Tag: Dodgers Angels odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

LA Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s LA Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (83-55) and Los Angeles Angels (57-80) open a 2-game set Tuesday. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Tied 1-1

The Dodgers got back in the win column with an 11-6 victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks Monday as -128 road favorites. 1B Freddie Freeman led the way with 5 RBIs while RF Mookie Betts drove in 3 runs. RHP Jack Flaherty allowed 1 ER in 5 2/3 IP to pick up the win.

The Angels have won back-to-back games after taking down the Seattle Mariners 3-2 Sunday as +158 home underdogs. 2B Anthony Rendon singled in 2 runs in the 5th, while RHP Caden Dana allowed 2 ER in 6 innings and picked up the win.

Dodgers at Angels projected starters

RHP Walker Buehler vs. LHP Reid Detmers

Buehler (1-4, 5.88 ERA) makes his 12th start. He has a 1.63 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 7.2 K/9 through 49 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 4 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 4 K in 6-4 home win against Baltimore Orioles Wednesday
  • Career vs. Angels: 1-0, 4.02 ERA (15 2/3 IP, 7 ER), 1.40 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 in 3 starts — last outing in 2021

Detmers (3-6, 6.14 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.48 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 10 K/9 through 63 innings.

  • Was optioned to Triple-A Salt Lake June 1 after struggling at Seattle Mariners
  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 5 ER, 4 H, 4 BB, 3 K in 9-0 loss at Mariners June 1
  • Career vs. Dodgers: 0-3, 7.58 ERA (19 IP, 16 ER), 1.37 WHIP, 10.9 K/9 in 4 starts — last outing in 2023

Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.

Dodgers at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 10:35 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Angels +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-125) | Angels +1.5 (+105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Angels 2

Moneyline

PASS.

There is no value on the Dodgers (-190) to win Tuesday.

Run line/Against the spread

BET DODGERS -1.5 (-125).

Six of the Dodgers’ last 7 wins have come by 2 or more runs, and they have scored 6 or more in 5 of their last 6 games. Five of the Angels’ last 7 losses have come by 2 or more runs, while they have scored 3 or fewer in 8 of their last 10 outings.

Over/Under

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

While the Dodgers have scored 6 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games, the Angels have scored 3 or fewer in 7 of their last 10. The Dodgers are capable of carrying the total; however, the Angels’ lack of scoring will prevent the Over from hitting.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (40-33) face the Los Angeles Angels (41-34) for the final of their quick 2-game series in Anaheim. The finale is Wednesday at Angels Stadium with first pitch at 9:38 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 1-0

The Dodgers snapped a 3-game losing streak in the series opener with a 2-0 shutout win over the Angels. LHP Clayton Kershaw pitched 7 scoreless innings and the offense scored twice in the 8th to give the Dodgers the win as -128 favorites — with Under 8.5 tickets also cashing. It was only their 5th win in their last 15 games.

The Angels suffered only their 4th loss in the last 15 games. It was only the 2nd time all season they were shut out.

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Dodgers at Angels projected starters

TBD vs. RHP Shohei Ohtani

The Dodgers had not announced a starter as of this publishing, but it would be RHP Michael Grove’s spot in the rotation. Grove (0-2, 8.10 ERA) would be making his 7th start and 8th appearance. He has a 1.60 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 30 innings.

If it isn’t Grove, Dodgers starters are 26-19 with a 4.30 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9.

L.A’.s relievers are 14-14 with a 5.01 ERA (2nd-highest in the majors), 1.37 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 9.5 K/9.

Ohtani (6-2, 3.29 ERA) makes his 15th start of the year. He has a 1.05 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 through 82 innings.

  • Last start: Win, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 1 BB, 3 K in 5-3 road win over Texas Rangers Thursday
  • Angels are 10-4 in his starts this season

Dodgers at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:10 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Angels -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers +1.5 (-160) | Angels -1.5 (+135)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

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Dodgers at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 5, Dodgers 3

Moneyline

The Dodgers received a fantastic outing from Kershaw Tuesday but have needed special outings from their pitchers to win games. In 4 of their last 5 victories, they have allowed 1 or fewer runs. Before Tuesday’s shutout, they allowed 8.2 runs per game over the previous 5 games.

The Angels have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 contests.

The Dodgers have won the last 7 meetings with the Angels, but the Angels are 10-4 in Ohtani’s starts and won his last 2 outings.

That said, the run line is a better bet for the Angels.

PASS on the moneyline.

Run line/Against the spread

Nine of the Angels’ last 10 wins have been by at least 2 runs. Six of the 10 wins when Ohtani starts have been by 2 or more runs.

The Dodgers are 5-10 ATS in their last 15 games.

BET ANGELS -1.5 (+135).

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Over/Under

Four of the last 5 head-to-head meetings have had 8 or fewer total runs.

Four of the last 5 for the Angels have not reached 9 runs.

However, 5 of the Dodgers’ last 6 games have had 9 or more runs.

BET 0.75 UNITS on UNDER 8.5 (+100).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (39-33) and Los Angeles Angels (41-33) open a  2-game crosstown interleague series in Anaheim on Tues; day. First pitch from Angels Stadium is 10:05 p.m. ET (TBS).  Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Angels odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Dodgers won all 4 meetings in 2022, outscoring the Angels 22-3

The Dodgers had an off day on Monday following the 7-3 loss at home Sunday to the San Francisco Giants. They have lost 3 games in a row, getting swept for the 1st time all season. The Dodgers have lost 10 of their last 14 games and are 3rd in the NL West, 4 1/2 games behind the 1st-place Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Angels had an off day on Monday as well. They finished up their 7-game road trip on Sunday with a 5-2 win over the Kansas City Royals to win the series. They went 5-2 on the road trip and are 11-3 in their last 14 games. The Angels are 2nd in the AL West, 5 games behind the Texas Rangers.

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Dodgers at Angels projected starters

LHP Clayton Kershaw vs. LHP Reid Detmers

Kershaw (8-4, 2.95 ERA) makes his 15th start. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 in 82 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 2 BB, 5 K in 8-4 home loss Wednesday vs. the Chicago White Sox
  • Is 2-0 with 1.80 ERA in 3 June starts (20 IP)

Detmers (1-5, 4.48 ERA) makes his 13th start. He has a 1.46 WHIP, 3.8 BB/9 and 11.0 K/9 in 62 1/3 innings.

  • Last start: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 3 BB, 8 K in 6-3 road loss Wednesday vs. the Rangers
  • Angels are 4-8 in his starts and have lost 3 of his last 4 outings

Dodgers at Angels odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Dodgers -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Angels +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (+125) | Angels +1.5 (-150)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: +100 | U: -120)

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Dodgers at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Angels 6, Dodgers 4

Moneyline

The Dodgers are currently struggling, having lost 10 of their last 14 games and falling into 3rd place in the NL West. They are 17-19 on the road this season. The Angeles are 20-14 at home and 11-3 in their last 14 games.

The Dodgers have won 5 straight matchups vs. the Angels, but have struggled with their pitching. In their last 5 losses and in 7 of their last 8 losses, they have allowed at least 7 runs.

BET ANGELS (+115).

Run line/Against the spread

The Angels are 38-36 ATS this season overall and the Dodgers are 38-34 ATS, but the Angels are playing too well and the price is much better to bet the Angels to win outright.

PASS.

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Over/Under

The Dodgers’ last 5 games and 8 of their last 9 have had 9 or more total runs. Their last 8 losses have had at least 9 total runs. Five of the Angels’ last 8 games have had at least 9 total runs.

BET OVER 9 (+100).

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

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The Los Angeles Dodgers (59-30) and Los Angeles Angels (39-52) close out the “Freeway Series” Saturday at Angel Stadium. First pitch is slated for 10:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Angels nickname odds with MLB picks and predictions.

Season series: Dodgers lead 3-0, outscoring the Angels 15-2

Dodgers SP Clayton Kershaw flirted with a perfect game before allowing an 8th-inning, leadoff double in the Dodgers’ 9-1 win Friday.

C Will Smith went 4-for-4 with a double, triple and 1 RBI and 3B Justin Turner was 3-for-5 with 4 RBIs.

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Dodgers at Angels projected starters

LHP Julio Urias vs. LHP Jose Suarez

Urias is 7-6 with a 3.01 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 in 89 2/3 IP across 17 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision, 2 IP, 5 ER, 3 H, 1 HR, 1 BB, 3 K in 11-9 home win vs. Chicago Cubs Sunday
  • 2021 vs. the Angels: 0-1, 6.30 ERA (10 IP, 7 ER), 14 H, 2 HR, 3 BB, 9 K in 2 starts

Suarez is 1-3 with a 4.79 ERA, 1.52 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 in 41 1/3 IP over 8 starts and 2 relief appearances.

  • Last start: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 4 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 1 K in 9-5 setback at the Baltimore Orioles Sunday
  • 2022 home splits: 1-1, 4.12 ERA (19 2/3 IP, 9 ER), 18 H, 2 HR, 8 BB, 19 K in 3 starts and 1 bullpen outing

Dodgers at Angels odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:53 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Dodgers -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Angels +160 (bet $100 to win $160)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Dodgers -1.5 (-117) | Angels +1.5 (-103)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Dodgers at Angels picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Angels 2

Money line

LEAN DODGERS (-200) because we are getting the worst of the number since they opened up as -169 favorites.

The Dodgers are 18-11 against lefty starters, while the Angels are 11-14 against lefties. The Dodgers outrank the Angels vs. left-handed pitching in wRC+ (109-87), wOBA (.321-.290), ISO (.158-.121), BB/K rate (0.45-0.38) and hard-hit rate (32.4-30.7%), according to FanGraphs.

I’d only BET A HALF UNIT on the DODGERS (-200) if at all since we are late to the party. If your standard unit is $100, then risk $50 to earn a $25 profit.

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Run line/Against the spread

LEAN DODGERS -1.5 (-115) only because I hate paying a tax for RL favorites, but this is one of the few spots I’m OK with it.

The Dodgers have a 3-phase edge over the Angels and the Dodgers’ lineup and bullpen are significantly better.

This is my preferred play in this game because all 3 of the Dodgers’ wins vs. the Angels have been by at least 2 runs.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 8.5 (-115) only because the O/U situational trends don’t provide much of a clue and the Dodgers’ RL is my favorite bet in this game.

There’s a “pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market for the total since more than 60% of the money is on the Under whereas roughly 80% of the bets placed are on Over 8.5 (-107), per Pregame.com. It’s wise to follow the money since sharps wager a lot bigger units than you or I.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Sunday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (18-16) and Los Angeles Angels (14-18) play the finale of a three-game set Sunday at Angel Stadium with a 4:07 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

RHP Trevor Bauer is the projected starting pitcher for the Dodgers. He is 3-1 with a 2.44 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 11.8 K/9 and 2.4 BB/9 over 44 1/3 IP through 7 starts.

Bauer has posted quality starts in five of his past six outings, although he allowed one run, four hits and four walks in just 4 1/3 innings last time out on the road against the Chicago Cubs Tuesday. It was his shortest start of the season.

RHP Jose Quintana is the projected starting pitcher for the Angels. He is 0-3 with a 10.59 ERA, 2.24 WHIP, 14.8 K/9 and 7.4 BB/9 over 17 IP through 5 starts.

Quintana has recorded plenty of strikeouts, whiffing 28 batters in just 17 innings. That’s great, but he has also issued 14 walks while serving up three homers while lasting just 17 innings.

He was tuned up for five runs, six hits and a walk with nine strikeouts in 3 2/3 innings in a loss against the Tampa Bay Rays Monday.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

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Dodgers at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:50 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Angels +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (-115) | Angels +1.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (Over -110 | Under -110)

Prediction

Dodgers 7, Angels 2

Money line (ML)

The DODGERS (-190) are just a little above my personal money line limit of -180, but sometimes you have to make exceptions. Bauer toeing the slab for the Dodgers against the very erratic Quintana is too hard to pass up.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

The DODGERS -1.5 (-115) are a much better play behind Bauer in this pitching mismatch. Quintana has been too wild, as he has struck out plenty of batters, but walked many more and been very hittable, too.

The Dodgers bats came alive in a 14-11 win on Saturday which resembled a beer-league softball game, and they’ll continue the conga line around the bases on Sunday.

Over/Under (O/U)

The OVER 8.5 (-110) is the lean here, but just ever so slightly. Play a small-unit wager only. Bauer won’t allow much to the Angels, but the Over is the lean because the Dodgers should be able to tee off on Quintana.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (17-16) meet the Los Angeles Angels (14-17) Saturday for the second of the three-game Freeway Series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Angels beat the Dodgers 9-2 last night with their first four batters (2B David Fletcher, Shohei Ohtani, Mike Trout and LF Justin Upton) hitting a combined 8-for-17 with 1 HR, 2 doubles, 1 triple and 7 RBIs.

Season series: Angels 1-0.

LHP Clayton Kershaw is getting the start for the Dodgers. Kershaw is 4-3 with a 2.95 ERA (39 2/3 IP, 13 ER), 1.03 WHIP, 1.6 BB/9 and 9.3 K/9 across 7 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 7-1, in 1 IP, 4 ER, 4 H, 2 BB and 2 K Tuesday vs. the Chicago Cubs.
  • Career vs. the Angels: 7-2 with a 2.45 ERA (88 1/3 IP, 24 ER), 1.01 WHIP and 9.9 K/9 over 13 starts.
    • Vs. Angels on the current roster: 202 at-bats with a .188/.245/.292 slash line, 60/15 K/BB rate, 4 HR and 17 RBIs.

RHP Dylan Bundy is the projected starter for the Angels. Bundy is 0-3 with a 4.00 ERA (36 IP, 16 ER), 1.08 WHIP, 2.3 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Loss, 0-2, in 6 IP with 2 ER, 5 H, 1 BB and 6 K at the Seattle Mariners Sunday.
  • Career vs. the Dodgers: 0-1 with a 2.25 ERA (8 IP, 2 ER), 1.63 WHIP and 14.6 K/9 over 1 start and 1 relief appearance.
    • Vs. Dodgers on the current roster: 54 at-bats with a .278/.361/.574 slash line, 11/6 K/BB rate, 4 HR and 10 RBIs.

MLB betting offers/promotions

BetMGM Sportsbook offers available in CO, IA, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA and WV. New customer offers, terms and conditions apply.

  • Bet just $1 on either team’s money line, WIN $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a home run during the game. Bet now!
  • RISK-FREE FIRST BET. Place your first bet, if it loses you’ll get up to $600 in free bets. Bet now!

Dodgers at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Angels +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+120) | Angels +1.5 (-145)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Angels 2

Money line (ML)

Kershaw is working on three days of rest because he only threw 39 pitches in his last start. So I’m expecting a bounce-back effort from the eventual Hall of Famer.

Also, Kershaw has pitched well against the Angels’ lineup throughout his career, and the Angels batter that hits Kershaw best is Anthony Rendon who’s on the injured list with a knee issue.

Lastly, Bundy’s pitching performance against the Angels leads me in the direction of betting the Dodgers.

For instance, the reason why the Dodgers’ slash line has a sub-.300 batting average is because Mookie Betts is only hitting .250 BA vs. Bundy in 36 career at-bats.

But, Betts has gone yard four times on Bundy, and there are five other Dodgers hitters that went 1-for-3 or better in their one game against Bundy, back in 2019.

“LEAN” to the DODGERS (-130) FIRST 5 INNINGS for a half unit instead of the full-game price since the Dodgers’ biggest edge over the Angels is in the starting pitching department, and both bullpens are below-average.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS because the Dodgers have been struggling lately, and the payout of both the regular and First 5 Innings run lines aren’t fat enough to take a shot at.

Over/Under (O/U)

Even though I prefer betting Kershaw and the Dodgers here doesn’t mean I’m not buying stock on Bundy. His winless record and 4-flat ERA is because of poor luck, not poor pitching.

Statcast grades Bundy in the 83rd percentile in expected wOBA, 87th percentile in exit velocity, 93rd percentile in hard-hit rate and 95th percentile in chase rate.

I’ll gamble a tad on the bullpens and “LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (-115) for a half unit.

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Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Los Angeles Dodgers at Los Angeles Angels odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Los Angeles Dodgers (17-15) meet the Los Angeles Angels (13-17) Friday in Game 1 of the Freeway Series at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Dodgers vs. Angels odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Dodgers are struggling, as they’ve lost three straight series to the Chicago Cubs (0-3), Milwaukee Brewers (1-3) and Cincinnati Reds (1-2), but three of their last four losses were walk-offs.

The Angels have lost five straight games, including a four-game sweep by the Tampa Bay Rays and the rubber match of their series loss to the Seattle Mariners.

These teams met six times last year and the Dodgers won all six games with four of them decided by 2 or more runs.

LHP Julio Urías takes the hill for the Dodgers. He is 4-0 with 2.87 ERA (37 2/3 IP, 12 ER) 0.90 WHIP, 1.4 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 across 6 starts.

  • Last outing: Win in 7 IP with 1 ER, 4 H, 0 BB and 10 K vs. the Milwaukee Brewers Sunday.
  • Career in Interleague play: 1-0 with a 2.36 ERA (34 1/3 IP, 9 ER), 1.14 WHIP and 10.2 K/9 in 5 starts and 6 relief appearances.

RHP Griffin Canning is the projected starter for the Angels. He is 2-2 with a 6.20 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 14 ER), 1.33 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 11.5 K/9 across 4 starts and 1 relief appearance.

  • Last outing: Win in 5 1/3 IP with 0 ER, 3 H, 2 BB and 9 K at the Seattle Mariners Saturday.
  • Career in Interleague play: 2-1 with a 3.93 ERA (36 2/3 IP, 16 ER), 1.36 WHIP and 8.3 K/9 across 7 starts.

MLB betting offers/promotions

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Dodgers at Angels odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Dodgers -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Angels +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Dodgers -1.5 (+100) | Angels +1.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under: 8.5 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Angels 2

Money line (ML)

BET the DODGERS (-160) for 1 unit. First, the Dodgers are tied for the second-worst luck factor at minus-3 and should have three more wins.

On the other side, the Angels are 1-5 vs. left-handed pitching and have the second-worst Pythagorean win-loss record, which is to say they’re worse than their record indicates.

Also, the Dodgers’ lineup is first in wRC+ and hard-hit rate, and second in both wOBA and BB/K vs. right-handed pitching.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the run line because the Dodgers’ money line is pricey enough and their run line isn’t a plus-money payout.

Over/Under (O/U)

“LEAN” to the UNDER 8.5 (+100) because the Dodgers lineup has been inconsistent lately but Urías has elite stuff.

For instance, Statcast grades Urías in the 98th percentile in chase%, 87th percentile in hard-hit rate and 91st percentile in BB%.

Furthermore, Canning is a 24-year-old who has shown some promise; he throws a mid-90s fastball and ranks in the 97th percentile of whiff% and 80th percentile of chase rate.

It’s only a “lean” because these teams have a combined 7-3 O/U record when their respective starters are on the mound and the Over cashed in five of the last six head-to-head meetings.

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