In a featherweight bout on Saturday’s main card, Movsar Evloev and Nate Landwehr meet at UFC Vegas 16 at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2/ESPN+, followed by the main card on ESPN2/ESPN+ at 10 p.m. ET. Other names for the event are UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori and UFC on ESPN 19.
Evloev (13-0) is a perfect 3-0 since arriving at the UFC level, winning each of his fights by unanimous decision. His last fight was a victory over Mike Grundy on the Whittaker-Till card back on July 25. In 13 career professional bouts, he recorded stoppages in seven outings, winning three via KO/TKO and four by way of submission, with the rear-naked choke his calling card. He has managed 4.44 significant strikes landed per minute while posting a 43.38 significant strikes-accuracy percentage. That’s all well and good, but his best work is done on the canvas. He has a 3.00 takedown average and 33.33 takedown-accuracy percentage, too.
Landwehr (14-3), who stands two inches taller than his counterpart, is a punching machine. He has posted 6.89 significant strikes landed per minute with a 50.21 significant strikes-accuracy percentage. He doesn’t really do any work on the mat, and he’ll be looking to keep this fight upright as long as he can. He was knocked out in the first round in 2:43 in his UFC debut Jan. 25 by Herbert Burns before bouncing back with a unanimous decision win over Darren Elkins May 16. While two of his past three pro bouts have gone the distance, seven of his past 11 matches have ended via stoppage.
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Movsar Evloev vs. Nate Landwehr: Betting odds, predictions and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:56 a.m. ET.
Evloev (-650) is just too expensive on the 2-way line, so get creative with your ticket. You cannot risk six and a half times your potential return. That’s just not a good long-term strategy.
First off, all three of Evloev’s fights at the UFC level have been unanimous-decision wins, so playing YES (-175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a strong play. In addition, going with EVLOEV ON POINTS (-125) is also a solid wager, although if he were to win via knockout or submission, your ticket is a loser.
OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-200) is a little more expensive than I care to play, but that should be a sound wager, too.
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Also see:
- UFC on ESPN 19 predictions (MMA Junkie)
- Photos: UFC on ESPN 19 weigh-ins & faceoffs (MMA Junkie)
- More UFC/MMA coverage from MMA Junkie
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