Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 8

The top risers and fallers heading into Week 8.

Parity has been running rampant in the NFL the last couple of weeks, and it has had an impact on fantasy rosters.

In Week 6, only three of the 30 teams playing scored more than 24 points in one of the lowest-scoring weeks in the modern era of the NFL. The week also saw the last two unbeaten teams (Philadelphia and San Francisco) lose.

In Week 7, strange things continued. In the 10 games played Sunday afternoon, six of them were won by the team with the worse record in the matchup. This included three 1-5 teams (New England, Chicago and the New York Giants) getting their second win of the season – all against teams that came in with a record of .500 or better. The trend continued Monday with Minnesota beating the 5-1 San Francisco 49ers.

Just when you think you have the 2023 season figured out, the NFL proves that you should expect the unexpected.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 7

The top risers and fallers heading into Week 7.

Back in the old days of fantasy football, the touchdown was king. Yardage wasn’t measured in the tenth of a point. PPR wasn’t a thing. You accrued yardage juice (if any) in increments of 25 or 50 yards.

Touchdowns are no longer the primary measuring stick, which was a good thing in Week 6. Of the 15 games played, if you bet the Under on every game, you went 13-2.

Ten teams won while scoring 21 or fewer points, and only three teams scored more than 24 points (and one had 26). The point totals from top to bottom were 63, 57, 40, 40, 38, 37, 36, 35, 34, 33, 32, 30, 27, 26 and 23.

In the modern era of the NFL, we have never seen this – nor will we again. Here’s to hoping your fantasy team won with a season-low point total.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 6

The top risers and fallers heading into Week 6.

Everyone puts considerable stock in using their early draft picks on players they’re convinced will carry a roster. However, five weeks into the 2023 season, we’ve learned that the only consistent position for fantasy scoring are the elite wide receivers.

At quarterback, the top 10 players in passing yards include a lot of players who weren’t drafted to be a QB1 – namely Kirk Cousins (2nd), C.J. Stroud (3rd), Matthew Stafford (4th), Sam Howell (6th), Brock Purdy (8th) and Jared Goff (9th). In terms of touchdown passes, the same is true with Cousins (1st), Russell Wilson (tied for 2nd), Purdy (tied for 7th), Goff (tied for 7th), Jordan Love (9th), and Stroud (10th).

A similar run of unheralded players is happening at running back. Among the top 10 rushing yardage leaders, more than half are players who weren’t drafted to be an RB1 – De’Von Achane (2nd), Zack Moss (3rd), D’Andre Swift (4th), Breece Hall (6th), David Montgomery (7th), and James Conner (8th).

The only position that has held up with the top stars dominating the top spots are wide receivers, but there are exceptions. Among the top 10 receivers in yardage, you have Puka Nacua (2nd), DJ Moore (5th), and Nico Collins (8th). In terms of receptions, there is Nacua (1st), Adam Thielen (4th), and Michael Pittman (10th).

While the star players are in lineups every week because of their ability, in the first month-plus of the season, the back-of-the-roster guys and waiver pickups are doing just as much if not more damage.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 5

The latest risers and fallers to know in fantasy football ahead of Week 5.

At the start of the season, there were doubts that, aside from Cooper Kupp, anyone was going to be overly interested in Los Angeles Rams players. A month later, much has changed.

Matthew Stafford has topped 300 passing yards in three of four games, and he has legitimate value if his touchdown numbers come up.

Rookie Puka Nacua is the talk of the NFL, catching 39 passes for 501 yards and one touchdown. Tutu Atwell has been strong, catching 22 passes for 270 yards and a touchdown. The Rams traded starting running back Cam Akers and replaced him with Kyren Williams. He has rushed 64 times for 245 yards, caught 11 passes for 101 yards, and scored six touchdowns. Even kicker Brett Maher has become must-have, posting weekly point totals of 12, 11, 10 and 11.

In most leagues, all five of these Rams were available on the waiver wire prior to Week 1. Now, it’s hard to imagine not having all of them in weekly starting lineups … or at least stashed so others can’t have them.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 4

Fantasy football’s top risers and fallers entering Week 4.

Injuries are always part of the game – ask anyone who used a first-round pick on Nick Chubb – but there are times when your best players won’t be available to you by design.

Starting in Week 5, the NFL will do its annual attrition of available teams with bye weeks. While most savvy fantasy managers make sure they don’t box themselves in on draft day with too many players on bye at the same time, once roster moves start taking place, all that draft prep goes out the window.

Between Week 5 and Week 14, eight weeks will have byes, including four with four teams sitting and two weeks with six teams down. The best advice for your new-look roster is to plan ahead for the weeks that you’re going to be potentially crippled at a position and look in advance for a player who may be available to pick up and stash for a week or two to keep yourself from making a desperation waiver wire pick when everyone else panics. Sometimes forward thinking before the rest can pay dividends.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 3

These players are rising and falling in fantasy football leagues.

The Kansas City Chiefs are finding a way to rewrite history (at least in the fantasy football realm) like few others have. For a team that has a potent offense and are the defending champs in the middle of a dynasty – KC has only two players you want to start on a weekly basis – QB Patrick Mahomes and TE Travis Kelce.

Other than that, the Chiefs are a stew of role players who may step up one week and disappear the next.

Mahomes hasn’t been turning out the lights, but he has thrown for 531 yards and four touchdowns and rushed for 75 yards through two games. Other than him? In two games, the Chiefs running backs have run for 113 yards. Fourteen different players have caught passes, but only one (WR Justin Watson) has more than 70 receiving yards, and nobody has caught more than six passes.

Yet, somehow the beat goes on. The Chiefs are the gold standard of the NFL, but when it comes to fantasy football, aside from Mahomes and Kelce, there isn’t an offensive player you feel comfortable playing – and likely get burned when you do.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 2

Assessing fantasy’s key risers and fallers entering Week 2.

If you noticed that your fantasy football league scores from Week 1 were lower than normal, there was a big reason why. Big points were expected with the hype of kickoff weekend, but they didn’t materialize.

Nine of 16 games had an Over/Under of 45 points or more. Week 1 featured games with point totals of 43, 41, 40, 38, 37, 37, 36, 34, 34, 33, 31, and 27 points. Only three games saw more than 45 points scored.

Week 1 provided a pair of important fantasy football reminders as it pertained to lower-than-expected point totals – the NFL pays defensive players, too. Despite all the add-ons to increase scoring (PPR, increased defense points, distance field goal bonuses), touchdowns remain the life blood of fantasy football.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 1

Fantasy football risers and fallers heading into the season opener.

During the course of the season, we look at the unheralded players who are exceeding their anticipated production (fantasy football risers) and those who required a significant investment but aren’t living up to their hype (fantasy football fallers).

For Week 1, everybody has a record of 0-0 and hopes are strong that everyone who has assembled a fantasy roster was the smartest person in the war room. Reality and injuries will help bring those dreams crashing down for many – some sooner than others – but as we head into Week 1, everyone has the goal of winning a league championship.

Here is the Week 1 Fantasy Football Market Report:

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 18

The latest risers and fallers heading into the final week of the NFL’s regular season.

I’ve long maintained that the NFL is the best reality show on television and, with one week to play in the regular season, they’ve proved it once again.

The Philadelphia Eagles have had the best record in the league all year, but could fall to the No. 5 seed with a loss. Tom Brady made the playoffs for the 20th time with a win Sunday. With wins next week, Aaron Rodgers and Bill Belichick make it back to the party after being left for dead. Even the Pittsburgh Steelers are still alive as they look to avoid their first losing season in 20 years after a 2-6 start.

No professional sport is able to build drama like the NFL as it remains the most captivating reality show on TV.

Here is the Week 18 Fantasy Football Market Report.

Fantasy Football Market Report: Week 17

The latest players on the upswing and downswing entering Week 17.

One certainty in the NFL is turnover. Typically, only about half of the division winners repeat, teams that had losing records the previous year become winners, and undervalued fantasy players from those teams become unexpected lineup staples.

Last year, 12 NFL teams won 10 or more games – six in each conference. Of those, only three (Buffalo, Kansas City and Cincinnati) will repeat that feat. The other three (Tennessee, New England and Las Vegas) currently have losing records.

In the NFC, only two teams that had double-digit wins last season (San Francisco and Dallas) are going to repeat. The Green Bay Packers (13-4 in 2021) are 7-8 and on playoff life support. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-4 in ’21) are 7-8 and only in the playoff hunt because the NFC South is so bad. The Los Angeles Rams (12-5) and Arizona Cardinals (11-6) have a combined record of 9-21 this year.

When you start your preparation for the 2023 fantasy draft, keep in mind which teams look to be on the upswing but not quite there yet – teams like the Jacksonville Jaguars and Detroit Lions. Given the up-and-down nature of the NFL, they could be in for big things next year and will likely garner more credibility than they had coming into this season – which was almost none.

Here is the Week 17 Fantasy Football Market Report.