Panthers DE Brian Burns gets another questionable EDGE Defender ranking

The numbers and the rankings might lie, but the tape does not. Burns is as disruptive as any defensive end in the NFL.

Brian Burns is going to get his proper respect from national NFL media some day. That day has not yet come, apparently. All summer Burns has been getting some questionable rankings when analysts list the best edge defenders in the league today. He’s already been left off top-10 lists by both ESPN and Touchdown Wire.

Today’s slight comes from Pro Football Focus, which has ranked Burns No. 19 at his position.

“Burns is another edge defender from the 2019 draft class who made major strides in his second season in the NFL. Most of his improvement came as a pass-rusher, where Burns improved his pass-rushing grade from 68.7 in 2019 to 86.9 last year. He was particularly difficult to slow down on third down. Burns’ 22.1% pressure rate on third down in 2020 was second among edge defenders with at least 50 pass-rush opportunities behind only Shaquil Barrett.”

It’s hard to understand why so many of the advanced stats indicate Burns is an underrated superstar in the making and he keeps getting overlooked like this. While it’s true there’s probably more top-end talent on the edge than any other position in football right now, Burns deserves far more recognition than he’s been getting.

The numbers and the rankings might lie, but the tape does not. Burns is as disruptive as any defensive end in the NFL.

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Falcons 2020 roster breakdown: Defensive line

The Atlanta Falcons don’t have enough pass rush or even defensive linemen under contract at this point. They need to make it a focus in 2020

Led by Grady Jarrett and Takkarist McKinley, there isn’t much else on the Atlanta Falcons’ defensive line worth mentioning that’s under contract for 2020. A total and complete rebuild is needed and with the Falcons in the cap situation they are in, some restructuring of the defensive line will have to take place through the draft.

2019 Depth Chart and Results

DT Grady Jarrett

69 tackles, 7.5 sacks, 16 QB hits, 12 tackles-for-loss, 2 forced fumbles

DE Takkarist McKinley

29 tackles, 3.5 sacks, 13 QB hits, 7 tackles-for-loss

DT Tyeler Davison

55 tackles, 1 sack, 2 QB hits, 4 tackles-for-loss, 1 fumble recovery

DE Vic Beasley

42 tackles, 8 sacks, 12 QB hits, 8 tackles-for-loss, 2 forced fumbles, 2 pass deflections

DE Adrian Clayborn

18 tackles, 4 sacks, 7 QB hits, 4 tackles-for-loss, 2 forced fumbles

DL Allen Bailey

26 tackles, 1 sack, 2 QB hits, 4 tackles-for-loss

DT Jack Crawford

24 tackles, 0.5 sacks, 5 QB hits, 1 tackle-for-loss

DL John Cominsky

11 tackles, 0.5 sacks, 2 QB hits, 2 pass deflections

DL Jacob Tuioti-Mariner

14 tackles, 1 QB hit, 1 tackle-for-loss, 1 forced fumble

DT Deadrin Senat

1 QB hit

DE Austin Larkin

1 special teams tackle

DT Michael Bennett

On injured reserve the entire season

DE Steven Means

On injured reserve the entire season

DT Ra’Shede Hageman

On injured reserve the entire season

Current 2020 Contracts

DT Grady Jarrett

3 years left at $19.02 million average

DE Takkarist McKinley

1 year left at $3.25 million with a fifth-year option

DL Allen Bailey

1 year left at $5.984 million

DT Deadrin Senat

2 years left at $955,990 average

DL John Cominsky

3 years left at $797,098 average

DL Jacob Tuioti-Mariner

1 year left at $585,000

DE Austin Larkin

1 year left at $585,000

Pending Free Agents: What Happens?

DT Jack Crawford

Jack Crawford is a prime candidate to come back for depth on a veteran minimum deal. He played through his three years with the Falcons playing in 36 of the 48 games he was under contract for due to an injury in the 2017 season. In 2018, Crawford had six sacks, but he never really showed that he was a true starter after that. In 2019, he played minimal snaps and will be fighting for reserve role.

DT Tyeler Davison

When Saints players come to Atlanta, they tend to take a nosedive. Tyeler Davison did not follow that path, though. He’s not traditionally known as a pass rusher, but he had arguably his best year as a run stuffer for the Falcons with four tackles-for-loss to match his career high and 55 total tackles —most of which came against the run. Davison has shown he’s a good piece for the Falcons to have and should be back on a cheap deal.

DE Vic Beasley

The Atlanta Falcons are already admitting that they’ll let the pass rusher who ranks No. 5 all-time in sacks for the franchise to leave in free agency. Beasley’s play was a big part of the team’s 2016 success, but since he hasn’t been able to duplicate it, the Falcons are making the smart move letting him walk.

DE Adrian Clayborn

The Falcons continually bring back Adrian Clayborn because he seems to love playing under Dan Quinn, and his pass rush stats back it up. He’s averaging around 5.6 sacks per season with the Falcons. Clayborn does a great job of penetrating through the line in nickel sets and bending the edge in base sets. If Atlanta can get away with bringing him back for the veteran minimum again, the team would be wise to do so.

DT Michael Bennett

No, he’s not that Michael Bennett. But in limited action, Bennett has shown he’s a competent defensive tackle against the run with some decent pass-rush ability. He’s another one of those players that should see a veteran minimum deal that allows the Falcons some cap flexibility.

DE Steven Means

Injuries have sidelined Steven Means for the 2019 season, but the Falcons should definitely try and bring him back for in 2020. His 2018 season was solid and because of his injury and contract already being small, Atlanta should be able to get away with paying him the veteran minimum level deal. Means should then parlay that into a chance at playing in the base packages for the Falcons’ defense in 2020.

DT Ra’Shede Hageman

Ra’Shede Hageman was given a final shot to make an impact and rarely played. It’s at the point in Hageman’s career where giving up on him feels like the absolute right move. Let him walk in the offseason and see if he can stick elsewhere. Atlanta just isn’t the place for him anymore.

Possible Cuts

DL Allen Bailey

If the Falcons cut Allen Bailey, they could save nearly $4.5 million for the 2020 season. While Bailey was a good run stuffer, cutting him and taking the cap savings to use towards either retaining Austin Hooper or adding more defensive line talent would be the right move.

Free Agents to Consider

DL Arik Armstead

One of the best free agents in the 2020 class is Arik Armstead. He’s a monster run defender who finally put together his pass rush in 2019. The question behind Armstead is whether it was just a contract year fluke or if he really has the chops to continue his success long-term. If he can continue his success year in and year out, the Falcons would be wise to try and use him as a base strong-side end and slide him inside next to Jarrett in the nickel.

DT Dontari Poe

Big and nasty is one way to describe Dontari Poe. While the former Falcon has potential to be cut in 2020 due to a high cap number, he might be willing to come back to Atlanta and reprise the role he had in 2017 where he was dominant in the middle as a nose tackle. The team could easily use the help. Poe’s abilities against both the run and the pass make him valuable, and a deal around $6-7 million per season would be around where he should sign.

DE Robert Quinn

Robert Quinn went from a terror as a pass rusher to a mediocre talent after the 2014 season. It was tough to figure out why. But with the Cowboys in 2019, he saw a bit of a career resurgence playing across from Tank Lawrence. Quinn could be worth a flyer one-year deal worth around $6 million if he’s willing to come in and teach Takk McKinley to tools of the trade.

DE Donte Fowler

There have been few careers as frustrating as Donte Fowler’s. After busting in Jacksonville in the 2015 and 2016 seasons due mainly to injuries and recovering from them, he had a solid year in 2017 with eight sacks. The problem is he couldn’t duplicate it the next season. Unless he’s willing to take something like a three-year, $12 million deal, the risk on a contract year breakout player just isn’t worth the reward.

Best Fits in the 2020 NFL Draft

NT Leki Fotu, Utah

The Falcons have missed having a massive penetrating defensive tackle since Dontari Poe left the squad in the 2018 offseason. They can remedy that by bringing back Poe or drafting someone who’s extremely similar to him in Leki Fotu. The massive 6-foot-5, 340-pound Fotu would be a great space eating presence next to Grady Jarrett on run downs. His pass rushing needs some refinement, but he’s a monster who has the power and speed to do it.

DT Justin Madubuike, Texas A&M

One of the best defensive tackles in the draft is Justin Madubuike. He’s a natural 3-technique pass rusher who can play the 1-technique in base sets and nickel sets alike as well. He’s a longer player and built closer to a guy like Corey Peters than anyone else. His talent is on a higher level though. He plays with insane leverage and regularly had SEC offensive linemen on their backs.

DE A.J. Epenesa, Iowa

Iowa’s resident Patrick Kerney clone in A.J. Epenesa would be a perfect fit in the Falcons’ defense. While he’s not the same kind of player that Michael Bennett was, he could be used in a similar fashion and his rotation with John Cominsky in that role would help against the run. The pass rush would also improve in nickel sets as Epenesa is a natural there who’s only real issue is his lack of lateral mobility.

DE K’Lavon Chaisson, Louisiana State

A linebacker/defensive end hybrid player like K’Lavon Chaisson will bring some fans thoughts of Vic Beasley back into the fold. However, Chaisson is like if Beasley had better hand usage and stronger pass-rushing moves coming out of college. Oh, and he’s a solid overall run defender.

Out-of-Box Move to Consider

Trading up in the draft for DE Chase Young

A shocking move that the Falcons could make would be to trade their first round pick in 2020, their second round pick from the Patriots in 2020 and their first and second round picks in 2021 to move to No. 2 overall. They would then take Chase Young, who is the best pass rusher to come out in around a decade. That’s how good he is.

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