NLCS Game 5: LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers and New York Mets meet in Game 5 of the best-of-7 NLCS Friday. First pitch from Citi Field is slated for 5:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

NLCS: LA leads 3-1; LA won regular-season series 4-2

The Dodgers hoisted crooked numbers in 4 innings and won Thursday’s Game 4 by a score of 10-2. Across 10 combined games this season, LA has outscored New York 66-29.

The Mets outhit LA 12-10 Thursday but went 0 for 10 with runners in scoring position. New York also filed just 1 extra-base hit — a 1st-inning Mark Vientos HR — and has collected just 5 extra-base knocks in the series.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Jack Flaherty vs. LHP David Peterson

Flaherty (13-7, 3.17 ERA) made 28 regular-season starts. He logged a 1.07 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 10.8 K/9 in 162 IP.

  • Last outing: Win, 7 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 9-0 home victory vs. Mets Sunday in Game 1
  • Career vs. Mets (regular season): 0-0, 1 road start (June 13, 2019), 5 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 8 K in 5-4 win in 10 innings with St. Louis Cardinals
  • Owns 3.38 postseason ERA across 37 1/3 career playoff innings

Peterson (10-3, 2.90 ERA) registered 21 starts in the regular season. He authored a 1.29 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 7.5 K/9 across 121 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 2 1/3 relief IP, 2 ER (3 R), 4 H, 1 BB, 2 K in Sunday’s loss
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-0, 5.74 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.53 WHIP, 9.2 K/9 in 4 appearances (3 starts)
  • Has registered 2.53 ERA in 10 2/3 postseason IP in his career (2.08 ERA in 8 2/3 this October)
  • Friday’s start would mark the 1st of his career in postseason (previous October innings all in relief)

Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 9:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Mets +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Mets +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Mets 3

Moneyline

LA’s 6.60 runs per game against the Mets (regular season plus playoffs) is intriguing, and the return on the run line is high enough to take a crack at a Dodgers RL play.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers looked dialed in on Peterson when he tossed 2 1/3 innings in Game 1 of this series. LA filed 4 line drives, 4 hits and a walk in plating 3 runs (2 ER) against him. The Dodgers logged the league’s best OPS against left-handers (.795) in the regular season, and they’re a club that has had its offense in high gear since mid-September (7.09 RPG, .855 OPS since Sept. 15).

New York pitching had been so good for long stretches this year, but the Mets don’t have their best foot forward in this one. It’s baseball, and they can certainly pull off the upset and force a return trip to California. Or a taut 1-run game could develop. But the risk-reward here is worth the solid return on a borderline-great club playing well of late.

BACK THE DODGERS -1.5 (+125).

Over/Under

All 4 games of this series have hit the Over, and the Over is 8-2 across 10 LA-New York games this season.

A sunny day with the early start (potential shadows and batter’s-eye difficulties) and a likely inward breeze are factors that work against run scoring. But peg Peterson’s good numbers as being not supported by skill-based analytics. And throw in a pair of bullpens not fully available for late-inning work.

TAKE THE OVER 7.5 (-105).

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NLCS Game 4: LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s LA Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The LA Dodgers and New York Mets meet in Game 4 of the best-of-7 NLCS Thursday. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s MLB odds around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

NLCS: Dodgers lead 2-1; Dodgers won regular-season series 4-2

The Dodgers kicked off the series with a 9-0 win Sunday and followed that up with a 7-3 home loss Monday. LA’s 8-0 win in Game 3 Wednesday almost mirrored Game 1, as the Dodgers started scoring early and never let up.

The Dodgers beat the San Diego Padres 3-2 in their NLDS, going 1-1 on the road. LA has tallied at least 5 runs in 5 of 8 postseason games. The Dodgers finished the regular season 98-64 straight up and 81-81 against the spread (ATS).

The Mets, who finished the regular season 3rd in the NL East, advanced to the NLCS by taking down the Philadelphia Phillies and Milwaukee Brewers, the winners of the NL East and NL Central, respectively. New York beat Milwaukee in 2 of 3 games and Philadelphia in 3 of 4. It was 89-73 straight up and 84-78 ATS during the regular season.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto vs. LHP Jose Quintana

Yamamoto (7-2, 3.00 ERA) made 18 regular-season starts. The rookie ended with a 1.11 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 10.5 K/9 through 90 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 2 K in 2-0 home victory vs. Padres in Game 5 of NLDS Friday
  • 2024 postseason stats: 1-0, 5.63 ERA (8 IP, 5 ER), 7 H, 3 BB, 3 K in 2 starts
  • 2024 road splits (regular season): 4-1, 2.06 ERA (43 2/3 IP, 10 ER), 1.05 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 8 starts
  • Career vs. Mets: 0-0, 1 home start (April 19), 6 IP, 3 ER (4 R), 7 H, 1 BB, 9 K in 9-4 win

Quintana (10-10, 3.75 ERA) made 31 regular-season starts. He finished with a 1.25 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 170 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 6 K in 4-1 home victory in Game 4 of NLDS vs. Phillies Oct. 9
  • 2024 postseason stats: 0-0, 0.00 ERA (11 IP), 0.82 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts
  • 2024 home splits (regular season): 5-5, 3.64 ERA (84 IP, 34 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 7.1 K/9 in 15 starts
  • 2024 vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 1 home start (May 28), 6 IP, 3 ER, 8 H, 0 BB, 3 K in 3-0 loss
  • Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 3-2, 2.04 ERA (61 2/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.23 WHIP, 7.6 K/9 in 13 appearances (10 starts)
  • Career postseason stats: 0-1, 2.43 ERA (29 2/3 IP, 8 ER), 0.94 WHIP, 7.9 K/9 in 7 appearances (6 starts)

Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of MLB odds. Lines last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Mets +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

BET METS (+115).

The Dodgers haven’t performed well in the postseason when coming off an electric night offensively. Against the Padres, they scored 7 or more runs twice and followed those performances up by scoring 2 both times. Against the Mets, they put up 9 runs in Game 1 and then scored just 3 in Game 2.

Quintana has also been electric on the mound during his 2 postseason starts. In those 2 games, the Mets allowed just 3 runs. They are 3-0 after a loss in the playoffs as well. That said, back METS (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

There’s no great value on the run line. Each of the games have had a decisive winner, so if there is a play, it would be on the Dodgers as run-line favorites. However, the Mets’ moneyline is the preferred route for this one.

Over/Under

BET OVER 7 (-120).

Both teams have been on fire offensively. The Mets have scored at least 6 runs in 5 of 10 postseason games and are 8-2 O/U, having allowed at least 7 runs in 3 of their last 6.

The Dodgers are 6-1-1 O/U in their 8 playoff games. They have allowed at least 5 runs in 4 of the 8 games and are still 2-1 O/U after scoring 7 or more runs. Take OVER 7 (-120).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (35-22) and New York Mets (22-32) meet Wednesday as they finalize a 3-game series. First pitch at Citi Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2

Monday’s scheduled opener was rained out, and the 2 clubs played a Tuesday twin bill which was swept by the Dodgers, 3-0 and 5-2. Los Angeles heads into Wednesday’s finale looking to complete a series sweep and win the season series.

With Tuesday’s twin losses, the Mets are now 10 games under .500. That’s the season low-water mark for a squad which is now 1-7 in its last 8 games and just 4-14 since May 10.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

LHP James Paxton vs. LHP David Peterson

Paxton (5-0, 3.49 ERA) is lined up for his 10th start. He has a 1.43 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 5.1 K/9 in 49 IP.

  • Last outing: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 5 H, 4 BB, 4 K in 9-6 loss at Cincinnati Friday
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-1, 3.92 ERA (20.2 IP, 9 ER), 24 H, 5 BB, 19 K in 4 starts
  • Allowed 2 HR in his last start and has yielded 4 round-trippers in his last 10 2/3 IP
  • Owns a 5.17 ERA, 1.53 WHIP across his last 3 road starts; has registered a 5.08 road ERA over the last 2 seasons

Peterson is coming off the 6-day IL (hip) to make this start. He owns a 4.51 ERA over 333 career IP.

  • Logged a 1.14 ERA, 0.93 WHIP across 6 rehabilitation games at Triple-A
  • Has never faced the Dodgers

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Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:04 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Mets +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+135) | Mets +1.5 (-160)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers have lost 4 straight get-away games. The Mets have been underplaying their runs/runs allowed profile. Their 4.15 runs-per-game is tamped down by a .273 batting average on balls in play (.268 BABIP when leading off an inning).

New York is swung around to its lesser platoon splits when facing left-handers (.663 OPS) and Peterson’s return may not put the Mets’ best foot forward. Paxton’s surface numbers are suspect, and NEW YORK (+112) is worth some partial-unit action. That price is available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS: The best relative value here is on the ML.

Over/Under

The Over has gone 17-7-1 in New York home games.

The pitching here is overall fade-worthy, and the forecast calls for a batter’s breeze blowing out. An overnight line move has taken some of the air out of this lean: consider a partial-unit play on the OVER 8.5 (-120).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (33-22) and New York Mets (22-30) meet for a Tuesday twin bill to open a 3-game series. The opening game’s first pitch from Citi Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

Los Angeles has lost 5 in a row and is just 7-9 since going 14-2 April 21-May 8. Over their last 16 games, the Dodgers have logged a pedestrian .635 OPS.

The Mets likely did not appreciate Monday’s Citi Field rain-out. They had won Sunday (4-3 over the San Francisco Giants), snapping a 5-game skid.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Tyler Glasnow vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Glasnow (6-3, 3.09 ERA) makes his 12th start. He owns a 0.91 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 11.7 K/9 in 67 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 6 K in 6-0 home setback vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Wednesday
  • 2024 vs. Mets: 1-0, 0.00 ERA (8 IP), 7 H, 0 BB, 10 K in 1 start, a 10-0 home win April 21
  • Career vs. Mets: 2-2, 3.75 ERA (36 IP, 15 ER), 29 H, 11 BB, 38 K in 5 starts and 3 relief appearances
  • Has authored a 1.44 ERA, 0.68 on the road; owns a 3.03 road ERA since 2022

Megill (0-2, 3.00 ERA) is making his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 9 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-1 loss at Cleveland Guardians May 20
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (10 IP, 6 ER), 13 H, 5 BB, 10 K in 2 starts, including 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA (5 IP, 3 ER) in 1 start last season
  • Owns a 4.66 ERA across 272 1/3 career IP
  • Making his 2nd start since returning from IL (right shoulder strain)

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Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline: Dodgers -210 (bet $210 to win $100) | Mets +176 (bet $100 to win $176)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-126) | Mets +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Mets 3

Moneyline

PASS: Look to leverage the underdog Mets on the run line.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers have played a weak schedule so far, and that fits somewhat into the win-loss record of its opponents but more so into the batting and pitching breakdowns of those clubs. That overcolors L.A.’s run-scoring and run-prevention numbers. The Dodger bullpen has been especially fortunate in working through the lessened traffic of a .241 batting average on balls in play.

The pitching matchup clearly favors the Dodgers, but Megill pitched better in his IL return than what showed in his surface line.

Figure on a good enough chance of a Mets win or on the home nine staying close with the L.A. bats scuffling.

TAKE NEW YORK +1.5 (+105).

Over/Under

The Under has cashed in 5 of the Dodgers’ last 6 games at Citi Field.

There are crisscrossing signals in the analysis of this one. With the Dodgers struggling on offense, there is perhaps just a sliver of a lean toward the UNDER 8.5 (-115).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets, ppd.

Monday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets game was postponed due to a forecast of steady rain.

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Update 2:58 p.m. ET: Monday’s game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets has been postponed due to a forecast of steady rain. The game will be made up as part of a doubleheader Tuesday starting at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Original column below (published 12:18 a.m. ET)

The Los Angeles Dodgers (33-22) and New York Mets (22-30) begin a 3-game series Monday. First pitch from Citi Field is slated for 4:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

The Dodgers were swept in 3 over the weekend in Cincinnati and have lost 5 straight — all as favorites — as they head to the Big Apple. They lost 4-1 Sunday as -199 faves, being held scoreless until 1B Freddie Freeman’s RBI double in the 9th inning. RHP Yoshinobu Yamamoto (5-2) suffered his 1st loss in his last 10 starts, allowing 4 runs on 6 hits and 2 walks over 5 innings — he struck out 8. Los Angeles has only scored 2 runs in the last 18 innings — and 4 runs in the last 25 innings.

New York snapped a 5-game losing streak with a 4-3 come-from-behind, walk-off victory Sunday as +100 home underdogs vs. the San Francisco Giants Sunday. C Omar Narváez capped a 3-run 9th inning with an RBI single, his 1st hit at Citi Field this season, snapping an 0-for-27 skid at home — he is 4-for-33 on the road. LHP Sean Manaea went 5 innings, allowing 2 runs on 5 hits and a walk in a no-decision. The Mets have lost 10 of their last 13 games.

Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Gavin Stone vs. RHP Tylor Megill

Stone (4-2, 3.60 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 6.1 K/9 in 50 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 4 ER, 8 H, 1 BB, 5 K in a 7-3 home setback vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Tuesday
  • Career vs. Mets: 1 start this season, no-decision, 3 1/3 IP, 2 ER, 4 H, 5 BB, 1 K in 6-4 home loss April 20

Megill (0-2, 3.00 ERA) makes his 3rd start. He has a 1.33 WHIP, 5.0 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 9 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 2 ER (3 R), 4 H, 2 BB, 7 K in 3-1 defeat at Cleveland Guardians May 20
  • Career vs Dodgers: 0-1, 5.40 ERA (10 IP, 6 ER), 1.80 WHIP, 9.0 K/9 in 2 starts

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Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated 12:17 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mets +125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+110) | Mets +1.5 (-135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 6, Dodgers 4

Moneyline.

BET METS (+125).

There is something not right in Dodgerland. They’re averaging just 2.2 runs per game (6.6 hits) over the current 5-game losing streak. Los Angeles faces a righty in Megill, and they’re only hitting .245 against right-handers this season, ranking 8th in the NL. Megill has allowed just 3 runs in 9 innings over his first 2 starts since returning to the Mets rotation.

The Mets aren’t playing much better, but they are scoring more than 4 runs per game over their last 5. The momentum is with New York after its thrilling 9th-inning rally Sunday against the Giants.

Run line/Against the spread

PASS.

I’ll keep my unit wager for the moneyline in this game.

Over/Under

BET OVER 8.5 (-115).

In a 3-game series between these 2 teams earlier this season — April 19-21 at Dodger Stadium — the Over hit in all 3 games.

The Over is 3-1-1 in the Mets’ last 5 games, while it is 2-3 in the Dodgers’ last 5.

Expect to see some fireworks at Citi Field on Memorial Day.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (53-38) face the New York Mets (42-50) Sunday in the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Citi Field is at 5:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-2

Los Angeles took the first 2 games of this series. The Dodgers won 5-1 as slight +107 underdogs Saturday, and claimed a 6-0 shutout in Friday’s opener as -117 favorites.

Game 2 began as a pitchers’ duel — between L.A.’s RHP Tony Gonsolin and New York’s RHP Kodai Senga — but the Mets defense faltered late, allowing the Dodgers to score 4 runs in the final 2 innings.

New York was unable to turn a double play in the 8th inning when 1B Pete Alonzo threw high to 2nd base as L.A. scored for a 2-1 lead. In the 9th with runners on 2nd and 3rd and 1 out, Mets 3B Brett Baty misplayed a towering popup — the ball would hit Baty in the face after bouncing off the ground — as the Dodgers took a 3-1 lead. They followed with back-to-back RBI singles to put the game out of reach.

In the series opener, Dodgers LHP Julio Urias (6 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 7 K) and 3 relievers stymied the Mets, holding them to 1 hit.

The Mets hope RHP Max Scherzer can prevent a sweep when he takes the mound Sunday.

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Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Bobby Miller vs. RHP Max Scherzer

Miller (5-1, 4.50 ERA) makes his 9th start. The rookie has a 1.23 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 44 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 7 K in a 6-4 home win vs. Pittsburgh Pirates July 5
  • Road stats: 3-0, 2.16 ERA (16 2/3 IP, 4 ER), 1.02 WHIP, 8.6 K/9 in 3 starts
  • Dodgers are 6-2 in Miller’s 8 starts

Scherzer (8-3, 4.31 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.23 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 10.4 K/9 in 87 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Loss, 5 IP, 5 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 7 K in 6-2 loss at San Diego Padres July 9
  • Allowing .228 batting average and .625 OPS at home vs. .262 and .808 on the road this season
  • After 3 scoreless innings and yielding just 1 hit vs. Mets April 19 at Dodger Stadium, was ejected before start of 4th inning for having too much of a “sticky substance” — his only outing vs. New York in last 2 seasons

Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:36 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 3, Dodgers 1

Moneyline

Scherzer has not lost a home start this season — he’s 2-0 with a 2.96 ERA (27 1/3 IP, 9 ER) in 5 starts. While the Mets didn’t win all those starts — they’re 3-2 — his .228 opponent batting average at Citi Field is impressive.

Looking to avoid a sweep, I like Scherzer to continue his home dominance and pitch New York to victory.

BET METS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

While my prediction has New York winning, the Mets’ +1.5 line with -190 juice is too rich for my blood.

That’s a PASS, but consider making a small wager on the alternate line of METS 1.5 (+165).

However, be warned. Two of Scherzer’s 3 no-decisions at home this season were 1-run losses by the Mets.

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Over/Under

The Dodgers are the best Over team this year, hitting 59.3% of the time (51-35-5 according to Teamrankings.com), while the Mets are 3rd worst at 43.2% (38-50-4). So, this is a tough call.

As underdogs, the Dodgers are just 7-6-2 O/U.

Just like the 1st 2 games of this series, expect pitching to stand out. As mentioned, the Dodgers’ Miller has been solid on the road, which includes holding opponents to a .197 batting average.

Miller and Scherzer will make it tough to score in Sunday’s finale.

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (52-38) play the 2nd game of their 3-game road series against the New York Mets (42-49). First pitch for Saturday’s game from Citi Field is at 7:15 p.m (FOX). ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 2-2

The Dodgers took the opener Friday 6-0 as LHP Jose Urias threw 6 scoreless innings. They have won 5 straight games and 6 of their last 7. They have a 1-game lead in the NL West.

The Mets had a 6-game winning streak but lost their final 2 games heading into the All-Star break and then the series opener Friday. Including the winning streak, they are 9-13 in their last 22 games.

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Dodgers at Mets projected starters

RHP Tony Gonsolin vs. RHP Kodai Senga

Gonsolin (5-3, 3.86 ERA) makes his 14th start. He has a 1.12 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 in 67 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K in 11-4 home win over Los Angeles Angels July 7.
  • Has allowed 4+ ER in each of his last 4 starts with a. 8.14 ERA in that span (21 IP)

Senga (7-5, 3.31 ERA) makes his 17th start. He has a 1.28 WHIP, 4.7 BB/9 and 11.3 K/9 in 89 2/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 8 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 12 K in 2-1 road win over Arizona Diamondbacks July 5
  • Has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 9 starts

Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:45 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mets -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+155) | Mets +1.5 (-190)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers are on a little bit of a roll right now, having won 5 in a row and 6 of 7. They have scored at least 5 runs in each of those wins.

The Mets have mustered just 3 runs total in their last 3 games.

But Gonsolin has given up several runs in his last 4 outings — 19 total and at least 4 in each start.

The Dodgers are 23-22 on the road.

BET METS (-115).

Run line/Against the spread

Betting the Mets to cover as underdogs at -190 isn’t very profitable, but an alternate line is intriguing.

Nine of the Mets’ last 10 wins have been by multiple runs.

Eight of the Dodgers’ last 10 losses have been by 2 or more runs.

Consider sprinkling a little on METS -1.5 (+165).

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Over/Under

Senga’s last 5 outings have had 8 or fewer total runs.

The Mets’ last 3 games have not reached 9, and only 3 of their last 14 have had more than 9 total runs.

Two of the Dodgers’ last 4 games have not reached 9 total runs, but 9 of their last 12 have had 10 or more total runs.

BET UNDER 9 (-120).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (51-38) open a 9-game road trip on Friday with a 3-game set against the New York Mets (42-48). First pitch from Citi Field is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze  FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Mets lead 2-1

The Dodgers went into the All-Star break with a 4-game winning streak and winning 5 of their last 6 games. They have pulled into 1st place in the NL West, percentage points ahead of the Arizona Diamondbacks. They are 12-5 in their last 17 games.

The Mets had a 6-game winning streak, but lost their final 2 games heading into the All-Star break. Including the winning streak, they are 9-12 in their last 21 games.

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Dodgers at Mets projected starters

LHP Julio Urias vs. RHP Justin Verlander

Urias (6-5, 4.76 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.18 WHIP, 2.0 BB/9 and 8.8 K/9 in 64 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 1 BB, 8 K in 5-2 home win over Pittsburgh Pirates last Thursday
  • Dodgers are 7-0 when Urias allows 2 or fewer runs, but 0-5 when he allowed 3 or more

Verlander (3-4, 3.60 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.3 K/9 in 70 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 3 R ( 2 ER), 5 H, 3 BB, 2 K in 7-5 road win over San Diego Padres last Friday
  • Allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 starts this season

Dodgers at Mets odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 6:50 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -126 (bet $126 to win $100) | Mets +108 (bet $100 to win $108)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+128) | Mets +1.5 (-154)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: -102)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 5, Mets 2

Moneyline

The Dodgers were the hotter team entering the All-Star break and we’ll have to see if that carries over. They have a 4-game winning streak and have won 12 of their last 17 games.

The Mets won 6 in a row, but faltered in the final 2 before the break, scoring 3 combined runs in 2 games.

The Dodgers have needed Urias to be great to win, as noted by their 7-0 record when he allowed 2 or fewer runs. He should be sharp after the time off. I like the Dodgers to win but they usually win by multiple runs, so the better bet is the run line.

PASS.

Run line/Against the spread

The Dodgers’ last 8 wins and 10 of their last 12 have been by multiple runs. Of their 51 victories this season, only 9 have been by only 1 run. They are 48-41 ATS this season 8-4 ATS in their last 12.

The Mets are 37-53 ATS overall this season, the 2nd-worst mark in all of baseball.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+128).

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Over/Under

In the Dodgers’ wins with Urias pitching, opponents have not scored more than 2 runs. Four of their last 5 games had more than 8 total runs. Eight of Verlander’s 12 starts have had no more than 7 total runs.

BET UNDER 8.5 (-102).

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (90-39) and New York Mets (83-48) cap off a 3-game series at Citi Field Thursday with a 4:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: tied 3-3

Los Angeles and New York have split the first 2 games of this series in a low-scoring fashion. The Dodgers rank 1st in MLB, yielding just 3.14 runs per game. They have an average run differential of 2.22 per game; no other team clocks in at even 1.50.

New York has cooled off since getting out of the gates fast in the second half. The Mets went 15-5 in their first 20 games after the break; they are just 10-9 since. New York is, however, 4-2 on its current homestand.

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Dodgers at Mets projected starters

LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. RHP Chris Bassitt

Kershaw (7-3, 2.64 ERA) has posted a 0.98 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 through 85 1/3 IP across 15 starts.

  • Coming off the IL after missing nearly a month with a back injury; last pitched on Aug. 4
  • Has held current Mets bats to a whiff-heavy .514 OPS

Bassitt (11-7, 3.34 ERA) is making his 25th start. He has a 1.13 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 through 148 1/3 IP.

  • Allowed 4 runs in his last start but owns a 2.33 ERA over his last 7 turns
  • Has clocked a 2.75 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 85 IP at home

Dodgers at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:43 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mets +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+122) | Mets +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -102 | U: -122)

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Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Mets 3

Money line

The Dodgers are on a roll and the Mets have logged a mere .662 over their last 8 games.

Kershaw off the IL brings in some gray area, but the Los Angeles port-sider has a history of posting excellent numbers on long rest. He tossed approximately 70 pitches in a simulated game Sunday, so it figures the Dodger bullpen gets leveraged for multiple innings Thursday. That relief corps is well rested after LHP Tyler Anderson gave L.A. 7 frames Wednesday.

BACK THE DODGERS (-140).

Run line/Against the spread

This series has seen 2 straight 1-run games and the season series has seen 3 straight. With an Under lean Thursday, AVOID trying to get the Dodgers by with a multi-run cushion.

Over/Under

There is some Under lean here. Both on the batting front for both teams and with game conditions including late-afternoon shadows and a decent pitcher’s breeze coming in from left field.

However, the pricing here nixes any value: PASS.

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Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (90-38) and New York Mets (82-48) continue a 3-game series at Citi Field Wednesday with a 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Mets odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Los Angeles leads 3-2

Los Angeles is 4-1 on a current road trip that opened with a 4-game set at the Miami Marlins and is 6-1 in its last 7 games overall The Dodgers’ 45-22 record away from home is MLB’s best road mark. L.A. became the first club to hit 90 wins this season with a 4-3 win over the Mets Tuesday.

New York has cooled off since getting out of the gates fast in the second half. The Mets went 15-5 in their first 20 games after the break; they are just 9-9 since.

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Dodgers at Mets projected starters

LHP Tyler Anderson vs. RHP Jacob deGrom

Anderson (13-2, 2.69 ERA) has appeared in 24 games this season and made 22 starts. He has a 1.02 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 7.1 K/9 through 140 2/3 IP.

  • Has filed an easy-schedule 2.08 ERA and 1.02 WHIP over his last 43 1/3 IP across 7 starts
  • Pitched 6 scoreless frames against the Mets June 3

DeGrom (3-1, 2.15 ERA) makes his 6th start. He has a 0.55 WHIP, 0.6 BB/9 and 14.1 K/9 through 29 1/3 IP.

  • Has walked 2 batters while striking out 30 over his last 4 starts
  • Owns a 1.49 ERA and 0.64 WHIP over his last 120 2/3 IP at Citi Field spanning 3 seasons

Dodgers at Mets odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:48 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mets -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-170) | Mets -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 6.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)

Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!

Dodgers at Mets picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 5, Dodgers 3

Money line

The Dodgers are clicking on all cylinders, and the Mets have logged a mere .659 over their last 7 games.

Los Angeles is a lean but only an actionable leverage play at +140 or better. PASS.

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Run line/Against the spread

Similar story as above: the Dodgers are a lean, but the pricing is dialed in here. PASS, unless the L.A. +1.5 reaches a price tag of -165 or better.

Over/Under

The best value in Wednesday’s game is the OVER 6.5 (-122).

Anderson is toting around a .258 batting average on balls in play. DeGrom’s BABIP is .226 (albeit around fewer balls in play due to his bat-missing stuff). Both sides have top-10 relief units, but they are bullpens that have been get-able in recent weeks.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO and NJ. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.

Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup

Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO).

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