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Denver Broncos QB Bo Nix had an incredibly impressive college resume which helped him get selected 12th overall in the 2024 NFL Draft. Nix played 3 seasons with the Auburn Tigers before spending his last 2 with the Oregon Ducks, throwing for 15,351 yards and 113 TDs with 26 INTs in his 61-game career.
Nix is primed to be the Week 1 starter for the Broncos and is said to be the perfect fit for the Sean Payton-led Broncos offense. Ideally, he’ll be a star in the offense, but realistically, his ceiling this season could be a top-15 QB. The signal caller is intriguing in terms of fantasy value. Below, we look at Bo Nix’s 2021 fantasy football average draft position (ADP) and where you should draft him.
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Bo Nix’s ADP: 112.94
(ADP data courtesy of MyFantasyLeague.com; last updated at time of this publishing – ADPs continually change as more drafts occur)
Nix has an ADP of 112.94 in redraft leagues, which puts him in the range of the 9h to 11th round, depending on the size of the league. His ADP is lower than his teammate, WR Courtland Sutton (101.54), though.
Among quarterbacks, Nix’s ADP puts him 21st at the position, behind Michael Penix Jr. (Atlanta Falcons, 110.28), Spencer Rattler (New Orleans Saints, 108.16) and Aaron Rodgers (New York Jets, 109.38), and slightly ahead of Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers, 118.17), Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams, 120.37) and Kirk Cousins (Atlanta Falcons, 121.04).
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Bo Nix’s 2023-24 stats (with Oregon)
Games: 14
Passing yards: 4,508
Completions | attempts: 364 | 470
Passing touchdowns: 45
Interceptions: 3
Carries | rushing yards: 54 | 234
Rushing touchdowns: 6
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Where should you draft Nix?
Nix has been named the starter in Denver, and it’ll be the 1st time in almost 2 decades as a head coach that Payton will have a rookie start at QB to open the season. Nix has the arm strength and capability to be a star at the NFL level, but transferring that success from college is easier said than done.
He has a few weapons, but the team lost WR Jerry Jeudy in the offseason and didn’t do much to replace him. The team doesn’t have a main receiving threat at tight end or running back which could hamper Nix’s success as well.
The lack of talent around Nix could bring for a slow start to his rookie season. He’s going to get playing time and plenty of reps because he’s the best option in Denver, but making that a feasible option in fantasy is unlikely to happen in 2024.
Most managers taking Nix as a top-25 QB are priming for him to be a star in future years for dynasty leagues. He has some potential, but the weapons around him aren’t the best, and neither is his offensive line, which Action Network ranked the 16th-best line in the league.
Nix didn’t have many turnovers during his final season at Oregon and really sharpened his play after struggling in his 2nd and 3rd seasons at Auburn. He might not be a turnover machine, but he likely also won’t thrive like his current ADP is expecting him to.
If it is a standard, non-dynasty, non-multi-keeper league, let Nix go undrafted or take him late as your QB2. He has the upside to start should there be limited QB options, but he ultimately shouldn’t be expected to put up big numbers as a rookie.
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