Tag: Dodgers Nationals odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (15-11) and Washington Nationals (10-13) wrap up a 3-game series at Nationals Park Thursday. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2

The Dodgers have won 3 games in a row after taking down the Nationals 11-2 Wednesday and cashing as -168 road favorites. SS Mookie Betts, DH Shohei Ohtani, 1B Freddie Freeman, and 2B Gavin Lux each had 2 RBIs. RHP Landon Knack allowed 2 earned runs in 6 innings and picked up the win.

The Nationals have lost back-to-back games after failing to cash as +154 home underdogs Wednesday. DH Joey Meneses and 3B Nick Senzel each had an RBI — Senzel’s came on a solo shot. RHP Jake Irvin allowed 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to pick up the loss.

Dodgers at Nationals projected starters

RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. LHP MacKenzie Gore

Yamamoto (1-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 12.3 K/9 in 22 innings.

  • Dodgers are 1-4 in his starts
  • Has allowed 3 ER in back-to-back appearances
  • Has allowed 11 ER and 3 HR while striking out 30 and walking just 5

Gore (2-1, 3.60 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 1.35 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 12.2 K/9 in 20 innings.

  • Nationals are 2-2 in his starts
  • Has allowed 2 or more ER in 3 of his 4 starts
  • Has allowed 8 ER and 1 HR while striking out 27 and walking just 6

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Dodgers at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Nationals +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-110) | Nationals +1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Nationals 4

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Dodgers (-190), who have won the 1st 2 games of the series.

Run line/Against the spread

BET NATIONALS +1.5 (-110).

The Nationals took 2 of 3 from the Dodgers on the road from April 15-17 and are 3-3 in their last 6 games overall. With Gore on the mound, Washington should be able to keep this game within reach. It has scored 5 or more runs in 2 of its last 4 games and allowed 4 or fewer in 3 of its last 4.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 7.5 (+100).

Both Yamamoto and Gore have shown great control this season and combine for 57 strikeouts and just 11 walks. Los Angeles has scored 4 or fewer runs in 6 of its last 9 games, while the Nationals have scored 3 or fewer in 5 of their last 7.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (14-11) and Washington Nationals (10-12) play the 2nd game of a 3-game series Wednesday. First pitch from Nationals Park is at 6:45 p.m. ET (MLB.TV Free Game of the Day). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Dodgers took the series opener 4-1 Tuesday, breaking a 1-1 tie with 2 runs in the 8th inning. They have won 2 straight games after losing 7 of 9, including 2 out of 3 to the Nationals at Dodger Stadium from April 15-17.

The Nationals had their modest 2-game winning streak snapped with the loss Tuesday. They are 5-6 in their last 11 games.

Dodgers at Nationals projected starters

RHP Landon Knack vs. RHP Jake Irvin

Knack (0-1, 3.60 ERA) makes his 2nd career start. He allowed 2 earned runs on 4 hits and 1 walk with 4 K’s in 5 innings in his major-league debut last Wednesday, a 2-0 home loss vs. the Nationals.

  • Went 5-1 with a 2.51 ERA in 22 starts split between Tulsa (AA) and Oklahoma City (AAA) in 2023

Irvin (1-1, 3.13 ERA) makes his 5th start. He has a 0.80 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 9.2 K/9 in 18 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in last Wednesday’s victory
  • Has a 0.75 ERA in his last 2 starts (12 IP)

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Dodgers at Nationals odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Nationals +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-115) | Nationals +1.5  (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Nationals 3

Moneyline

The Nationals won for the 1st time this season with Irvin on the mound last Wednesday. They are 4-6 at home this season. They have lost consecutive games 3 times this season.

The Dodgers (-185) are 5-3 on the road this season. They have allowed just 1 run in their last 2 games. They are 9-2 when allowing 3 or fewer runs.

The Nationals have been held to 3 or fewer runs 7 times in their last 11 games.

I like the Dodgers to win, but betting them at -185 on the moneyline isn’t worth the action.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Nationals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.

However, the Dodgers’ last 7 wins have been by multiple runs. Only 3 of their 14 wins have been 1-run victories.

If you like the Dodgers to win, you should like them to cover.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-115).

Over/Under

Three of the 4 games between the 2 teams have stayed under 10 total runs.

The Nationals’ last 6 games and 14 of the last 16 have not reached 10 total runs.

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (29-13) go for a sweep of their 3-game series with the Washington Nationals (14-30) Wednesday. First pitch is 4:05 p.m. ET at Nationals Park. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Dodgers lead the season series 2-0.

The Dodgers won the first 2 games of the series 10-1 Monday and 9-4 Tuesday. Los Angeles has won 9 out of its last 10 games following a 4-game losing skid from May 11-14.

The Nationals have just 2 wins in their last 9 contests. They have the second-worst team ERA in all of baseball at 5.15.

Dodgers at Nationals projected starters

LHP Julio Urias vs. RHP Erick Fedde

Urias (3-3, 2.63 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 1.8 BB/9 and 6.8 K/9 through 41 IP.

  • Bounced back with 5 scoreless IP in his last start at the Philadephia Phillies Friday after he allowed a season-high 8 R (5 ER) across 6 IP May 14 against the Phillies two starts back.
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer earned runs in 6 of his 8 starts this season.

Fedde (2-3, 4.08 ERA) makes his 9th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 4.8 BB/9 and 8.2 K/9 through 39 2/3 IP.

  • Has 6.88 ERA with 4 HR allowed in 4 home starts compared to a 1.99 ERA and 1 HR allowed in 4 road starts.
  • Has made 1 career appearance against the Dodgers with 1 scoreless IP in relief in 2019.

Dodgers at Nationals odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Dodgers -220 (bet $220 to win $100) | Nationals +175 (bet $100 to win $175)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-125) | Nationals +1.5 (+102)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Nationals picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Nationals 3

Money line

The Dodgers are once again rolling. They won the first 2 games of the series and 9 of their last 10 contests.

However, the Nationals have won at least 1 game of each of their last 7 series.

Urias, outside of his 1st start of the year, has been fantastic on the road with just 4 total earned runs allowed in his last 22 innings pitched away from Dodger Stadium.

I like the Dodgers’ chances anytime Urias is on the mound, but with this line, it’s a little too pricy. PASS unless you include this bet in a parlay bet.

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Run line/Against the spread

Each of the Dodgers’ last 6 wins has been by at least 2 runs. They are 26-16 ATS overall this season.

The Nationals are a league-worst 16-28 ATS this season so far and their last 10 losses have been by more than 1 run.

Take the DODGERS -1.5 (-125).

Over/Under

The Nationals’ last 3 games and 6 of their last 10 have had at least 9 runs.

Only 2 of Urias’ 8 starts have had more than 8 total runs but 7 of the last 10 games for the Dodgers have had 9 or more runs.

Take OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (52-31) and Washington Nationals (40-41) play the finale of a four-game set Sunday at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 11:05 a.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Garrett Cleavinger is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 2-3 with 7 runs (3 earned) allowed on 13 hits and 8 walks with 14 strikeouts through 12 1/3 innings of relief work spanning 14 appearances. He makes his first career start Sunday.

RHP Joe Ross is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals. He is 5-7 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 8.9 K/9 and 3.1 BB/9 across 80 2/3 IP spanning 15 starts.

Ross has won consecutive outings, both quality starts, and he finished June with a 3-2 record and 1.95 ERA across 32 1/3 innings over five starts. He also posted just six walks with 33 strikeouts during the impressive month of work.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:05 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Nationals +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+115) | Nationals +1.5 (-140)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Nationals 7, Dodgers 5

Money line (ML)

The NATIONALS (+115) are a good play at home in the series finale, as they look to avoid the broom in this four-game set.

Washington will not have to face Dodgers RHP Trevor Bauer due to an off-field situation, so Los Angeles is forced into a bullpen game instead. That works to the benefit of the home side.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The NATIONALS +1.5 (-140) are worth playing if you’re not quite feeling them on the money line and would like a little insurance. The Dodgers have won eight games in a row, so it obviously won’t be easy for the Nats.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 9 (-115) is the slight lean for the finale, even though the Under cashed in two of the first three in the series.

Los Angeles has averaged 7.0 runs per game through the first three in this series, and Washington should be able to come alive with the bats against a cadre of relievers thrust into action for L.A., Sunday.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (51-31) meet the Washington Nationals (40-40) Saturday in the third game of their four-game series at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Dodgers rallied against the Nationals for the second consecutive game with a nine-run top of the 7th to key their 10-5 victory Friday. L.A. has won the first two games of this series by a combined score of 16-7.

Season series: Dodgers lead 5-0.

LHP Clayton Kershaw makes his 18th start for the Dodgers. Kershaw is 9-7 with a 3.25 ERA (102 1/3 IP, 37 ER), 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 10.9 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: Win, 7-1, with 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 13 K Sunday against the Chicago Cubs.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster (including playoffs): 220 at-bats with a .241/.277/.341 slash line, 60/9 K/BB, 4 HR and 11 RBIs.

RHP Paolo Espino is on the mound for the Nationals. Espino is 2-2 with a 2.02 ERA (35 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.87 WHIP, 1.0 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 over three starts and 15 relief appearances.

  • Last outing: Win, 8-4, with 5 IP, 0 ER, 5 H, 0 BB and 3 K Monday against the New York Mets.
  • No career appearances vs. current Dodgers hitters.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Nationals +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -2.5 (+100) | Nationals +2.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Prediction

Dodgers 8, Nationals 3

Money line (ML)

The only play here is to BET the DODGERS (-250) for 1 unit (not to win 1 unit) because July has been Kershaw’s best month of the year throughout his career and we’ve seen “sharp” line movement toward the Dodgers.

For instance, Kershaw has his best winning percentage, ERA, WHIP and K/BB rate in July compared to any other month in the MLB regular season.

Also, the market has already steamed L.A. up from a -165 opening line favorite to the current price point of DODGERS (-250).

If oddsmakers were comfortable with their original price they wouldn’t have moved the number 85 cents on the dollar. Plus MLB regular-season games don’t get as much action as the NBA or NFL so this live movement is jarring.

To explain the “not to win 1 unit” above: if your standard unit in sports betting is $100 then just risk that on L.A.’s money line to earn a $40 profit instead of going out of your comfort zone and betting $250 to win $100.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS since we are paying a hefty price for L.A.’s money line and even if the Dodgers -2.5 (+100) get out to a five or six-run lead then we’d still have to be concerned the Nationals could “sneak in the backdoor” if L.A. uses its less effective relievers in a blowout.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the OVER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit because L.A. is 10-6 O/U when Kershaw starts and if he doesn’t give the Dodgers seven or more innings then maybe the scenario described in the run line section is what cashes the Over.

Furthermore, Espino is more or less an “opener” for the Nationals leading to a “bullpen day” and, while his home splits are very impressive, Espino hasn’t started against a lineup nearly as dangerous as the Dodgers.

We’ve seen L.A.’s lineup rake Washington’s bullpen in the first two games of this series and if Espino isn’t sharp early, the Dodgers might drill the Nationals.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Washington Nationals (40-39) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (50-31) Friday in the second game of their four-game series at Nationals Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Nationals odds with MLB picks and predictions.

L.A. rallied down 2-1 in the top of the 5th to score five runs and steal the first game of the series, 6-2, after the game was called following the 5th inning due to rain.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-0.

LHP Julio Urias is making his 17th start for the Dodgers. Urias is 9-3 with a 3.95 ERA (93 1/3 IP, 41 ER), 1.07 WHIP, 1.7 BB/9 and 10.3 K/9 this year.

  • Last outing: No-decision with 5 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 12 K Saturday in L.A.’s 3-2 victory over the Chicago Cubs.
  • Urias picked up a win April 10 vs. the Nationals, 9-5, in 5 2/3 IP with 3 ER, 9 H, 0 BB and 3 K.
  • vs. Nationals on the current roster (including the playoffs): 60 at-bats with a .350/.361/.433 slash line, 8/0 K/BB, 1 HR and 5 RBIs.

RHP Max Scherzer is on the hill for the Nationals. Scherzer is 7-4 with a 2.14 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 21 ER), 0.85 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 12.1 K/9 across 15 starts.

  • Last outing: Win, 5-1, with 6 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB and 7 K Sunday at the Miami Marlins.
  • Scherzer lost April 11 vs. the Dodgers with a stat line of 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 1 BB and 5 K in L.A.’s 3-0 win.
  • vs. Dodgers on the current roster (including the playoffs): 111 at-bats with a .162/.260/.351 slash line, 40/13 K/BB, 5 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV and Washington D.C. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
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Dodgers at Nationals odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:37 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Nationals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Nationals +1.5 (-165)
  • Over/Under: 8 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Nationals 6, Dodgers 3

Money line (ML)

BET the NATIONALS (+100) for 1 unit because Washington’s lineup is one of the best vs. left-handed pitching and Scherzer is an ace who still has electric stuff whereas Urias is more of a “middle of the rotation” starter.

For instance, the Nationals hitters are top-10 in both wRC+ and wOBA against LHP. Also, Scherzer has nine quality starts and has given up two or fewer earned runs in 13 of his 15 starts while Urias has seven quality starts and has given up three or more runs in seven of his 16 outings.

Furthermore, I’d prefer to “fade the market” rather than follow it with L.A. being steamed up 30 cents on the dollar from +110 opening line underdog to the current price, according to Pregame.com.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

Slight “LEAN” to the NATIONALS -1.5 (+200) ALTERNATE RUN LINE for a quarter unit – if at all – because Urias didn’t have his best stuff last month and I think this Washington lineup can get to him early.

In June, Urias gave up more than two home runs per nine innings, had a lower K-BB% than his 2021 average and 4.74 FIP (3.49 FIP for the season).

Over/Under (O/U)

Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 8 (-105) for a one-third unit because the presumed “sharp” money is barreling into the Over while a majority of the “public” action is on the Under with most of the situational trends suggesting a lower-scoring affair.

According to Pregame.com, nearly 80% of the money wagered on the Dodgers-Nationals total is on the Over whereas more than 70% of the bets placed are on the Under. Typically, it’s more profitable in sports betting to follow the money when it’s flowing in the opposite direction of the public.

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.

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