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The Arizona Diamondbacks (52-50) and Kansas City Royals (56-46) play the final game of their 3-game series on Wednesday. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is at 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Tied 1-1
After losing the opener 10-4, the Diamondbacks won on Tuesday 6-2 behind a 3-run 1st inning and LHP Jordan Montgomery returning from the injured list to give up only 1 run in 5 IP. Aizona has won 7 of its last 10 games.
The Royals had their 4-game winning streak snapped and they are now 8-3 in their last 11 games.
Diamondbacks at Royals projected starters
RHP Ryne Nelson vs. RHP Michael Wacha
Nelson (7-6, 4.78 ERA) makes his 17th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.39 WHIP, 2.1 BB/9 and 6.6 K/9 in 92 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 3 H, 2BB, 9 K in 5-2 road win over Chicago Cubs on Friday
- Is 2-0 with 2.22 ERA in 4 starts in July
- He’s 0-1 with 7.20 ERA in 1 career start vs. Royals
Wacha (7-6, 3.55 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 7.9 K/9 in 96 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 4 H, 1 BB, 7 K in 7-1 home win over Chicago White Sox on Friday
- He’s 3-1 with 1.91 ERA over last 5 starts
- Is 2-1 with 4.58 ERA in 8 career starts vs. Arizona
Who’s going yard? Here’s a breakdown of today’s best home run props with our top picks. Include the BetMGM bonus code SBWIRE to score a $1,500 first-bet offer.
Diamondbacks at Royals odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Diamondbacks +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Royals -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Diamondbacks +1.5 (-185) | Royals -1.5 (+150)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Diamondbacks at Royals picks and predictions
Prediction
Royals 5, Diamondbacks 3
Moneyline
The Diamondbacks have not had a series loss in their last 6 and they have won Nelson’s last 3 outings, but they are only 26-26 on the road and only 23-30 against teams with a winning record.
The Royals are 35-19 at home and 8-3 in their last 11 games overall. They have won Wacha’s last 4 starts and he has a 1.91 ERA in his last 5.
BET ROYALS (-125).
Run line/Against the spread
The Royals have an MLB-best 32-22 ATS record at home this season. They are 13-0 ATS in their last 13 wins.
The Diamondbacks are 29-23 ATS on the road this season.
This is good opportunity to ladder some earnings, taking advantage of reasonable odds on the moneyline and nice plus odds for the Royals to cover.
BET ROYALS -1.5 (+150).
Over/Under
Four of Wacha’s last 5 starts have not reached 9 total runs and 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games have had totals of 8 or fewer runs.
BET UNDER 9 (+100).
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