

Stamann (18-2-1) enters as a heavy favorite (-278) over the veteran Kelleher (21-10) in one of the better bouts on the preliminary card. The favorite posted a majority-decision draw last time out against Song Yadong Dec. 7, 2019, so Stamann will be champing at the bit trying to get a little redemption after the disappointing result. It was the fifth time in six bouts since arriving at the UFC level where his fate was left in the hands of the judges, going 4-0-1 in those fights. In 21 career professional fights he has never lost via KO/TKO, winning six times. In addition, 13 of his 16 pro bouts have ended up going to Round 3 or longer.

Kelleher heads into this one on the heels of a Round 2 knockout win over up-and-comer Hunter Azure May 13. A quick fight is par for the course for Kelleher, as each of his past four fights have finished inside the distance, and 14 of his past 17 bouts as a professional have done likewise. In 31 career fights he has won eight times by KO/TKO, only losing once in such manner. It’s a coin-flip when he goes to the canvas, as he has nine wins by submission as a pro, but he has also tapped out six times, too.

Want to place a bet on UFC 250? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Cody Stamann vs. Brian Kelleher betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, June 3 at 7:35 p.m. ET.

Stamann (-278) is the heavy favorite to win, but betting such a chalky favorite is a risky proposition given the small return. If anything, Kelleher (+220) is worth a roll of the dice as a much better value.

The best bet is to look to the total number of rounds and bet UNDER 2.5 (+200). Kelleher often doesn’t go very long into the night. While Stamann has a tendency to see his fights go to the judges, Kelleher has a lengthy mix of knockouts and submissions, and it’s unlikely this bout goes the distance. So, also bet NO (+190): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE?

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Stamann (-278) to win only returns a profit of $3.60. A $10 bet on Kelleher (+220) to spring the upset returns a profit of $22. A $10 bet on UNDER 2.5 rounds (+200) fetches a profit of $20.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN 8: Song Yadong vs. Marlon Vera odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 8 fight between Song Yadong and Marlon Vera, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

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Song Yadong and Marlon Vera tangle in a featherweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 8 – also known as ESPN Fight Night 172 – at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Fla. The card kicks off Saturday at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Yadong (15-4-1) enters with a slight disadvantage in the reach department, three and a half inches to be exact. He’ll likely try to take down Vera early and often, although a ground game with his opponent can be dangerous. Vera has a 1.41 submission average to just 0.65 for Yadong. Nicknamed “The Terminator,” Yadong enters 7-0-1 across his past eight professional bouts, and is 4-0-1 at the UFC level. He is coming off a majority draw against Cody Stamann Dec. 7, 2019. Three of Yadong’s 19 professional fights have ended via submission, including 1-0 at the UFC level.

Vera (15-5-1) is on a five-bout win streak, taking care of Andre Ewell last time out in a third-round KO/TKO Oct. 12, 2019. Each of his five wins have finished inside the distance, with three via KO/TKO and two on submission victories. In fact, each of his past seven wins have been inside the distance, with only a pair of unanimous decision losses from Oct. 28, 2017-Feb. 3, 2018 to ruin that run. Both of these fighters are strong on the mat, but Vera has the ability to finish in a toe-to-toe brawl. This might be one of the more interesting and even fights on the main card.

Want to place a bet on UFC Fight Night? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NV, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Song Yadong vs. Marlon Vera betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday, May 15 at 11 a.m. ET.

VERA (+140) is worth a roll of the dice, as both fighters are very evenly matched. They have similar fighting styles, and the significant strikes landed per minute and takedown numbers are nearly identical. Vera enters on a roll, having finished inside the distance in each of his past five. Therefore it is a good idea to also take a look at NO (-125): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? prop. Going with UNDER 2.5 (+110) TOTAL NUMBER OF ROUNDS is also worth a small-unit bet, too.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Vera (+140) to win returns a $14 profit. A $10 bet on the fight going less than 2.5 rounds returns an $11 profit, and a bet of No (-125) on the fight going the distance pays a $8 return.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN 8: Dan Ige vs. Edson Barboza odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 8 fight between Dan Ige and Edson Barboza, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

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Dan Ige and Edson Barboza get together in a featherweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 8 – also known as ESPN Fight Night 172 – at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Fla. The card kicks off Saturday at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Ige (13-2) might not win you many Scrabble games, well, if you were allowed to even use proper names. He is a little ball of power wrapped in a 5-foot-7, 145-pound frame, who can win you a lot of wagers. He is coming off a split-decision win over Mirsad Bektic at UFC 247, and is 5-0 across his past five bouts. Ige has a strong ground game, too, and has never been submitted in 15 professional fights. While he has a four-inch disadvantage in the reach department, that won’t be a problem on the ground. That’s where Ige likes to do most of his work. He holds a 2.38 to 0.49 advantage in takedown average, and 0.79 to 0.06 submission average.

The lanky Barboza (20-8) not only has a four-inch reach advantage, but a four-inch advantage in height, too. He can hold his own in significant strikes against Ige, but will need to work on his takedown defense if he wants to survive and advance. Barboza is coming off a split-decision loss against Paul Felder at UFC 242, is 0-2 in the past two and 1-4 across his past five outings. Barboza has never won by submission in 22 career UFC fights, while losing twice by that fashion. Ige easily has the tools to add to that mark.

Want to place a bet on UFC Fight Night? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NV, NJ and WV! New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Dan Ige vs. Edson Barboza betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, May 14 at 5:50 a.m. ET.

IGE (+115) is a great value as a short dog against Barboza (-139), who has been struggling lately. While the 34-year-old Barboza has more experience at the UFC level, he is six years older and in the twilight of his career. Ige is an up-and-comer with serious ground game. Ige will continue his ascension, while Barboza is just hanging on at this point. Youth will be served. BET IGE (+115).

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Ige (+115) to win returns a $11.50 profit. A $10 bet on Barboza (-139) to win pays a $7.19 profit.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC 249: Jeremy Stephens vs. Calvin Kattar odds, picks and best bets

Analyzing the big UFC 249 matchup between Jeremy Stephens and Calvin Kattar with UFC betting odds and picks.

Jeremy Stephens and Calvin Kattar tangle in a featherweight bout on the main card at UFC 249 at the VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, Fla. The card kicks off Saturday at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, with the main card on pay-per-view.

Kattar (20-4-0) is the heavy favorite in this one, and most of the stats are heavily skewed in his favor. First off, “The Boston Finisher” holds a two-inch height advantage and a one-inch reach advantage. More impressively, he has a 5.12-3.09 advantage in significant strikes landed per minute, while posting a 41.08 significant strike accuracy percentage.

Kattar has won each of his past three UFC wins by KO/TKO, including the past two in Round 1. His only two losses at the UFC level have come by unanimous decision. One thing to remember, when looking to method of victory, is that Kattar has never won or lost one of his 16 professional bouts by submission. He is 2-0 across his past two UFC fights as the favorite.

For Stephens, he is just 15-14-1 in 30 bouts at the UFC level, including 0-3-1 with one no contests across the past four. Like Kattar, he doesn’t go to the mat very often, and none of his 26 professional fights have results in a submission win or loss, so this fight will be one either by KO/TKO or points. Across the past seven fights, Stephens is 2-4-1 as an underdog, too.

Want to place a bet on UFC 249? Place them at BetMGM. New customer offer: Risk-free first bet! Visit BetMGM for terms and conditions. Bet now!

Jeremy Stephens vs. Calvin Kattar betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, May 6 at 8:50 p.m. ET.

Kattar (-250) is a rather heavy favorite on the 2-way line, but that’s the way to go. It’s very hard to envision a way Stephens (+200) gets it done against the more consistent fighter.

In addition, we mentioned above that Kattar doesn’t go to the mat for the finish, so avoid being tempted by Kattar to win by submission (+1100). Instead, focus on the KO/TKO or DQ WIN PROP BY KATTAR (+300), which can help you triple up your initial bet. Lastly, if you look to the Total number of rounds, UNDER 2.5 (+145) is quite attractive with two fighters standing toe-to-toe looking to land big knockout blows. “The Boston Finisher” will finish Stephens early, perhaps even in the opening round, which makes KATTAR TO WIN IN ROUND 1 (+550) an attractive play as well. If not, hedging on Kattar to win in Round 2 (+800) is also worth a look.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet on Kattar (-250) to win returns a $4 profit. A $10 bet on Kattar to win by KO/TKO or DQ (+300) earns a $30 profit, while a bet on the fight going less than 2.5 rounds (+145) returns a $14.50 profit. The real nice hit would be if Kattar wins in Round 1 (+550), profiting $55 on a $10 wager.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter, and follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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