Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Week 14 odds and lines, with expert NFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Atlanta Falcons (5-7) visit the Carolina Panthers (5-7) for a Week 14 matchup Sunday. Kickoff from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we look at the Falcons vs. Panthers odds and lines, and make our best NFL picks, predictions and bets.

Atlanta is 1-3 SU/ATS in its past four games. After failing to score a touchdown – scoring just 3 points – in back-to-back losses in Weeks 10 and 11, the Falcons found the end zone three times in a 21-14 Week 12 victory at the Jacksonville Jaguars and suffered a 30-17 home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week.

Carolina won the first meeting in Atlanta by a 19-13 score, taking it outright as a 2.5-point underdog as the Under connected. Carolina is 1-3 SU/ATS across the past four outings, too.

Also see: All Week 14 odds and lines

Falcons at Panthers odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:38 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Falcons +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Panthers -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Falcons +2.5 (+100) | Panthers -2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 40.5 (O: -117 | U: -103)

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Falcons at Panthers key injuries

Falcons

  • LB Adetokunbo Ogundeji (ankle) questionable

Panthers

  • OL Michael Jordan (hamstring) out

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Falcons at Panthers odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Falcons 19, Panthers 17

Money line

The FALCONS (+120) are going to return the favor after losing on Halloween against the Panthers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. The Falcons have covered nine of the past 12 in this series, and they’re 4-1 ATS in the past five trips to Charlotte.

Against the spread

FALCONS +2.5 (+100) are a good play if you believe this is going to be a close game. If you like Atlanta to maintain their mastery against the number in this series, just play the Falcons straight up on the money line.

Over/Under

The lean is to the UNDER 40.5 (-103) here even though this is such a low number. We had an Under result with just 32 total points the last time they met on the fast track in Atlanta. Now, they go outdoors in Charlotte on the grass, where the Under is 15-4-2 in the past 21 meetings.

Also seeBet Slippin’ Podcast: NFL Week 14 picks and predictions

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NFL Prop Bets Payday: 5 Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers prop predictions

Highlighting five Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers prop bet predictions ahead of their Week 8 Thursday Night Football matchup.

The Atlanta Falcons (1-6) and Carolina Panthers (3-4) meet at Bank of America Stadium for an 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday Night Football kickoff in their second of two head-to-head clashes this season. Below, we give you five prop bet predictions to consider for the Falcons-Panthers Week 8 Thursday Night Football matchup from the BetMGM game menu.

Falcons at Panthers prop bets to make for Thursday Night Football

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Falcons WR Julio Jones 80+ receiving yards and 6+ receptions (+250)

Jones missed the Week 5 game against the Panthers, but he has returned from injury to put up 137 and 97 yards in each of the last two games, respectively, with eight catches in each outing. He has also averaged 92.7 yards per game against the rival Panthers over his career.

Panthers RB Mike Davis OVER 59.5 rushing yards (-112)

Davis has a favorable rushing line after going for a season-high 89 yards in the 23-16 win over the Falcons in Week 5. He’s coming off just a 12-yard performance which was his lowest total in five starts to date, as were his seven carries. The Panthers are 2-point betting favorites so should have a favorable game script. Look for them to lean on Davis and the rushing attack.

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Panthers WR Curtis Samuel OVER 39.5 receiving yards (-112)

Samuel returned from a one-game absence last week to catch all six of his targets for 48 yards in the 27-24 loss to the New Orleans Saints. He played just 48% of the offensive snaps. He has caught a career-best 86.2% of his targets on the season and is averaging 8.0 yards per target. Another 6-8 looks in Week 8 easily gets him to the Over.

Falcons QB Matt Ryan OVER 24.5 pass completions (-134)

Ryan completed just 21 of 37 attempts in the Week 5 clash with Carolina. He finished with a season-low 226 passing yards. Since the firing of head coach Dan Quinn, Ryan has attempted 40-plus passes in back-to-back games and had at least 30 completions in each outing. He’ll continue leaning on Jones and WR Calvin Ridley in favorable man-to-man matchups Thursday.

Panthers TE Chris Manhertz to score a touchdown (+900)

Manhertz has been targeted just five times this season and has four catches for 35 yards; however, he has played at least 43% of the offensive snaps in each game. The Falcons have given up a league-high eight touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Take the higher payout with Manhertz over Ian Thomas (+400) after both were held without a catch by the Falcons in their first meeting.

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Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers Week 8 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Atlanta Falcons (1-6) and Carolina Panthers (3-4) are both coming off a narrow loss in Week 7. They’ll commiserate together on a short week in their Week 8 Thursday Night Football matchup at Bank of America Stadium. Kickoff will be at 8:20 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Falcons-Panthers betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Falcons at Panthers betting odds and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Falcons +130 (bet $100, win $130) | Panthers -152 (bet $152, win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Falcons +3 (-121) | Panthers -3 (+100)
  • Over/Under: 48.5 (O: -115, U: -106)

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Falcons at Panthers game notes

  • The NFC South rivals met in Atlanta in Week 5, with the Panthers taking a 23-16 victory. The loss led the Falcons to fire head coach Dan Quinn. Interim head coach Raheem Morris is 1-1 in his place.
  • The Falcons lost 23-22 at home against the Detroit Lions last week when RB Todd Gurley scored a touchdown with too much time remaining on the clock. Lions QB Matthew Stafford was able to march his team down the field and hit TE T.J. Hockenson for a touchdown to set up PK Matt Prater‘s game-winning extra point.
  • The Panthers lost 27-24 on the road against a banged-up New Orleans Saints squad Sunday. The game was tied 24-24 entering the fourth quarter.
  • Carolina is 4-3 against the spread while covering by an average of 3.0 points per game; Atlanta is 2-5 ATS and fails to cover by 2.6 PPG. The Falcons are 4-3 against the Over/Under with the Panthers 3-4 against the projected totals.
  • Falcons QB Matt Ryan leads the NFL with 2,181 passing yards through 7 games. He has 12 touchdown passes and just 3 interceptions.
  • Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey (ankle) hadn’t been activated from the Reserve/Injured list as of the time of publishing and is expected to remain sidelined for at least one more week. RB Mike Davis has 517 yards from scrimmage and 4 total touchdowns through 7 games and 5 starts.

Falcons at Panthers key injuries

Falcons

  • WR Julio Jones (hip) questionable
  • WR Russell Gage (knee) questionable
  • Alex Mack (knee) questionable
  • OT Kaleb McGary (elbow) questionable
  • DE Takkarist McKinley (groin) questionable

Panthers

  • OT Russell Okung (calf) questionable
  • John Miller (ankle) questionable
  • RB Christian McCaffrey (ankle) questionable/IR

Falcons at Panthers: Odds, prediction, betting lines and picks

Prediction

Falcons 26, Panthers 21

Money line (?)

The FALCONS (+130) carry good value into their rematch with the rival Panthers (-152). Carolina will still be without its best player in McCaffrey and the Falcons’ passing game has re-established itself as one of the best in the league.

The injuries to two key Panthers O-linemen also loom large and could help spark a Falcons pass rush with just 10 sacks through 7 games. The Panthers are generating even less pressure with 6 sacks.

Prior to their Week 5 loss to the Panthers, the Falcons had won each of the previous five and eight of the last nine head-to-head meetings.

Against the spread (?)

The value is with the Falcons’ money line, but ATLANTA +3 (-121) should still be backed for extra insurance. The Falcons have twice lost by just a single point.

Over/Under (?)

Lean to the UNDER 48.5 (-106) with three of the last four TNF games falling shy of this mark. The Week 5 meeting between the Falcons and Panthers also saw a total of just 39 points scored.

For as maligned as the Falcons are – especially on defense – their last three opponents have each scored just 23 points.

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Carolina Panthers field-goal favorites over Atlanta Falcons in Week 8

The Carolina Panthers are the betting favorites in their Week 8 home matchup with the Atlanta Falcons.

The Atlanta Falcons (1-6) square off with the Carolina Panthers (3-4) Thursday at 8:20 p.m. ET at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte. Below, we take a look at the early Week 8 betting odds and lines at BetMGM Sportsbook.

The Falcons snatched defeat from the jaws of victory yet again in Week 7, blowing a fourth-quarter lead in the worst way possible. They were trailing the Detroit Lions 16-14 with 1:12 left in the game, but they were in field-goal range at Detroit’s 13-yard line. The Lions had no timeouts left and their plan was to allow the Falcons to score so they could get the ball back. It was Detroit’s only chance. Atlanta RB Todd Gurley got down to the 1, tried to hold up from getting into the end zone, but his momentum carried him over the line, breaking the plane for a touchdown. The Falcons added a two-point conversion, and now led 22-16. Gifted another opportunity by getting the ball back instead of the Falcons running more time of the clock, the Lions cashed in. Detroit drove down the field, 75 yards in eight plays, and scored an 11-yard TD pass as time expired. The ensuing PAT won it 23-22. The Falcons continue to discover new ways to lose.

The Panthers gave the New Orleans Saints a run, but QB Teddy Bridgewater came up just short against his former team 27-24. Panthers K Joey Slye attempted a 65-yard, would-be NFL-record field goal at the buzzer to send the game to overtime, but it just missed by about the length of a football. The Panthers did cover as 7-point dogs, moving to 4-1 ATS across the past five. That includes a 23-16 win in Atlanta back in Week 5 as 2.5-point underdogs.

Falcons at Panthers betting odds, spread and line

Odds via BetMGM; last updated Monday at 6:02 a.m. ET. 

  • Money line: Falcons +135 (bet $100 to win $135) / Panthers -162 (bet $162 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Against the spread: Falcons +3, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) / Panthers -3, -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Bet now
  • Total: 50.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) / Under -106 (bet $106 to win $100) | Bet now

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At +135 odds, the Falcons have an implied 42.55% chance of winning, or 27/20 fractional odds. If Atlanta wins outright or loses by 2 points, a Falcons +3 (-110) ATS ticket cashes. A 3-point Panthers win is a push, meaning you get your money back.

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At -162 odds, the Panthers have an implied 61.83% chance of winning, or 50/81 fractional odds. Carolina needs to win by at least 4 points for a Panthers -3 (-110) ticket to cash.

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