UFC on ESPN 57: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 57 odds between Dominick Reyes and Dustin Jacoby, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round light heavyweight bout on the main card, Dominick Reyes and Dustin Jacoby meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 57 — also known as UFC Louisville — at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 57: Reyes vs. Jacoby odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Reyes (12-4-0) | Jacoby (19-8-1)

These 2 fighters are both skidding hard and in need of a victory. Reyes enters with 3 consecutive KO/TKO losses since a unanimous-decision setback to Jon Jones at UFC 247 in Feb. 2020. His last win came Oct. 18, 2019, against Chris Weidman in a Fight Night main event, so, yeah, it’s been a minute.

Reyes has ended up going the distance just once in the past 5 fights, and he hasn’t been out of the 2nd round in 3 straight outings.

Jacoby hasn’t been much better, as he has lost 3 of his past 4 fights, with only an 82-second KO/TKO of Kennedy Nzechukwu to show for his efforts. He has ended up going the distance in 3 of his past 4 fights and 5 of his previous 7 outings.

Reyes has a slight 1-inch height advantage and a 1-inch reach advantage. The southpaw Reyes has a 51.49% mark in significant strikes accuracy percentage, but Jacoby has 5.53 significant strikes landed per minute to just 4.75 for the veteran Reyes.

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UFC on ESPN 57: Reyes vs. Jacoby odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Reyes +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Jacoby -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +130)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +160 | No -225)

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UFC on ESPN 57: Reyes vs. Jacoby picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Both of these fighters need a win to get back on track. Jacoby (-250) is a good bet to get it done, but not if you have to risk 2½ times your potential return. Let’s get a little more specific.

Reyes (+200) can’t be trusted. He has lost 4 straight fights, including 3 via KO/TKO. A spinning backfist against Jiri Prochazka earned Reyes a 6-month medical suspension. He just hasn’t been the same since his loss to Bones.

With 3 straight KO/TKO losses, JACOBY BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+100) at even-money on the 7-way Method of Victory is your best bet.

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 1.5 Rounds (-175) isn’t necessarily priced out of line, but Reyes made it just 80 seconds last time out, and that raises a red flag. And Jacoby has had a pair of 1st-round KO/TKO wins in his previous 5 outings, so it could easily finish well ahead of the middle of Round 2.

No (-225): Will the fight go the distance? is too much risk for not enough reward, either.

If you want to take a chance on a big pay day, JACOBY TO WIN IN 60 SECONDS OR LESS (+1100) is worth a look. Heck, just put $5 or $10 on it, and it is still a nice little chunk of change.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby prediction, pick, start time, odds for UFC on ESPN 57

Dominick Reyes meets Dustin Jacoby in the UFC on ESPN 57 co-main event. Will the former title challenger stop his skid?

[autotag]Dominick Reyes[/autotag] and [autotag]Dustin Jacoby[/autotag] meet Saturday in the co-main event of UFC on ESPN 57 from KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. Check out this quick breakdown of the matchup from MMA Junkie analyst Dan Tom.  

Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby UFC on ESPN 57 preview

Reyes (12-4 MMA, 6-4 UFC) entered his title shot against Jon Jones in 2020 as an undefeated fighter at 12-0. After coming up short on the scorecards, he has failed to record a victory since, as he enters the UFC on ESPN 57 co-main on a four-fight skid that includes three straight stoppages. … Jacoby (19-8-1 MMA, 7-5-1 UFC) has struggled to gain traction as of late, going 1-3 in his last four. His last victory came in a first-round stoppage against Kennedy Nzechukwu last August, followed by a setback against Alonzo Menifield in December.

Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby UFC on ESPN 57 expert pick, prediction

The co-main event in Kentucky features a light heavyweight showdown between Reyes and Jacoby.

Despite arguably beating the great Jon Jones three rounds to one back at UFC 247, Reyes’ career took a dramatic downswing in the subsequent years, dropping three consecutive fights due to stoppages from strikes.

Now, almost a year and a half since his last defeat, Reyes will attempt to stop the bleeding of a four-fight skid when he steps into the octagon with “The Hanyan” this Saturday.

Jacoby is the more active fighter, coming from a solid camp in Factory-X Muay Thai. That said, Jacoby’s durability has also cost him in past performances due to his propensity to find himself in close fights.

Couple that with the fact that Jacoby has a .500 record against southpaws (currently standing at 2-4 opposite UFC-level lefties), and I have a sneaky suspicion that Reyes can get back on track by reminding Jacoby that left hands are his common culprit.

Although an early knockout on either side wouldn’t shock me, I’ll take a flier on the underdog Reyes to land the more impactful offense en route to a narrow decision win.

Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby UFC on ESPN 57 odds

The oddsmakers and the public are favoring the more active man, listing Jacoby as a -230 favorite and Reyes as a +176 underdog, via FanDuel.

Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby UFC on ESPN 57 start time, how to watch

As the co-main event, Reyes and Jacoby are expected to make their walks to the octagon at approximately 10:05 p.m. ET. The fight broadcasts live on ESPN and streams on ESPN+.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC on ESPN 57.

Dustin Jacoby expects best version of Dominick Reyes at UFC on ESPN 57

Dustin Jacoby won’t underestimate Dominick Reyes because of his losing skid.

[autotag]Dustin Jacoby[/autotag] won’t underestimate [autotag]Dominick Reyes[/autotag] because of his losing skid.

Jacoby (19-8-1 MMA, 7-5-1 UFC) meets former title challenger Reyes (12-4 MMA, 6-4 UFC) in Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 57 (ESPN/ESPN+) co-main event at KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky.

Jacoby, who’s lost three of his past four, relishes the opportunity to face a notable name in the division like Reyes.

“I love the matchup,” Jacoby said of Reyes during Wednesday’s media day. “I’m very well aware Dominick Reyes is a big name. He’s one of the best guys in the division. He’s on a little bit of a skid right now, but this is not an easy job.

“It’s a tough job to do and he’s fought a murderer’s row of individuals. I know I have my hands full. I know Dom’s going to be dangerous, and I’m really looking forward to the opportunity of taking out a so-called legend and building my legacy.”

Reyes was an unbeaten rising contender when he challenged Jon Jones for the light heavyweight title in February 2020, losing a razor-thin decision that many thought he won. But since then, the 34-year-old has struggled by losing four straight, three by knockout.

Jacoby won’t take Reyes’ recent struggles too much into account.

“I’m prepared for both (versions of Reyes),” Jacoby said. “I’m very well-prepared. It’s my job to go in there and execute. He could come forward, he could stay back. Either way, I think he’s going to go in there looking for the kill. I think his back’s against the wall. I think he knows that, and he’s got to go out there and make something happen.

“I’m expecting the best Dominick Reyes, the best version there is. I have no doubt he’s going to be on that night and again, I’m just looking forward to the opportunity to go in there and face a guy like him. He’s definitely one of the best guys in the division.”

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For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC on ESPN 57.

UFC Louisville lineup announced: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby, but no main event official

Former title challenger Dominick Reyes has been added to UFC Louisville, making 13 fights official, but still no main event.

The UFC Louisville fight card is near completion.

Former UFC light heavyweight title challenger [autotag]Dominick Reyes[/autotag] vs. [autotag]Dustin Jacoby[/autotag] is the newest addition to the June 8 event at KFC Yum! Center.

The promotion made that bout and 12 other fights official on Thursday, but still no main event has been announced by the promotion.

Reyes (12-4 MMA, 6-4 UFC) looks to snap a four-fight skid that began with his controversial title challenge loss against Jon Jones in February 2020. Reyes most recently competed in November 2022 when he was knocked out by Ryan Spann. He was booked twice against Carlos Ulberg thereafter. Ulberg was withdrawn from the first scheduling due to injury, and Reyes pulled out of the second due to a blood clot issue.

Jacoby (19-8-1 MMA, 7-5-1 UFC) has become a staple of the upper half of the promotion’s light heavyweight division. He enters the bout with three losses in his four most recent outings. Jacoby most recently competed in December, when he lost a close, exciting battle to Alonzo Menifield by unanimous decision.

With the current June 8 fight card includes:

  • Dustin Jacoby vs. Dominick Reyes
  • Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Ricky Turcios
  • Miguel Baeza vs. Puna Soriano
  • Ludovit Klein vs. Thiago Moises
  • Carlos Prates vs. Charlie Radtke
  • Brunno Ferreira vs. Dustin Stoltzfus
  • John Castaneda vs. Daniel Marcos
  • Jesse Butler vs. Brad Katona
  • Denise Gomes vs. Eduarda Moura
  • Taylor Lapilus vs. Cody Stamann
  • Julian Marquez vs. Zach Reese
  • Montana De La Rosa vs. Andrea Lee
  • Rayanne Amanda vs. Puja Tomar

MMA Junkie’s Fight of the Month for December: A bloody women’s bantamweight war

With another action-packed month of MMA in the books, MMA Junkie looks at the best fights from December 2023.

With another action-packed month of MMA in the books, MMA Junkie looks at the best fights from December 2023: Here are the five nominees, listed in chronological order, and winner of MMA Junkie’s Fight of the Month award for December.

At the bottom of the post, let us know if we got it right by voting on your choice.

Nominees

UFC 296 post-event facts: Colby Covington joins rare company with 0-3 title fight record

The best facts to come out of UFC 296, which saw Colby Covington and Tony Ferguson join exclusive and unfortunate clubs in defeat.

The UFC’s final event of the 2023 started with a bang, but ended somewhat slow as UFC 296 unfolded at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

The two championship fights to close out the calendar year saw both belts stay put. [autotag]Leon Edwards[/autotag] (21-3 MMA, 13-2 UFC) defeated [autotag]Colby Covington[/autotag] (17-4 MMA, 12-4 UFC) by unanimous decision to defend welterweight gold in the headliner, while [autotag]Alexandre Pantoja[/autotag] (27-5 MMA, 11-3 UFC) also got the nod on the scorecards over [autotag]Brandon Royval[/autotag] (15-7 MMA, 5-3 UFC) to retain flyweight gold.

For more on the numbers behind the card, check below for MMA Junkie’s post-event facts from UFC 296.

UFC 296 Promotional Guidelines Compliance pay: 2023 total closes at $8.1 million

Fighters from Saturday’s UFC 296 took home UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance pay totaling $339,500.

LAS VEGAS – Fighters from Saturday’s UFC 296 event took home UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance pay totaling $339,500.

The program, a comprehensive plan that includes outfitting requirements, media obligations and other items under the fighter code of conduct, replaces the previous payments made under the UFC Athlete Outfitting Policy.

UFC 296 took place at T-Mobile Arena. The main card aired on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPN2 and ESPN+.

The full UFC 296 UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance payouts included:

* * * *

[autotag]Leon Edwards[/autotag]: $42,000
def. [autotag]Colby Covington[/autotag]: $32,000

[autotag]Alexandre Pantoja[/autotag]: $42,000
def. [autotag]Brandon Royval[/autotag]: $32,000

[autotag]Shavkat Rakhmonov[/autotag]: $6,000
def. [autotag]Stephen Thompson[/autotag]: $16,000

[autotag]Paddy Pimblett[/autotag]: $4,500
def. [autotag]Tony Ferguson[/autotag]: $21,000

[autotag]Josh Emmett[/autotag]: $11,000
def. [autotag]Bryce Mitchell[/autotag]: $6,000

[autotag]Alonzo Menifield[/autotag]: $11,000
def. [autotag]Dustin Jacoby[/autotag]: $11,000

[autotag]Irene Aldana[/autotag]: $11,000
def. [autotag]Karol Rosa[/autotag]: $6,000

[autotag]Cody Garbrandt[/autotag]: $11,000
def. [autotag]Brian Kelleher[/autotag]: $16,000

[autotag]Ariane Lipski[/autotag]: $11,000
def. [autotag]Casey O’Neill[/autotag]: $6,000

[autotag]Tagir Ulanbekov[/autotag]: $4,500
def. [autotag]Cody Durden[/autotag]: $6,000

[autotag]Andre Fili[/autotag]: $21,000
def. [autotag]Lucas Almeida[/autotag]: $4,000

[autotag]Shamil Gaziev[/autotag]: $4,000
def. [autotag]Martin Buday[/autotag]: $4,500

Under the UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance program’s payout tiers, which appropriate the money generated by Venum’s multi-year sponsorship with the UFC, fighters are paid based on their total number of UFC bouts, as well as Zuffa-era WEC fights (January 2007 and later) and Zuffa-era Strikeforce bouts (April 2011 and later). Fighters with 1-3 bouts receive $4,000 per appearance; 4-5 bouts get $4,500; 6-10 bouts get $6,000; 11-15 bouts earn $11,000; 16-20 bouts pocket $16,000; and 21 bouts and more get $21,000. Additionally, champions earn $42,000 while title challengers get $32,000.

In addition to experience-based pay, UFC fighters will receive in perpetuity royalty payments amounting to 20-30 percent of any UFC merchandise sold that bears their likeness, according to officials.

Full 2023 UFC Promotional Guidelines Compliance payouts:

Year-to-date total: $8,188,000
2022 total: $8,351,500
2021 total: $6,167,500
Program-to-date total: $22,707,000

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 296.

Alonzo Menifield def. Dustin Jacoby at UFC 296: Best photos

Check out the best photos from Alonzo Menifield’s unanimous decision win over Dustin Jacoby at UFC 296 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas.

Check out the best photos from [autotag]Alonzo Menifield[/autotag]’s unanimous decision win over [autotag]Dustin Jacoby[/autotag] at UFC 296 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. (Photos by Stephen R. Sylvanie, USA Today Sports)

UFC 296 pre-event facts: Inside the numbers of UFC’s stacked 2023 finale

The best facts and figures about UFC 296, which features a loaded card of title fights, contender matchups and notable names with records.

The UFC goes out with a bang for its final event of 2023 on Saturday as a loaded UFC 296 is scheduled to take place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, with the main card set to air on pay-per-view following prelims on ESPN2 and early prelims on ESPN+.

The 43rd and final card of the year features two championship fights at the top of the bill. In the main event, [autotag]Leon Edwards[/autotag] (20-3 MMA, 12-2 UFC) puts his welterweight title on the line against [autotag]Colby Covington[/autotag] (17-3 MMA, 12-3 UFC), while in the co-headliner, [autotag]Alexandre Pantoja[/autotag] (26-5 MMA, 10-3 UFC) looks to defend flyweight gold for the first time in a rematch with [autotag]Brandon Royval[/autotag] (15-6 MMA, 5-2 UFC).

The rest of the card features a mix of contenders, familiar names and more with history inside the octagon. For more on the numbers, check below for MMA Junkie’s pre-event facts about UFC 296.

* * * *

Leon Edwards vs. Colby Covington

Dustin Jacoby determined to ‘own the moment’ like Justin Gaethje at UFC 296

UFC 296 competitor Dustin Jacoby recently snapped a two-fight skid, a win he attributes to modeling his mindset after Justin Gaethje’s.

[autotag]Dustin Jacoby[/autotag] is always concentrated on the task at hand, but sometimes the focus is directed inward.

The mental side of the fight game has been a focus of Jacoby (19-7-1 MMA, 7-4-1 UFC) in recent fights, particularly in the wake of a successful attempt to snap a two-fight losing skid, which he did in August when he finished Kennedy Nzechukwu in 88 seconds.

“The last fight with Kennedy, I just felt no pressure, man,” Jacoby recently told MMA Junkie Radio. “I just felt like, ‘Go out there and have fun. Go out there and enjoy the moment. Enjoy the crowd. Enjoy the opportunity. Enjoy the experience.’ The fight could not have went any better. I was just in a really good mental zone for that camp and for that fight night. I told my coach right after, ‘If I can find that same zone every single time, I feel like I could be unbeatable.’

“That’s all it really is, is a mind state, a state of mind. Every fight is different. You try to reenact these things and recreate these moments but you can’t. Every moment is different. You’ve just got to go with the flow and prepare and hope for the best. I think that’s what I did in my last fight vs. Kennedy and it really showed. It was one of my best performances and it was a great night.”

In a profession largely determined by wins and losses, Jacoby admits it’s difficult to stay in the moment and focus on the process rather than results. But he knows when he does just that is usually when the best outcomes flourish.

In order to understand that mindset more, Jacoby modeled his composure after one of the most violent and exciting fighters in UFC history.

“You know what fired me up for that fight, too?” Jacoby questioned. “The week before, Justin Gaethje had fought in Salt Lake City. It was a big pay-per-view card in Salt Lake City. I remember just thinking of those fighters, and Gaethje, in particular. He goes out there and just owns the moment. It doesn’t matter what else is going on. It doesn’t matter how you feel or if you had a bad camp or you just didn’t get enough sleep the night before. None of that matters. All that matters is the 15 minutes you get the opportunity to go out there and showcase your skills. I completely just let everything go and I think that was it.”

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Jacoby, 35, returns on Dec. 16 at UFC 296 when he battles Alonzo Menifield (14-3-1 MMA, 7-3-1 UFC) in an attempt to transform a standalone win into a two-fight streak. With his newfound mental solidity, Jacoby is confident and has top 10 aspirations in mind.

“I’m coming off a big win, but I’m still of that mindset that my back is against the wall,” Jacoby said. “I need to win this fight. I need to get back and keep my ranking at No. 14 and go into 2024 with that top 10 mindset, the mentality of getting into the top 10 and seeing what the opportunities (are) and what they may be.”

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 296.