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In a 6-round bridgerweight bout, social media sensation Logan Paul will meet Dillon Danis at Manchester Arena Saturday in Manchester, U.K. The preliminary fights begin at 2 p.m. ET, with the main card beginning at 5 p.m. ET. The card will be televised on DAZN. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Paul vs. Danis odds, and make our expert boxing picks and predictions.
Records: Paul (0-1-0) | Danis (0-0 — making pro boxing debut)
Paul makes his way back into the boxing ring for the 1st time since losing to KSI in 2021 in his pro debut. He has dabbled in boxing and professional wrestling, but he hasn’t been nearly as successful of an athlete as his brother Jake Paul. He did go the distance in an exhibition fight against Floyd Mayweather Jr., so there is some athletic skill.
Danis is a mixed martial artist who competed briefly in Bellator. He also won gold and silver medals at the Pan Jiu-Jitsu No-Gi Championships, so he knows his way around the mat.
Danis has been more famous to casual fans for running his mouth, angering Logan Paul with a social media peppering of his fiancé Nina Agdal. Paul has credited Danis for his tremendous trolling ability on social media, and vowed to embarrass him in the ring.
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Paul vs. Danis odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:29 a.m. ET.
- Fight result (3-way line): Paul -450 (bet $450 to win $100) | Danis +390 (bet $100 to win $300) | Draw +1200 (bet $100 to win $1,200)
- Over/Under rounds: Off the board
- Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +154 | No -200)
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Paul vs. Danis picks and predictions
Fight result (3-way line or moneyline)
Paul (-450) will get it done in the ring in this bridgerweight bout, but it’s not wise to risk 4½ times the potential return on the 3-way line.
Instead, considering “round group betting.” In fact, I can see Danis (+390) hanging around for a while, even though this is his boxing debut. It isn’t like Paul is super experienced in the ring, either.
Taking LOGAN PAUL TO WIN ROUND 4-6 (+250) will more than double up your initial return if it comes through. I don’t see this fight going the distance.
Over/Under (O/U)
With the O/U for rounds off the board, I’m focusing on “will the fight go the distance?”
NO (-200) is a little too expensive for my liking, but I don’t expect the judges needing to get involved. Danis has crushed Paul — and his fiancé — via social media leading up to the bout, putting on tremendous theatre to ratchet up interest in the fight from casual fans.
This won’t be a boring fight, and the paid customers will get what they want in the form of an earlier exit for Danis.
Visit Boxing Junkie for more fight news and analysis.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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