The No. 21 Duke Blue Devils (13-4, 4-2 ACC) battle the Clemson Tigers (14-3, 6-0) at Littlejohn Coliseum Saturday. Tip is set for 5 p.m. ET (ACC Network). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Duke vs. Clemson odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
The Blue Devils beat Pittsburgh 77-69 Wednesday, failing to cover as 9-point home favorites. Duke is 1-5 against the spread (ATS) over its last 6 games and just 7-10 against the spread (ATS) on the season and 1-2 straight up on the road. The Blue Devils’ strength is defense, allowing just 62.9 points per game (35th).
The Tigers beat Louisville 83-70 Wednesday, but they failed to cover as 15.5-point home favorites. The Tigers are 9-8 ATS on the season and a perfect 9-0 straight up at home. They are 5-1 ATS over their last 6. Clemson’s strength is offense, ranking 17h in the country in 3-point shooting percentage (38.9%).
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
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Duke at Clemson odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Duke -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Clemson +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Duke -1.5 (-110) | Clemson +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Duke at Clemson picks and predictions
Prediction
Clemson 73, Duke 69
Moneyline
PASS.
Simply put, I think the Tigers win, but the spread should pose a better value. Clemson has losses this season of 2 points, 3 points and 18 points which suggests it can typically either win or keep games close.
With that in mind, I would snag the point instead of playing them outright.
Against the spread
BET CLEMSON +1.5 (-110).
The big difference between these two teams is how they have played in the respective site and how they’ve played conference opponents.
Duke is 1-5 ATS in conference games while Clemson is 5-1 ATS against ACC opponents. Duke is also 1-2 straight up (SU) on the road and 0-3 ATS on the road. Clemson is 4-5 ATS at home and 9-0 SU.
The Tigers are still being underrated by the market here, and I would back CLEMSON +1.5 (-110).
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 140.5 (-105).
Clemson ranks 60th in the nation in field goal percentage (47.2%) and 18th in 3-point percentage. It has gone Over in 2 straight games and in 6 of its last 8. Clemson is 6-3 O/U at home. While Duke is 7-10 O/U this season, it is 4-2 O/U in its last 6 games.
With the Blue Devils being one of the best free-throw shooting teams in the NCAA and this is expected to be a close game that could have late-game fouling, back the OVER 140.5 (-115).
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