First 3 Picks: 10-team league

Your first three picks define your fantasy team.

This is the companion piece to the 12-team version. The difference between a 10-team and 12-team league is that those two fewer players per position make a big difference the further you get in your draft.

A 10-team league means positional quality lasts longer. Everyone has a “good” team, so you need less depth and more difference-makers. Simply enough, to reach your championship you have to own elite players in their position. Depth matters less – there’s always something on the waiver wire. You are much better off building an optimal starting lineup first and foremost and not playing games with loading up on wideouts or running backs before you’ve reached that best possible lineup.

To follow are the first three-rounds for 10-team fantasy football leagues. They use either standard performance scoring, performance plus a point per reception, or “2QB/Super Flex” leagues where you can start two of any position. Those three formats cover almost all leagues.

The names are less important than the positions because each draft slot has its unique situation. Just as important are your future picks and what you need after three rounds.  Rankings can change daily so these may not exactly match rankings.

Reception-point league

This style of scoring boosts the value of wide receivers and elite tight ends and slightly devalues quarterbacks relative to other positions. Running backs are popular in any scoring scenario but the added reception point means the position becomes deeper with third-down backs able to offer “start-able” fantasy value. The consistency of an above-average running back is also a very valuable contributor to the weekly fantasy score.

With a reception point and only ten teams, your roster should look very strong after three picks. All positions are deep in this format so think about “star power.”

Team 1: RB C. McCaffrey, WR Davante Adams, TE Sam LaPorta
The first pick of the draft is also the first pick of the third round – that is always an advantage as talent drains in your draft. McCaffrey is the consensus best pick this year and he’s been as productive and consistent as any player while healthy. That 2-3 turn could be RB10 or WR11 so they opted for Adams at wideout and then took LaPorta which combines as the best running back, best tight end, and a lower-end WR1. Will need at least one running back and wideout in the next three picks but can go anywhere.
Team 2: WR Tyreek Hill, WR DK Metcalf, RB James Cook
Starting with the best wideout is strong in this format,  and then doubled up with Metcalf for two Top-10 wideouts. Opted to take Cook as their RB1 and can ignore wideout for many rounds since they likely need just one more to complete their starting requirement. Knowing that running back won’t be a strength, should consider quarterback or tight end immediately to net an advantage and scoop on running backs while paying attention to how late they can still get acceptable quality at their WR3.
Team 3: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB De’Von Achane, WR Nico Collins
This is an upside sort of plan, taking two wideouts and sandwiching their RB1 of Achane who is boom-or-bust. Will need address RB2 and even RB3 early given the chance of Achane getting hurt. This is a solid start in the format if they all deliver.
Team 4: RB Breece Hall, RB Isiah Pacheco, WR Mike Evans
Pretty standard at this spot to shore up the backfield first with two of the Top-8 and then start to work on wideouts which are deeper in quality. Should consider quarterback and even tight end soon, while seeding their WR2 and WR3 along the way.
Team 5: RB Bijan Robinson, WR Brandon Aiyuk, QB Josh Allen
Middle-round drafters have it tough in the way that there is always a lot of picks between every turn and runs can develop right after they pick. Robinson at RB1 is a healthy choice and Aiyuk was as the ninth wideout was a way to avoid a hole in wideouts. Taking Allen always feels really early (and it is) but he’s been no worse than the No. 2 quarterback for the last four years. Filling one each for the highest-scoring positions means it can be best value for the rest of the draft.
Team 6: WR A. St. Brown, WR Garrett Wilson, RB Kyren Williams
Another middle-of-the-draft pick opts to go WR-WR to start with two of the Top-8 wideouts – always a strength in this scoring. Switched to Kyren Williams for RB1. Even in a 10-team league, getting two running backs from the first five rounds is usually best. Should take their RB2 in the next round or so but can value pick from any position other than wideout that only needs one more decent starter from the deepest position.
Team 7: WR CeeDee Lamb, RB Jonathan Taylor, RB Josh Jacobs
This is actually a solid plan. Snap up a difference-making wideout, then double on running backs for two of the Top-11 in that position. Must have WR2 in the next two picks to maintain quality, but can consider quarterback soon as well.  Solid start and can wait on running backs for a while.
Team 8: RB Saquon Barkley, WR Puka Nacua, WR Drake London
This is the reverse of Team 7, where they started with Barkley as the fourth back taken, and then doubled on wideouts to net the WR7 and WR14. That makes a strong set of wideouts though it is the deepest position. Can explore running backs very soon but also consider quarterback and tight end since only need one more starting wideout.
Team 9: WR A.J. Brown, WR Justin Jefferson, RB Derrick Henry
Nearing the end of the first round, very common to double up wideouts and have the WR5 and WR6 – that’s an advantage. Henry at RB1 prevents any weakness and selects again in just two picks. Could reach a great running back like Joe Mixon or Rhamondre Stevenson for their fourth pick for a solid set of starters but needs to consider an earlier quarterback or tight end to gain an advantage somewhere instead of chasing runs.
Team 10: RB Jahmyr Gibbs, RB Travis Etienne, QB Jalen Hurts
Final pick of Round 1 often will double on either wideout or running backs, and they opted wideout which netted the RB5 and RB6. Went with Hurts as the second quarterback selected for a nice advantage but will need to strongly consider wideouts for at least the next two picks if not three.

Performance scoring league

Performance scoring without reception points means that running backs are at a premium, and quarterbacks are a bit more valuable. Wide receivers and tight ends are devalued but still usually provide four starters on a fantasy football team.  Most teams will look to get two running backs in their first three picks, and it’s hard to argue against that logic.

Unlike other scoring formats that offer greater parity in fantasy scoring between positions, this one still covets running backs. There could be up to 18 or 20 backs taken over the first three rounds even in this smaller league size.

Team 1: RB Breece Hall, WR CeeDee Lamb, QB Josh Allen
This format makes running backs very valuable and that means while Team 1 got the best running back, the best fifteen are gone by their second pick. Armed with the top back, they abandon the RB-train and get the WR5 and QB1 of the draft. That’s a very strong start but will need to go with at least one more back at their 4-5 wrap-around, even though the value will be low by then. Likely Tony Pollard or Devin Singletary at best.
Team 2: RB Christian McCaffrey, RB R. Stevenson, WR Puka Nacua
After McCaffrey, still went with Stevenson to lock up the backfield. Opted to get the sixth wideout to ensure a no liability at WR1. Can take best available regardless of position for many rounds with that RB-RB start.
Team 3: RB Bijan Robinson, RB Josh Jacobs, WR Justin Jefferson
Same plan as Team 2, RB-RB and then a Top-5 wideout. Nothing splashy with this safe route and the deeper the RB-RB starts in Round 1 means the better back for their RB2. Can pick for value and not need for the next several critical rounds.
Team 4: RB Saquon Barkley, WR A.J. Brown, RB Najee Harris
Leaving the RB2 until their third round netted the fourth-best wideout and still found acceptable value at running back though the quality/risk is on the decline.
Team 5: RB Jonathan Taylor, RB Kenneth Walker III, QB Jalen Hurts
For a mid-round drafter, this plan works admirably in most cases. Takes the standard RB-RB and then opts for the QB2 on the board for an advantage in a high-scoring position. Wideouts will be a disadvantage but their scoring is significantly less in this format. Need to get at least two wideouts over the next four rounds if not three. Smaller league size does make wideouts deeper.
Team 6: WR Tyreek Hill, RB Joe Mixon, RB Rachaad White
Starting out with wideout, even the best one, made the next rounds picks feel like need-picks with running backs and it is somewhat reasonable given that the fourth round is a major step down in quality. Free to value pick the next several rounds and an early quarterback would look good on this roster.
Team 7: RB Jahmyr Gibbs, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, RB D’Andre Swift
This plan looks solid enough, using Round 2 for a Top-3 wideout and scraping up Swift at RB2. Free to roam the draft board and the strength with their WR1 means they can look at other positions even for three or four rounds if desired. The depth of quality for receivers always last with the smaller league and scoring format.
Team 8: RB Travis Etienne, RB Isiah Pacheco, WR DK Metcalf
More of the same with a very safe and effective start. While he ends up with the seventh-best running back to start, he reached the eleventh-best back in Pacheco to wrap up their backfield. Metcalf was the WR8 from the draft board, so there’s safety in making him the WR1 for the team. Free to choose from here on out.
Team 9: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Kyren Williams, TE Sam LaPorta
Drafting at the end of the first round in any sort of league always prompts strategic selections to avoid just following runs and building an average team. Starting with Chase as the second wideout of the draft is a value even in this scoring, and Kyren Williams may be a lower-end RB1 but not a disadvantage. Taking LaPorta in this scoring format doesn’t feel as great, but looking for an advantage in other positions can help make up ground. Probably needs to take running backs in two of the next three rounds.
Team 10: RB Derrick Henry, RB De’Von Achane, WR Nico Collins
This scoring makes the final pick of Round 1 more valuable than any other scoring format because one position – running back – still reigns supreme for the first few rounds and Team 10 owns two Top-8 running backs. Reached Collins for his WR1 and he’s still just the ninth-wideout selected. Can value pick every round now and should consider quarterback in the next few rounds while an advantage still exists in available players.

 

QB-heavy/Super-Flex league

This league starts two quarterbacks. That pushes value in other positions deeper into the draft since quarterbacks take up far more of the early picks.  Each 2QB or super-flex league can use different scoring and other aspects that impact player value, so consider the nuances of your league.

This assumes super-flex, where two quarterbacks may be started. Some  leagues may see six or seven quarterbacks in the first round and five or six more in the second round.

It is also assumed that there are reception points. That is by far the most common in that type of league. It is also notable that a team can win without automatically starting two quarterbacks, even when allowed. Virtually no one drafts with that in mind.

In a smaller 10-team league with additional valuable players from the quarterback boost, almost every fantasy team looks great so taking elite players is paramount to winning – get your starters before worrying about depth.

Team 1: QB Josh Allen, QB Brock Purdy, WR Justin Jefferson
The smaller league size helps make this plan for the first pick work well, since quarterbacks are very valuable and that second pick still reached the twelfth quarterback. That’s a nice 1-2 punch paired with Allen. Opted for Jefferson as a Top-5 wideout. Will need to address running back likely with the next two picks but the core is set with those quarterbacks.
Team 2: QB Jalen Hurts, RB Saquon Barkley, WR A.J. Brown
This plan takes the second-best quarterback but then could not resist owning a Top-4 running back and a Top-5 receiver. That’s nice firepower at quarterback, running back and wideout – the three best-scoring positions.  That 4-5 turn coming up almost has to take a quarterback and by then it’ll be Bryce Young or Derek Carr quality. But there won’t be a way to cover a bye week if a quarterback is delayed any further.
Team 3: QB Patrick Mahomes, WR CeeDee Lamb, QB Jayden Daniels
Solid plan takes the two quarterbacks wrapping around Lamb for an advantage at wideout. Daniels is a riskier pick, but also with much upside which is balanced by starting with the rock-solid Mahomes. The core is established and two running backs need to be considered over the next three picks.
Team 4: QB Lamar Jackson, RB Bijan Robinson, QB Tua Tagovailoa
Same plan as Team 3, only with Robinson at RB1. The later that first-round pick, the better options for QB2 are in the third round. Can go anywhere now and should consider at least one wideout in the next two picks.
Team 5: QB C.J. Stroud, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, QB Trevor Lawrence
Again – taking two quarterbacks in the first three picks is always reasonable and the results just get better the later that the drafter goes in the first round. Running backs for the next two picks would be prudent, unless an irresistible wideout falls.
Team 6: RB Christian McCaffrey, QB Kyler Murray, RB Jahmyr Gibbs
After five straight quarterbacks, the available pool hits a lower tier and taking McCaffrey for their RB1 is a true advantage. Going with Murray at QB1 in Round 2 was sort of a need pick but taking Gibbs for RB2 forces the next two picks to be quarterback and then wideout before a liability happens.
Team 7: QB Anthony Richardson, QB Jared Goff, WR Puka Nacua
Standard opening of QB-QB nets two Top-10 quarterbacks for an advantage and leaning into Nacua as the WR6 drafted is solid given the reception point. Running backs have to follow in two of the next three rounds but this is a safe and usually favorable opening.
Team 8: WR Tyreek Hill, WR Ja’Marr Chase, QB Caleb Williams
Opting for WR-WR makes sense in a reception-point format but that only left the rookie Williams as the QB16 selected. If next pick is quarterback, and not a bad consideration, likely lands Deshaun Watson, Justin Herbert, or Kirk Cousins which isn’t that painful considering Team 8 owns the two best wideouts. Round 5, Round 6, and Round 7 should all strongly consider running back.
Team 9: RB Breece Hall, QB Jordan Love, QB Baker Mayfield
Taking that second quarterback in the third round is getting much thinner after this late pick in Round 1. Hall is a great RB1 and Jordan Love prevents any hole at quarterback. Taking Mayfield for his QB2 is certainly the safest play and drafter goes again in just two more picks. Should consider wideout there but could also go for a top tight end to gain an advantage at one position at least.
Team 10: QB Dak Prescott, QB Joe Burrow, RB Travis Etienne
Certainly feels good getting two of the Top-8 quarterbacks and in the smaller league size, could still get a Top-8 wideout with their fourth pick and be free to value pick in every round.

Fantasy football: Chargers WR Quentin Johnston tabbed as ‘sleeper to consider for 2023 season’

Quentin Johnston provides great value.

With the 2023 NFL regular season just weeks away, football fans are working hard to get their fantasy football teams together.

While Vikings’ Justin Jefferson, 49ers’ Christian McCaffrey, Bengals’ Jamarr Chase and Chargers’ Austin Ekeler headline a crop of the top players, the depth players are what make a championship team.

That is why not the most well-known or highly regarded yet still talented players in fantasy are just as imperative. That includes rookie wide receiver Quentin Johnston.

Johnston was among The 33rd Team’s 11 sleepers to consider for the upcoming season.

Johnston is also a rookie wide receiver with Round 1 draft capital, which, historically, is an archetype that serves fantasy managers well.

Johnston was drafted to provide a spark to Los Angeles’ offense as he has the speed and explosiveness to stretch the field, outpace defenders in the open field, and has the size to stack defensive backs.

Johnston needs to clean up the dropped passes that have lingered from his college playing days.

Nonetheless, Kellen Moore will design looks for Justin Herbert to get Johnston the ball in space. He averaged 8.9 yards after the catch in 2022 (10th in FBS), and his 18 forced missed tackles ranked eighth this season among receivers in the Power 5 conferences. Hello, big plays.

And even with Keenan Allen, Mike Williams and Joshua Palmer in front of him on the depth chart, Johnston still presents an intriguing option to get playing time early on, with room to grow into a sizable role if Allen or Williams were to go down with an injury.

I’m projecting Johnston to finish with 45-50 receptions for 650-700 yards and 4-6 touchdowns.

First 3 Picks: 10-team league

Your first three picks define your fantasy team.

The first three picks define your team and set up the rest of your draft. The optimal team is built by understanding the nuances of a scoring system and how it fits into your league rules.

A 10-team league means positional quality lasts longer. Everyone has a “good” team, so you need less depth and more difference-makers.

To follow are sample three-round drafts for 10-team fantasy football leagues. They use either standard performance scoring, performance plus a point per reception, or “2QB/Super Flex” leagues where you can start two of any position. Those three formats cover almost all leagues.

The names are less important than the positions because each draft slot has its own unique situation. Just as important are your future picks and what you need after three rounds.  Rankings can change daily so these may not exactly match rankings.

Performance scoring league

Performance scoring without reception points means that running backs are at a premium, and quarterbacks are a bit more valuable. Wide receivers and tight ends are devalued but are still usually four starters in a fantasy football league.  Most teams will look to get two running backs in their first three picks, and it’s hard to argue against that logic.

Unlike other scoring formats that offer greater parity in fantasy scoring between positions, this one still covets running backs. There could be up to 18 or 20 backs taken over the first three rounds even in this smaller league size.

Team 1: RB Christian McCaffrey, QB Jalen Hurts, WR Tyreek Hill
Top running back counts huge in this format but thirteen are gone by the 2.12 so tabbed the Top-3 QB1 Hurts and still reached the fourth-best wideout for a nice advantage even without a reception point. Doubling up on running backs has to be considered next or the team backfield will ride too heavily on just what McCaffrey does – and drop badly if he is injured.
Team 2: RB Austin Ekeler, WR A.J. Brown, WR Davante Adams
Not  unlike Team 1, Opened with RB1 Ekeler and then opted to double on wideouts for two of the Top-5. Not as great without a reception point, but still an advantage. And also needs to consider running backs heavily for at least two of next three rounds.
Team 3: RB Bijan Robinson, RB Aaron Jones, RB Miles Sanders
Strength of the team is the backfield to be sure, but will miss out on difference-makers in any other position. Given the scoring format, next pick should consider the highest-scoring available QB1 and then just accept that the wideouts and tight end are not going to be any advantage and may be a liability.
Team 4: RB Nick Chubb, QB Josh Allen, RB Joe Mixon
Solid start with the fourth running back selected and then adding QB1 Allen for an advantage. Found RB2 Mixon in the third instead of a wideout like Cooper Kupp which offers a solid base for their backfield but has to consider wideouts in two of the next three rounds before that quality drops too far to not be a problem. This is a very safe start and a likely contender.
Team 5: RB Derrick Henry, RB R. Stevenson, WR Cooper Kupp
Double downed on RB1 Henry and RB2 Stevenson who round out the positional Top-12. Opted for a minor advantage with WR1 Kupp which means should look at quarterback next. Solid running backs allows them to cherry pick if anyone falls but the main aim is to make a balanced team.
Team 6: WR Justin Jefferson, RB Josh Jacobs, RB Jahmyr Gibbs
Rather than just follow the run on running backs, zagged to take WR1 Jefferson and then doubled on running backs with RB1 Jacobs and RB2 Gibbs. There is plenty of upside with those backs, but also risk until the season starts and team can know exactly what they have for a backfield. But probably should consider a third running back earlier than later just for insurance. Quarterback is a reasonable fourth-round consideration.
Team 7: RB Saquon Barkley, QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Breece Hall
Barkley falls without reception points but still prevents any liability with their RB1. Tabbing QB1 Mahomes could make this team with firepower in the highest scoring position. Opted for RB2 Hall as the seventeenth back taken which was a safe move but risky all the same given his return from knee surgery. Wideouts need to show up soon but also need a decent third running back just to cover the “what if” from Hall.
Team 8: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Travis Etienne, RB David Montgomery
Here’s a standard and effective start from this slot. Grabbed WR1 Chase for a solid advantage in the position and then felt obligated to double down with RB1 Etienne and RB2 Montgomery who feels a bit weak given the committee backfield in Detroit. Could have gone with Stefon Diggs and likely not sacrificed much taking RB2 with the 4.03 in five picks. But at least Chase counts as more than just one wideout with his potential.
Team 9: RB Jonathan Taylor, RB Najee Harris, WR Stefon Diggs
Drafting this late made RB-RB as a safe move and does own two Top-10 running backs with RB1 Taylor and RB2 Harris. WR1 Diggs best pick at the 3.09 to grab a consistent wideout and still could reach a Top-5 quarterback next. This is a standard plan that may not spark great optimism but doesn’t feel bad either. Can look at non-RB for the next three rounds though RB3 shouldn’t wait any longer than that.
Team 10: TE Travis Kelce, RB Tony Pollard, WR CeeDee Lamb
Drafting at the end always means looking for best value while everything gets wiped out in front of the pick. Starting out with TE1 Kelce is an advantage, less in this format, and will make all other positions wait an extra round to get any attention. Taking RB1 Pollard with the 2.01 was prudent to avoid a glaring hole at running back that would be very hard to compensate. WR1 Lamb as the 3.12 is solid but has to use the 4.01 on running back.

Reception-point league

This style of scoring boosts the value of wide receivers and elite tight ends and slightly devalues quarterbacks relative to other positions. Running backs are popular in any scoring scenario but the added reception point means the position becomes deeper with third-down backs able to offer “start-able” fantasy value. The consistency of an above-average running back is also a very valuable contributor to the weekly fantasy score.

With a reception point and only ten teams, your roster should look very strong after three picks. All positions are deep in this format so think about “star power.”

Team 1: WR Justin Jefferson, RB Aaron Jones, QB Josh Allen
Early picks work out well in this format, more so than others. Start out with WR1 Jefferson for a great advantage, then still reached the tenth-best running back to prevent any holes in the position and still added the second-best quarterback. The quality will be lower on everything by the 4.10, but this starts out with a top wideout and quarterback, plus a decent RB1.
Team 2: RB Christian McCaffrey, RB Najee Harris, WR A. St. Brown
Opted for the best RB1 with McCaffrey and then used the back-end picks at 2.09 and 3.02 to double down with RB2 Najee Harris and only managed WR1 St. Brown as the ninth wideout. This format will raid the position harder than any other, but by the 4.09 pick there won’t be any top-tier players left. This is a safe start, but doesn’t do as much to obtain any advantages in any position other than the McCaffrey start.
Team 3: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Jonathan Taylor, TE Mark Andrews
Nice value play that can work in this format. Opened with WR1 Chase and then grabbed RB1 Taylor as the eighth back taken – could have been Najee Harris or Aaron Jones given the current questions surrounding Taylor. Went with TE1 Andrews in the third for an advantage in two positions. Can go anywhere with the next picks though it will be alternating running backs and wideouts other than seeding a QB1 where the best value lies.
Team 4: RB Austin Ekeler, QB Patrick Mahomes, WR Garrett Wilson
This plan is effective allowing RB1 Ekeler, grabs the top QB1 Mahomes and then still reaches WR1 Wilson as the tenth-best wideout. Now just consider wideout and running back for the next three or four rounds for a solid start.
Team 5: RB Saquon Barkley, WR CeeDee Lamb, WR Jaylen Waddle
 Opted for RB1 Barkley as a Top-3 running back and then double downed with WR1 Lamb and WR2 Waddle. Great start considering the scoring format and allows the team to ignore wideout for three rounds or so since they only need a WR3 and can load up on running backs before their quality experiences that steep decline after Round 6.
Team 6: WR Tyreek Hill, WR Davante Adams, QB Jalen Hurts
Middle slots are always tough since so many players are taken on either side of every pick.  Opened with WR1 Hill and then nabbed WR2 Adams for two of the Top-7 wideouts in a reception point league. Then still reached QB1 Hurts for a Top-3 at quarterback. Obviously has to mine running backs for at least two of the next three rounds, and maybe all three.
Team 7: TE Travis Kelce, RB Derrick Henry, RB Travis Etienne
Mr. 7th pick is TE1 Kelce who is most commonly taken right after the Top-3 wideouts and running backs are gone. Huge positional advantage but setting back all other positions by a round, it led to tabbing RB1 Henry and RB2 Etienne to feel safe. Wideouts are the deepest position and has to consider at least three of the next five picks for the position. But if you have to make up ground in any single position, wideout is where it is most possible.
Team 8: WR Cooper Kupp, RB Tony Pollard, RB Josh Jacobs
Went with WR1 Kupp before doubling on RB1 Pollard and RB2 Jacobs. That sews up two Top-12 running backs and an elite WR1. Need to address tight end and quarterback soon with an eye to getting a difference-maker because the safe start will turn into a very average team if anything happens to Kupp. Can hold off on running backs for at least three rounds.
Team 9: RB Bijan Robinson, RB Nick Chubb, WR Amari Cooper
Found the exciting RB1 Robinson and opted to get RB2 Chubb since six wideouts were gone. Reached WR1 Cooper as a Top-12 choice and needs to consider another wideout with next pick in just two more turns. Top-3 quarterbacks are gone and the best two tight ends. Needs a wideout and maybe two and can still reach a very serviceable quarterback in a few rounds.
Team 10: WR Stefon Diggs, WR A.J. Brown, RB Joe Mixon
That back-end turn is always interesting. In this format, even with just ten teams, the four best wideouts and running backs are gone, plus Travis Kelce.  Very common and workable taking WR1 Diggs and WR2 Brown for two of the Top-7 wideouts. That position can wait for another four rounds while running backs and a quarterback are taken. Goes next with the 4.01 which means either the fourteenth-best running back for RB2 which is likely the best choice since there could be another ten gone by their 5.12 pick.

QB-heavy/Super-Flex league

This league starts two quarterbacks. That pushes value in other positions deeper into the draft since quarterbacks take up far more of the early picks.  Each 2QB or super-flex league can use different scoring and other aspects that impact player value, so consider the nuances of your league.

This assumes super-flex, where the option to start a second quarterback in a flex position exists. Some  leagues may see six or seven quarterbacks in the first round and five or six more in the second round.

It is also assumed that there are reception points. That is by far the most common in that type of league. It is also notable that a team can win without automatically starting two quarterbacks, even when allowed. Virtually no one drafts with that in mind.

In a smaller 10-team league with additional valuable players from the quarterback boost, almost every fantasy team looks great so taking elite players is paramount to winning – get your starters before worrying about depth.

Team 1: QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Bijan Robinson, WR Stefon Diggs 
No question who that first pick is. QB1 Mahomes (occasionally Josh Allen) is the most coveted player in this format but picking first meant that eleven quarterbacks were gone by the 2.10. But top values still there for RB1 Robinson and WR1 Diggs. It’s a solid start with firepower. Next pick at 4.10 should evaluate what is left at quarterback and decide if not starting a second quarterback may make most sense. Balanced opening allows cherry picking best values.
Team 2: QB Josh Allen, RB Saquon Barkley, RB Nick Chubb
Opened with QB1 Allen and like Team 1 noticed the quarterback shelves had been deeply raided and opted to assemble a very strong backfield with RB1 Barkley and RB2 Chubb for two of the Top-5 backs. Even in this smaller sized league, has to consider wideout for at least two of the next three picks and maybe all three. Solid backfield can let RB3 wait but wideout and tight end are trending to be weak.
Team 3: RB Christian McCaffrey, WR Cooper Kupp, QB Jared Goff
This year, Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are almost always the Top-2 quarterbacks, with Jalen Hurts coming in a very strong third. Hurts would be a fine pick here as well, but opted for RB1 McCaffrey. That left the 2.08 pick already 11 deep in missing quarterbacks. So snapped up WR1 Kupp as the fourth-best wideout and then finally went with QB1 Goff without any real cost since no other quarterbacks were taken behind him. Can accept that two quarterbacks will not start and raid wideout or running back next. The next round quarterback will likely come with plenty of question marks.
Team 4: QB Jalen Hurts, QB Deshaun Watson, RB Tony Pollard
This plan is a safe approach with decent results. QB1 Hurts is a great pick and then QB2 Watson carries upside at least as the eleventh quarterback taken. Opted for RB1 Pollard over the sixth wideout (A.J. Brown or Davante Adams likely). Common approach should work but has to shuffle back and forth between running backs and wideouts for at least the next five or six rounds.
Team 5: WR Justin Jefferson, QB Dak Prescott, WR A.J. Brown
 The use of reception points makes this work – it would not if it were just performance scoring. Opened with WR1 Jefferson for a distinct advantage and then still reached QB1 Prescott at the 2.06 pick. Doubled on wideouts with WR2 Brown. Leave the wideouts alone for at least four or five rounds and work on running backs while keeping an eye on when to still reach a QB2 before there is no value there. Can compete in this scoring format with that start, but even getting a bye-week cover at QB2 cannot wait long.
Team 6: QB Joe Burrow, WR Tyreek Hill, QB Russell Wilson
Middle of the draft but still opened with QB1 Burrow and then third-best wideout of WR1 Hill for an advantage. QB2 Wilson is a steal if he returns to form but risky with the chance that his 2022 performance shows up again. But this start leaves the team with a solid start and can raid running backs for the next two rounds before thinking of more wideouts.
Team 7: QB Lamar Jackson, TE Travis Kelce, WR Davante Adams
Have to like how this unfolds. Reached QB1 Jackson which felt good, and then TE1 Kelce for a big advantage at a small position. Then WR1 Adams as a Top-8 wideout. The next pick (just six turns away) can look at a QB2, but two running backs are in order in the next three rounds. The reception point helps this to make sense.
Team 8: QB Trevor Lawrence, QB Justin Fields, RB Derrick Henry
With a super flex and a reception point, high-value players exist much deeper in drafts and allow for end-of-the-round teams to actually gain an advantage. QB1 Lawrence and QB2 Fields wrap up two Top-8 quarterbacks to take advantage of the starting rules, and then still found RB1 Derrick Henry at the 3.08 pick. Solid start that goes again in four turns and can either balance with a wideout or solidify a good backfield with another running back.
Team 9: WR Ja’Marr Chase, QB Kirk Cousins, RB Jonathan Taylor
The question the next-to-last pick has to ask is which player can I live without. Going with WR2 Chase is a strong play and then still found QB1 Kirk Cousins there at his 2.02. The positions were drained by the 3.09 but went with RB1 Taylor to start the backfield and goes again in two picks where they decide if they want a running back or a wideout. That question will persist for the next several rounds.
Team 10: RB Austin Ekeler, QB Justin Herbert, WR CeeDee Lamb
Hard to imagine, but in this format the second-best running back can still be there at the 1.10 and RB1 Ekeler made sense. QB1 Herbert was an obvious pick knowing that  their 3.10 pick will be looking at the scraps at quarterback. Went with WR1 Lamb for a balanced start that opens up all positions for best value over the next four rounds or more.

First 3 Picks: 12-team league

Your first three picks define your fantasy team.

Your first three picks define your fantasy football team. Each one is critical because the player pool is ever-shrinking, and you have to select a mixture of available players to produce an optimal team. And those initial rounds determine what you’ll do in the later rounds of the draft. Get them wrong, and you may not be able to recover.

To follow are sample three-round drafts for 12-team fantasy football leagues. They use either standard performance scoring, performance plus a point per reception, or “2QB/Super Flex” leagues where you can start two of any position. Those three formats cover virtually all leagues.

The names are less important than the positions because each draft slot has its own unique situation. Just as important are your future picks and what you still need after three rounds.  Rankings change daily, so these may not exactly match site rankings. Pay the most attention to the positions and how they work together for an optimal start.

Performance scoring league

Performance scoring without reception points means that top running backs are a premium, and quarterbacks are comparatively more valuable. Wide receivers and tight ends are devalued but still total four starters in most  fantasy football leagues.  Most teams take two running backs over their first three picks and it’s hard to argue against the logic because the supply is very low by Round 4.

The above three rounds are an optimal way to start the draft for all twelve draft slots. Let’s consider where each should be looking next after the three-pick start:

Team 1: RB Christian McCaffrey, WR Stefon Diggs, QB Josh Allen
First pick gets that great top running back, but then 15 are gone by the second pick. Scooped up a Top-3 quarterback and wideout for a great start but has to spend on running backs probably in both Rounds 4 and 5. Rather than follow the run on depleted running backs, tried to gather highly rated starters though the bang for the buck is lower with no reception points.
Team 2: RB Austin Ekeler, RB Jahmyr Gibbs, WR CeeDee Lamb
Plenty of upside on Gibbs, and then opted for the best wideout. Fairly standard opening and owning Ekeler will be an absolute advantage with  reception points. Threw away the chance to start two quarterbacks with WR1 of Lamb and needs to address QB1 next just to have a suitable starter from a position that drains quickly. This is the start that ends up taking rookie quarterbacks and others that have a less clear path to starting every week. It is possible to get lucky, but pretty much every other team is hunting for quarterback scraps as well.
Team 3: RB Bijan Robinson, WR Cooper Kupp, RB Breece Hall
Hard to pass by Kupp in the second round with running backs draining fast and leaving a riskier Breece Hall in the third round. That’ll work out better later in the year when Hall should be back to form but means getting another running back soon is in order just in case Hall is slower to return. But a safe start that opens up best available players from all positions.
Team 4: RB Nick Chubb, RB Joe Mixon, RB David Montgomery
This plan feels great so far loading up on running backs but that means there will be minimal advantage left in any other position and if either Chubb or Mixon was to miss time, it ensures the entire team takes a step down without stars in other positions to compensate.
Team 5: RB Derrick Henry, WR Davante Adams, WR Jaylen Waddle
Mid-draft is always a challenge to avoid building an average team. Opting for two wideouts does offer value in those positions, but realistically team must raid running backs for whatever is left for a few rounds and keep an eye out for when to seed in a quarterback.
Team 6: RB Saquon Barkley, WR Tyreek Hill, RB Isiah Pacheco
Similar to Team 5, only opted for running back in the third round with Pacheco. Solid start, nothing flashy in this format, but reaching Pacheco quality in the third was likely lucky. Now situated to take best available for the next couple of round from any position. May be heading toward being an average team.
Team 7: RB Jonathan Taylor, RB Miles Sanders, WR Amari Cooper
Definitely a safe start and could work out, assuming a healthy and happy Taylor eventually agrees to play and Sanders makes the transition to Carolina. Cooper avoids a weak WR1 just in time. Free to go anywhere that value lies with this core.
Team 8: WR Justin Jefferson, QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Ken Walker
Hard not to like the best wideout and quarterback on the same team, but the scoring doesn’t make it as advantageous and picking Walker in the third was a need, along with probably the next two rounds hunting for running backs.
Team 9: RB Tony Pollard, WR A.J. Brown, RB Rachaad White
Started with Pollard since the next three teams could have totaled six more running backs and still ended up with Brown for a solid WR1. The White pick is strong enough that the fourth round can consider any position but a running back needs to be taken in the next two rounds.
Team 10: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Aaron Jones, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown
The loss of reception points in this format makes these wideouts possible, but with lesser impact. But starts out with potentially two Top-10 wideouts and a solid pick for running back. Doesn’t have to consider wideouts for four or more rounds and can raid more running backs along with a quarterback thrown in.
Team 11: TE Travis Kelce, RB Rhamondre Stevenson, QB Jalen Hurts
Kelce may offer less without the reception points, but he is still a big advantage at the otherwise lowest-scoring position in this format. Still was able to reach the No. 3 quarterback for a nice job of seeking advantages where possible in this late-round spot. Probably use the next six or eight rounds to just gather wideouts and more running backs.
Team 12: RB Travis Etienne, RB Josh Jacobs, WR Garrett Wilson
Picking last without reception points means nothing feels great, especially with Kelce and the Top-2 wideout gone. Doubling down on RB1 and RB2 is a safe play for an average team, but at least owns the best RB2 in the league and has an upside wideout in the third. Will need to swing for the fence in search of a sleeper to upgrade the firepower.

Reception-point league 

This scoring style boosts the value of wide receivers and elite tight ends but devalues quarterbacks. Running backs are popular in any scoring scenario, but the added reception point means the position becomes deeper with third-down backs able to offer “start-able” fantasy value.

Wideouts are drafted faster than recent years, and there are so many question marks at running backs that there are reasonable risks out until the sixth round or later. Top-3 quarterbacks and tight ends are often gone by the third round, no later than the fourth in most PPR leagues.

Team 1: WR Justin Jefferson, WR Jaylen Waddle, TE Mark Andrews
Certainly a strong start in a reception-point league. The best WR1 in the league adds the eleventh wideout drafted for maybe the top set of two wideouts in the league. Adding Andrews sews up that advantage at tight end but also means the RB1- which needs to come next – may only be the 20th-best running back. At least make running back the next two picks or plan on getting lucky with a sleeper since running backs still offer the most consistent points.
Team 2: RB Christian McCaffrey, QB Josh Allen, RB Travis Etienne
This start feels very safe, even if it doesn’t pay homage to the reception point. The backfield is set by Round 3, and adding the No. 2 quarterback is a big advantage at the highest-scoring position. Next four rounds have to consider wideouts and maybe a tight end.
Team 3: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Aaron Jones, WR Amari Cooper
Standard sort of start with elite Chase for WR1 and then filling RB1 with the tenth back drafted. Cooper at WR2  means the position can wait without much harm while getting another running back and a quarterback, possibly a tight end if the value is there.
Team 4: RB Austin Ekeler, WR Garrett Wilson, WR DeVonta Smith
Strong start with an elite running back and then doubled on wideouts for plenty of reception points every week. Has to consider running back next before the position becomes risky. Can hold off on WR3 for a while addressing the other positions. Ekeler strong enough that it’s okay to accept some risk on RB2.
Team 5: RB Saquon Barkley, QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Josh Jacobs
 Barkley nails down the RB1 and Jacobs made for a risky RB2 but with potential great upside. Wedging in Mahomes is an advantage at the highest-scoring position but now has to respect those reception points that were ignored and mine wideouts and an eventual tight end for maybe all of the first half of the draft.
Team 6: WR Tyreek Hill, RB Najee Harris, WR Chris Olave
Started with a Top-3 wideout and then still reached the ninth running back taken for a balanced start. Added upside Olave for WR2 so should throw more wideouts on the back burner at least until securing a couple of running backs and a quarterback. Solid start at the middle of the round and should watch out for any players that fall.
Team 7: TE Travis Kelce, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, QB Jalen Hurts
Kelce is the natural No. 7 once the top running backs and wideouts are missing. Middle teams can easily end up average but this start yielded the top tight end, a decent WR1 to prevent a liability, and then just managed to land a Top-3 quarterback. The next six to eight rounds have to be alternating running backs and wideouts, with running backs at least next round if not two.
Team 8: WR Cooper Kupp, RB Jonathan Taylor, WR Drake London
Tough spot since Top-3 running backs and wideouts are gone, along with the only tight end guarantees an advantage. Opted to start WR-RB-WR with a solid effect. Kupp is a lock to be a pass sponge and London offers upside. The Taylor pick is risky and yet high upside – something that middle-round teams have to consider to create some advantage at a position while following runs on most all positions.
Team 9: RB Bijan Robinson, WR CeeDee Lamb, WR DK Metcalf
Always a tougher spot to draft from and yet this worked out very well. Landed the hot rookie Robinson which feels great from his upside and then doubled down on wideouts for a stronger set of WR1/WR2. Can consider any position next, but has to revisit running backs at least once in the next two rounds.
Team 10: WR Stefon Diggs, RB Derrick Henry, RB Joe Mixon
Opened with wideout before the tier emptied and then opted for two running backs for a strong backfield. Needs to mine the wideouts for the next several rounds while stopping for a quarterback at some point. Upside tight end later can make up some ground.
Team 11: WR A.J. Brown, WR Davante Adams, RB R. Stevenson
Scooped two wideouts to start and in this format it makes sense. Took Stevenson as a need pick in the third round. Some advantage at WR1/WR2 and can look at any position for a round or two that offers best value. Strong start at wideout means can wait on WR3 and go for quarterback and more running backs.
Team 12: RB Nick Chubb, RB Tony Pollard, TE T.J. Hockenson
Final pick doubled down with running backs after seven wideouts and Kelce was taken – one was in order and two backs means they can ignore the position for the next three rounds or more while loading up on the wideouts and seeding in a quarterback. Hockenson offers a Top-3 tight end for an advantage in one position.

 

Super Flex / QB-heavy league 

This league starts two quarterbacks. That pushes value in other positions deeper into the draft since quarterbacks take up far more of the early picks.  Each 2QB or super-flex league can use different scoring and other aspects that impact player value, so consider the nuances of your league.

This assumes super-flex, where the option to start a second quarterback in a flex position exists and is used by most if not nearly all team owners. Some  leagues can have eight quarterbacks in the first round and six in the second round. In others, maybe half as many. So pay attention and assume the worst when the quarterbacks start flying off the shelf. And, guaranteed, they will be heavily represented in those first two rounds.

It is also assumed that there are reception points. That is by far the most common in that type of league. It is also notable that a team can win without automatically starting two quarterbacks, even when allowed. Virtually no one drafts with that in mind.

Team 1: QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Nick Chubb, QB Jared Goff
No question where the first pick goes – only which quarterback you consider the top player. QB1 Mahomes feels very good in this format and allowed a Top-5 RB1 to fall. That third pick of QB2 Goff was the twelfth quarterback taken and while that’s probably doable in most leagues, there are others where the position is raided even harder. This start feels good but that 4.12 pick better look at wideout. It is a deep position but about to become a liability.
Team 2: QB Josh Allen, WR Davante Adams, WR CeeDee Lamb
Drafting at the early part of the first round is still an advantage, though not so much for starting two quarterbacks. QB1 Allen is a huge advantage and opting for WR1 Adams and WR2 Lamb yields two Top-8 wideouts to offer high-point consistency in a position that tends towards hot and cold weeks for most. WR3 can wait while the next four picks should consider running backs. If QB2 waits at all, they should go RB-RB next and then assess the board for quarterback and tight end.
Team 3: RB Christian McCaffrey, WR A.J. Brown, QB Russell Wilson
There are super-flex drafts that are nothing but quarterbacks for the first eight picks, but usually a few teams opt for top players in other positions and it can happen this early. The best RB1 is always a source of consistently high weekly points, and then team went for a Top-6 WR1 since eleven quarterbacks were already taken. Ended up with QB1 Wilson because waiting until the fourth round would produce a below-average QB1. If QB2 is to be a starter, then he has to happen next. But a balanced approach opens up best available opportunities.
Team 4: QB Jalen Hurts, RB Bijan Robinson, RB Tony Pollard
This start yielded a Top-3 QB1 in Hurts for a nice advantage, then doubled down with RB1 Robinson and RB2 Pollard. Backfield is set so next picks are either the QB2 or wide receivers. Could consider a Top-3 tight end, but then wideouts would become a liability unless a sleeper was landed. This start will produce solid and consistent points from those first three picks.
Team 5: WR Justin Jefferson, QB Deshaun Watson, RB Derrick Henry
 Top-3 quarterbacks were gone so opted with WR1 of Jefferson and then settled on QB1 Watson.  RB1 was Henry as the seventh back taken. Jefferson is the star of the team so far, but balanced start means can search for best value players regardless of position. QB2 is a need pick next round only if two quarterbacks will start and Jefferson is so strong that WR2 and WR3 can wait a little longer.
Team 6: QB Joe Burrow, WR Stefon Diggs, WR Amon-Ra St. Brown
After QB1 Burrow, opted for Top-5 WR1 Diggs and sewed up WR2 with St. Brown to give them two Top-10 wideouts. Taking a quarterback in the fourth may still reach someone worth starting but leaves running back as a liability short of landing a sleeper. Over next four rounds, at least two must be running back and likely three to address since at least two will be starters.
Team 7: QB Lamar Jackson, TE Travis Kelce, RB Jonathan Taylor
Grabbed the fifth-best quarterback for a minor advantage at QB1 and then snapped up TE1 Kelce for a nice boost even though he’ll impact all other positions even more in this format – but at least he lasts until the second round. RB1 Taylor is a risk that could pay off. But QB2 will be weaker and has to pursue wideouts in at least two of the next three rounds before they have a liability in a position that may start three players.
Team 8: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Saquon Barkley, QB Tua Tagovailoa
This draft slot is a challenge, even in this format. Five quarterbacks are gone as well as the top running back and wideout. Opted for WR1 Chase, then found the third-best running back instead of just taking the twelfth quarterback. QB1 weaker with Tagovailoa but this team opts to compete on non-quarterback value. And can go anywhere in future rounds with a solid start. If better value is in an other position, can wait two or three rounds before their QB2 and accept only one will be a starter.
Team 9: QB Trevor Lawrence, WR Cooper Kupp, WR Garrett Wilson
Another tough spot even  in this format, started with great pick of Lawrence for QB1 and then respects the reception point to double on WR1/WR2 with Kupp and Wilson. This is a strong start for this spot. Wideouts can be ignored for another four rounds while they raid running backs and consider a second quarterback. This start can compete in this format.
Team 10: RB Austin Ekeler, QB Dak Prescott, WR Jaylen Waddle
Couldn’t resist RB1 of Ekeler at the 1.10 but then went with Prescott for QB1 not wanting any liability at quarterback. Balanced approach with WR1 in Waddle. There is no particular glaring need in the fourth round but should at least consider quarterback or an elite tight end to sew up the top spot for the main positions and then cherry-pick value the rest of the way.
Team 11: QB Justin Herbert, WR Tyreek Hill, RB Najee Harris
Took Herbert while the getting was still good, and the No. 3 wideout next is an advantage as well. Went for balance with RB1 in the third round and that means all positions are open for the next many rounds. Either a quarterback has to come in the fourth round or plan on not starting two of them. Which can be still effective.
Team 12: QB Kirk Cousins, QB Justin Fields, RB Aaron Jones
The beauty in super-flex leagues is that the penalty for going last in the first round is no longer as severe because mixing in all those quarterbacks extend the available quality of all non-QB positions, and while the first round may consume up to eight quarterbacks, owning both the eighth and ninth best is still an advantage from the highest-scoring position and those other positions will still have quality. Can do anything with this start.

 

First 3 Picks: 10-team league

Your first three picks define your fantasy team.

The first three picks define your team and set up the rest of your draft. The optimal team is built by understanding the nuances of a scoring system and how it fits into your league rules.

A 10-team league means positional quality lasts longer. Everyone has a “good” team, so you need less depth and more difference-makers.

To follow are sample three-round drafts for 10-team fantasy football leagues. They use either standard performance scoring, performance plus a point per reception, or “2QB/Super Flex” leagues where you can start two of any position. Those three formats cover almost all leagues.

The names are less important than the positions because each draft slot has its own unique situation. Just as important are your future picks and what you need after three rounds.  Rankings can change daily so these may not exactly match rankings.

Performance scoring league

Performance scoring without reception points means that running backs are at a premium, and quarterbacks are a bit more valuable. Wide receivers and tight ends are devalued but are still usually four starters in a fantasy football league.  Most teams will look to get two running backs in their first three picks, and it’s hard to argue against that logic.

Team 1: RB Jonathan Taylor, RB D’Andre Swift, WR Davante Adams
Standard start for no reception points. Smaller league size allows D’Andre Swift to fall to the end of the second round, which was too tempting to let slide past. Still reached the No. 5 wideout for an advantage at WR1. A strong opening allows best-available picks regardless of position. Wide receiver, running back and quarterback are all considerations for the next handful of picks.
Team 2: RB Derrick Henry, WR Deebo Samuel, RB Travis Etienne
Like Team 1, this size league allows for a strong start of two running backs and a top wideout. Hunt for best value the rest of the way.
Team 3: RB Austin Ekeler, RB Leonard Fournette, WR Stefon Diggs
Slightly deeper than Team 2, it makes more sense to double up on running backs first, then take a higher-ranked wide receiver since, by this point, the top half of starting running backs are ending. Free to take from any position that appeals the most.
Team 4: RB Christian McCaffrey, TE Travis Kelce, RB Devin Singletary
Christian McCaffrey is less valuable without reception points but looks great on the roster, along with Travis Kelce who is less valuable in this format but still an advantage all the same. Two straight wideouts should get some balance for the starters.
Team 5: RB Nick Chubb, RB Alvin Kamara, RB Aaron Jones
This isn’t as risky as it may seem. Locked up starting running backs and the flex for the strength of the roster. Better quality wideouts and a quarterback last longer in this smaller draft and better quality players in later rounds compared to a 12-team league. But the next three picks have to consider two wideouts, and probably a quarterback or the non-RB positions will be a liability.
Team 6: RB Joe Mixon, RB Saquon Barkley, WR Mike Evans
The RB-RB start mid-draft works well when a Mike Evans or CeeDee Lamb last into the middle of the third round. But starting with the No. 6 RB, then the No. 12 RB misses out on a top-tier running back and settles for a riskier Barkley who has upside to be sure, but this team becomes very average if he repeats either of the last two years. Wideouts are up next, but prudent to take that RB3 earlier than later to cover the risk of the RB2.
Team 7: RB Dalvin Cook, WR Justin Jefferson, QB Josh Allen
With running backs so valuable and going so fast, it may seem to be just following the crowd with the seventh-straight taken as the RB1. But also prudent knowing that skipping the position would have likely left no better than the No. 12 running back for a RB1 which hurts. But went with the No. 3 wideout and even snapped up the best quarterback at the 3.07 for advantages in both positions. Should consider two running backs and a wideout over the next three picks.
Team 8: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Ezekiel Elliott, WR CeeDee Lamb
Opted to finally take a non-running back and went with a top receiver in the scoring system. Has the No. 11 running back for their RB, which isn’t ideal, but ends up with two of the Top-8 wideouts for an advantage at the position. Won’t need to bother with any more wide receivers for four to six rounds and must start mining for running backs and deciding when a quarterback is their best value.
Team 9: RB Najee Harris, RB James Conner, RB Antonio Gibson
The only real advantage with this plan is a strong RB2, and the other positions will have higher quality last longer in the ten-team league. But now wide receivers are a need pick in at least two of the next three rounds and needs to land a sleeper or two in order to remain above average.
Team 10: WR Cooper Kupp, RB J. Williams, QB Patrick Mahomes
That final pick of the first round grabbed the No. 2 wideout and the No. 9 running back, knowing that leaving RB1 to the end of the third-round would mean a weak spot in the starters. Grabbing Patrick Mahomes as the second quarterback taken offers a difference-maker in a high-scoring position. The running backs won’t be the best unit in the league to be sure, but at least quarterback and wide receiver are headed by top players. Probably should alternate running back and wideouts for the next four rounds.

Reception-point league

This style of scoring boosts the value of wide receivers and elite tight ends and slightly devalues quarterbacks relative to other positions. Running backs are popular in any scoring scenario but the added reception point means the position becomes deeper with third-down backs able to offer “start-able” fantasy value. The consistency of an above-average running back is also a very valuable contributor to the weekly fantasy score.

With a reception point and only ten teams, your roster should look very strong after three picks. All positions are deep in this format.

Team 1: RB Jonathan Taylor, WR CeeDee Lamb, TE Mark Andrews
This is a good use of the first pick. Top running back, solid WR1 with upside and a top tight end. The running backs will be thinning in the fourth round but still offer up Antonio Gibson, Cam Akers, and maybe Breece Hall. Running back will be a need pick with two in the next four picks, but tight end is locked up, and high-quality wideouts remain.
Team 2: RB Austin Ekeler, RB Alvin Kamara, WR Tyreek Hill
Standard start for the No. 2 drafter and smaller rosters meant that Alvin Kamara, Saquon Barkley, James Conner and the like are still there in the fourth.  Can still reach a Top-10 wideout with the third pick. A couple of wideouts and another running back make sense in the next three rounds.
Team 3: RB C. McCaffrey, RB Javonte Williams, RB James Conner
This plan feels so safe – and maybe too safe, but the higher quality later in the smaller draft means it can still work. There’s no pressing need to think about another running back for at least four to six more rounds while the core of the starters are taken.
Team 4: RB Derrick Henry, WR Mike Evans, RB Saquon Barkley
Went with the No. 4 running back, but Derrick Henry could be No. 1. Mike Evans offers a solid WR1 and still reached Saquon Barkley (or Leonard Fournette) with the third pick. That made more sense because the quality of wideout will be better at the 4.07 than would be running back. Upside start but the risk of Barkley would be best served by taking RB3 in the next couple of rounds.
Team 5: WR Cooper Kupp, WR Deebo Samuel, RB Leonard Fournette
This mid-draft plan works better in the smaller ten-team draft since it nets two Top-6 wideouts which is huge in this scoring format. And still allows for Leonard Fournette or Ezekiel Elliott at RB1. Need to consider running backs in two of the next three picks.
Team 6: RB Najee Harris, RB D’Andre Swift, RB Ezekiel Elliott
This is a workable plan like Team 3 that also went RB-RB-RB. It also looks like a drafter who is used to 12-Team drafts and are amazed at finding decent starting running backs in the third round. Mine those wideouts maybe the next three or four rounds and consider a quarterback starting in Round 7 or so.
Team 7: WR Justin Jefferson, RB Nick Chubb, WR Keenan Allen
The running backs are getting thinner, so this plan works with two top wideouts and a legitimate RB1 to start. Wide receivers can wait for several rounds while a couple more running backs are added, and the quarterback and tight end start to be taken. But the safest play remains taking two more running backs in the next two picks.
Team 8: RB Joe Mixon, WR Davante Adams, WR Michael Pittman Jr.
No different from Team 7 other than a better RB1 and a worse WR1. Has to consider running backs next and can wait on that WR3 for several rounds.
Team 9: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Dalvin Cook, RB David Montgomery
A Top-3 wideout is an advantage with reception points and then went RB-RB as a safe pick. That meant both running backs are Top-16 (so slightly above average). Not much splash after Chase was taken, but running backs are not a liability here. Should consider wide receivers mostly in the next three picks with a third running back or even a quarterback as an option.
Team 10: TE Travis Kelce, WR Stefon Diggs, RB Travis Etienne
That final pick of the first round always tries to make up ground in different ways and it is a brilliant plan rather than just following well-established runs. Top right end, top wideout, and high-upside Travis Etienne (or Breece Hall) takes a risk to make up ground. Next pick could go anywhere, but RB2 here would get Hall or Devin Singletary. About as strong as a start as the final pick can hope to create.

QB-heavy/Super-Flex league

This sort of league will seed quarterbacks in varying measures depending on how and why quarterbacks are so valuable. The most common is the ability to start two quarterbacks, which change drafts significantly.

It will extend the quality of running backs and wideouts deeper into the draft since quarterbacks fly off the shelves far earlier than usual.  This sample draft assumes two quarterbacks start and that about half of the available starters are taken by the third round.

Viewing the previous year’s results are best for this sort of starting rule because quarterbacks can go slower – or much faster – than what this draft assumes. Keep up with the other picks in the league to make sure you don’t get stuck at the end of a run on quarterbacks.

In a smaller 10-team league with additional valuable players from the quarterback boost, almost every fantasy team looks great so taking elite players is paramount to winning – get your starters before worrying about depth.

Team 1: QB Josh Allen, WR Ja’Marr Chase, QB Matthew Stafford
That first pick in the draft yet again gains a benefit. Has the best quarterback and second-best wide receiver. Then still reached the No. 11 quarterback to lock up the starting quarterbacks. Has to think running backs and maybe a wide receiver over the next three or four rounds.
Team 2: RB Jonathan Taylor, QB Tom Brady, RB Dalvin Cook
Strong start for running backs and Tom Brady is a decent QB1. By the time the 4.10 rolls around, WR1 might be Amon-Ra St. Brown or Adam Thielen. But has to take two wideouts in the next three or four rounds and still think quarterback before QB2 gets too risky.
Team 3: QB Patrick Mahomes, WR Justin Jefferson, RB Nick Chubb
This team went with a safer route – started with a great QB1, then still reached the No. 3 WR. Instead of taking Russell Wilson as a QB2, went safe with the No. 8 running back for RB1.  Balanced opening, that should consider quarterback and running back next, and then just best available to fill out the other starters.
Team 4: QB Justin Herbert, RB Joe Mixon, QB Russell Wilson
Starting with QB1 makes sense at the 1.04,  and the doubling down at the 3.04 created one of the better tandems of quarterbacks that sandwich the No. 6 running back as the RB1. Best path is likely three straight wideouts interrupted with an RB3 before the sixth round. But this plan honors the 2QB format without sacrificing other positions much.
Team 5: RB Austin Ekeler, QB Kirk Cousins, RB D’Andre Swift
Middle of the draft starts with the No. 2 running back and still reaches Kirk Cousins for QB1.  Went with D’Andre Swift for two Top-10 running backs. The backfield can be ignored for the next few rounds that have to net a couple of wide receivers and a second quarterback. Strong start with RB1 but then average for the next two picks. Middle-round drafter needs to avoid an all-average team.
Team 6: RB Christian McCaffrey, QB Jalen Hurts, WR Stefon Diggs
Have to like what this plan attempts. Christian McCaffrey is a Top-3 running back, and then a Top-8 quarterback to prevent a liability. Taking the No. 4 wideout is a solid WR4 though receivers tend to last far longer in this format. Has to consider running backs and a quarterback for the next three rounds or so, unless a wideout falls too far to ignore.
Team 7: WR Cooper Kupp, RB Najee Harris, QB Aaron Rodgers
This is what happens when a quarterback is not taken in the first two rounds. It can still work, so long as the early picks in other positions are elite performers. Certainly the top wide receiver and No. 5 running back are hot starts, but that only leaves the No. 13 quarterback as QB1. Must consider a QB2 in the next two picks which would be no better than Ryan Tannehill or Matt Ryan.
Team 8: QB Joe Burrow, RB Derrick Henry, QB Trey Lance
This looks promising. No. 4 quarterback at QB1 and the No. 4 running back for RB1. That critical third pick accessed Trey Lance in this draft for high upside and yet plenty of risk. Could have been Derek Carr or Trevor Lawrence. This is sort of a generic approach in Super Flex leagues, with that middle pick as the most enticing running back, tight end or wide receiver. The next four rounds or more have to consider either a running back or a wideout.
Team 9: TE Travis Kelce, QB Lamar Jackson, RB Javonte Williams
Started with a big advantage at tight end and still reached the No. 7 quarterback for QB1. Snapping up Javonte Williams (or Alvin Kamara or James Conner) provided a low-end at RB1 but the team also picks at the 4.02 in just two turns. Davante Adams or Deebo Samuel make a great WR1 and a very solid beginning. Wideouts and running backs should dominate the next five or six rounds.
Team 10: QB Dak Prescott, QB Kyler Murray, RB Alvin Kamara 
Drafting at the end of the first round is far less challenging than in a regular league that only starts one quarterback. Those drafts typically wait for around the seventh or eighth round for team owners to recall they want a quarterback. In this, doubling down on the No. 5 and No. 6 quarterbacks made for a powerful start, and the No. 11 running back can still have upside. The 4.01 can be Saquon Barkley or Davante Adams or Mark Andrews. Certainly running back has to make up two of the next five picks, but two high-scoring quarterbacks spitting out weekly points allows for more risk-tolerance on the other starters.

First 3 Picks: 12-team league

Your first three picks define your fantasy team.

Your first three picks define your fantasy football team. Each one is critical because the player pool is ever-shrinking, and you have to select a mixture of available players to produce an optimal team. And those initial rounds determine what you’ll do in the later rounds of the draft. Get them wrong, and you may not be able to recover.

To follow are sample three-round drafts for 12-team fantasy football leagues. They use either standard performance scoring, performance plus a point per reception, or “2QB/Super Flex” leagues where you can start two of any position. Those three formats cover virtually all leagues.

The names are less important than the positions because each draft slot has its own unique situation. Just as important are your future picks, and what you still need after three rounds.  Rankings change daily so these may not exactly match site rankings. Pay the most attention to the positions and how they work together for an optimal start.

Performance scoring league

Average Points Top-10 scoring: QB 412, RB 228, WR  212, TE 127

Performance scoring without reception points means that top running backs are a premium, and quarterbacks are comparatively more valuable. Wide receivers and tight ends are devalued but still total four starters in most  fantasy football leagues.  Most teams take two running backs over their first three picks and it’s hard to argue against the logic because the supply is very low by Round 4.

The above three rounds are an optimal way to start the draft for all twelve draft slots. Let’s consider where each should be looking next after the three-pick start:

Team 1: RB Jonathan Taylor, QB Josh Allen, RB Devin Singletary
Top running back and quarterback are a big start. Cherry picking two wideouts over the next three rounds, and taking a third running back when the value seems best is in order.
Team 2: RB Derrick Henry, WR Stefon Diggs, RB Aaron Jones
The nice part of a top wideout is the consistent points. Best available with this start, but a third running back, a quarterback and another wideout make sense here.
Team 3: RB Austin Ekeler, RB Travis Etienne, WR Mike Evans
Same as Team 2. The next pick is too far to make concrete plans, but team is free to grab whatever. Strong start at running back means can wait on other positions. Best value will be wideout next, then quarterback.
Team 4: RB Christian McCaffrey, RB D’Andre Swift, WR CeeDee Lamb
This plan is pretty standard for the first half of the draft. And it usually works well in this format. This could be very good, but there is risk with McCaffrey and Swift from injury. Feel better to grab a running back and a quarterback next.
Team 5: RB Nick Chubb, WR Davante Adams, WR Tyreek Hill
Need to consider running back next, but will be looking at guys like Kareem Hunt, AJ Dillon, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire at best. Could go tight end and quarterback and then start scraping for upside running backs.
Team 6: RB Joe Mixon, WR Deebo Samuel, RB Antonio Gibson
In the middle of the draft, solid enough picks though nothing elite in any of them. Might consider a quarterback next just for a bigger bang for the buck and at least a slight advantage at the highest scoring position.
Team 7: RB Dalvin Cook, RB Leonard Fournette, WR Tee Higgins
The RB-RB start meant the No. 7 and No. 14 running backs, and there’s no advantage there but feels safe. Rather than collect more average (or worse) running backs, should consider quarterback and maybe even a tight end for the paper-thin advantage there.
Team 8: RB Najee Harris, RB Alvin Kamara, QB Patrick Mahomes
While this was much the same as Team 7, it looks better. Harris loses a lot without reception points but Kamara high-upside pick with, at least so far, risk. Scooping Mahomes up in the third means free to go where ever but needs one or two wide receivers pretty soon.
Team 9: WR Cooper Kupp, RB Saquon Barkley, RB J.K. Dobbins
This is riskier than most but Pick 9 is often the worst slot. Resisted yet another running back and gets advantage at wideout. Barkley is a scratch-off lottery ticket again this year and Dobbins fresh from his ACL tear is a risk. But at least has a core of starters. Next three picks should consider best available among any non-kicker/non-defense.
Team 10: RB Javonte Williams, WR Justin Jefferson, TE Mark Andrews
Drafting this deep, still went with the ninth running back taken. But arguably Top-2 at wideout and tight end offers some advantage. Has to look at running backs for at least the next two picks.
Team 11: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Ezekiel Elliott, RB Cam Akers
Chase is great in any format and two running backs just played it safe. Only two picks away from the fourth choice and Justin Herbert would be a nice add. Fifth and sixth picks should likely be a wideout and a running back.
Team 12: RB James Conner, TE Travis Kelce, WR Michael Pittman Jr.
Taking the tenth running back is no advantage, but waiting until the turn at the end of Round 3 would mean Damien Harris or David Montgomery as his best back. Getting Kelce is far less advantageous without reception points, but still makes sense here. Should still consider the 4.01 for running back.

Reception-point league 

Average Points Top-10 scoring: QB 412, RB 278, WR  314, TE 197

This scoring style boosts the value of wide receivers and elite tight ends but devalues quarterbacks. Running backs are popular in any scoring scenario, but the added reception point means the position becomes deeper with third-down backs able to offer “start-able” fantasy value.

After  the first ten or so wideouts are gone, the position will remain slightly better than comparable running backs but are also much deeper.

Team 1: RB Jonathan Taylor, WR Keenan Allen, TE Mark Andrews
The obligatory pick of Taylor was followed by the double scoop at the 2.12 and 3.01. Then went with tenth wideout for a legitimate WR1 and Andrews is more of a difference maker when the reception point is added. The next wrap- around at 4.12 and 5.01 pick from remaining committee backs and maybe take two since Top-3 quarterbacks are gone anyway.
Team 2: RB Austin Ekeler, RB Saquon Barkley, WR Michael Pittman Jr.
Safe enough start that works well depending on which Barkley shows up. But the core is accomplished and best available players are up next. Probably should consider a third running back over the next three picks.
Team 3: RB Christian McCaffrey, WR Tyreek Hill, RB L. Fournette
Bit of risk here for an early pick, but the upside of both McCaffrey and Hill are immense. Picked up the RB2 for a start that could be great if it all falls the right way. Has the luxury of taking the best available for the next two rounds and that probably will be his WR2 and RB3.
Team 4: RB Derrick Henry, RB James Conner, WR D.J. Moore
The safe start feels good but Moore as his WR1 is no advantage. Solid running backs mean two more wideouts are next and maybe a quarterback if a Top-3 still exists by the 6.09.
Team 5: WR Cooper Kupp, RB Alvin Kamara, RB Ezekiel Elliott
This could be deadly if Kamara doesn’t wear an all-orange uniform and Elliott rekindles 2019. But it could also have holes if it goes wrong. The risk of Kamara and Elliott means taking the RB3 sooner than later. But exciting start with upside.
Team 6: WR Justin Jefferson, WR CeeDee Lamb, RB D. Montgomery
By mid-draft, why not start out with two Top-8 wide receivers? Has a great advantage there and has to mine running backs to get lucky on the RB2, but good plan in the middle of a draft.
Team 7: RB Najee Harris, RB Javonte Williams, RB Travis Etienne
This is a big temptation assuming a flex position for Etienne to fill. And running back is the position that is fastest to drain. Now has to mine wideouts and the best will be Darnell Mooney/Mike Williams quality which isn’t terrible. The biggest risk here is that running backs are the most injured positions, and the first three picks have a higher chance of missing time.
Team 8: RB Joe Mixon, WR Mike Evans, RB Aaron Jones
Starts with the No. 6 running back and No. 7 wideout. This tough-to-succeed slot is building an average team. That works only when more than half the league goes to the playoffs (ands they don’t).  Should look at quarterback and tight end next to gets at least some advantage in two positions.
Team 9: RB Dalvin Cook, RB Nick Chubb, WR Tee Higgins
Like Team 8, this is the safest-feeling route but begins with the No. 7 and No. 10 running back, followed by the No. 13 wideout who is a WR2 for his team. No fan of picking ninth, and this looks like another average team. Needs to find some sparks in other positions.
Team 10: WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB D’Andre Swift, RB Devin Singletary
WR1 is spectacular, and combining Swift and Singletary are a safe play. But has the option of  A.J. Brown or Brandin Cooks at the 4.03 and possibly Mahomes or Herbert in the fifth round for a better bang in starters.
Team 11: WR Stefon Diggs, WR Deebo Samuel, TE Kyle Pitts
Picking at the end of the first round in this scoring format should be exciting and unconventional. Teams 8 and 9 went the safe route which felt natural at the time but Team 11 took a swing for the fence. Two Top-6 wideouts mean they can wait for four or even six rounds to start collecting WR3 candidates. Needs running backs, and three of them sooner than later since best available at the 4.02 is probably Cam Akers, Antonio Gibson or Breece Hall.
Team 12: TE Travis Kelce, WR Davante Adams, QB Josh Allen
This is how to handle picking last. There is no major advantage in taking running backs at the end of the first round, but owning the No. 1 tight end and quarterback is big in this scoring format. Taking the No. 5 wideout is rock solid for WR1. This does force need picks for running backs that should happen no later than the 5.12 and 6.01 wrap-around. That would yield at best often injured rushers or the RB2 from a committee backfield. But this can win if a sleeper running back can be found.

Super Flex / QB-heavy league 

Average Points Top-10 scoring: QB 412, RB 278, WR  314, TE 197

This league seeds quarterbacks depending on how and why quarterbacks are so valuable. The most common is the option to start two quarterbacks. That pushes value in other positions deeper into the draft since quarterbacks take up far more of the early picks.  Each 2QB or super-flex league can use different scoring and other aspects that impact player value, so consider the nuances of your league.

This assumes super-flex, where the option to start a second quarterback in a flex position exists and is used by most if not nearly all team owners. Some  leagues can have eight quarterbacks in the first round and six in the second round. In others, maybe half as many. So pay attention and assume the worst when the quarterbacks start flying off the shelf.

It is also assumed that there are reception points. That is by far the most common in that type of league. It is also notable that a team can win without automatically starting two quarterbacks, even when allowed.

Team 1: QB Josh Allen, WR Ja’Marr Chase, QB Aaron Rodgers
Double-dipping on quarterbacks over the first three picks is very common – like taking two running backs in the other league formats above.  The great part is that wideouts tend to last longer. So snapping up a running  back or two makes sense because likely the best available is David Montgomery or Travis Etienne. Wideouts will last longer and they already have a Top-3 WR1.
Team 2: RB Jonathan Taylor, RB D’Andre Swift, QB Trey Lance
They went for strength in running backs, unable to pass Taylor or Swift. By Trey Lance at QB14, the pickings are already riskier if not unlikely to be an advantage. But can look at wideouts over the next three picks with some quality and decide if seeding the QB2 makes sense.
Team 3: QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Dalvin Cook, RB Nick Chubb
Safe play. Getting the Mahomes for QB1 feels great, and two of the Top-9 running backs are at worst solid. QB2 isn’t going to be an advantage even at the 4.10, so shop for wideouts with an eye out for the worst QB2 you can be okay owning.
Team 4: RB Austin Ekeler, QB Russell Wilson, RB Javonte Williams
Similar to Team 3, swapping the first two positions selected. And the same issue exists – needs wideouts and quarterbacks are slipping fast.
Team 5: QB Justin Herbert, QB Matthew Stafford, WR Stefon Diggs
Picking in the middle rounds hurt less in this format. They get a top quarterback and then doubles down with Stafford in Round 2. Still reached a Top-5 wideout in Round 3 but running back becomes a need pick – at least two in the next three rounds.
Team 6: RB Christian McCaffrey, QB Tom Brady, RB Alvin Kamara
This could be spectacular or a flop depending on McCaffrey’s health, Kamara’s legal limbo and if Brady can continue to perform decades after his peers disappeared. This plan is safe and has a ton of upside, but wideouts are on tap in two of next three picks.
Team 7: WR Cooper Kupp, WR Justin Jefferson, QB Derek Carr
Interesting start in this format – could not resist the top two wide receivers. Can wait on WR3 until after the middle of the draft. But mining quarterbacks and running backs are an immediate and pressing need.
Team 8: QB Joe Burrow, RB Joe Mixon, RB James Conner
Another safe play from the dreaded eight-spot. Wideouts and quarterbacks need to take up at least three of the next four picks.
Team 9: TE Travis Kelce, QB Kirk Cousins, WR Davante Adams
This is a little early for a risk taker but this worked out well in this format as this draft unfolded. Kelce is always an advantage but was still able to reach the No. 9 quarterback as QB1 and Adams lasted until the 3.09. That can happen in this format. If wideouts are taken more heavily, it only improves the running backs and quarterbacks at the 3.09. Regardless, running back is a need now but wideouts and tight ends are not.
Team 10: QB Dak Prescott, RB Najee Harris, RB Leonard Fournette
Starting with QB1 makes sense, and Top-5 RB1 is strong. By the 3.10, quarterbacks are into the bottom half of starters and went the safe route with the thirteenth running back as his RB2. Now has to consider wideouts and quarterback.
Team 11: QB Kyler Murray, QB Jalen Hurts, RB Saquon Barkley
This format favors the end of the first round more than the start. They can take two of the Top-8 quarterbacks for a major weekly advantage. The fourteenth running back isn’t much help as RB1 and all positions will be weaker, but the point differential with two starting Top-8 quarterbacks could compensate very well.
Team 12: RB Derrick Henry, QB Lamar Jackson, RB Ezekiel Elliott
Started RB-QB but then had to chose from the No. 15 running back, No. 16 quarterback or the  No. 6 wideout. Picks again immediately and should go with that wideout. But should consider QB2 with the 5.12 even though the remaining options are not great.

First 3 Picks: 10-team league

Your first three picks define your fantasy team.

The first three picks are going to define your team and set-up the rest of your draft. The optimal team is built by understanding the nuances of a scoring system and how it fits into your league rules.

A 10-team league means positional quality lasts longer. Everyone has a “good” team. You don’t need depth, you need difference-makers. Depth is less important and owning elite players are even more critical.

To follow are sample three-round drafts for 10-team fantasy football leagues. They use either standard performance scoring, performance plus a point per reception, or “2QB/Super Flex” leagues where you can start two of any position. Those three formats cover almost all leagues.

The names are less important than the positions because each draft slot has its own unique situation. Just as important are your future picks and what you need after three rounds.  Rankings can change daily so these may not exactly match rankings.

Performance scoring league

Pick Round 1 Pick Round 2 (reverse) Pick Round 3
1.01 RB Christian McCaffrey 2.10 QB Patrick Mahomes 3.01 WR Justin Jefferson
1.02 RB Dalvin Cook 2.09 RB Saquon Barkley 3.02 WR DK Metcalf
1.03 RB Derrick Henry 2.08 WR Calvin Ridley 3.03 RB Clyde   Edwards-Helaire
1.04 RB Alvin Kamara 2.07 RB Aaron Jones 3.04 RB Josh Jacobs
1.05 RB Nick Chubb 2.06 RB Chris Carson 3.05 QB Josh Allen
1.06 RB Jonathan Taylor 2.05 WR Davante Adams 3.06 RB J.K. Dobbins
1.07 RB Ezekiel Elliott 2.04 RB David Montgomery 3.07 WR DeAndre Hopkins
1.08 TE Travis Kelce 2.03 RB Antonio Gibson 3.08 RB D’Andre Swift
1.09 RB Joe Mixon 2.02 WR Tyreek Hill 3.09 TE Darren Waller
1.10 WR Stefon Diggs 2.01 RB Najee Harris 3.10 QB Kyler Murray

Performance scoring without reception points means that running backs are a premium and quarterbacks are a bit more valuable as well. Wide receivers and tight ends are devalued but are still usually four starters in a fantasy football league.  Almost all teams will look to get two running backs in their first three picks and it’s hard to argue against the logic.

Team 1: RB Christian McCaffrey, QB Patrick Mahomes, WR Justin Jefferson

The first team started with a standard Christian McCaffrey and then used the next two picks to snap up the best quarterback and a Top-5 wideout. Certainly a star-filled roster so far, and owning McCaffrey makes delaying running backs feel better. Next up – that all said, has to look at a running back in the next two picks and maybe two of the next four. But a fast start in a smaller league size.

Team 2: RB Dalvin Cook, RB Saquon Barkley, WR DK Metcalf

Start with Dalvin Cook was solid, then opted to control the running back at RB2 of Saquon Barkley not knowing what Team 1 would take. DK Metcalf at WR1 allowed a balanced start. Next Up – the Barkley owner needs to shore up his backfield in case he is slow to start. But the reality is that even if he is eased back into a heavy load, there is never a time that he should be benched if the Giants are starting him. So a running back next is not as big of a need as it may seem. Balanced start means can go anywhere.

Team 3: RB Derrick Henry, WR Calvin Ridley, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Derrick Henry offers even more in this scoring format that it affords the luxury of taking a wideout in the second round (Top-4), and then went back to the well for his RB2 in the third round.  Strong enough start and owns two difference-makers so far. Next up – could consider a quarterback soon for some firepower there. Ridley anchors the wideouts that can wait a few rounds while quarterback and a third running back are valuable options.

Team 4: RB Alvin Kamara, RB Aaron Jones, RB Josh Jacobs

Team went for three straight running backs – it always happens in this format and it can be effective with the right players. It netted the No. 4, No. 13, and the No. 16 running backs. And in this scoring format with smaller rosters, you can still access relatively highly ranked players in other positions. Next up – can go anywhere. Next three picks could be quarterback, tight end, wideout, whatever. Probably should not wait too long on wideout since high-quality players drain quickly even in this format.

Team 5: RB Nick Chubb, RB Chris Carson, QB Josh Allen

Nick Chubb is a beast without reception points an issue and opting to add Chris Carson as the No. 12 running back selected means a very solid backfield core. Love adding the No. 2 quarterback in the third round. No reception points? Starting RB-RB-QB is hard to fault in a ten-team league regardless of the draft slot. Next up – should consider wideouts in two of the next three picks to avoid a liability.  Could even think about tight end though the true difference-makers would already be gone.

Team 6: RB Jonathan Taylor, WR Davante Adams, RB J.K. Dobbins

Still started with a running back, but then went with the No. 3 wideout in Davante Adams for a spark at that position. Safe play going with J.K. Dobbins in the third and he offers some upside without any penalty for his lack of receptions in this format. Next Up – balanced start means can go anywhere. Next three picks should include another wideout, running back, and at least consider a quarterback or tight end if the quality is still high.

Team 7: RB Ezekiel Elliott, RB David Montgomery, WR DeAndre Hopkins

The smaller size of the league makes this more workable. Ezekiel Elliott is the seventh-straight running back, and that seems excessive, but Team 7 also knows that the next three teams are going to mine running backs, and there is a ton of talent in non-running back positions in the second round. Opted for David Montgomery instead of a different position, but hard to argue with the backfield. Went with DeAndre Hopkins for WR1 in the third to lock down a Top-8 wideout. Next up – can be anything but needs to weigh the fourth pick heavily because the fifth will see all the top players from all the positions already gone. Quarterback like Lamar Jackson or Dak Prescott could be difference-makers.

Team 8: TE Travis Kelce, RB Antonio Gibson, RB D’Andre Swift

Travis Kelce could go anywhere in  the first round as the only tight end with such a high reward-to-risk ratio. And following the run on running backs seems counterproductive with Kelce on the board. But taking a tight end with the first pick led Team 8 to grabbing running backs for the next two rounds. Next up – wideouts need to be on tap in two of the next three or four rounds. Kelce is a difference-maker in this format, but this plan (which is very common when Kelce is involved) could end up with him as the only difference-maker.

Team 9: RB Joe Mixon, WR Tyreek Hill, TE Darren Waller

Opted to start with running back even though Joe Mixon was the eighth back taken in the first round of a 10-team league.  The reasoning is that Team 9 knows he wants a running back in the first two picks or they’ll have a hole in a very important position in a non-reception point league. But almost all non-running backs are on the board and only one team go next. Still added Tyreek Hill and then went with Darren Waller at tight end in the third. That’s harder to do in this format, but he is a difference-maker and the team owner picks again in just two more picks. Next up – almost has to be a running back in the fourth. The fifth and sixth picks can look at best available since the core of the starters are taken aside from quarterback.

Team 10: WR Stefon Diggs, RB Najee Harris, QB Kyler Murray

Final pick in the first round comes away with a very nice start. First swing picks netted the best wideout and then high-upside running back with Najee Harris. Had he not taken Harris, his RB1 would have been the No. 18 back for a sure disadvantage. His second wrap-around pair of picks starts with Kyler Murray at quarterback. A top quarterback and wideout offer difference makers and if Harris meets expectations, this is a hot start. Next up – the next pick should consider running back (Mike Davis, Kareem Hunt, Myles Gaskin) that should be good enough to prevent a liability.  The third swing at rounds 5 and 6 can consider best available but likely wideout and running back.

Reception-point league

Pick Round 1 Pick Round 2 (reverse) Pick Round 3
1.01 RB Christian McCaffrey 2.10 TE Darren Waller 3.01 WR DK Metcalf
1.02 RB Alvin Kamara 2.09 RB Saquon Barkley 3.02 QB Patrick Mahomes
1.03 RB Dalvin Cook 2.08 WR Justin Jefferson 3.03 RB Antonio Gibson
1.04 RB Jonathan Taylor 2.07 RB Clyde   Edwards-Helaire 3.04 WR Keenan Allen
1.05 RB Ezekiel Elliott 2.06 WR Calvin Ridley 3.05 RB David Montgomery
1.06 RB Derrick Henry 2.05 RB Najee Harris 3.06 WR Terry McLaurin
1.07 TE Travis Kelce 2.04 RB Aaron Jones 3.07 RB Austin Ekeler
1.08 WR Stefon Diggs 2.03 WR DeAndre Hopkins 3.08 RB D’Andre Swift
1.09 WR Davante Adams 2.02 RB Joe Mixon 3.09 TE George Kittle
1.10 RB Nick Chubb 2.01 WR Tyreek Hill 3.10 WR CeeDee Lamb

This style of scoring boosts the value of wide receivers and elite tight ends but devalues quarterbacks relative to other positions. Running backs are going to be popular in any scoring scenario but the added reception point means the position becomes deeper with third-down backs able to offer “start-able” fantasy value.

With a reception point and only ten teams, your roster should look very strong after three picks. All positions are deep in this format.

Team 1: RB Christian McCaffrey, TE Darren Waller, WR DK Metcalf

Started with Christian McCaffrey, then opted for the No. 2 tight end (Darren Waller) and No. 7 wideout in DK Metcalf. Opened with a balanced approach but will find a riskier (or weaker) RB2 when picking at the end of the fourth round. Next up – has to pick up a running back at their next turn in rounds four and five. Also should consider wideout at that turn.

Team 2: RB Alvin Kamara, RB Saquon Barkley, QB Patrick Mahomes

Alvin Kamara was a great start and then opted to take the No. 12 running back for a solid and safe beginning. Went with Patrick Mahomes for the top dog at the highest scoring position. First three picks addressed the reality of the rapid decline in running back value and the best bet for the highest-scoring player in the fantasy league. Next up – starting RB-RB-QB felt good but now all wideouts and tight ends are not going to be difference-makers and could be a liability. This plan means using most of the next picks on wideouts and adding another running back when the value merits delaying the wideouts.

Team 3: RB Dalvin Cook, WR Justin Jefferson, RB Antonio Gibson

Standard start in this format with a Top-3 running back, then a Top-6 wideout. Followed with a return to running backs to feel safe about the backfield. Decent plan no matter where it is used. Next up – can go anywhere for best available. Top tight ends will be hard to reach, so mostly switching up running back and wideout while deciding where the quarterback makes sense.

Team 4: RB Jonathan Taylor, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, WR Keenan Allen

In a reception-points league, this is the safest plan even though it doesn’t so far produce any real difference makers and could end up with an average team. In the end, it is always about picking the best players and avoiding the busts. This is the most risk-adverse plan. Next up – can go anywhere with a balanced start. Would have to overpay for any difference-making tight ends, so wideouts need to be two of the next three or four picks. Can wait a little on RB3, but those using this plan rarely do.

Team 5: RB Ezekiel Elliott, WR Calvin Ridley, RB David Montgomery

This is just Team No. 3 with a better wideout and a slightly worse running back.  In a reception-points league, this is safe and yet yields slightly better results than starting RB-RB-WR. Next up – balanced team probably better off with taking a wideout next before the value starts to decline more rapidly. Solid enough start but needs to keep an eye out for players that are falling in the draft or take some later chances to find difference-makers.

Team 6: RB Derrick Henry, RB Najee Harris, WR Terry McLaurin

The middle of a 10-team league can lead to this sort of plan that doesn’t quite work as well as it seems it will. This year, one of the middle teams is likely to go for Travis Kelce to shake up the run on running backs. Not doing so led to this team with the No. 6 running back (meaning lesser half of the RB1’s in a ten team league), and then the No. 10 running back. Next up – more wideouts and a quarterback should take up the next three rounds.

Team 7: TE Travis Kelce, RB Aaron Jones, RB Austin Ekeler

Finally, Kelce is taken. He goes between the No. 4 and No. 10 picks, it just depends on the league. With reception points, he’s a major difference-maker but still delays all other positions. That led to this plan that doubles down on running backs to prevent any liability in the backfield. Next up – a couple of wideouts are in order and likely two in the next three picks. Could swerve and get a top quarterback in the fourth or fifth but then the wideouts would start to suffer.

Team 8: WR Stefon Diggs, WR DeAndre Hopkins, RB D’Andre Swift

This is a great plan here nearing the end of the first round. Ignoring wideouts makes no sense in the first round and accessed the top receiver. Starting out with two of the top four wide receivers is a huge advantage at the position and there is none to be had with running backs already drained. D’Andre Swift was a need pick in the third but overall this is an exciting to start to the draft. Next up – could accept that running backs are not going to be a strength and opt for quarterback and tight end, then scramble for whatever running back crumbs are left but would have fireworks at all position besides running back. It works better in the ten-team league where running backs last a bit longer.

Team 9: WR Davante Adams, RB Joe Mixon, TE George Kittle

Starting with wideout makes sense since it is better to control the No. 2 wideout than the No. 7 running back. After Davante Adams and Joe Mixon, went for George Kittle who should be the No. 3 tight end and a difference maker as well. It is usually a three-man race for elite tight ends, and Kittle brings some risk but considerable upside. Next up – has to consider running backs one or twice in the next three rounds but otherwise free to take best available regardless of position.

Team 10: RB Nick Chubb, WR Tyreek Hill, WR CeeDee Lamb

This is normally the team that starts WR-WR, but this plan went for RB1 with Nick Chubb before doubling on wideouts with Tyreek Hill and CeeDee Lamb. And it works better in this size league because the running back is slightly better than in a 12-team league, and the wideout in the third round is still the No. 10 wide receiver taken, right before a natural tier-break. Next up – the next pick in the draft belongs to Team 10 who could use that for Josh Allen at quarterback for an advantage at the highest scoring position. That takes some guts though, since anything other than a running back at the 4.01 pick means the RB1 would be no better than the No. 18 to No. 20 taken.

QB-heavy league

Pick Round 1 Pick Round 2 (reverse) Pick Round 3
1.01 RB Christian McCaffrey 2.10 QB Russell Wilson 3.01 RB Aaron Jones
1.02 RB Alvin Kamara 2.09 TE Darren Waller 3.02 WR Calvin Ridley
1.03 QB Patrick Mahomes 2.08 RB Joe Mixon 3.03 RB Najee Harris
1.04 RB Dalvin Cook 2.07 WR DeAndre Hopkins 3.04 WR Justin Jefferson
1.05 RB Jonathan Taylor 2.06 QB Dak Prescott 3.05 WR DK Metcalf
1.06 QB Josh Allen 2.05 WR Tyreek Hill 3.06 RB Clyde   Edwards-Helaire
1.07 RB Ezekiel Elliott 2.04 WR Davante Adams 3.07 QB Aaron Rodgers
1.08 TE Travis Kelce 2.03 QB Lamar Jackson 3.08 RB Saquon Barkley
1.09 WR Stefon Diggs 2.02 RB Nick Chubb 3.09 RB Antonio Gibson
1.10 QB Kyler Murray 2.01 RB Derrick Henry 3.10 TE George Kittle

This sort of league will seed quarterbacks in varying measures depending on how and why quarterbacks are so valuable. The most common is the ability to start two quarterbacks which change drafts significantly.

It will extend the quality of running backs and wideouts deeper into the draft since quarterbacks will go far earlier than the mid-draft than is common in other sorts of leagues. This run-through assumes two quarterbacks and that well over half of the starters are taken by the third round.

Viewing the previous year’s results are best for this sort of starting rule because quarterbacks can go slower – or much faster – than what this draft assumes. Keep up with the other picks in the league to make sure you don’t get stuck at the end of a run on quarterbacks.

In a smaller 10-team league with additional valuable players from the quarterback boost, almost every fantasy team is going to look great so taking elite players is paramount to winning – get starters before worrying about depth.

Team 1: RB Christian McCaffrey, QB Russell Wilson, RB Aaron Jones

After starting with Christian McCaffrey, was able to reach Russell Wilson as the No. 6 quarterback and then played it safer going RB1 with Aaron Jones. In this format, a Top-10 running back can reach the start of the third round. While not taking advantage as much of the reception point aspect, this plan is a solid one in this format regardless of draft slot. Next up – the next two picks should at least consider wideout. Elite tight ends are gone, and there will be a run on the position already started by the 4.12 pick.

Team 2: RB Alvin Kamara, TE Darren Waller, WR Calvin Ridley

Opened with Alvin Kamara and then opted for the No. 2 tight end for an advantage in a position that  nosedives in value after two or three are gone. Was able to take Calvin Ridley as the No. 5 wideout in the third round. Balanced and strong start. Next up – the tight ends are already sewn up. Can go anywhere but more likely to weigh the RB2 and then the quarterback next.

Team 3: QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Joe Mixon, RB Najee Harris

Why not? Patrick Mahomes is scraped off the heap with the 1.03 pick as the top quarterback in a league where elite players make a tremendous difference. Added two straight running backs but still reached the No. 8 and No. 10 players for a solid backfield. Splashy picks like a quarterback at the 1.03 usually prompt team owners to go a little more conservative for the next few picks. Next up – difference making tight ends are gone, but only seven wideouts were taken in the first three rounds. Should strongly consider two or even three in a row.

Team 4: RB Dalvin Cook, WR DeAndre Hopkins, WR Justin Jefferson

After getting Dalvin Cook in the first round, went to double up on wideouts.  The pick before him (2.06) tabbed Dak Prescott as the No. 5 quarterback so there was less advantage in the position since it hits a lower tier. DeAndre Hopkins and Justin Jefferson provide him two of the Top-6 wideouts for a strong start. Next up – The double wideouts means team can ignore the position for several rounds as the other core starters are secured. Should consider RB2 and two quarterbacks over the next four picks.

Team 5: RB Jonathan Taylor, QB Dak Prescott, WR DK Metcalf

Strong opening for a middle pick drafter. Opted for the No. 4 running back and then still reached Dak Prescott in the second. Landed DK Metcalf as WR1 in the third. All top tier players and yet none of the Top-3 in their position. Next up – can go anywhere and will include running back in the next few picks to be sure. But a run on wideouts is coming, so that is more prudent in the fourth and switch back to running back for the fifth.

Team 6: QB Josh Allen, WR Tyreek Hill, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire

Josh Allen is usually more of a third round pick in the other formats, but he makes sense in the first round in a QB-heavy league. Was still able to grab Tyreek Hill in the second for a Top-3 wideout and then brought on Clyde Edwards-Helaire as a need pick from the declining stock of running backs. Next up – Balanced start allows freedom to take best available. Mixing in running backs and wideouts for the next three rounds is most prudent.

Team 7: RB Ezekiel Elliott, WR Davante Adams, QB Aaron Rodgers

Ezekiel Elliott is a Top-5 running back, but doesn’t offer enough bang for the buck in this format as it is unlikely the next three teams are all going to load up on running backs. Was able to reach Davante Adams as the No. 2 wideout and then opted for Aaron Rodgers since the risk/reward ratio declines for the position.  The Rodgers pick is interesting in that of the next three teams, two already took a quarterback and would be less likely to double down on the position in the third or fourth rounds before it wraps back Next up – Running backs and wideouts over the next several round but seeding an earlier  second quarterback would make up ground from starting the No. 7 as their QB1.

Team 8: TE Travis Kelce, QB Lamar Jackson, RB Saquon Barkley

This plan is a little scary. But if Saquon Barkley returns to form, this plan could be highly effective. Started with Travis Kelce as the ultimate difference-maker of the last four years. Was still able to take Lamar Jackson even though that delayed both running backs and wide receivers. Went with the risky but upside pick of Barkley who could have been Antonio Gibson or David Montgomery. The smaller the league, the more using a first round pick on Kelsey doesn’t hurt you. Next up – next pick is only four turns away and could still reach Allen Robinson, A.J. Brown, Keenan Allen, and the like. That makes this plan start with a great core (assuming Barkley is returns to form, at least eventually). Waiting until the fifth round for that RB2 could still access a starting running back, though obviously a lower tier player.

Team 9: WR Stefon Diggs, RB Nick Chubb, RB Antonio Gibson

The ninth team finally opts for the best wideout on the board, then doubles down on running backs which feels very safe and netted the No. 7 and No. 13 running backs for a solid but unspectacular backfield. At least this plan gives the team freedom with his remaining picks. Next up – quarterback should be on tap in the fourth which is only three picks away. It won’t be an elite fantasy quarterback but still can draw from either Justin Herbert or Tom Brady. Otherwise, the 5.9 pick is 15 selections away and that most likely dips deeply enough into quarterbacks that the team will have one of the weakest QB1’s. Wideouts are a need as well, but can wait a bit for that quarterback and even another running back if the value is there.

Team 10: QB Kyler Murray, RB Derrick Henry, TE George Kittle

The smaller league size and QB-heavy format is kinder to the final team in the first round than usual. Top-3 quarterback with Kyler Murray paired with Derrick Henry at the turn, then in the third added George Kittle for another Top-3 player. Granted – Kittle carries risk after last year, but this is a formidable start. Next up – has to consider wideouts in two of the next three picks while wedging in the best value in running backs.

First 3 Picks: 12-team league

Your first three picks define your fantasy team.

Your first three picks define your fantasy football team. Each pick is critical because the player pool is ever-shrinking, and you have to select a mixture of available players to produce an optimal team. And those initial rounds determine what you’ll do in the later rounds of the draft. Get them wrong and you may not be able to recover.

To follow are sample three-round drafts for 12-team fantasy football leagues. They use either standard performance scoring, performance plus a point per reception, or “2QB/Super Flex” leagues where you can start two of any position. Those three formats cover virtually all leagues.

The names are less important than the positions because each draft slot has its own unique situation. Just as important are your future picks and what you need after three rounds.  Rankings can change daily so these may not exactly match site rankings. Pay the most attention to the positions and how they work together for an optimal start.

Performance scoring league

Round 1 Round 2 (reverse) Round 3
1.01 RB Christian McCaffrey 2.12 RB Josh Jacobs 3.01 WR DeAndre Hopkins
1.02 RB Dalvin Cook 2.11 QB Patrick Mahomes 3.02 RB J.K. Dobbins
1.03 RB Derrick Henry 2.10 WR DK Metcalf 3.03 RB D’Andre Swift
1.04 RB Alvin Kamara 2.09 RB Clyde   Edwards-Helaire 3.04 QB Josh Allen
1.05 RB Nick Chubb 2.08 WR Justin Jefferson 3.05 WR CeeDee Lamb
1.06 RB Jonathan Taylor 2.07 RB Saquon Barkley 3.06 WR A.J. Brown
1.07 RB Ezekiel Elliott 2.06 WR Calvin Ridley 3.07 TE Darren Waller
1.08 TE Travis Kelce 2.05 RB Aaron Jones 3.08 RB Mike Davis
1.09 RB Joe Mixon 2.04 RB Chris Carson 3.09 WR Keenan Allen
1.10 WR Stefon Diggs 2.03 RB David Montgomery 3.10 RB Kareem Hunt
1.11 RB Najee Harris 2.02 WR Davante Adams 3.11 RB Myles Gaskin
1.12 WR Tyreek Hill 2.01 RB Antonio Gibson 3.12 QB Kyler Murray

Performance scoring without reception points means that running backs are a premium and quarterbacks are a bit more valuable. Wide receivers and tight ends are devalued but are still usually four starters in a fantasy football league.  Almost all teams will look to get two running backs in their first three picks and it’s hard to argue against the logic because the supply is very low by round four.

 Team 1: RB Christian McCaffrey, RB Josh Jacobs, WR DeAndre Hopkins

Starting with the top player in the draft usually means having more freedom with the next picks since you already have an advantage and are not locked into a need pick. In this case, team opted to pair McCaffrey with  the best available rusher and receiver for a solid and safe start. Next up –  is likely a quarterback, but the base has been set and wideouts can wait in this format.

Team 2: RB Dalvin Cook, QB Patrick Mahomes, RB J.K. Dobbins

This plan better addresses the realities of player value with no reception points. Obvious pick with Cook turned into scooping the top quarterback in Patrick Mahomes. Grabbed RB2 in the third round for a very effective start. Quarterbacks are more valuable in this format, so reaching the top player at the end of the second round makes sense. Next up – consider a wideout before the position becomes a liability.

Team 3: RB Derrick Henry, WR DK Metcalf, RB D’Andre Swift

Started with Derrick Henry who is a beast in this scoring format, then opted for DK Metcalf in the second. That let him control which wideout he took as the sixth overall and then address RB2 with upside pick of J.K. Dobbins. Next up – probably looking at quarterback or another running back.

Team 4: RB Alvin Kamara, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, QB Josh Allen

Nice start in this scoring format that needed a top running back, high upside with Clyde Edwards-Helaire and then opted for the No. 2 quarterback in Josh Allen. Solid start to be sure. Next up – look at wideouts or a third running back if one has fallen in the draft.

Team 5: RB Nick Chubb, WR Justin Jefferson, WR CeeDee Lamb

While this plan doesn’t appear to honor the scoring format as much, it really sort of does. Solid start at running back was joined by two wideouts even without reception points. The plus here is that while wideouts do not score as much in this format, they still matter and the team now owns two Top-10 players in that position. That is an advantage in a position he can now leave alone for several rounds while searching for value picks. Up next – should consider two running backs and a quarterback in the next three rounds.

Team 6: RB Jonathan Taylor, RB Saquon Barkley, WR A.J. Brown

Standard “middle of the draft” path that is safe. Start with two backs that mean the position may be a strength and should not be a liability. Then opting for a difference-making wide receiver before that quality wanes. This is very safe in this format. Next up – Can go anywhere, should consider running back in the fourth before value evaporates but can consider quarterbacks along the way as well.

Team 7: RB Ezekiel Elliott, WR Calvin Ridley, TE Darren Waller

Continued the run on running backs and still ended up with Ezekiel Elliott. Then they reached a Top-5 wide receiver in Calvin Ridley and the No. 2 tight end with Darren Waller. No reception points depress their contributions, but they still represent an advantage in points against other fantasy teams. Next up – have to consider running backs the next two rounds unless someone else falls. Quarterback is down the road in this one. Has to catch up with running backs before the position is a liability which is more damaging in this scoring format.

Team 8: TE Travis Kelce, RB Aaron Jones, RB Mike Davis

Finally, a team doesn’t take a running back. Travis Kelce has been an advantage for the last four years and a season-winner with reception points. Even in this format, he represents a major advantage in a position that nearly doesn’t matter without reception points. Taking running backs the next two picks was almost a need and not a choice. Next up – wideouts and a quarterback need to happen in the next rounds, but grabbing an RB3 always makes sense if a good value is there in the next couple of rounds.

Team 9: RB Joe Mixon, RB Chris Carson, WR Keenan Allen

Always a tough spot. Starting with two running backs certainly feels safe. And the three teams behind could have potentially sucked up six backs before their second pick. This is a draft slot that can be a challenge and this team certainly played it safe. But there is no real advantage in any of the players other than minor having Chris Carson as an RB2. Next up – has to start looking for difference-makers. Should consider quarterback next and maybe even think about an earlier tight end because so far the plan is building an average team.

Team 10: WR Stefon Diggs, RB David Montgomery, RB Kareem Hunt

With the running backs risk going up and value in decline, opted for the top wideout to start, and then went with running backs for the next two to keep up with that run. This is more normal for a reception points league, but owning the best wideout is still an advantage in this scoring format. Next up – should consider running back again over the next pick or two since that all-important position is only average so far. Quarterback and another wideout can be weighed over the next four rounds as well.

Team 11: RB Najee Harris, WR Davante Adams, RB Myles Gaskin

The rookie Harris dips into the first round with no reception points and then the team selected Davante Adams as a Top-3 wideout with plenty of touchdowns. By the time the third round rolled back around, went with Myles Gaskin as RB2 with his fingers crossed. Next up – picks in only two more spots and can consider another running back like Austin Ekeler or Chase Edmonds. But a quarterback and a second wideout still offer very good values. Adding a Lamar Jackson or Dak Prescott in the fourth may force a running back in the fifth, but it is a nice start to be sure.

Team 12: WR Tyreek Hill, RB Antonio Gibson, QB Kyler Murray

Drafting at the end of the round in any format always forces some outside-of-the-box thinking, and this plan works about as well as any other this deeply in the draft in this format. Tyreek Hill is always an advantage at wideout, then nabbed Antonio Gibson at RB1 to prevent a disadvantage. Then taking Kyler Murray makes for a very nice start. That’s a Top-3 wideout, a running back, and a Top-3 quarterback. Next up – must look at running back and maybe again in the fifth round as well. Great start if running backs can cobble together at least average production.

Reception-point league 

Round 1 Round 2 (reverse) Round 3
1.01 RB Christian McCaffrey 2.12 QB Patrick Mahomes 3.01 TE Darren Waller
1.02 RB Alvin Kamara 2.11 WR DK Metcalf 3.02 RB D’Andre Swift
1.03 RB Dalvin Cook 2.10 RB Austin Ekeler 3.03 WR Keenan Allen
1.04 RB Jonathan Taylor 2.09 RB David Montgomery 3.04 WR Terry McLaurin
1.05 RB Ezekiel Elliott 2.08 WR Justin Jefferson 3.05 RB Chris Carson
1.06 RB Derrick Henry 2.07 WR Calvin Ridley 3.06 TE George Kittle
1.07 TE Travis Kelce 2.06 RB Antonio Gibson 3.07 RB J.K. Dobbins
1.08 RB Nick Chubb 2.05 RB Clyde   Edwards-Helaire 3.08 WR CeeDee Lamb
1.09 WR Stefon Diggs 2.04 RB Najee Harris 3.09 WR Allen Robinson II
1.10 WR Davante Adams 2.03 RB Aaron Jones 3.10 WR Robert Woods
1.11 WR Tyreek Hill 2.02 WR DeAndre Hopkins 3.11 RB Mike Davis
1.12 RB Joe Mixon 2.01 RB Saquon Barkley 3.12 WR A.J. Brown

This scoring style boosts the value of wide receivers and elite tight ends but devalues quarterbacks a bit. Running backs are popular in any scoring scenario, but the added reception point means the position becomes deeper with third-down backs able to offer “start-able” fantasy value.

Team 1: RB Christian McCaffrey, QB Patrick Mahomes, TE Darren Waller

This is why everyone hates the first pick. And this absolutely can happen. Starts with the best running back, then the best quarterback, then the No. 2 tight end. There’s tons of advantage there and the position that will be a potential weakness is wideout that is the deepest and easiest to find values and free agents. Next up – the 4.12 is 22 spots away, so not a lot left but has to consider running back and maybe the next two picks if there is a flex.

Team 2: RB Alvin Kamara, WR DK Metcalf, RB D’Andre Swift

Solid start that honors the scoring formant and in this case, with either rock-solid choices or an upside player. Starting RB-WR-RB is a proven solid start for early draft slots that prevent your roster from holes. Next up – can go anywhere. Likely wideouts and another running back in play for the next three rounds.

Team 3: RB Dalvin Cook, RB Austin Ekeler, WR Keenan Allen

This is the flip side of Team 2. Controlled his RB2 instead of his WR1 and came away with a solid start. Again – proven plan that honors the scoring system from this draft slot. Next up – probably a wideout and another running back. Solid but needs upside players or the team can end up average.

Team 4: RB Jonathan Taylor, RB David Montgomery, WR Terry McLaurin

First five draft slots all go running back this year, so the normal plan is to go RB-WR or WR-RB. This plan feels good in the first three rounds but looking back afterward can appear less exciting since no top players. Next up – drifting further from the start of the draft means lesser quality running backs. Should look for some difference makers in other positions to prevent a liability. While it lacks “pizzazz”, it also doesn’t have any holes.

Team 5: RB Ezekiel Elliott, WR Justin Jefferson, RB Chris Carson

Heading into the middle of the draft, the RB1 is good but the WR1 may be great in this format. Opting for Chris Carson in the third means a solid set of running backs, but safe doesn’t usually win championships. Next up – Like Team 4, need something to punch up the roster from another position. Solid teams can reach the playoffs but all too often are not in the championship.

Team 6: RB Derrick Henry, WR Calvin Ridley, TE George Kittle

This may be a middle of the draft team, but so far, the plan looks impressive. Started with the obligatory running back for a good RB1, and then was able to still access a  Top-5 wideout with Calvin Ridley, and found George Kittle in the third.  In this scoring format, drafting from the middle, this is a great start with three players near the top of their positions. Next up – has to consider an RB2 in the next round or round five at the latest or will have a hole that is very hard to fill.

Team 7: TE Travis Kelce, RB Antonio Gibson, RB J.K. Dobbins

Travis Kelce is the most intriguing first-round pick in this format. He’s taken between No. 4 and No. 12, but usually around picks seven to nine. He’s been a tremendous advantage for four years which is good, because using a first-round pick on a tight end sets a team back in everything else. This team went the safe route with double running backs which feels better after spending the first rounder on a tight end. Next up – can go anywhere. Wideouts are an obvious need now and should be heavily considered over the next several rounds.  Can sneak a quarterback in as well, but even wideouts significantly decline in value if waited on too long.

Team 8: RB Nick Chubb, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, WR CeeDee  Lamb

Doubling up on running backs is safe and a good base. In this scenario, started with the No. 7 and No. 12 running backs which is solid though without difference-making. Adding on upside wideout CeeDee Lamb as the No. 10 wideout selected is still following the runs. Safe start that needs some lucky picks later on to compete. Next up – can go anywhere, but should think about adding an earlier quarterback for some advantage. Otherwise, next three picks should probably provide two wideouts and a third running back.

Team 9: WR Stefon Diggs, RB Najee Harris, WR Allen Robinson II

The first wideout appears in this RB-hungry fantasy world, and that’s an immediate advantage. Tacked on the high-upside rookie of Najee Harris, then added the No. 12 wideout in Allen Robinson. That’s two Top-12 wideouts, and a rookie running back that, at least for now, offers exciting potential.  The nine-spot is always tough, but this plan worked what was available well. Could have taken a running back in the third, but better off controlling which wideout that was available since the run on them is about to start in a major way. Next up – certainly much consider running back in maybe two of the next three picks. But a fun start that honors the scoring format.

Team 10: WR Davante Adams, RB Aaron Jones, WR Robert Woods

The same plan works for Team 10 as it did for Team 9. He gets the better running back and about the same at wideout. Taking two players from the same team for the first two picks scare some, so a different running back could make some drafters feel more comfortable. Next up – Same as Team 9. Consider two running backs over the next three picks and can take a quarterback if wanted.

Team 11: WR Tyreek Hill, WR DeAndre Hopkins, RB Mike Davis

At the end of the first round, usually at least one team will play contrarian and start with two wideouts. With reception points, owning Tyreek Hill and DeAndre Hopkins means two of the Top-5 receivers are cranking out difference-making fantasy points. But, doing so left team with 18 running backs already off the board and Mike Davis was best available here. Bottle up the feeling after two rounds because it won’t taste quite as sweet with below average players making up much of the remaining starters. Next up – running back is a need, so two more in a row is not a terrible idea. Already team is into the Josh Jacobs, Myles Gaskins, or Chase Edmonds area for RB2. This plan can work – absolutely. But the next three or four draft picks need to all hit to compensate for the initial disadvantage at running back.

Team 12: RB Joe Mixon, RB Saquon Barkley, WR A.J. Brown

This plan seems too safe. Most Team 12’s will consider WR-WR or sneaking in a quarterback or tight end in their first two picks but the way that 2021 plays out, no available tight end or quarterback merit a pick here. So that leaves just running backs and wideouts. Could have started with two wideouts like Team 11 and likely had the same effect. But went safe with Joe Mixon  as the eighth running back drafted for their RB1, and then picked up the constantly falling Saquon Barkley.  Tacked on A.J. Brown at WR1 to prevent a liability. If Barkley can return to past form, then this team got a bargain. If not, it is hard to make up that ground. Next up – need wideouts and should consider reaching for a higher tight end or quarterback to make up some advantage. This is a safe start, and it can work, but needs to hit on later value picks.

 

Super Flex / QB-heavy league 

Round 1 Round 2 (reverse) Round 3
1.01 RB Christian McCaffrey 2.12 QB Aaron Rodgers 3.01 WR Calvin Ridley
1.02 RB Alvin Kamara 2.11 WR DeAndre Hopkins 3.02 RB Antonio Gibson
1.03 QB Patrick Mahomes 2.10 RB Clyde   Edwards-Helaire 3.03 RB David Montgomery
1.04 RB Dalvin Cook 2.09 RB Najee Harris 3.04 TE Darren Waller
1.05 RB Jonathan Taylor 2.08 WR Tyreek Hill 3.05 QB Tom Brady
1.06 QB Josh Allen 2.07 RB Aaron Jones 3.06 RB Austin Ekeler
1.07 RB Ezekiel Elliott 2.06 TE Travis Kelce 3.07 WR Justin Jefferson
1.08 WR Stefon Diggs 2.05 RB Saquon Barkley 3.08 QB Justin Herbert
1.09 QB Kyler Murray 2.04 RB Joe Mixon 3.09 WR DK Metcalf
1.10 RB Derrick Henry 2.03 QB Russell Wilson 3.10 RB D’Andre Swift
1.11 QB Lamar Jackson 2.02 RB Nick Chubb 3.11 RB Chris Carson
1.12 WR Davante Adams 2.01 QB Dak Prescott 3.12 RB J.K. Dobbins

This league seeds in quarterbacks depending on how and why quarterbacks are so valuable. The most common is the ability to start two quarterbacks. That extends  value in other positions deeper into the draft since quarterbacks take up more of the early picks.  Each 2QB or super-flex league can use different scoring and other aspects that impact player value, so consider the nuances of your league.

There are a definite Top-6 in quarterbacks this year. After those are taken,  the perceived positional value becomes less consistent and predictable.

It is also assumed that there are reception points. That is by far the most common in that type of league. It is also notable that a team can win without automatically starting two quarterbacks even when allowed.

Team 1: RB Christian McCaffrey, QB Aaron Rodgers, WR Calvin Ridley

Owning the No. 1 pick is also an advantage, but it plays out differently in this format. Started with Christian McCaffery, but then  six quarterbacks had been taken by the 2.12. Still went with Aaron Rodgers and then accessed the No. 5 wideout with Calvin Ridley. Same plan as Team 1 in the reception points league, but not quite as shiny and impressive. Next up – owning McCaffrey gives confidence that often leaves owners putting off their RB2. That’s still not that prudent and the next picks are the 48th and 49th of the draft. One of those must be running back, if not both.

Team 2: RB Alvin Kamara, WR DeAndre Hopkins, RB Antonio Gibson

Though two quarterbacks may be started, not every team will scramble to get “a quarterback, any quarterback.” Started with Alvin Kamara but went with the No. 3 wideout in DeAndre Hopkins since the Top-5 quarterbacks were already gone. Antonio Gibson in the third starts the team on solid footing with some firepower in those first two picks. Next up – free to go anywhere. Obviously quarterback needs to be address since the position will get drained much faster in this format. Could be fine with a couple of younger, upside quarterbacks.

Team 3: QB Patrick Mahomes, RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, RB David Montgomery

The most interesting part of the first round is when Patrick Mahomes is taken (or Josh Allen). That feels really good and yields an obvious advantage. But that also left the team doubling up on running backs. Clyde Edwards-Helaire could have been Antonio Gibson or David Montgomery if owning two players on the same team is an issue. Next up – solid start to be sure and allows next few picks to go anywhere. More likely wideouts and a second quarterback by the sixth round.

Team 4: RB Dalvin Cook, RB Najee Harris, TE Darren Waller

While this plan doesn’t include any quarterbacks, it is very workable in this format. If the rookie Najee Harris comes through as expected, then a great 1-2 punch with running backs adds the No. 2 tight end in the third which is possible in this style of league play. The Waller pick gains an advantage at tight end for a solid core. Next up – must mine the wideouts and quarterbacks over the next three or four picks for a balanced team without any holes.

Team 5: RB Jonathan Taylor, WR Tyreek Hill, QB Tom Brady

Started with Jonathan Taylor for a solid RB1 and reached Tyreek Hill as the No. 3 wideout which is possible with five or six quarterbacks showing up in the initial 15 or so picks. The Tom Brady pick (or No. 8 quarterback) was a reasonable attempt to get a Top-10 quarterback since anywhere from two to six more may be gone by the 4.08 when they go again. Next up – free to go any direction, but another running back in the next two rounds is prudent, along with a wideout. Balanced start allows freedom to go at value instead of need.

Team 6: QB Josh Allen, RB Aaron Jones, RB Austin Ekeler

This format encourages taking an elite quarterback this early.  Followed up with safe picks of Aaron Jones and Austin Ekeler. Running backs are not going to be an advantage so far, but every other position may still be. Next up – wideouts and a second quarterback make the most sense. Probably won’t have much at tight end but that is okay.

Team 7: RB Ezekiel Elliott, TE Travis Kelce, WR Justin Jefferson

Maybe there are no quarterbacks here, but this would kill in a reception-points league and can be just as good in a Super-Flex.  Started out with Ezekiel Elliott for a solid RB1 and then added the No. 1 tight end that could fall this far in this format. Added Justin Jefferson as the No. 6 wideout taken. Balanced start with some firepower at three positions so far. Next up – running back and quarterback are needed over the next three or four picks. If a wideout with higher value fell, he could be considered, but loading up on quarterback and running back needs to happen while it still can.

Team 8: WR Stefon Diggs, RB Saquon Barkley, QB Justin Herbert

Opted to start with the No. 1 wideout, then settled for the No. 9 running back in Saquon Barkley, who may become the No. 1 again (or No. 119 again, depending). Went with Justin Herbert as the No. 9 quarterback to ensure no liability at the position. Balanced start though a little risky. Next up – with Barkley, need to load up on other running backs sooner than later in case he has a slow start. But aside from running backs, the balanced start means picking for value in any position.

Team 9: QB Kyler Murray, RB Joe Mixon, WR DK Metcalf

The No. 9 team is not disadvantaged as they might be in other league formats. Missed out on a Top-5 running back but was able to add a Top-3 quarterback. Joined him with Joe Mixon at RB1 and still reached DK Metcalf as a Top-7 wideout thanks to all those other quarterbacks taking up space in the initial rounds. Next up – Like Team 8, balanced start means being able to hunt for best value in any position. The RB2 needs to be added without the next couple of rounds, but a good looking start from a normally tougher draft slot.

Team 10: RB Derrick Henry, QB Russell Wilson, RB D’Andre Swift

The sixth running back comes off the board knowing that the two teams waiting to draft will consider them and the drop-off in running back quality could fall into a lower tier.  Added Russell Wilson as the sixth quarterback taken over the first fourteen picks and the final one from the initial quarterback tier. Went with RB2 of D’Andre Swift for upside. Good core to start but needs firepower from other positions. Next up – wide receivers are an obvious need and should be addressed a couple of times over the next three or four rounds. But the start was solid enough to allow grabbing anyone that seems a great value.

Team 11: QB Lamar Jackson, RB Nick Chubb, RB Chris Carson

The fourth quarterback taken in the first round says this is not your normal league format. But the initial six quarterbacks are almost universally considered as the elite in their position this year. Tacked on Nick Chubb as RB1 and then opted for Chris Carson as RB2 since the elite players were gone from the four main positions.  Since Team 12 had no running backs in their first two picks, it’s a lock they will take one or even two before the 4.02 rolls back. Next up – looking for wideouts has to happen soon, but taking another quarterback or running back works as well if the value is there.

Team 12: WR Davante Adams, QB Dak Prescott, RB J.K. Dobbins

The back-end of the first round is not nearly so bad in this format that adds more valuable players to the pile. Went with the No. 2 wideout and grabbed Dak Prescott  for what could be spectacular results (health willing). Final pick of J.K. Dobbins was prudent and yielded a balanced start. There is firepower at WR1 and QB1, and waiting until the end of the third round still reaches the No. 18 running back. Next up – certainly running back is in order and likely this next pick at the 4.01. But balanced start allows more strategy in how the team comes together in this format over others.

Last-minute tips for your fantasy football draft

Get ready for your fantasy football draft

“Wait, the draft is tomorrow?”

No matter if you studied the NFL daily or just realized that your fantasy football draft is just about to happen, keeping up to date is more challenging than ever. Without the benefit of preseason games, it doesn’t feel like draft time. Water-cooler football banter has suffered from a lack of seeing helmets, scoreboards, rookie fumbles, or anyone “catching everything in sight.”

Not to worry. Armed with a high-quality cheatsheet from TheHuddle.com and the following tips, we’ll get you through that draft, this season, and eventually, your playoffs.

The First Half of the Draft

The reality of 2020 is that running backs are king, wide receivers are a strong second, and the rest can probably wait. Unless your league allows for two starting quarterbacks, that position can wait. Both Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes usually end up as second or third-round picks, but the overall difference is not that great between quarterbacks. Wait until the first ten or so are gone and then snap up Matthew Stafford, Daniel Jones, Drew Brees, Ben Roethlisberger, Jared Goff, or Baker Mayfield. That fills your starting quarterback in the seventh or eighth round and allows you to pursue the other positions that will drain much quicker.

If there is a default pick in any round, it is running back. Expect all starting running backs to be gone after the fourth round. Grab at least two in your first four picks, or you’ll likely have a liability at a high-scoring position. If you get flustered because “your guy” was taken right before your turn – just pick a running back.

Opting where to take your tight end should depend on your scoring rules. If there are points for receptions, then decide if you want a difference-maker in the position or just accept it’s not going to contribute much to your weekly score. Travis Kelce, George Kittle, Zach Ertz, and Mark Andrews will be the first four to go and usually by the fourth round. Kelce and Kittle could be second-round picks. They provide an advantage at the position that is almost impossible to obtain by landing a sleeper tight end.

If your league doesn’t use reception points, or if you miss out on those four players, then just wait. The difference between the fifth and twelfth-best tight ends is just a couple of points per game if you could even successfully guess the order after the first four are gone.

Wide receivers are the deepest position. There are quality players to be had through the sixth round or even longer in most drafts. You can delay them more than any other position, and not suffer a liability. But, you also won’t get any advantage and the important reality is that your league likely starts more wide receivers than any other position.

The tradeoff on waiting for starting wideouts is that not only do you lose their potential fantasy points, but more importantly, their consistency. Owning at least one of the Top-20 wide receivers will help your weekly score remain high and not suffer as many flop weeks.

Putting this all together, make a plan on how you intend to seed in your starting quarterback and tight end. I’m typically a fan of filling out the starting running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, and quarterbacks before I worry about backing up any position… except maybe running back that would usually be my preferred flex position.

Most common drafting plans for 2020:

RB-RB-WR-TE-WR-RB-WR-QB
RB-WR-RB-RB-WR-WR-QB-TE
WR-RB-RB-WR-WR-RB-QB-TE

Having three running backs after your fourth pick is hard to fault, and taking an elite wideout makes more sense the deeper in the first round you are slotted. The first half of the draft is all about your starters. Make the decision going in if an elite quarterback or tight end makes sense, otherwise, pick the best available running back or wide receiver.

The Second Half of the Draft

The latter part of your fantasy draft will provide a starting kicker and defense, and fill out the depth for the other positions. Granted, short of landing a sleeper, these are not going to be the players that deliver your team to the championship. But they can be the ones that keep you out.

Every year, the top defenses from the previous season are taken far earlier than the rest which is in the final two or three rounds. Of the Top-5 from 2018, none ended up better than No. 9 last year and three were No. 24 or worse. Defenses are reactive and their production relies heavily on their weekly schedule and what situation their own offense places on their opponent. There is nothing wrong with streaming defenses by taking the best matchup from the free-agent pile each week.

Kickers always end up at the bottom of the draft for good reason. There is usually a minimal difference between kickers, and they are notoriously difficult to predict. But, Harrison Butker, Wil Lutz, Justin Tucker, Robbie Gould and whatever kicker the Patriot use always remain Top-10 for the last three years. Beyond them, there is nearly no way to discern who else rounds out the better kickers each year. Three rounds from the end of your draft, consider one of those and gain a small but reasonably safe advantage.

Fantasy Depth

The reality is that we cannot know the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and how it could impact NFL rosters and games. But it is prudent to prepare for the possibility by focusing more on backing up your best players. Definitely your best running backs, but even your wide receivers if it makes sense. And just because you selected a top quarterback doesn’t mean you’re guaranteed to ride him all 16 weeks.

That goes back to investing in running backs. You can be certain a backup can step up should the need arise. Rounding out your depth with running backs from other teams is riskier this year – what if they too are out? This is also a year where owning wide receivers from the same team suddenly makes more sense. This will be a memorable year and the most important tip of all – just have fun within the chaos that has become 2020.

 

When to pick Aaron Rodgers in your fantasy football draft

Assessing Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers’ 2020 ADP and fantasy football draft value. Is he a sleeper or bust? Undervalued or overvalued?

Fantasy football season is in the air and the unique offseason is causing more questions than answers as we enter our fantasy football drafts. Below, we focus on Green Bay Packers QB Aaron Rodgers and his fantasy football potential this year.

Aaron Rodgers’ Fantasy Football ADP

Rodgers is currently ranked No. 111, with an average draft position of 82.53 on MyFantasyLeague.com. He ranks 13th among quarterbacks.

Reasons to draft Aaron Rodgers

  • He continues to be one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL and has six seasons in his career with at least 30 touchdown passes.
  • He will not hurt you with turnovers. He was fourth in the league for the fewest interceptable passes in 2020.

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Reasons not to draft Aaron Rodgers

  • He has not had more than 26 touchdown passes in a season since 2016, when he threw a league-high 40.
  • Outside of Davante Adams, Rodgers does not have a dynamic receiver to throw to, and the Packers didn’t add any big-time weapons in the offseason.
  • The Packers offense relied less on Rodgers in 2019 than in previous seasons.

Where should I draft Aaron Rodgers in fantasy football drafts?

With the slew of dual-threat quarterbacks who can not only get you points in passing but also running, he should not be among the first players you select. Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott and even Cam Newton should go before him.

In a two-QB league, Rodgers is worth a third or a fourth-round pick, giving you the potential for a great value.

In conventional leagues, wait until later rounds to pick up Rodgers. He won’t be highly valued even though he does give you high-end potential.

His numbers have been pedestrian the last couple of seasons, at least based on his entire career, but there is no question he is still capable of slinging 40 touchdowns. The problem is his supporting cast.

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