Primetime DFS Domination: Week 14

Lineup recommendations for DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 14 DFS fantasy football primetime slate.

The massive popularity of small DFS slates has propelled us to expand our DFS coverage. I will give you my favorite lineup for the Primetime Slate each week. We will release these as soon as both sites release their pricing.

Recommended Primetime DFS lineups

DK Lineup: QB Joe Burrow ($7.3k), RB Chase Brown ($6.7k), RB Rico Dowdle ($6.0k), WR Ja’Marr Chase ($8.5k), WR CeeDee Lamb ($7.3k), WR Joshua Palmer ($4.0k), TE Will Dissly ($3.8k), FLEX Noah Gray ($3.4k), DST Dallas Cowboys ($2.6k)

FD Lineup: QB Joe Burrow ($8.4k), RB Chase Brown ($7.8k), RB Rico Dowdle ($6.8k), WR Ja’Marr Chase ($9.5k), WR CeeDee Lamb ($8.1k), WR Joshua Palmer ($5.4k), TE Will Dissly ($5.1k), FLEX Noah Gray ($5.2k), DST Dallas Cowboys ($3.5k)

If I pivot from Joe Burrow, it will probably be with Cooper Rush. That said, all four QBs are in play. I prefer Patrick Mahomes to Justin Herbert, especially if Ladd McConkey (knee/shoulder) is out.

At RB1, you can swap out Chase Brown with Isiah Pacheco. This swap opens up the ability to spend more at WR3 or TE. Kareem Hunt and Gus Edwards are the replacement RB2 choices. Kimani Vidal would be the punt option, but the matchup makes him unnecessary.

[lawrence-related id=497210]

I love buying both Ja’Marr Chase (ankle) and CeeDee Lamb (shoulder). You must roster at least one of the two. The pivot would be Tee Higgins (or spending up for Travis Kelce at TE). McConkey is dealing with multiple injuries, but if he suits up, he could also be your WR2. You have five options at WR3: DeAndre Hopkins, Xavier Worthy, Quentin Johnston, Brandin Cooks, and Joshua Palmer. Palmer fits the budget best, but you can use any of them if you spend less on WR2. Andrei Iosivas, Jalen Tolbert, DJ Chark Jr., Mecole Hardman (knee), and KaVontae Turpin are the punt plays.

By opting for the double-TE lineup featuring the discount players Noah Gray and Will Dissly, you still leave little room for flexibility. To upgrade to Kelce, you must find savings elsewhere. Mike Gesicki is cheaper and easier to substitute. Jake Ferguson (concussion) will return. He can be a pivot from Dissly, and Luke Schoonmaker‘s value shrinks.

Fantasy Football DFS Domination: Week 14

Breaking down the top players and sleepers for DraftKings and FanDuel for Week 14 DFS fantasy football.

With Thanksgiving in the rearview mirror, we face “Byepocalypse 2: Bye Harder with a Vengeance.” Six fantasy-relevant teams are playing outside the main slate, and five of the six teams on bye have multiple fantasy-relevant stars. Question No. 1 for everyone is “To Saquon, or not to Saquon?” Like one of the “Choose Your Own Adventure” books I read as a child, once you’ve made that decision, turn to one of two future pages to build the rest of your roster.

Recommended DFS lineups

*Note: FanDuel and Fanball include the Sunday night game on their Main Slate. DraftKings doesn’t include them, so the pricing is listed as N/A.

DK Lineup w/Barkley: QB Aidan O’Connell ($4.8k), RB Saquon Barkley ($9.0k), RB Isaac Guerendo ($5.4k), WR Drake London ($6.4k), WR Jakobi Meyers ($5.6k), WR Amari Cooper ($5.1k), TE Cade Otton ($4.4k), FLEX Brock Bowers ($6.5k), DST Tennessee Titans ($2.8k)

DK Lineup w/o Barkley: QB Jalen Hurts ($7.8k), RB Alvin Kamara ($8.0k), RB Bucky Irving ($6.6k), WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($6.3k), WR Keenan Allen ($5.6k), WR Sterling Shepard ($4.0k), TE Tommy Tremble ($3.0k), FLEX Tyrone Tracy Jr. ($5.8k), DST New Orleans Saints ($2.9k)

FD Lineup w/Barkley: QB Will Levis ($6.6k), RB Saquon Barkley ($10.0k), RB Bucky Irving ($7.7k), WR Drake London ($7.9k), WR Keenan Allen ($6.4k), WR Nick Westbrook-Ikhine ($6.2k), TE Cade Otton ($5.6K), FLEX Isaac Guerendo ($5.2k), DST New Orleans Saints ($4.4k)

FD Lineup w/o Barkley: QB Jalen Hurts ($9.2k), RB Alvin Kamara ($9.2k), RB Bucky Irving ($7.7k), WR Drake London ($7.9k), WR Keenan Allen ($6.4k), WR Amari Cooper ($5.7k), TE Grant Calcaterra ($4.3K), FLEX Isaac Guerendo ($5.2k), DST New Orleans Saints ($4.4k)

FB Lineup w/Barkley: QB Baker Mayfield ($6.2k), RB Bucky Irving ($6.3k), RB Saquon Barkley ($8.5k), WR Drake London ($6.5k), WR Mike Evans ($7.0k), WR/TE Jakobi Meyers ($5.3k), TE Cade Otton ($4.6k), FLEX Tony Pollard ($5.4k), SUPERFLEX Aidan O’Connell ($5.2k)

FB Lineup w/o Barkley: QB Jalen Hurts ($7.5k), RB Alvin Kamara ($7.3k), RB Tony Pollard ($5.4k), WR Justin Jefferson ($7.4k), WR Jakobi Meyers ($5.3k), WR/TE Keenan Allen ($5.2k), TE Cade Otton ($4.6k), FLEX Bucky Irving ($6.3k), SUPERFLEX Sam Darnold ($5.9k)

*Note: Player salaries are color-coded based on expected output. Red = Less than 2.5x value, Black = 2.5x valueGreen = Greater than 3x value.

Quarterback DraftKings FanDuel
Josh Allen $8,000 $8,900
Jalen Hurts $7,800 $9,200
Baker Mayfield $6,400 $8,100
Tua Tagovailoa $6,300 $8,300
Brock Purdy $6,200 $8,000
Patrick Mahomes N/A $7,900
Sam Darnold $6,100 $7,600
Kyler Murray $6,000 $7,800
Russell Wilson $5,900 $7,700
Justin Herbert N/A $7,500
Geno Smith $5,800 $7,400
Matthew Stafford $5,700 $7,200
Caleb Williams $5,600 $7,300
Kirk Cousins $5,500 $7,000
Jameis Winston $5,400 $6,900
Aaron Rodgers $5,300 $6,800
Bryce Young $5,200 $7,000
Derek Carr $5,100 $7,100
Mac Jones $5,000 $6,700
Will Levis $5,000 $6,600
Aidan O’Connell $4,800 $6,700
Drew Lock $4,700 $6,500
Tommy DeVito $4,200 $6,500

Quarterback

Weekly strategy – Josh AllenJalen Hurts, and Baker Mayfield are the top options. Sam Darnold and Russell Wilson are the “top” pivots. Kirk Cousins has been awful of late, but he gets a juicy revenge-game narrative. Looking at those so-so pivot plays, use one of the punts: Mac JonesWill Levis, or Aidan O’Connell.

Fantasy four-pack

Jalen Hurts, Eagles vs. CAR ($7,800 DK, $9,200 FD) Not surprisingly, DeVonta Smith‘s (hamstring) injury has hampered Hurts’ performance in recent games. Smith is on pace to return this week, but now Hurts will be without Dallas Goedert (knee). Against the Panthers, it won’t matter. The only question is whether he will rush for his three TDs or throw for them. 

Josh Allen, Bills @ LAR ($8,000 DK, $8,900 FDAllen can run for TDs. He can throw for TDs. Heck, he can even catch laterals and take them to the house. The only thing he didn’t do last week was return a kick for a score. At least the weather won’t limit him this week. Build a stack of Allen with whoever starts at TE and Amari Cooper.

Baker Mayfield, Buccaneers vs. LV ($6,400 DK, $8,100 FD) These two pass defenses are currently tied, each allowing a seventh-worst 21 passing touchdowns. When two bad passing defenses lock horns, points typically come in bunches. Build an uber-stack with either QB and two weapons on each side.

Sam Darnold, Vikings vs. ATL ($6,100, $7,600 FD) The story of this game will be the Kirk Cousins revenge-game narrative. Still, Darnold has more passing TDs and fewer INTs than Cousins. Atlanta has fallen on defensive hard times lately allowing multiple passing TDs in seven of their last eight games.

Sleepers

Kirk Cousins, Falcons vs. MIN ($5,500 DK, $7,000 FDMinnesota has allowed fewer passing scores than Atlanta, but they have allowed the fifth-most passing yards. Cousins has been in a slump, but never underestimate the power of the revenge game. Cousins will have little difficulty picking apart an opportunistic but undermanned Vikings secondary.

Aidan O’Connell, Raiders @ TB ($4,800 DK, $6,700 FDOnly one team has allowed more total TDs to the QB position. This includes giving up 16 total scores to the position over their last six games. O’Connell is coming off a tremendous performance against a much tougher KC defense. He may well finish as a top-10 QB this week, provided a midweek illness doesn’t limit the young QB.

Running back DraftKings FanDuel
Saquon Barkley $9,000 $10,000
De’Von Achane $8,200 $8,700
Alvin Kamara $8,000 $9,200
Bijan Robinson $7,500 $8,900
James Cook $7,400 $8,500
Kyren Williams $7,300 $8,400
Breece Hall $7,000 $8,300
Kenneth Walker III $6,800 $7,900
James Conner $6,700 $7,600
Bucky Irving $6,600 $7,700
Aaron Jones $6,500 $7,300
Tony Pollard $6,400 $7,500
Chuba Hubbard $6,200 $7,000
Najee Harris $6,000 $6,900
Isiah Pacheco N/A $6,700
Nick Chubb $5,900 $6,500
Tyrone Tracy Jr. $5,800 $6,600
D’Andre Swift $5,700 $6,300
Kareem Hunt N/A $6,300
Travis Etienne Jr. $5,600 $6,400
Gus Edwards N/A $6,000
Jaylen Warren $5,500 $5,900
Isaac Guerendo $5,400 $5,200
Rachaad White $5,300 $6,200
Ray Davis $5,200 $5,400
Alexander Mattison $5,100 $5,700
Tank Bigsby $5,100 $5,800
Braelon Allen $5,100 $5,400
Kimani Vidal N/A $5,100
Kenneth Gainwell $5,000 $4,900
Jerome Ford $4,900 $5,400
Raheem Mostert $4,900 $5,100
Devin Singletary $4,800 $5,500
Zach Charbonnet $4,800 $5,300
Ameer Abdullah $4,700 $5,800
Jonathon Brooks $4,700 $5,600
Cam Akers $4,600 $5,200
Sincere McCormick $4,600 $5,500
Trey Benson $4,500 $5,000
Tyler Allgeier $4,500 $5,600
Tyjae Spears $4,400 $5,600
Roschon Johnson $4,300 $5,300
Blake Corum $4,200 $4,800
Zamir White $4,200 $5,000
Cordarrelle Patterson $4,100 $4,300
Ty Johnson $4,100 $4,900

Running back

Weekly strategy – Whether to use Saquon Barkley is the ultimate question. If you don’t use him, you should our Kyren Williams at RB1. The pivots would be Bucky Irving and Tony Pollard. I also could see using one of them at RB2 if you go cheap at WR. Isaac Guerendo also will see heavy ownership at RB2 and FLEX. To seek variance from the masses, trust Tyrone Tracy Jr. instead. The only punts to consider are Kenneth Gainwell and whoever starts for the Raiders.

Fantasy four-pack

Saquon Barkley, Eagles @ CAR ($9,000 DK, $10,000 FD) The best RB in football facing the worst rushing defense in recent history. What could go wrong here? This feels like either a 250-yard, four-TD game or an absolute bust where everyone scores but him. Choose wisely.

Alvin Kamara, Saints @ NYG ($8,000, $9,200 FD) Taysom Hill (knee) is out for the year. Maybe now the Saints will allow Kamara to score a TD. The Giants are allowing a league-worst 5.1 YPC and they have given up six rushing TDs over the last three weeks. AK41 is the clear pivot from Barkley.

Kyren Williams, Rams vs. BUF ($7,300 DK, $8,400 FDBuffalo is allowing 4.9 YPC. This is nearly a full yard per carry more than Williams averages. Still, we are playing him for the TDs. He has scored in all but three games.

Bucky Irving, Buccaneers vs. LV ($6,600 DK, $7,700 FDSince Week 8, Irving (back, hip) has a nearly 3-to-2 opportunity advantage over Rachaad White. As long as the hip issue doesn’t linger, he should post his third-straight 150-total-yard performance.

Sleepers

Tyrone Tracy Jr., Giants vs. NO ($5,800 DK, $6,600 FD) No team is allowing more YPC than New Orleans, and only three teams have allowed more RB rushing scores. Due in part to a few fumbles, Tracy has recently seen a dip in usage. Still, he has scored in four of his last seven games.

Isaac Guerendo, 49ers vs. CHI ($5,400 DK, $5,200 FDCan we say 100% ownership? Much like Barkley, this chalk could blow up in everyone’s face. That said, are you going to be the one who sits on the sideline as Guerendo does his best Christian McCaffrey (knee) impersonation? Over the last four weeks, Chicago has allowed over 24 PPR points per game to opposing RBs.

Wide Receiver DraftKings FanDuel
A.J. Brown $8,100 $9,300
Justin Jefferson $7,800 $9,200
Puka Nacua $7,700 $8,600
Mike Evans $7,200 $8,400
Tyreek Hill $7,100 $8,200
Cooper Kupp $7,000 $8,500
Malik Nabers $6,900 $8,300
George Pickens $6,800 $7,500
Davante Adams $6,700 $7,300
Garrett Wilson $6,600 $7,200
Drake London $6,400 $7,900
Jaxon Smith-Njigba $6,300 $8,000
DK Metcalf $6,200 $7,600
Ladd McConkey N/A $7,000
DJ Moore $6,100 $6,600
Marvin Harrison Jr. $6,000 $6,800
Deebo Samuel Sr. $5,900 $7,100
Khalil Shakir $5,900 $6,500
Brian Thomas Jr. $5,800 $6,900
DeVonta Smith $5,800 $7,400
Calvin Ridley $5,700 $6,300
DeAndre Hopkins N/A $6,100
Jerry Jeudy $5,700 $6,100
Jakobi Meyers $5,600 $6,700
Keenan Allen $5,600 $6,400
Xavier Worthy N/A $6,000
Darnell Mooney $5,500 $5,900
Jaylen Waddle $5,400 $5,900
Adam Thielen $5,300 $5,900
Jordan Addison $5,300 $6,000
Jauan Jennings $5,200 $6,400
Amari Cooper $5,100 $5,700
Quentin Johnston N/A $5,700
Cedric Tillman $5,100 $5,800
Keon Coleman $5,000 $5,600
Rome Odunze $5,000 $5,600
Xavier Legette $4,900 $5,500
Elijah Moore $4,800 $5,600
Joshua Palmer N/A $5,400
Wan’Dale Robinson $4,800 $5,400
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine $4,700 $6,200
Marquez Valdes-Scantling $4,600 $5,800
Tre Tucker $4,600 $5,300
Ray-Ray McCloud III $4,500 $5,500
Ricky Pearsall $4,500 $5,000
Parker Washington $4,400 $5,800
Darius Slayton $4,300 $5,300
Tyler Lockett $4,300 $5,600
Demarcus Robinson $4,200 $5,700
Michael Wilson $4,100 $5,300
David Moore $4,000 $5,300
Sterling Shepard $4,000 $5,400
Curtis Samuel $3,900 $5,500
Mike Williams $3,800 $5,200
Cedrick Wilson Jr. $3,700 $4,900
Justin Watson N/A $4,900
Jalen Coker $3,700 $5,100
DJ Turner $3,600 $4,800
JuJu Smith-Schuster N/A $4,800
Tyler Boyd $3,600 $5,000
Jahan Dotson $3,500 $4,700
Mack Hollins $3,500 $5,400
Jalen Nailor $3,400 $5,000
Trey Palmer $3,400 $4,900
Tutu Atwell $3,400 $4,900
Calvin Austin III $3,300 $5,500
Kevin Austin Jr. $3,300 $4,800
Greg Dortch $3,200 $4,800
Van Jefferson $3,200 $4,700
Johnny Wilson $3,000 $5,000

Wide receiver

Weekly strategy – A.J. Brown is a solid play, but both Mike Evans (hamstring) and Drake London have a higher floor. Justin Jefferson has struggled in recent weeks as he has been triple-teamed. This may be his return to the glory game. I just wish his price was less. At WR2/WR3, you have several options. My favorites are Marvin Harrison Jr.Brian Thomas Jr.Jakobi Meyers (ankle), Amari CooperKeenan AllenNick Westbrook-Ikhine, and Darnell Mooney. The punt choices include Parker WashingtonSterling Shepard, and Ray-Ray McCloud. 

Fantasy four-pack

A.J. Brown, Eagles @ CAR ($8,100, $9,300 FDCarolina is infinitely better against the pass than the run. Of course, that isn’t saying much considering how wretched their run defense has been in 2024. They have allowed back-to-back WR1s to score, so don’t be surprised if Brown does for the second time in his last three games. 

Mike Evans, Buccaneers vs. LV ($7,200, $8,400 FDOver their last three games, Vegas has allowed an average of 6.3-83-1 to opposing WR1s. Meanwhile, Evans (hamstring) scored in his second game back from injury, giving him seven TDs in nine games.

Drake London, Falcons @ MIN ($6,400 DK, $7,900 FDPossession receivers, like London, have eviscerated the Vikings all season. Kirk Cousins knows all the holes in this secondary, and he will continue to pepper London with targets. Since Week 10, only one WR has averaged more targets per game than him. 

Justin Jefferson, Vikings vs. ATL ($7,800 DK, $9,200 FDSpeaking of targets, Jefferson has received eight or more looks in nine of his last 10 games. Unfortunately, he hasn’t scored since Week 7. Atlanta has allowed the third-most WR receiving touchdowns, so JJ could get back into the end zone here.

Sleepers

Jakobi Meyers, Raiders @ TB ($5,600 DK, $6,700 FD) Despite a revolving door at QB, Meyers (ankle) has remained a legit WR2 all season. Since Week 8, Meyers has been top-10 among WRs in both targets and receptions. The ankle issue popped up on Thursday, so monitor his status going into this game. If he plays, chalk him up for a floor of 8-90. 

Amari Cooper, Bills @ LAR ($5,100 DK, $5,700 FDCooper has shed his wrist injury, opening the door for his first big performance since joining Buffalo. Opponents’ top WRs have scored in five straight against Los Angeles. Cooper will make it six.

Tight End DraftKings FanDuel
Brock Bowers $6,500 $8,000
Trey McBride $6,100 $7,200
George Kittle $5,800 $7,500
Jonnu Smith $5,300 $7,000
Travis Kelce N/A $6,800
David Njoku $5,100 $6,200
Dalton Kincaid $4,900 $5,700
Evan Engram $4,800 $5,900
Dallas Goedert $4,500 $6,000
Cade Otton $4,400 $5,600
T.J. Hockenson $4,300 $6,300
Kyle Pitts $4,100 $5,300
Noah Gray N/A $5,200
Will Dissly N/A $5,100
Dawson Knox $3,900 $5,000
Pat Freiermuth $3,800 $5,500
Cole Kmet $3,700 $5,200
Noah Fant $3,600 $5,000
Grant Calcaterra $3,500 $4,300
Juwan Johnson $3,400 $5,400
Ja’Tavion Sanders $3,300 $4,500
Tyler Higbee $3,200 $4,000
AJ Barner $3,100 $5,000
Foster Moreau $3,100 $4,800
Chig Okonkwo $3,000 $5,100
Tommy Tremble $3,000 $4,900
Tyler Conklin $2,900 $4,900
Colby Parkinson $2,800 $4,800

Tight end

Weekly strategy – Cade Otton had a dud in a glorious spot last week. This spot is even better. Brock Bowers is much more expensive, but his matchup is equally juicy. Trey McBride and David Njoku are the pivots. If Dalton Kincaid (knee) returns, he gets a soft opponent. Otherwise, Dawson Knox becomes a discount pivot play. The other punt choices are Pat FreiermuthWill Dissly, and Grant Calcaterra.

Fantasy four-pack

Brock Bowers, Raiders @ TB ($6,500 DK, $8,000 FD) Bowers leads all of football in receptions, and he ranks fourth in receiving yards. Not bad for a rookie on a moribund team. Tampa is allowing the fourth-most yards to the position. I don’t love that FD price, but he is a must-play on DK.

Cade Otton, Buccaneers vs. LV ($4,400 DK, $5,600 FDPrepare to engage a double-TE lineup — in the same game no less. Disregarding a Week 12 tilt when Vegas held Denver’s TEs to one catch and three yards, they are allowing an absurd average of 33.5 PPR points per game to the position since Week 8. Otton has posted back-to-back duds, which should keep his ownership respectable.

Trey McBride, Cardinals vs. SEA ($6,100 DK, $7,200 FDIf we could combine McBride’s receptions and yards with Nick Westbrook-Ikhine’s nose for TDs, we could have the world’s greatest football player. Just two weeks ago, McBride posted 12-133 on 15 targets against this defense.

David Njoku, Browns @ PIT ($5,100 DK, $6,200 FD) Since Jameis Winston took over at QB, back in Week 7, Njoku is third among TEs in targets, fifth in receptions, and second in receiving TDs. Meanwhile, over the last four weeks, Pittsburgh has allowed the fifth-most TE receptions and receiving yards.

Sleepers

Will Dissly, Chargers @ KC (N/A DK, $5,100 FDDissly trails only Ladd McConkey (knee) in receptions and targets among Chargers’ pass catchers. McConkey is iffy for this week. If he is out, Dissly should see a spike in usage. Meanwhile, KC has allowed the most receptions and yards to the position.

Grant Calcaterra, Eagles @ CAR ($3,500 DK, $4,300 FD) In the four games that Dallas Goedert (knee) missed earlier this season, Calcaterra was third on the team in targets, receptions, and receiving yards. Carolina has allowed a league-worst nine TE touchdowns, so this could be a sneaky and cheap way to get exposure to this game.

The best fantasy football gamble of Week 14

A true risk-reward play, this veteran tight end has a great matchup.

Every week, at least one player becomes my fascination of whether he’s worthy of a fantasy football start as a streamer. The decision can be a mental wrestling match, but for the purpose of brevity, only one player can be chosen as my favorite fantasy football gamble of the week.

The players chosen in this series are meant to be fliers for fantasy owners in desperate situations or those willing to take an intentional risk. No player is intended to be a lineup lock for guaranteed results, hence the name of the series.

The best fantasy football gamble for Week 14

Tracking my 2023 predictions: 6-7-0
All-time record: 25-38-3 (40.2%)

Win: Player produces ≥ 75% of projected fantasy points
Loss: Player produces >75% of projected fantasy points
Tie: Player is ejected, leaves with an injury, or is ruled out after publishing

This year, we’ll also track the accuracy on a percentage basis to show relative results, since sometimes calling a player a loss doesn’t actually hurt gamers. An example would be if a projection narrowly falls short of the 75 percent threshold, the player is still of use in a lineup.

Wk 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
% 55 74 41 20 150 66 16 25 88 121 138 80 87
Grade E C F- F- A+ D F- F- B+ A+ A+ B- B+

In some ways, claiming a win from last week’s recommendation of Denver Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson feels a little dirty. It rarely works out when a promoted player throws three picks, but he saved the day with a rushing touchdown and finished QB10 in a week with six teams on bye. Had Wilson not thrown the three picks, his final fantasy tally would have been the exact 23.7 points I projected.

We’ll take every victory we can get, and Week 13’s dub makes it five straight after an embarrassing 1-7 start to the season. Keep grinding, folks.

Los Angeles Chargers TE Gerald Everett vs. Denver Broncos

Preface: This one isn’t for everyone and requires an conscious willingness to gamble. Fortunately, tight end is the most volatile position from week to week, and the crop of safe plays is wafer thin.

The main reason to be concerned is Everett’s typical lack of volume, but that trepidation is lessened by his recent uptick in action. The past two weeks have seen him get targeted four and five times, respectively, with the veteran securing four in each contest. He has 43 and 44 yards in those outings, and Everett found paydirt in Week 12 for his third score in the last six outings.

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Now, the target share should decrease if Joshua Palmer (knee) indeed returns this week; he was limited during the first two days of practice. Could there be some rust? Sure. But the volume isn’t what makes Everett attractive. (Friday update: Palmer has been ruled out, making Everett a safer choice.)

In the last five weeks, Denver has given up touchdowns at the seventh-highest rate, and this is the No. 2 matchup for points in non-PPR as well as reception-rewarding formats. The position has scored three times in the most recent four games against this defense, and just three teams have surrendered more yards per game since Week 8 than Denver’s 72. The success hasn’t been isolated to the second half of the season, however, as the Broncos rate tied for dead last at defending TEs in 2023.

Given the rather low probability of Everett seeing more than five or six targets, he’s overly reliant on getting into the end zone, and that’s is entirely to the focus of this risk-reward calculation.

While this projected line isn’t extreme, it would have placed in the TE1 category in each of the last five weeks.

My projection: 6 targets, 4 receptions, 39 yards, 1 TD (13.9 PPR fantasy points)

Fantasy football start ’em, sit ’em: Week 14

Check out these starts and sits for fantasy football in Week 14.

Following the Thursday night thriller that saw Baker Mayfield lead the Los Angeles Rams to a comeback victory, fantasy football managers now have some big decisions to make in Week 14.

With six teams on a bye, start/sit decisions become magnified. This is even more so with the fact that the fantasy playoffs are starting up in a week or two. The teams on a bye in Week 14 include the Indianapolis Colts, Green Bay Packers, Chicago Bears, Atlanta Falcons, New Orleans Saints and Washington Commanders.

Doing start/sit articles can be a little challenging. The players featured on the list below should not be taken as “must starts” or “must sits.” Instead, these are more suggestions on what we believe managers should do with fringe players heading into the weekend. The choice is ultimately up to the manager.

Just because a player is listed as a “start” doesn’t mean he should be put in the lineup over the secure, bona fide studs. Vice versa for the “sits.” If there’s no better option on the waiver wire or the bench, a manager shouldn’t automatically sit the player. That’s why these can be tricky waters to navigate.

You also can check out our start and sit bench list for Week 14: